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Orlando City vs. Atlanta United: Player Grades and Man of the Match

How did your favorite Lions perform in a 2-1 win on the road against Atlanta United?

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1 year ago

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City went on the road and beat Atlanta United 2-1 to capture a big win before the Leagues Cup. Atlanta United took the lead in the first half, thanks to a goal from Caleb Wiley, but Orlando immediately responded with a rare set piece goal, courtesy of Antonio Carlos’ head. Duncan McGuire then scored his eighth goal of the season to give Orlando the lead, and the defense held on for all three points. It was a physical rivalry match that featured 31 fouls and eight yellow cards.

Here’s how each Lion individually performed in Orlando’s fifth road win of the season.

Starters

GK, Pedro Gallese, 6.5 — Gallese’s pair of saves weren’t until late in the match, with one of the biggest in his Orlando career coming late in stoppage time. On a free kick from Thiago Almada in a dangerous area, Gallese initially stepped to his right and then quickly shifted course to dive in the opposite direction and parry it away. El Pulpo wasn’t able to make the save on Atlanta’s goal, but it’s hard to pin much blame on him considering the awkward bounce the shot took to hop over his leg. Antonio Carlos swept it off the line but Gallese had no chance of stopping Wiley’s follow-up shot. Gallese completed 57.9% of his 19 passes and seven of his 15 long balls were successful. He also did his part in burning time off the clock, although he was booked for wasting time while organizing his defense right before making that memorable save.

D, Rafael Santos, 5.5 — The left back was caught in no man’s land on Atlanta’s goal. He came inside to help defensively but then at the last second he left the loose ball for Cesar Araujo. That left Santos out of position and too far from Miguel Berry to stop his pass, while being totally absent from his area of responsibility, where Machop Chol put the initial shot on goal. Santos simply stopped at the top of the box and became a spectator as it all unfolded. His only cross was inaccurate, although he did complete five of his eight long balls. Regardless, he only completed 69.7% of his 33 passes and wasn’t able to get much going with his 52 touches. He had a chance to break up the buildup to Atlanta’s goal but left it for Cesar Araujo to deal with even though he had the better angle to knock it away. He was defensively solid with two tackles, two interceptions, and two clearances.

D, Robin Jansson, 6.5 — The Beefy Swede locked in following Atlanta’s goal, finishing the match with six clearances to help the Lions take all three points back to Orlando. He seemed to get better as the match wore on, using his size to head away the danger. Along with Carlos and Rodrigo Schlegel, Jansson did well to keep Giorgos Giakoumakis quiet once he came on in the second half. Jansson had 32 passes at a 78.1% success rate and completed three of his seven long balls. He was booked for dissent before going to the tunnel for halftime, so hopefully this isn’t the return of that habit from him.

D, Antonio Carlos, 7.5 (MotM) — Carlos scored his first goal of the season with a powerful header, connecting with a free kick from Pereyra to beat Brad Guzan. It was great to see the center back score off of a set piece after watching him come close all season long. His goal came just minutes after Atlanta’s goal, in which Carlos hustled to clear the ball off the line only for Wiley to put away the rebound. Carlos was indomitable on defense, putting out fires from start to finish and ending the game with six clearances, an interception, and two blocked shots. He was accurate on 90.6% of his 32 passes and connected on two of his four long balls. Carlos picked up a yellow card late in the match that gave Atlanta a free kick, but he certainly deserves Man of the Match honors for keeping Orlando alive on both ends of the pitch.

D, Kyle Smith, 4.5 — The right back was tough to watch. Smith was often in a poor position and just did not have the speed to contend with 18-year-old Caleb Wiley for most of the match. On Atlanta’s goal, Smith was far too slow to react to the rebound and Wiley had no issue at all beating him to the rebound. Smith’s four tackles were the most on the team, and he had a clearance as well. On offense, he tended to drift towards the middle of the field to provide space for Torres on the right wing, but several of his pass attempts were poor efforts easily cut out by the defender in front of him. Smith led the team with 62 touches and 42 passes, completing 76.2% of the latter. His lone cross was unsuccessful, as it was too low and easy to clear, and he was accurate on one of his three long balls. He and Wilder Cartagena combined to turn the ball over on a routine throw-in, which led to Atlanta’s only goal. He also had a shot that was off target, but a good effort from distance that just needed to dip.

MF, Wilder Cartagena, 6 — It wasn’t pretty by any means, but the Peruvian put in another decent shift in the midfield, keeping a dangerous opponent mostly quiet. A yellow card right before halftime may have prevented him from playing as physically as he did in the first half, but Cartagena was an important part of Orlando’s defensive stand and blocked a shot from Almada that could’ve spelled trouble late in the match. Cartagena also had two tackles, an interception, and 36 passes at an 83.3% success rate. However, he was partially at fault on the throw-in turnover that eventually led to Atlanta’s goal due to his soft back pass to Smith. While he didn’t have a shot, he had two key passes and was accurate on two of his four long balls. Cartagena was fouled five times and committed three fouls himself.

MF, Cesar Araujo, 6 — The midfielder was all over the pitch in this one, racing back to break up a play in the nick of time one moment and crashing the box to put a header on target the next. That header was his only shot of the match, and didn’t have much on it to trouble Guzan. Araujo’s passing wasn’t awful, but could have been a bit better considering he had 35 passes at a 74.3% success rate, and he was accurate on two of his six long balls. Araujo won the foul from Santiago Sosa that set up Orlando’s goal off the ensuing free kick. However, he was also part of the defending confusion on the Atlanta goal. He was trailing the play, but close enough that Santos pulled out of a seemingly easier challenge, leaving it for Araujo. Berry was quicker than the Uruguayan and beat Araujo to the ball, which was a key part of the sequence that led to Atlanta’s goal. Apart from that, he was defensively sound, contributing three clearances and two tackles to help Orlando secure the win on the road. Like Cartagena, he was fouled five times and did well doing the gritty things to close out the game.

MF, Ivan Angulo, 6 — Angulo’s only shot was a good strike from distance following some skilled dribbling and a one-two with Pereyra. It was a good effort but skipped just inches wide of the post. Although he didn’t end up with a goal or an assist, Angulo kept defenders on their toes and was successful on three of his four attempted dribbles. The winger completed 83.3% of his 18 passes and didn’t have any crosses. His quickness was useful as Atlanta pushed harder to score, but the Lions had a hard time heaving the ball up field for him all too much. He was booked for booting the ball after a foul was called, and was subbed out for Felipe in stoppage time.

MF, Mauricio Pereyra, 7 — The captain provided the assists on both of Orlando’s goals and led the team with three key passes. On Orlando’s first goal, Pereyra did well to put the ball in a spot where Carlos could reach it in traffic. Pereyra then slipped a great ball past Atlanta defenders after drawing attention, finding McGuire’s run for him to score the winner. The Uruguayan wasn’t perfect, completing 74.3% of his 35 passes, but was exactly what the doctor ordered to mend the offense after last week. Both of his crosses found their mark, he was accurate on two of his three long balls, and he had some deft touches and good movement to keep the offense running smoothly. His only shot of the match came within the first minute, after some nice passing between him, McGuire, and Torres. It was on target, but a heavy touch before the shot allowed Guzan to come off his line to cut down the angle and he wasn’t able to make the most of the chance. Still, it was a good outing from Pereyra, who was subbed out for fresher legs in the 73rd minute.

MF, Facundo Torres, 6.5 — Atlanta kept Torres pinned to the right wing for a majority of his time on the field, wasting little time to close down his options once he had the ball. As a result, Torres had to provide most of his service from awkward positions out wide and was successful on just one of his five attempted dribbles. Although less effective, he still did well and completed all 20 of his passes. Torres also had a pair of key passes and completed two of his three crosses. His most notable contribution was in the second half when he whipped in a venomous cross on his weaker right foot that was met by Ramiro Enrique’s diving header, which smacked the post. His only shot of the match was an attempt from outside of the box that went into the stands. Defensively, Torres applied plenty of pressure and helped out with three tackles.

F, Duncan McGuire, 7 — McGuire scored the winner with a nice finish into the bottom left corner with a defender breathing down his neck. It was one of many great runs from the rookie, as he utilized strength and elusiveness to get past Atlanta players and into open space while on the field. His goal was one of two shots in the match, the other a daring try from midfield that lacked some oomph and accuracy to punish Guzan for being off his line. In his 64 minutes of action, McGuire completed six of his nine passes and had a key pass early on to set up a solid chance for Pereyra. He received his second yellow card of the season right before being subbed off. It was another strong performance from McGuire, and a nice response following last week’s shutout.

Substitutes

F, Ramiro Enrique (65′), 6.5 — Enrique nearly made an immediate impact, diving to get his head on the end of a cross from Torres and hitting the post. It was Enrique’s only shot of the match, coming off the bench shortly after Orlando took the lead. He contributed in other ways, winning seven of his nine aerial duels despite his size. He had 15 touches and 12 passes, albeit at just a 33.3% success rate.

MF, Martin Ojeda (74′), 5.5 — Ojeda didn’t see much of the ball while on the field, ending up with only five touches and three passes, completing two. He was successful on his only long ball attempt and helped out defensively with an interception and blocked a couple of passes that could have led to something dangerous. Although he wasn’t able to get the Lions an insurance goal, his fresh legs and hustle helped Orlando hold on.

D, Dagur Dan Thorhallsson (75′) 6 — Thorhallsson came on to replace Smith as right back and had his share of difficulties against the opposition as well. But he settled in and wound up with three tackles and two clearances. He had 10 touches and completed one of his two passes. With Michael Halliday out and Smith struggling, Thorhallsson’s versatility was useful to shore up the defense.

D, Rodrigo Schlegel (75′) 6.5 — The center back came in and did his job, making two tackles and three clearances to maintain Orlando’s lead. He also got under Giakoumakis’ skin, with the Greek forward earning a yellow card for shoving Schlegel down. He had eight touches and completed his only pass. Once again, Schlegel showed the value of having a more-than-capable center back on the bench to come in and make the defense that much harder to beat.

MF, Felipe (92′) N/A — The midfielder came on for Angulo to further fortify things with the game winding down and to help waste a few seconds. However, he didn’t have any touches and wasn’t on the field long enough to warrant a grade.

That’s how I saw each player’s performance in the road victory. Many Lions did well in this one, so be sure to vote for who you think deserves the title of Man of the Match. Let us know what you think in the comments below as well.

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Orlando City

How Orlando City’s Offense Stacks Up Against What Atlanta Does Defensively

How Orlando City has performed against teams playing with three or four defenders, and how that may influence the playoff game against Atlanta United.

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8 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

The most famous quote about real estate is that “there are three things that matter in property: location, location, location.” Soccer coaches also like to think in threes, especially when it comes to points, but for a soccer coach, the three things that matter might be the rhyming triplet “formation, formation, formation,” as that is where they will have the biggest influence on every game that their team plays.

Throughout his tenure as head coach, Óscar Pareja has preferred to use a 4-2-3-1 as his formation (fbref.com’s lineup data shows that the Lions primarily played a 4-2-3-1 in 65% of their MLS matches this season, and 79% of their MLS matches during the last three seasons). The Lions have lined up in a 4-2-3-1 during each of their last 14 games, and my confidence level is strong to quite strong (can you believe Meet the Parents came out 24 years ago?) that they will do so once again on Sunday when they host Atlanta United.

Atlanta United also prefers to deploy a 4-2-3-1, but was less consistent than Orlando City this season during MLS play, as evidenced by the chart below that shows how Atlanta lined up this season:

The purpose of this image is a table to show how Atlanta United lined up in 2024 (mostly in a 4-2-3-1 but also in one of six other formations).

I am relying on the coders at Opta for their evaluation of the formation, as I do not watch a lot of Atlanta United matches (sounds terrible), but though Atlanta primarily played with four defenders in more than two-thirds of its matches, during the last two matches it played a 3-5-2, the only two matches all season in which interim coach Rob Valentino rolled out that formation. I suspect that the formation change was related partially to playing Inter Miami and trying to defend the Herons’ dynamic offense and partially due to an injury suffered by defender Brooks Lennon in the first game of that series. So, while Atlanta primarily played four in the back for most of the season, there is a good chance it will roll with what worked against Florida’s second-best MLS team when it plays Florida’s best MLS team this weekend.

Now, if you want to read more about Atlanta, then you can read our match preview, which will drop Sunday morning, but I want to look at how Orlando did against teams that play similar styles. Looking only at MLS games, the table below shows how Orlando City performed against different back line structures this season (the left side is how the Lions’ opponents lined up, the right side is how Orlando City performed against opponents in those formations):

Table embedded as an image showing Orlando City doing best in goal differential in 12 games against three-man back lines, second best against four-man back lines, and having played once against a five-man back line (a 1-1 draw).

Orlando City earned slightly more points per game — the stat that matters most — against teams that played four in the back, but the Lions had a better average goal differential when teams played three in the back. Atlanta will likely deploy one of those two formations. In both games against Orlando City this season, Sunday’s visitors went with a 4-2-3-1, but as mentioned earlier, they used three in the back in each of their last two matches, so it really could be either.

Soccer is not like baseball, where players primarily stay in the same spot throughout the game, so some of these stats have to be taken with a grain of salt, as players are not always rigidly in the same position throughout a match. A team may also primarily play with four in the back but switch to three when chasing a game, or five when trying to protect against a late goal.

That said, using the data around Orlando City’s opponents’ general formations, here are the attacking groups who played the most frequently against four defenders during the 24 MLS games where Opta coded the opponents as using a defensive group of four:

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy four defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus eight goal differential for the season.

It is a little ominous that the main starting group, shown in row one, has played 666 MLS minutes against back lines of four this season, but do I like that green goal differential of +8 in those minutes, which is a strong +1.08 per 90 minutes. I like that goal differential more than I like all the things that Cardi B, Bad Bunny, and J Balvin like on their song that is creatively named “I Like It.” Coincidentally, when people ask me what I think about that song, I say, “I like it.” I am very creative.

If we look at the lineups that Orlando City has used against back lines of three defenders then there are some pretty major differences in personnel groupings, but it must be noted that more than half of the games against teams playing three in the back came early in the season, when Ramiro Enrique was unavailable to play. Enrique, my presumed starter at striker, has played fewer than three games’ worth of minutes (265 total) against back lines of three this season, and only 28 minutes with the main starting group, which ranks 13th among all the attacking lineups for minutes played against three defenders. That group scored one goal in their 28 minutes together though, for a robust 3.21 goals-scored-per-90-minutes average.

While the team as a whole has been successful against three-man back lines, I do not expect any of the lineups shown in the table below to play more than a few minutes together this weekend, though the first row and the last row are strong groups and had a lot of success.

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy three defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus three goal differential for the season.

I am sure that all week long the Orlando City coaching staff has been going back and forth on whether it is more likely that Atlanta reverts to its most commonly used four in the back, or if the Five Stripes try for three wins in a row with three in the back. I would prefer that Atlanta plays with zero defenders and goalkeeper Brad Guzan wears a blindfold, but I think that is unlikely to be the case.

Even though Atlanta defeated Orlando City both times while in a 4-2-3-1, based on available personnel and recent results, I believe that the team will come out in a 3-5-2 in Inter&Co Stadium in the conference semifinal. Good things come in threes, and Orlando City’s best offensive production this season has been against three defenders, so I am going to be hoping that this continues, and in the third game against Atlanta the Lions grab the three points. Three’s company!

Well, it is a playoff game, so there are no actual points at stake, but you know what I meant.

Vamos Orlando!

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Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Atlanta United: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to get a victory to advance to the Eastern Conference final?

Published

10 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City continues its playoff journey against Atlanta United Sunday at Inter&Co Stadium. The Lions are coming off an emotional penalty shootout win over Charlotte FC in their best-of-three, first-round series. Likewise, Atlanta United stunned everyone by taking out Inter Miami to advance in its own best-of-three matchup. Now, the rivals meet in the Eastern Conference semifinals.

What does Orlando City need to do to get past Atlanta United to advance to the Easter Conference final?

Beat Guzan

Brad Guzan made 16 saves over Atlanta’s three matches against Inter Miami, including seven in the 3-2 win on the road in Game 3. The 40-year-old former USMNT keeper is in excellent form and is a big reason why the Five Stripes are facing Orlando City. Converting chances against Guzan will be crucial to earning a result. There have been times this season when the Lions have struggled to convert their chances. Despite that, the team has done enough offensively to get to this point. Facundo Torres, Martin Ojeda, Duncan McGuire, Ramiro Enrique, and others have contributed and will need to do so this weekend.

Cartagena is Essential

Orlando City lost twice to Atlanta United during the regular season. What is interesting, and perhaps relevant, is that Wilder Cartagena was out for both of those matches. Cartagena was shown a straight red in the match against Minnesota United prior to the first match against Atlanta way back in March. He was shown a yellow card in the match against FC Cincinnati and then served a yellow card accumulation suspension for the final match of the season against Atlanta. Fortunately for Orlando City, Cartagena will be available for the match this weekend. I’ve mentioned before the importance of Cartagena to Orlando City’s success. When he and Cesar Araujo are on the field together, the defense is simply better. Cartagena is frankly one of the better defensive midfielders in MLS. Atlanta scored five goals in the series against Miami, and Orlando will need to keep the visitors from having that kind of offensive success.

Overcome the Past

That darn international break in the middle of the playoffs is something I don’t love. More precisely, I don’t like it because Orlando City often struggles after a break. It would have been nice if Orlando City could have ridden the momentum from the penalty kick victory into the Atlanta match, but that’s not to be. Now is the time for Orlando City to break some bad habits, including turning around its historical lack of success against Atlanta, and tendency to struggle in the first match after a break. Oscar Pareja needs to have the players in the right frame of mind, and the players need to execute the plan. A full house of supporters can also make a difference. Given it’s a Sunday afternoon match, there’s no reason not to pack the house.

That is what I will be looking for Sunday afternoon. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links

Lion Links: 11/21/24

Marta’s chance to shine in NWSL Championship, NWSL and MLS award winners announced, 2025 SheBelieves Cup details, and more.

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13 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando Pride

How’s it going, Mane Landers? I’ve been spending most of this week plotting out some holiday shopping to make things a little less stressful for myself over the next few weeks. A big weekend filled with Orlando soccer awaits us, so make sure to get any errands or obligations out of the way sooner rather than later. Let’s dive into today’s links!

Spotlight Falls On Marta in NWSL Championship

There are plenty of storylines heading into Saturday’s NWSL Championship between the Orlando Pride and Washington Spirit, including Marta’s opportunity to put an exclamation point on what has been an excellent season for the Pride. Orlando has been enjoying the fruits of its labor this season after a rebuild over the past few years that’s included plenty of change in the City Beautiful. Marta has been a constant, however, enduring some difficult seasons since joining the Pride and adapting her game She’s scored in both of the Pride’s playoff games so far and has a chance to author a storybook ending on Saturday.

Ann-Katrin Berger Named NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year

NJ/NY Gotham FC goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger was named 2024 NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year, beating out the Pride’s Anna Moorhouse and Utah Royals FC’s Mandy Haught for the honor. It was Berger’s first year in the NWSL and she’s the first European player to win the award. She only conceded 16 goals across her 22 matches for Gotham this season and was a key reason behind her team’s success. I’m not too surprised that Moorhouse did not win, considering how solid the Pride’s defense was as a whole, but this won’t take anything away from a record-breaking season for her.

Wilfried Nancy Named MLS Coach of the Year

Columbus Crew Head Coach Wilfried Nancy was voted 2024 MLS Coach of the Year after a historic season in which the Crew set club records in both points and goals. The Crew also won the Leagues Cup this summer and their 2024 Concacaf Champions Cup campaign included advancing past Tigres and Monterrey en route to the final. This is Nancy’s first time being named Coach of the Year and he has been a finalist for the award every year since 2021. The Frenchman received 40.02% of the vote, winning the award over Inter Miami’s Gerardo Martino and Colorado Rapids Head Coach Chris Armas.

2025 SheBelieves Cup Details Unveiled

The 10th annual SheBelieves Cup will take place next year and the tournament will return to its usual format where each of the four teams plays each other once. The United States Women’s National Team will host Japan, Colombia, and Australia in February in what should be an exciting tournament. The U.S. will take on Colombia on Feb. 20 in Houston before facing Australia in Arizona on Feb. 23 and finishing the tournament on Feb. 26 against Japan at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. These games will also be the first domestic games of 2025 for the USWNT as it prepares to qualify for the 2027 World Cup in Brazil.

Eric Quill Named FC Dallas Head Coach

FC Dallas announced that Eric Quill will become the team’s next head coach. Quill joins Dallas after a great year with New Mexico United that included trips to the U.S. Open Cup quarterfinals and USL Championship Western Conference semifinals. It’s also a reunion of sorts for Quill, as he previously coached North Texas SC and was named USL League One Coach of the Year with the club in 2019. Dallas missed out on the playoffs this season, with Peter Luccin coaching the team on an interim basis after the firing of Nico Estevez in June.

Free Kicks

  • District of Columbia Mayor Muriel Bowser challenged Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer to a bet involving this weekend’s NWSL Championship, with embarrassing lightshows on the line.

That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a wonderful Thursday and rest of your week!

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