Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati

Orlando City did a good job of taking care of business during its midweek victory over the Philadelphia Union, but the job isn’t done yet. The Lions need to keep picking up victories if they want to stay ahead of the chasing pack and keep hold of fourth place and the home field advantage during the first round of the playoffs that comes with it. That won’t be easy though, as OCSC will travel Saturday to face FC Cincinnati, the team sitting directly above it in the standings. The Lions can’t catch Cincy but they’ll want to show they can play with the top teams in the conference.

A match against FCC means I spoke to Jacob Clary, one of the writers over at the always excellent Cincinnati Soccer Talk. He was kind enough to provide some great information on The Knifey Lions, and helped bring us up to speed on how Cincy has fared since these two teams last met.

Cincinnati has played some tough teams since coming back from Leagues Cup and a record of 2-3-2 reflects that. Is there any concern over the slight dip in results, or is there an understanding that some of that simply may be down to an unforgiving part of the schedule?

Jacob Clary: There is definitely a pretty big dip in form for the team lately. The team has not been performing as well lately as fans have hoped, losing their last two games and just not playing to the team’s standards. The offense is the biggest part of it, but the defense is also not the greatest due to the multitude of injuries it has sustained. FCC is struggling to get a lot of chances going forward, and it doesn’t have a clear no. 1 striker. Because of that, if Lucho Acosta and Luca Orellano are not performing, FCC will find it difficult to score.

Luciano Acosta is obviously the straw that stirs FCC’s drink, but who are some players that maybe don’t get the same amount of attention but have still been key contributors for the team?

JC: The biggest offensive contributor aside from Acosta is Orellano. He has played in many different spots for FCC this season, but he most often finds himself at left wingback in a 5-3-2. This role has seen him more often go forward and attack rather than go back and defend, which can hamstring the team, but he is wonderfully composed when he has the ball at his feet. If Orlando gives up any free kicks at the top of the box to FCC, be fearful if Orellano is set to take it, because he has scored multiple times this season from there. He has also chipped the keeper from extremely long-range. Needless to say, Orellano is able to take some of the load from Acosta when needed.

Yuya Kubo is also a contributor on the offensive attack that can at times look like a great player. He is a pretty good finisher, so if he gets a chance, I think the ball will finish in the back of the net.

Talk to me about the postseason expectations for this team. What do you believe the bare minimum goal should be, and how far does Cincinnati need to go in order to consider the season a success?

JC: The postseason expectations for this team are at the moment slightly muted due to the form of the team and the two teams leading the charge in the Eastern Conference, Inter Miami and the Columbus Crew. Miami destroyed FCC a few matches ago without Lionel Messi and Columbus is one of the teams in the best form and knows how to win those critical matches. I think FCC should be expected to at least advance on from the first round of the MLS Cup playoffs, and depending on who they play following that round, it could be difficult for the team to advance unless it gets red hot in the next couple matches.

Will any players be unavailable due to injuries, suspensions, etc.? What is your projected starting XI and score prediction?

JC: The current starting 11 for FCC is pretty fluid because of some of the injuries at the center back position and also trying to work guys into full fitness after signing them in the summer window. Teenage Hadebe played the first 45 minutes of Wednesday’s match, so I might expect to see him play alongside Ian Murphy and Miles Robinson in the CB trio. Orellano, LWB, and former USMNT player DeAndre Yedlin, RWB, will most likely finish the back line unless Head Coach Pat Noonan decides to rest any players. The midfield trio for the significant amount of matches this season has been defensive midfielder Obinna Nwobodo, midfielder Pavel Bucha, and 2023 MLS MVP Acosta. Up top at striker has been in flux ever since the team lost Brandon Vazquez and Aaron Boupendza left the team. Nico Gioacchini and Kevin Kelsy have split minutes, with Kubo and Sergio Santos getting the most play in terms of real contribution. I would say we could see Santos and Kubo get the start against Orlando.

Lineup: Roman Celentano; Luca Orellano, Teenage Hadebe, Ian Murphy, Miles Robinson, DeAndre Yedlin; Obinna Nwobodo, Pavel Bucha, Luciano Acosta; Sergio Santos, Yuya Kubo.

FCC really hasn’t been in good form lately, leading to the muted hope for postseason performance, so if the team wants to try to get going, it will need to start against Orlando. I wouldn’t be surprised if this game went either way, so I’ll say a 2-2 draw, with FCC getting a goal before stoppage time to get a point.

Thank you to Jacob for the excellent information on FC Cincinnati. Vamos Orlando!