Individual Brilliance, Collective Failure: The Pride’s Lost Season

My son joined his first real basketball team this fall, which has given me a reason to share my favorite basketball movies with him. He is not old enough for some (I’m looking at you, Above the Rim and White Men Can’t Jump), but classics like Hoosiers and Space Jam are just as watchable today as they were when they came out last century.

While Hoosiers is probably the top basketball movie on my list, Blue Chips is just behind it. The whole premise of Blue Chips (a coach looking the other way while boosters entice top “blue chip” players to come to his college by offering under-the-table deals) is not something that would be a problem in 2026, with NIL money flowing like lava to high school recruits, but back in the 1990s, those kinds of deals were against NCAA rules. The fictional Western University, which definitely was not based on UCLA, needed some elite players, quickly, and so they broke the rules to bring in three of the best high school players in the country.

There is no official definition of what defines a “blue chip” anything, but the term comes from casinos, where blue chips traditionally were the highest valued chips a player could hold.

As a mathematician, I have spent a lot of time thinking about casinos and games of chance, as all of them are based on probabilities. The end goal in a casino is to walk away with money, preferably more than the amount that you started with, just as the end goal in soccer is to walk away with points, also preferably more than the amount that you started with.

In order to do that in soccer, a team needs to score goals and prevent goals from being scored, and thankfully the American Soccer Analysis (ASA) goals added metric captures that value for us. It is a singular metric, and certainly not the only value metric that exists, but it is my favorite, because I think it does the best job of looking at the entire game of soccer and quantifying value from different components.

The overall goals added value is made up by the sum of a player’s performance in six sub-metrics, each weighted evenly. Those six sub-metrics are:

• Shooting: Shots.
• Receiving: Receptions.
• Passing: Passes.
• Dribbling: Carries, take-ons, miscontrols, dispossessions.
• Interrupting: Tackles, interceptions, blocks, clearances, recoveries, contested headers.
• Fouling: Fouls committed, fouls received.

As there is no formal definition of how to quantify a blue chip performance, I am going to use “in the top 10% at their position” as my benchmark. ASA’s data goes all the way back to 2016, conveniently the same season that the Orlando Pride joined the NWSL, and the table below reveals the number of Pride field players who finished in the top 10% of all players at their position at each sub-metric.

• *The Pride did not compete during the 2020 season due to COVID-19.

Unsurprisingly, the two seasons with the most blue chip performances are 2017 and 2024, the only two seasons when the Pride finished in the top three in the league table. It was a little surprising that the 2023 team had so many blue chip performances, considering that team did not make the playoffs. However, even though that team finished seventh in the table, it was just two points back from finishing fourth, and if not for an own goal by Anna Moorhouse on a poor punch attempt during the penultimate game of the season, the Pride would have finished fifth and in the playoffs. Sigh.

The current team ranks next in Pride history, with 14 blue chip performances up to this point of the season. Those 14 are the fourth-most in the NWSL this year, and the team with the most, Kansas City, only has 16.

It is disappointing that Orlando has only a sliver of a chance to make the playoffs, as the team appears likely to have squandered one of the best seasons in league history from Barbra Banda (12^th-best season ever in overall goals added, and the top-ranked player in 2026). Among strikers, Banda has four blue chip performances, ranking in the top 10% in dribbling, fouling, receiving, and shooting.

Not to be outdone, Haley McCutcheon is also in the top 10% among defensive midfielders in those same four categories. McCutcheon’s six goals ties her for 24th overall in the league, and she is second on the Pride despite not playing an attacking position (well, sometimes she’s placed there, but she’s still a defensive midfielder). Her season is not as historically impressive as Banda’s (her 2026 is only 61^st best among all-time defensive midfielders), but she has been the seventh- best defensive midfielder this season and is in the top 10% in four categories.

Banda and McCutcheon account for eight of the Pride’s 14 blue chip performances, the other six are:

• Zara Chavosi (center back) – Dribbling.
• Rafaelle (center back) – Fouling.
• Julie Doyle (winger) – Interrupting.
• Hailie Mace (fullback) – Passing.
• Marta (striker) – Passing.
• Hannah Anderson (center back) – Receiving.

Among those players, only Rafaelle has had a good season overall. The Brazilian ranks sixth among all center backs in 2026, the other five players, and for that matter everyone else on the team aside from McCutcheon, rank outside the top 25% at their positions.

This includes both of the Pride’s goalkeepers, as neither Moorhouse or Cosette Morché are in the top 25% for 2026. Goalkeeper has never been a strong position for the Pride in ASA’s goalkeeping metrics. Dating back to the 2016 season, there have been 84 opportunities for Pride goalkeepers to earn a blue chip rating in the six goalkeeping metrics (claiming, fielding, handling, passing, shotstopping, sweeping), and the collective has only finished in the top 10% in a category seven times.

Fans could care less about blue chip players. The only color that really matters is gold, as in the Tiffany & Co-designed NWSL trophies for the regular season and playoff champions. Blue chip players can go a long way toward helping a team win those trophies, but in the end, the team’s performance always matters the most.

The 2026 Pride will be remembered for moments of brilliance, in particular from the bluest of blue chip players in Banda, but the enduring memory will be probably be the team’s collective failure to put it all together and even qualify for the playoffs.

And that leaves all of us Pride fans feeling blue.