Orlando Pride
Pride Enter 2017 with Lofty, Yet Reasonable Expectations
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In terms other than attendance and interest generated, it would be difficult to call last season a successful debut. The Orlando Pride are clearly not satisfied with their place in the final table of the 2016 NWSL season. Finishing in ninth place (out of 10 teams) is not that unusual for an expansion side, but the Pride expect a much better finish this year, with their goal clearly set at a top-four finish.
Such high expectations make sense. One would assume that all teams would have that as the minimum goal for the season. Likely, the Pride had the same goal last year. So, what went wrong and what changes should the fans expect to see to avoid another bottom of the table finish?
Typically, at this point, a deep and detailed analysis of advanced metrics would produce a lengthy, if not convoluted, list of areas for improvement, full of heat charts and possession percentages. While those analytics certainly have their place in helping to determine trends and prognostications, the truth is that most of the advanced metrics are not yet being charted for the NWSL.
Fortunately, for the Pride, they also are not that necessary.
A simple examination of the most basic of stats gives a very clear picture of where the team needs the most improvement. They give up too many goals. That’s a problem for any team, but when you are also the club with the Goalkeeper of the Year, it really stands out that, as a team, you simply give up too many scoring chances.
The Pride finished the season with a goal differential of -10. Their 30 goals allowed ranked second-worst only behind the Boston Breakers’ 47. Probably not coincidentally, the Breakers were the only team to finish behind Orlando in the final table.
Starting 15 games, Ashlyn Harris got the bulk of the work between the posts with Kaitlyn Savage and Aubrey Bledsoe dividing up the remaining five games, four to one respectively. The trio faced 112 shots on goal, making the save 74% of the time.
While it is reasonable to hope for or even expect a save percentage to be closer to 80%, the jarring stat in that line is the 112 shots faced. That is seven more shots in need of a save than the next highest team and 17.3 more than the average of the rest of the league.
At that rate, it does not matter how great a keeper Ashlyn Harris is, there is simply too much of a reliance on that position to give the team a chance to win consistently.
Contributing further to the reliance on their keeper is the fact the Pride offense only contributed 20 goals for the season, the third-lowest output among the 10 teams in the league. With such little offensive production compared to the scoring chances they were conceding, it shows a significant lack of offensive pressure.
Further support is added to that argument when you consider the Pride only earned 81 corner kicks, slightly more than four per game. By comparison, the Western New York Flash earned a whopping 117 corners on the way to a league-leading 40 goals.
Those 35 extra corners may not have been the exact reason the Flash doubled the Pride’s goal scoring output, but it does reinforce the fact that the Pride simply are not putting sufficient pressure on the opposition to move themselves into contention.
So, when you have the best goalkeeper in the league, but allow far too many shots and do not generate enough offense, what should be the expected change made to see improvement?
The first thing that pops to mind would be to improve the back line, right? Well, that is certainly reasonable and an issue clearly addressed with the addition of Ali Krieger and Alanna Kennedy.
Krieger, simply put, is world class. Her arrival into the Pride lineup immediately elevates the performance expectations of the back line. She not only contributes with her outstanding athleticism, but her leadership cannot be understated. It can, however, be complimented. And that is exactly what the addition of Kennedy does.
Kennedy adds a stabilizing force to the center of the back line with her controlled demeanor on the ball undoubtedly becoming infectious across the line. The experience Kennedy brings not only from her time in the NWSL, most recently with last season’s champions, the Western New York Flash, but also internationally, makes her acquisition seem like a real coup for the Pride.
The addition of these two extremely talented defenders really addresses the issues from last year and should solidify the defense for the Pride.
Offensively, Alex Morgan will be expected to have a significant impact in that area once she returns from France but the Pride are certainly not lacking in talent up top in her absence. (For more on Morgan and the expectations of her return please see here.)
Sarah Hagen and Jasmyne Spencer lead a more cohesive group forward into the season as the club has a full season under its belt now. Throughout training and the preseason so far, a very clear message of camaraderie and unity has been permeating around the club.
Even the most talented clubs in the world need time to gel and find their way as units. When removed from the microscope of expectation, much of the struggles to score last season can be seen for what it was — an expansion team simply coming together.
That is not to say that the club rested on its laurels and simply expected to improve. The addition of former Arsenal forward Chioma Ubogagu should pay significant dividends, both in the absence of Morgan and following her return.
The expectation of a top of the table finish and a playoff run may seem lofty, but with the addition of another forward with international experience, a solidified defense, the defending Goalkeeper of the Year and a growing commitment to each other and the club, it sure seems the expectations are warranted.
Orlando Pride
Orlando Pride Offense through the Lens of Goal-Creating Actions
Can an analysis of the Pride’s offense in 2024 using goal-creating actions help project how they will perform in 2025?
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We are one week away from the season opener for Orlando City and three weeks away from the season opener for the Orlando Pride, wrapping up what has felt like a long off-season. Oddly enough, both off-seasons were the shortest in club history, but they have felt extra long, probably because of the elongated conversations around several players and whether these players would stay in Orlando, leave Orlando, or come to Orlando.
At this point, the rosters are probably pretty close to being locked in to what they will be when the seasons open, but there still may be some final changes, and if there are, hopefully they will be positive ones for the teams in purple.
Several weeks ago, I wrote about how the Pride were bringing back all of their goals and nearly all of their minutes played from 2024, and while that has changed now with Adriana’s departure to Al Qadsiah FC in Saudi Arabia, the Pride are still bringing back most of their goals and minutes and will likely be among the favorites, if not the favorite, when sportsbooks start posting their NWSL futures odds. As of this moment, I cannot find anyone who has odds posted, and very few sites have released their season previews and power rankings, but I have a hunch that the defending champions, bringing back nearly every key contributor, will be near the top of those lists. And they should be because, and let’s revel in this once again, they are the defending champions!
The Pride are bringing back two players who combined for 28 goals in NWSL play last season. If we include the playoffs, then Barbra Banda scored 17 goals and Marta added 11, and they ranked second and fourth, respectively, for most goals scored. What interested me, however, was that they only combined together to create four of those goals as a partnership.
Using Opta’s tracking and fbref.com’s database of goals, I was able to create a ranking of the most prolific partnerships during the 2024 NWSL season. For every goal scored, Opta tracks what they call goal-creating actions, which are the two plays immediately preceding a goal that led to a player scoring a goal. For example, let’s flash back to the playoff semifinal when Banda gave the Pride a 3-1 lead against the Current by smashing a ball into the net harder than a home run off the bat of Elly De La Cruz (my son’s favorite baseball player). In related news, I am also excited for baseball season.
In the video below, Banda is the goal scorer, and the prior two plays are a completed pass by Haley McCutcheon to Kylie Strom and then the assist on a completed pass from Strom to Banda. Opta tracks those as the two goal-creating actions for Banda’s goals, with Strom’s pass being the final action preceding the goal.
Staying in that same game, I am sure you remember Marta’s wondergoal (wondergoal is still underselling how great of a goal this was — this was an all-time great run down the field) that made the score 3-1. On that play, Banda received the assist, as she passed the ball to Marta, but the two goal-creating actions were actually both by Marta as she beat multiple defenders and the goalkeeper off the dribble to get herself into shooting position. Opta’s tracking shows this goal as scored by Marta, from two consecutive goal-creating actions of Marta take-ons. Yes Banda passed the ball to Marta, but this goal was created by Marta’s magic, and the GOAT taking on and beating multiple defenders.
Opta tracks the following seven different types of goal-creating actions:
- Fouled
- Interception (stealing a pass)
- Pass (live-ball)
- Pass (dead-ball)
- Shot
- Tackle (stealing the ball directly from the other team’s player)
- Take-On (beating a defender off the dribble)
During the 2024 NWSL season there were 502 total goals scored, including the playoffs and including own goals. Opta’s tracking does not have an assist for every goal, nor does it have a goal-creating action for every goal, and that makes sense for how soccer is played. Sometimes goals happen unassisted, as a player, usually a striker, makes a tackle or interception themselves and then is in on goal and scores unassisted, or a player wins a loose ball in the box and slots it home, or a player finishes a rebound and the official scorer does not give the asisst to the player who took the original shot.
Opta’s tracking shows 481 non-own goals in 2024, with 312 of those goals (approximately 65%) having an assist. Of those 481 non-own goals, 447 (approximately 93%) had a primary goal-creating action, and this also makes sense, as it is much more likely, based on the list of goal-creating actions, that there was one of those than there was a true assist. I am much more interested in the goal-creating actions than I am the assists, as I believe they are better descriptors of how goals happened.
Looking at the Pride, which I know is really why you are here, the following table lists the player combinations that led to more than two goals during 2024:
Player Combination | Goals |
---|---|
Adriana and Barbra Banda | 5 |
Barbra Banda and Marta | 4 |
Ally Watt and Barbra Banda | 4 |
Adriana and Marta | 3 |
Barbra Banda and Julie Doyle | 3 |
For these counts it does not matter who created the goal and who scored it, these were the two Pride players involved in the final product. It may be a bit of a surprise to see that the top combination was Adriana and Banda, but Adriana scored three goals in 2024 that came directly from a foul on Banda (5/11 vs. Bay FC), a rebound from a Banda shot (6/30 vs. Angel City), and a foul on Banda (10/20 vs. Gotham). Banda scored two goals that resulted from an Adriana live-ball pass (5/19 vs. Seattle) and a rebound from an Adriana shot (7/6 vs. Kansas City). Adriana and Banda’s five goal combinations tied them for fourth in all of NWSL in 2024, with the combination of Esther González and Yazmeen Ryan of Gotham FC leading the league with seven.
It is a fair criticism of this statistic to say something along the lines of, “Well, Adriana did not intend to miss her shot and for Banda to score the rebound, so who really cares if it was an Adriana shot or someone else’s shot that Banda rebounded?”. Conversely, Adriana had to put a shot on target and have struck it well enough that it could not be saved and held, and Banda had to beat other players to the ball to score it, and both players had to have earned the right to be on the field at the same time.
I do not think goal-creating actions are the be-all, end-all, but I do think they tell more of a story than just assists. As another example, the action that immediately preceded five of Banda’s 17 goals was her winning a take-on against her defender. That total led the league in 2024, and she and Portland’s Sophia Smith were the only two players with more than three take-ons that led directly to goals in 2024. Two of those five goals for Banda had teammates credited with assists, but just as with the Marta goal against Kansas City when Banda was credited with the assist, the goals really came more from the effort by Banda as the goal scorer rather than from the pass that gave her the ball initially.
On a different note, those top combinations I showed tally up to 19 of the 54 goals scored by the Pride in 2024. The Pride benefitted from three own goals, meaning they scored 51 goals themselves, so those top combinations did not even account for half (37%) of the team’s goals last season. That is the sign of a team that is diverse in its attack, and even though Adriana is gone, they bring back everyone else who was involved in all of their goals, plus they will have Grace Chanda, Simone Charley, and Prisca Chilufya as additional offensive options in 2025. Losing Adriana will hurt, but I think the Pride will have her departure covered.
Goals are exciting, and of course are how teams win games, so as watchers and analyzers of soccer, we spend a lot of time thinking about how they happened. I like goal-creating actions as a statistic but I know on many goals there are different plays that happened in succession that led to the goal, and the goal-creating action stat only shows the final two plays. Those final two plays are critical though, so I think it is a good statistic to analyze, just in conjunction with others as well.
It is no accident that Banda was all over that list of top Pride combinations, she led the league in goal-creating actions and goal-creating actions plus goals, and with her available for the full season in 2025 I expect that she is going to be right near the top again this season, if not the league leader for the second consecutive season.
I cannot wait to watch the Pride’s offense this year. I think they are going to be creating goals and goal-creating actions at an even higher rate than last season.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando Pride
Orlando Pride Acquires Spanish International Oihane Hernandez
The Pride have acquired Spanish right back Oihane Hernandez from Real Madrid Femenil, signing her to a two-year deal.
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The Orlando Pride defensive signings continue, but this time it’s a new player instead of a new contract. The club announced the signing of Spanish international defender Oihane Hernández this afternoon to a two-year contract through the 2026 season with a mutual option for 2027.
“Oihane is a technically gifted defender who excels in both defensive organization and distribution from the back,” Pride Vice President of Soccer Operations and Sporting Director Haley Carter said in a club press release. “She brings world-class experience and a championship mindset from her time with Spain’s national team. Oihane’s ability to perform in high-pressure situations and her tactical understanding and ability to read the game will be invaluable assets as we continue building a championship-caliber roster. We’re delighted to bring her to the City Beautiful.”
The 24-year-old has been a regular for the Spanish Women’s National Team and was a member of the 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup champions.
“I’m excited to join the Orlando Pride and begin this new chapter in my career,” Hernández said in the club’s release. “The club’s vision and ambition really influenced me to make the move to Orlando. “I am impressed by the professional environment and the enthusiasm of the staff, teammates, and passionate fanbase. I am ready to give everything for the badge and build on the team’s success.”
Hernández joins the Pride from Real Madrid Femenino for an undisclosed fee. The right back spent the last two seasons at Real Madrid, making 31 appearances and recorded a pair of assists. Prior to moving to the Spanish capital, she played for Athletic Club Femenino in Bilbao, representing the club from 2019 to 2023. She made 109 appearances for the club, scoring three times.
Internationally, Hernandez came up through the youth ranks with Spain, playing in the 2016 FIFA U-17 Women’s World Cup, the 2017 UEFA Women’s Under-17 Championship, and the 2018 UEFA Women’s Under-19 Championship. That led to her making her senior team debut on Sept. 2, 2022 in a World Cup qualifier against Hungary.
During the 2023 World Cup run, Hernandez played in six games for the eventual champions. She started in the round of 16 and quarterfinals before coming off the bench in the World Cup Final against England.
More recently, Hernandez played for Spain in four games of the 2024 Summer Olympics. She won a bronze medal in that tournament.
What It Means For Orlando
Hernandez comes in to be the starting right back for the Pride. It’s interesting that the signing comes on the same day that the club awarded Cori Dyke a new contract. During her 2024 rookie season, Dyke became the Pride’s starting right back, taking over when Brianna Martinez was injured and playing well in the stretch run and postseason.
This move creates more depth at a position that was already well stocked. Prior to this move, the players that would likely play right back other than Dyke were Martinez, Haley McCutcheon, and Emily Sams. However, this move allows McCutcheon to remain in the defensive midfield and Sams to remain at center back, where she won the NWSL Defender of the Year last season.
Orlando Pride
Orlando Pride Extend Contract of Defender Cori Dyke through 2027
The Pride extend a second defender through 2027 in as many days with a new deal for Cori Dyke.
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Just a day after locking down defender Emily Sams through 2027, the Orlando Pride have done the same with defender Cori Dyke. The Pride announced this morning that Dyke’s contract has been extended through the 2027 season. This extension comes on the heels of an outstanding rookie season, in which she stepped into the starting right back role down the stretch, helping Orlando win the NWSL Shield and NWSL Championship in 2024.
“Cori has consistently demonstrated her value both on and off the field since joining the Pride, and we’re thrilled to secure her future with the club,” Orlando Pride Vice President and Sporting Director Haley Carter said in a club press release. “Her tactical intelligence, versatility, and leadership qualities make her an integral part of what we’re building here in Orlando. Beyond her technical abilities, Cori embodies the culture and commitment to excellence that we strive for. This extension is a reflection of the hard work and dedication she brings to this organization every day and we’re excited to see her continue to grow and contribute to our team’s success.”
The Pride selected Dyke in the second round (No. 22 overall) in the 2024 NWSL Draft out of Penn State. She signed a one-year contract on March 11, 2024. However, she impressed enough to inked a new deal through 2025 with an option for 2026 on July 10, 2024. Dyke has impressed the club in her short time with Orlando, earning yet another new deal.
The 24-year-old native of San Jose, CA made 21 appearances (11 starts) in the Pride’s 26 NWSL regular-season games during her rookie campaign, logging 1,095 minutes. She didn’t score a goal, but she notched one assist. Dyke attempted one (off-target) shot and completed 425 of her 542 pass attempts (78%) in her first professional season. Defensively, she finished with 20 tackles, 11 interceptions, and 23 headed duels. In the Pride’s playoff run, Dyke started all three games, playing 254 minutes, helping Orlando lift its second trophy of the season.
Dyke also appeared in two of the Pride’s three matches in the NWSL x Liga MX Femenil Summer Cup last year, starting both and recording 180 minutes.
The Pride recorded a clean sheet in 12 of Dyke’s 26 appearances a year ago, including in the NWSL Championship match against Washington.
Dyke played in 108 games (all starts) for the Penn State Nittany Lions in her college career, recording 9,069 minutes, nine goals, and nine assists. She played as a central midfielder for the first four years in college, but moved to center back for her final season. Despite moving to the back line, the 2023 season was her most productive offensively, as she recorded five goals and six assists.
Dyke received several accolades during her five collegiate seasons. As a freshman, she was named to the Big Ten All-Freshman Team and Freshman Best XI First Team by Top Drawer Soccer. During her final season in the midfield, she was named to the 2022 Big Ten Women’s All-Tournament Team. Dyke moved to center back for her senior season and was named Big Ten Defender of the Year. She was also named All-Big Ten First Team and the United Soccer Coaches named her a second-team All-American and first-team All-North Region.
On the international stage, Dyke has represented the U.S. Women’s National Team from the U-14 through U-23 levels, helping the U-19 team win a CFA Tournament in 2017.
What It Means for Orlando
Carter locking up players she believes will be part of the team’s core moving forward is nothing new. Dyke was thrown into a difficult position as a rookie and helped keep some of the league’s best attacking players quiet in the second half of the 2024 season and throughout the playoffs. She provides plenty of versatility with major college experience in central midfield and at center back in addition to having shown her ability to play fullback at the professional level last season.
Any time you can extend the contract of a young, talented player, it can only be seen as a positive. Dyke’s role in 2025 remains to be seen, as the team is getting players healthy again and defender Carson Pickett is going through a full training camp under Seb Hines. The back line would be just fine if it remained as it was at the end of 2024, but there is some belief that it can be even better in 2025. Where Dyke fits in will be revealed when the season starts, but she is an excellent option whether starting or providing depth and pushing her teammates to be better.
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