How the 2024 Orlando Pride Stack Up against the Best Clubs in World Soccer

As someone who majored in mathematics in college, I love when I find an answer to a problem and it is undoubtedly and unassailably correct. I like the analysis and the problem-solving parts too, but for me the best part of any math problem is when I find the answer and I know that there is no more work to do for that problem. In mathematics there is a defined answer, and the only question is why did Dr. (Redacted) at the Harvard of the South Rollins College always take points off for not showing my work even though I had the correct answer all most of the time? I fear I may have gone off track.

Where I want to go this week is an evaluation of the Pride and whether the 2024 version is one of the best clubs in the world — a question that, unlike those math problems I like so much, does not have a simple, defined answer. I mean, in the end the answer will be either yes or no, which is about as simple as it gets, but the dreaded phrase “it is a matter of perspective” looms large over any question about “who is the best?”

Mathematicians like questions that end in “st,” like ones about answering who/what achieved the most, highest, farthest (though not furthest, thank you Finding Forrester), fastest, or was the least, lowest, nearest, or slowest, but even though best qualifies as ending in those two letters, there is no simple mathematical way to show best in most cases. State fairs and the Winchester Dog Show’s judges may disagree with their Best in Show awards, but when it comes to the “best” teams in women’s soccer, we can try to quantify, but we also have to qualify, because women’s soccer does not yet have a true global competition pitting leading clubs against one another.

In the last two years we have had an incredible Olympic tournament and World Cup in the women’s game, both viewed by millions across the world, and both of those tournaments will play a large role in my evaluation of how to determine which club teams are the best right now in 2024. While we have a limited sample of club vs. club games that we can use to compare teams from different leagues all over the world, what we can do is look at the players who are on high-performing teams and look at collections of talent to compare those against one another.

I looked at the rosters of all the club teams across every women’s league tracked on fbref.com, which includes the following (apologies for the long list, but it is important to see for perspective): Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Denmark, England, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States. There are of course many other women’s leagues across the world, including some with outstanding teams, but I am relying on the available data to evaluate teams, and Opta, the company that tracks all the data and provides it to fbref.com, has not yet decided to track women’s leagues in China, Mexico, Portugal, Scotland, and many others.

Across all of those tracked leagues are nearly 200 women’s teams, and that includes the leagues that have produced most of the winners of the continental competitions in Europe and South America for as long as they have existed (Europe since 2001 and South America since 2009). Asia and North America are both rolling out continental women’s “Champions Leagues” for the first time in 2024 and 2025, and Africa has had a women’s Champions League since 2021, but aside from the leagues in Japan and the United States, none of the leagues in Africa, Asia, or North America are tracked in as easily accessible places. I hope this changes soon, and once more data is available, I will certainly use it when I compare players, leagues, and teams.

That said, I do have a working database of nearly 200 women’s club teams for this season (2023-2024 for the leagues where their season has finished and 2024 year to date for the clubs that are currently in season). I also have a thorough database of all the players who played in the 2024 Olympics and in the 2023 World Cup, since tracking is much better at the national team level. Looking at the 190+ teams, here are the total players in each league who competed in either, or in some cases both, tournaments (Notes: a player like Grace Chanda, who has not yet dressed for the Pride, does not count toward the NWSL’s totals; Medal winners means the teams that finished first, second, or third):

Looking at this list, which was sorted by the count of participants who competed in the 2023 World Cup, there is a clear top three among the leagues when looking at which leagues produced the most participants in the last two major international tournaments. Some of this data may include a little double counting, as players may have played for multiple teams during the season, so they show up in the same league multiple times, but I do not believe there would be any major shifts were I to get the fine-tooth comb out. And I have shaved my head since 2006, so in all honesty I would have to get my son’s comb and that one is designed for boys, so it would be so fine toothed it might not even allow any data to stay. I think we just move on.

England’s WSL, Spain’s Liga F, and the NWSL in the U.S. all are top three in Olympians and World Cup participants, and while that does not mean that they have all of the best (and again, how is best defined?) players in the world, it does mean that they have the most (ah, a beautiful word with a clear definition) players who were selected to compete on behalf of their nations in the two most recent major tournaments.

Injuries do play a role here, as Mallory Swanson, for example, would have played in the 2023 World Cup except for an injury, and she is but one of likely double digits’ worth of players who play on a club today but did not make their national team due to injury. Some national teams are extremely deep as well, so a player like Alex Morgan did not make the U.S. team for the Olympics but she almost certainly would have made the roster for several, if not many, of the other nations that qualified.

That said, the numbers are the numbers, and looking at them you can see that the three deepest leagues seem to be the ones at the top of that chart. This will be critical when we try to compare team performance across leagues, because being at or near the top in a league full of elite players is much different than being at or near the top in a league where only a few teams have all of the elite players.

Now, let’s take a look at that same chart, but looking at club teams instead of leagues (Note: there are five other clubs that also had six World Cup participants, but none had as many Olympians as did the Pride so I did not include all of them on the chart):

The Pride are tied for 19th for World Cup participants, which is pret-ty, pret-ty good. And if you look at the total medal wins for the Olympics plus the World Cup, the Pride have five (you are welcome for me doing the tough addition of five plus zero for you), which ranks them tied for seventh. I mentioned earlier that I was not able to pull in every league and club into my dataset, but I did look at every Olympic and World Cup medal-winning player, and there are no clubs from other leagues that would rank higher than the Pride for medal winners, though there are some clubs like Benfica of Portugal and Mamelodi Sundowns of South Africa that had more than the Pride’s six World Cup participants.

So the Pride are looking pretty good for participants in recent major tournaments, but tournaments have qualification rounds and sometimes good teams have a bad spell and miss a tournament. A better indication might be looking at FIFA’s list of the top-ranked national teams, since that is determined by all games played by a national team and not just in the two most recent major tournaments. Zambia, for example, played in both the World Cup and the Olympics but is currently ranked 64th in the world, so having a player on Zambia, as the Pride do, may actually not be as impressive as having a player on Iceland, which is ranked 14th in the world but did not qualify for the World Cup or the Olympics.

Looking at clubs in this manner changes the analysis quite a bit, and the Pride fall from being a team in the top 20ish to a team in the top 40ish if I change the evaluation to be clubs with players on national teams ranked in the top 25 of FIFA’s rankings. The Pride have five players who have played on top 25 national teams this season — Adriana, Angelina, Marta, and Rafaelle from Brazil and Emily Sams from the U.S. — but there are 15 clubs that have twice that number or more, and the list is topped by Chelsea (22), Arsenal (20), and Barcelona (18). Going back from club to full league and ranking the leagues by count of players on top 25 national teams, the list still is led by England, but now the gap is even larger, and Germany has surpassed Spain into the top three. There really is a clear number one and then four sitting tightly bunched behind, and then another gap after that:

Looking at the data this way again shows the depth of the league in England, with well more than 100 players who play on top 25 national teams and who also ply their trade in England’s Women’s Super League, and that is across a league of only 12 teams. By contrast the NWSL had less than half as many players who play on top 25 national teams and our league has 14 teams.

As I mentioned previously the Pride have five players on top 25 national teams, which ranks them tied for fifth in the NWSL, behind San Diego (10), Gotham (9), Portland (8), and Washington (6) and tied with Kansas City, Chicago, and Houston. In fact every NWSL team except for Louisville has a player on a top 25 national team, and 10 of the 14 teams have at least three. Only the leagues in England and the U.S. have 10 or more teams with at least three top 25 national team players, which leads me to my next chart.

The Pride have earned 79% of the possible points they could earn this season (38 points out of a possible 48), but the team only has five top 25 national team players out of the NWSL’s total of 63, for a total of 8%. That 79% number seems like pretty high percentage of total points earned, but it actually ranks 20th among the 189 teams among all the 2024 leagues I have been writing about thus far, as you can see below:

There were two other takeaways from this chart:

• A total of 12 of the 16 leagues have at least one team that earned a higher percentage of points than the Pride, who are leading the NWSL thus far this season and are well ahead of the pace of last year’s champions, the Wave, who finished the season earning 56% of their possible points.
• The Pride are leading the NWSL but with a much lower percentage of top national team players on their roster, meaning that: a) the top teams in other leagues are disproportionately heavy with elite national team players (all leagues have at least 10 teams, so if players were evenly dispersed, the expected percentages would be closer to 10% or lower), and b) the makeup of the Pride is markedly different than most of the other highly performing teams.

Markedly different does not mean worse, it just means in a different manner. The Pride have an elite level talent in Barbra Banda, who plays for her national team but that national team is not an elite team, even though she is an elite talent. And speaking of elite talent, since 2021 ESPN has used a panel of experts to rank the top 50 players in women’s soccer, and during the three seasons (2021, 2022, and 2023) when the outlet has put out these rankings, the Pride are one of fewer than 30 clubs in the world that currently have at least one player who was ranked in the top 50 during at least one of the last three years, and as you surely guessed, that is Marta, who was in the top 50 in 2021, though not on the 2022 or 2023 versions of the list.

When ESPN comes out with its 2024 list, I expect that Barbra Banda will be ranked high on it, meaning that in most games the Pride are rolling out one player who is currently considered one of the world’s best (Banda), one who was in a recent year and who is still playing at a high level (Marta), four others who are on elite-level national teams (Adriana, Angelina, Rafaelle, and Sams), one who was recently called into the camp of an elite national team (Anna Moorhouse), one who can successfully dribble through a hospital full of people chasing her while also interrupting an MRI, a surgery, and physical therapy without hurting anyone (Kerry Abello — I believe she is the only player in the world who has done this), one who made the roster for the U-20 USWNT World Cup squad (Ally Lemos), and then a full rest of the roster that has contributed to an undefeated start and taking 79% of the possible points from a league that is deep with talent from top to bottom. This is a strong team.

There is one site I found that does have a ranking of women’s teams across the world, and you can find its 2023 club ranking here. The site does not disclose its algorithm, but it did rank the 2023 Pride tied for 132nd in the world, and that was a team that did not win a game in the NWSL Challenge Cup and did not make the 2023 playoffs either.

The 2024 Pride are objectively much better than the 2023 Pride, and in looking at their record (top of the league) and goal differential (+20 overall, +1.25 per game played) in a league that is clearly one of the three, and debatably one of the two, best leagues in the world, as well as the pedigree of the players the Pride have on their team, I think that I can answer the question in the title of this story with a yes. The 2024 Pride are one of the best clubs in the world, and I think they are likely in the top 10-15%.

How close are they to the top of the list, though? That is for another article…at the end of the season.