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Orlando City vs. Nashville SC: Final Score 1-0 as Lions Claim Game 1 on Wilder Cartagena’s Wondergoal

The Lions take Game 1 thanks to a worldie by Wilder Cartagena and a stout defense.

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1 year ago

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Alex Corrie

Midfielder Wilder Cartagena scored the goal of his life and the defense made it hold up as Orlando City defeated Nashville SC 1-0 at Exploria Stadium in Game 1 of the Lions’ first-round, best-of-three series in front of a raucous crowd of 19,744. Pedro Gallese came up big when needed but the defense did well to stifle the Nashville counterattack and the Lions officially won their first MLS playoff game (the 2020 match against New York City FC technically counts as a draw, advancing on penalties).

“I thought we had a good game, especially that first half where we we connected much more in the final third and then we created many options,” Orlando City Head Coach Oscar Pareja said after the match. “We could probably have been more precise and opened the game earlier, and they may have a couple goals too. The game is tight, especially against Nashville. They place a lot of players in their final third and it was difficult for us to break it up and it is a test for us to accomplish and just be more precise in that last part of the field so we don’t need to suffer that much.”

Pareja’s lineup was the same as what he mostly used down the final stretch of the regular season. Pedro Gallese started in net behind a back line of Rafael Santos, Robin Jansson, Rodrigo Schlegel, and Dagur Dan Thorhallsson. Cesar Araujo and Cartagena started in central midfield behind an attacking line of Ivan Angulo, Mauricio Pereyra, and Facundo Torres, with Duncan McGuire up top.

The Lions started brightly, getting an early flurry in the third minute. Torres and Angulo both saw scoring chances saved by Joe Willis. Torres cut inside in the sixth minute and curled a shot wide. Then, a minute later, Angulo passed up a shooting opportunity and laid off to Torres, who was double-teamed. The ball popped out to Cartagena outside the area but his long-range effort went just wide.

McGuire’s first chance came in the 17th minute but he was on the left and his left-footed effort was well off target.

Nashville should have scored in the 19th minute. A ball in from Jacob Shaffelburg found Sam Surridge all alone in front but the forward hit his point-blank shot over Gallese’s crossbar in a stunning miss.

Two minutes after the Nashville chance, Thorhallsson picked out McGuire in front but the redirection was partially blocked by Walker Zimmerman, allowing Willis to collect. McGuire tried a header off a menacing cross from Santos in the 26th minute but couldn’t direct it on frame.

Hany Mukhtar got a look in the 28th minute but his header was challenged well by Cartagena and he couldn’t put much power on it, allowing Gallese to pick it up.

Thorhallsson sent a curling effort over the bar from long range off a short corner play in the 30th minute as the Lions kept hunting for the opener. Five minutes later, Angulo had a shot blocked by the defense that may have found the corner had it not been deflected. Torres likewise had a shot blocked by Zimmerman in the 38th minute.

Cartagena put the Lions ahead on an absolute banger of a goal. Picking up a ball from Araujo in the middle, the Peruvian drove toward the top of the box. When nobody closed him down, Cartagena smashed a curling shot toward the right that caught the underside of the crossbar and went in, making it 1-0 in the 41st minute.

“It was a great goal. It was a beautiful goal,” Cartagena said through a club translator. “I think it was Cesar that headed it over to me and I found myself in a lot of space, and I decided to just hit it with a lot of confidence. And thankfully I hit it in a spot that was really difficult for the goalkeeper. I’ve been trying to do that the last couple of games and this one finally came off, and it was a great one.”

“I can tell you for me (Cartagena is) one of the most important players in our team defensively,” Thorhallson said. “He does all the dirty work, wins the first and the second ball, and makes other players shine. So, today he scored an amazing goal and I’m just really, really happy for him.”

Nashville nearly pulled the goal back three minutes later. Left alone from about 40 yards out, Mukhtar sent a rocket that got to Gallese before he was ready. The Peruvian international got a touch to it and knocked it off the crossbar to preserve the lead.

The Lions had the last chance on a corner kick that was knocked around the box in stoppage time. The ball deflected toward the back post, but Araujo did not expect it to get through and didn’t make a run for it, watching helplessly as it went out of play.

Orlando City finished the half with more possession (66.1%-33.9%), shots (16-3), shots on goal (3-2), corners (4-2), and passing accuracy (87.2%-76.6%).

The Lions were a little more careless with the ball in the second half, turning the ball over cheaply a few times, but the visitors couldn’t make them pay for it. Nashville came out of the locker room looking to quickly get back in the game and controlling the first 10 minutes or so.

Schlegel conceded a corner early in the half and then moments later was forced to take a booking for a tactical foul to stop Mukhtar. The foul gave Nashville a dangerous free kick opportunity but Mukhtar’s shot hit the wall and Orlando escaped the danger.

The Lions appeared poised to double the lead in the 53rd minute but Angulo’s shot was deflected at the last second and went out for a corner. There were shouts for a handball on Zimmerman but play continued without Armando Villarreal going to the monitor.

Schlegel had a chance in the 57th minute off another corner kick but he couldn’t generate enough power on his shot and Willis made a sprawling save.

Two minutes later, Thorhallsson had a chance to pass the ball centrally to an open teammate but instead spun outside and was dispossessed. Mukhtar ended up with the ball and Gallese made a big kick save on the deflected shot to keep Nashville off the board in the 59th minute.

Cartagena went down after the play and the trainers came on to check on him. He was subbed off for Junior Urso after a spectacular hour of work. After the match, Cartagena said he felt some pain but he was able to walk without it and he will get further evaluation, but he indicated that he didn’t believe it’s a serious issue.

Pereyra could have doubled the lead in the 66th minute when he got onto the ball in front of Willis, but the midfielder took an extra touch in the box and that allowed Daniel Lovitz to close him down and block the shot.

Lovitz then served up a beautiful cross in the 75th minute to substitute Teal Bunbury, but the veteran striker couldn’t direct it on target.

Orlando began looking for more opportunities to counter with Nashville chasing the game and holding a bit more possession and it nearly worked. Angulo fired a shot in the 77th minute that was blocked in front of goal by the defense. A minute later, Thorhallsson got in close and fired a shot that deflected just wide of the top right corner off a deflection.

Pareja made a triple substitution that spanned the 78th and 79th minutes, with Antonio Carlos, Ramiro Enrique, and Kyle Smith coming on for Pereyra, McGuire, and Santos. The Lions went to a five-man back line to see out the final 10 minutes.

Gallese made a big stop on a deft Surridge flick in the 80th minute but the forward was offside anyway.

Three minutes later, a frustrated-looking Mukhtar fired well over the bar from outside the area.

Orlando had one more good chance to try to put the game away in the 85th minute. Torres sent Urso down the right side of the box, but the midfielder had a tough angle to shoot from and his sliding effort was blocked by Willis.

Nashville threw more subs on, including Fafa Picault, and the visitors started trying to take advantage of the winger’s pace against Smith on Orlando’s left side. It worked in the 89th minute when Picault blew past Smith and won a corner. However, Nashville could not do anything with the set piece.

From there, the Lions saw out the final seconds and seven minutes of stoppage time. Araujo had one final shot attempt deep in stoppage time but it was well off target.

The final stats didn’t change much from the halftime numbers. Orlando City led in possession (58.4%-41.6%), although Nashville closed the gap somewhat when the Lions took a more defensive posture over the last 20 minutes. The Lions also finished with the advantage in shots (25-7), shots on target (5-3), corners (9-4), and passing accuracy (85.9%-79.8%).

“I think today we were the more aggressive team,” Cartagena said. “We pressed a lot. We were very incisive with our passing. Obviously, they’re a great team that defends really well, and it’s really difficult to to enter the area against them. But I think we’ve got players that are really unbalancing in the way that we like to play the game, and so we were able to create a lot of opportunities and then finish one.”

“Second half I thought we controlled the game,” Pareja said. “We have a couple options too, a few options that could have given us more peace just to control the game and not finish with the game that tight. But we recognize that Nashville were throwing bodies up front. And that line of five in the end just gave us energy. So, happy for this first playoff (win) but we have to get ready for the next one.”

These same two teams will get after each other again in Nashville next Tuesday, Nov. 7, at 9 p.m.

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Orlando City

How Orlando City’s Offense Stacks Up Against What Atlanta Does Defensively

How Orlando City has performed against teams playing with three or four defenders, and how that may influence the playoff game against Atlanta United.

Published

9 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

The most famous quote about real estate is that “there are three things that matter in property: location, location, location.” Soccer coaches also like to think in threes, especially when it comes to points, but for a soccer coach, the three things that matter might be the rhyming triplet “formation, formation, formation,” as that is where they will have the biggest influence on every game that their team plays.

Throughout his tenure as head coach, Óscar Pareja has preferred to use a 4-2-3-1 as his formation (fbref.com’s lineup data shows that the Lions primarily played a 4-2-3-1 in 65% of their MLS matches this season, and 79% of their MLS matches during the last three seasons). The Lions have lined up in a 4-2-3-1 during each of their last 14 games, and my confidence level is strong to quite strong (can you believe Meet the Parents came out 24 years ago?) that they will do so once again on Sunday when they host Atlanta United.

Atlanta United also prefers to deploy a 4-2-3-1, but was less consistent than Orlando City this season during MLS play, as evidenced by the chart below that shows how Atlanta lined up this season:

The purpose of this image is a table to show how Atlanta United lined up in 2024 (mostly in a 4-2-3-1 but also in one of six other formations).

I am relying on the coders at Opta for their evaluation of the formation, as I do not watch a lot of Atlanta United matches (sounds terrible), but though Atlanta primarily played with four defenders in more than two-thirds of its matches, during the last two matches it played a 3-5-2, the only two matches all season in which interim coach Rob Valentino rolled out that formation. I suspect that the formation change was related partially to playing Inter Miami and trying to defend the Herons’ dynamic offense and partially due to an injury suffered by defender Brooks Lennon in the first game of that series. So, while Atlanta primarily played four in the back for most of the season, there is a good chance it will roll with what worked against Florida’s second-best MLS team when it plays Florida’s best MLS team this weekend.

Now, if you want to read more about Atlanta, then you can read our match preview, which will drop Sunday morning, but I want to look at how Orlando did against teams that play similar styles. Looking only at MLS games, the table below shows how Orlando City performed against different back line structures this season (the left side is how the Lions’ opponents lined up, the right side is how Orlando City performed against opponents in those formations):

Table embedded as an image showing Orlando City doing best in goal differential in 12 games against three-man back lines, second best against four-man back lines, and having played once against a five-man back line (a 1-1 draw).

Orlando City earned slightly more points per game — the stat that matters most — against teams that played four in the back, but the Lions had a better average goal differential when teams played three in the back. Atlanta will likely deploy one of those two formations. In both games against Orlando City this season, Sunday’s visitors went with a 4-2-3-1, but as mentioned earlier, they used three in the back in each of their last two matches, so it really could be either.

Soccer is not like baseball, where players primarily stay in the same spot throughout the game, so some of these stats have to be taken with a grain of salt, as players are not always rigidly in the same position throughout a match. A team may also primarily play with four in the back but switch to three when chasing a game, or five when trying to protect against a late goal.

That said, using the data around Orlando City’s opponents’ general formations, here are the attacking groups who played the most frequently against four defenders during the 24 MLS games where Opta coded the opponents as using a defensive group of four:

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy four defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus eight goal differential for the season.

It is a little ominous that the main starting group, shown in row one, has played 666 MLS minutes against back lines of four this season, but do I like that green goal differential of +8 in those minutes, which is a strong +1.08 per 90 minutes. I like that goal differential more than I like all the things that Cardi B, Bad Bunny, and J Balvin like on their song that is creatively named “I Like It.” Coincidentally, when people ask me what I think about that song, I say, “I like it.” I am very creative.

If we look at the lineups that Orlando City has used against back lines of three defenders then there are some pretty major differences in personnel groupings, but it must be noted that more than half of the games against teams playing three in the back came early in the season, when Ramiro Enrique was unavailable to play. Enrique, my presumed starter at striker, has played fewer than three games’ worth of minutes (265 total) against back lines of three this season, and only 28 minutes with the main starting group, which ranks 13th among all the attacking lineups for minutes played against three defenders. That group scored one goal in their 28 minutes together though, for a robust 3.21 goals-scored-per-90-minutes average.

While the team as a whole has been successful against three-man back lines, I do not expect any of the lineups shown in the table below to play more than a few minutes together this weekend, though the first row and the last row are strong groups and had a lot of success.

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy three defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus three goal differential for the season.

I am sure that all week long the Orlando City coaching staff has been going back and forth on whether it is more likely that Atlanta reverts to its most commonly used four in the back, or if the Five Stripes try for three wins in a row with three in the back. I would prefer that Atlanta plays with zero defenders and goalkeeper Brad Guzan wears a blindfold, but I think that is unlikely to be the case.

Even though Atlanta defeated Orlando City both times while in a 4-2-3-1, based on available personnel and recent results, I believe that the team will come out in a 3-5-2 in Inter&Co Stadium in the conference semifinal. Good things come in threes, and Orlando City’s best offensive production this season has been against three defenders, so I am going to be hoping that this continues, and in the third game against Atlanta the Lions grab the three points. Three’s company!

Well, it is a playoff game, so there are no actual points at stake, but you know what I meant.

Vamos Orlando!

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Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Atlanta United: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to get a victory to advance to the Eastern Conference final?

Published

11 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City continues its playoff journey against Atlanta United Sunday at Inter&Co Stadium. The Lions are coming off an emotional penalty shootout win over Charlotte FC in their best-of-three, first-round series. Likewise, Atlanta United stunned everyone by taking out Inter Miami to advance in its own best-of-three matchup. Now, the rivals meet in the Eastern Conference semifinals.

What does Orlando City need to do to get past Atlanta United to advance to the Easter Conference final?

Beat Guzan

Brad Guzan made 16 saves over Atlanta’s three matches against Inter Miami, including seven in the 3-2 win on the road in Game 3. The 40-year-old former USMNT keeper is in excellent form and is a big reason why the Five Stripes are facing Orlando City. Converting chances against Guzan will be crucial to earning a result. There have been times this season when the Lions have struggled to convert their chances. Despite that, the team has done enough offensively to get to this point. Facundo Torres, Martin Ojeda, Duncan McGuire, Ramiro Enrique, and others have contributed and will need to do so this weekend.

Cartagena is Essential

Orlando City lost twice to Atlanta United during the regular season. What is interesting, and perhaps relevant, is that Wilder Cartagena was out for both of those matches. Cartagena was shown a straight red in the match against Minnesota United prior to the first match against Atlanta way back in March. He was shown a yellow card in the match against FC Cincinnati and then served a yellow card accumulation suspension for the final match of the season against Atlanta. Fortunately for Orlando City, Cartagena will be available for the match this weekend. I’ve mentioned before the importance of Cartagena to Orlando City’s success. When he and Cesar Araujo are on the field together, the defense is simply better. Cartagena is frankly one of the better defensive midfielders in MLS. Atlanta scored five goals in the series against Miami, and Orlando will need to keep the visitors from having that kind of offensive success.

Overcome the Past

That darn international break in the middle of the playoffs is something I don’t love. More precisely, I don’t like it because Orlando City often struggles after a break. It would have been nice if Orlando City could have ridden the momentum from the penalty kick victory into the Atlanta match, but that’s not to be. Now is the time for Orlando City to break some bad habits, including turning around its historical lack of success against Atlanta, and tendency to struggle in the first match after a break. Oscar Pareja needs to have the players in the right frame of mind, and the players need to execute the plan. A full house of supporters can also make a difference. Given it’s a Sunday afternoon match, there’s no reason not to pack the house.

That is what I will be looking for Sunday afternoon. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links

Lion Links: 11/21/24

Marta’s chance to shine in NWSL Championship, NWSL and MLS award winners announced, 2025 SheBelieves Cup details, and more.

Published

15 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando Pride

How’s it going, Mane Landers? I’ve been spending most of this week plotting out some holiday shopping to make things a little less stressful for myself over the next few weeks. A big weekend filled with Orlando soccer awaits us, so make sure to get any errands or obligations out of the way sooner rather than later. Let’s dive into today’s links!

Spotlight Falls On Marta in NWSL Championship

There are plenty of storylines heading into Saturday’s NWSL Championship between the Orlando Pride and Washington Spirit, including Marta’s opportunity to put an exclamation point on what has been an excellent season for the Pride. Orlando has been enjoying the fruits of its labor this season after a rebuild over the past few years that’s included plenty of change in the City Beautiful. Marta has been a constant, however, enduring some difficult seasons since joining the Pride and adapting her game She’s scored in both of the Pride’s playoff games so far and has a chance to author a storybook ending on Saturday.

Ann-Katrin Berger Named NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year

NJ/NY Gotham FC goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger was named 2024 NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year, beating out the Pride’s Anna Moorhouse and Utah Royals FC’s Mandy Haught for the honor. It was Berger’s first year in the NWSL and she’s the first European player to win the award. She only conceded 16 goals across her 22 matches for Gotham this season and was a key reason behind her team’s success. I’m not too surprised that Moorhouse did not win, considering how solid the Pride’s defense was as a whole, but this won’t take anything away from a record-breaking season for her.

Wilfried Nancy Named MLS Coach of the Year

Columbus Crew Head Coach Wilfried Nancy was voted 2024 MLS Coach of the Year after a historic season in which the Crew set club records in both points and goals. The Crew also won the Leagues Cup this summer and their 2024 Concacaf Champions Cup campaign included advancing past Tigres and Monterrey en route to the final. This is Nancy’s first time being named Coach of the Year and he has been a finalist for the award every year since 2021. The Frenchman received 40.02% of the vote, winning the award over Inter Miami’s Gerardo Martino and Colorado Rapids Head Coach Chris Armas.

2025 SheBelieves Cup Details Unveiled

The 10th annual SheBelieves Cup will take place next year and the tournament will return to its usual format where each of the four teams plays each other once. The United States Women’s National Team will host Japan, Colombia, and Australia in February in what should be an exciting tournament. The U.S. will take on Colombia on Feb. 20 in Houston before facing Australia in Arizona on Feb. 23 and finishing the tournament on Feb. 26 against Japan at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. These games will also be the first domestic games of 2025 for the USWNT as it prepares to qualify for the 2027 World Cup in Brazil.

Eric Quill Named FC Dallas Head Coach

FC Dallas announced that Eric Quill will become the team’s next head coach. Quill joins Dallas after a great year with New Mexico United that included trips to the U.S. Open Cup quarterfinals and USL Championship Western Conference semifinals. It’s also a reunion of sorts for Quill, as he previously coached North Texas SC and was named USL League One Coach of the Year with the club in 2019. Dallas missed out on the playoffs this season, with Peter Luccin coaching the team on an interim basis after the firing of Nico Estevez in June.

Free Kicks

  • District of Columbia Mayor Muriel Bowser challenged Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer to a bet involving this weekend’s NWSL Championship, with embarrassing lightshows on the line.

That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a wonderful Thursday and rest of your week!

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