Orlando City vs. Atlanta United: Three Keys to Victory

This is a two-for-one deal since Orlando City plays Atlanta United in back-to-back matches in a four-day span. First up is a regular-season match at Inter&Co Stadium followed three days later by a U.S. Open Cup match — also at home. The Lions are coming off a thrilling 4-3 victory over the Philadelphia Union. What must the Lions do to earn all three points against Atlanta Saturday evening and advance in the U.S. Open Cup on Tuesday night?

Find a Defense

Atlanta United has scored 13 goals this season. That is the same amount that the Philadelphia Union scored after Wednesday’s match against Orlando City. As I’m certain you remember, the Union scored three goals in that match. It was an indictment on the defense to give up that many goals to the bottom team in the Eastern Conference that had scored just 10 all season entering Wednesday. The Lions now face a similar challenge of stopping a bad offensive team from scoring heaps of goals. Orlando City was not able to do that against Philadelphia.

The biggest challenge for the Lions — other than poor passing — is stopping Atlanta’s top scorer Aleksei Miranchuk. He has scored five goals and added two assists this season. His fellow Designated Player, Emmanuel Latte Lath, has produced only two goals and two assists but is still a threat. This is likely a historically bad Orlando City defense, but the players need to pull it together to win a match they should win and, hopefully, advance to the Open Cup semifinals.

Keep the Offense Rolling

Orlando City has scored 14 goals in the last five MLS matches and 18 goals across all competitions in the last six. As a result, the goal differential which was in the upper 20s at one point is now “only” -17. That is obviously still extremely bad but loads better than before. Given the shoddy defense I mentioned above, it is crucial that Orlando City continues to find the back of the net in these two matches against Atlanta.

Martin Ojeda is tied for fourth in the league with nine goals. Duncan McGuire, Tyrese Spicer, Justin Ellis, and Marco Pasalic all have three goal contributions so far this season. Scoring four goals against lower ranked opponents isn’t something to brag about, but it is helpful in getting results. Orlando City is likely to give up some goals and will need to overcome that with offensive firepower as the Lions did against Philadelphia.

180 Minutes

Coaches will tell you that they take things one game at a time. That is, of course, coach speak, though at least partially true. However, the idea that coaches don’t plan out farther than one match at a time is ludicrous. If Martin Perelman isn’t at least somewhat combining the planning for these two matches, then that is a problem. While he cannot predict what will happen in the first match, he has hopefully made contingencies for various general outcomes.

Having the two matches be against the same opponent makes the task both easier and more difficult. If the two matches were against different teams, lineups could be adjusted based on the tactics needed to approach the different players and styles of each team. With it being the same team, that is less of an option. There will be some rotation through the two matches, but given there are the same sets of players available — barring injuries or red cards — tactics are likely similar for each match. Orlando City has occasionally put together 45 minutes of decent play. Now, the Lions need to quadruple that.

That is what I will be looking for on both Saturday and Tuesday nights. This is an opportunity to build momentum heading into the World Cup break. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!