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Orlando City vs. Minnesota United FC: Player Grades and Man of the Match

How did your favorite Lions perform in Orlando City’s 3-2 loss to Minnesota United FC?

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9 months ago

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City suffered its second consecutive loss in MLS play with a 3-2 home defeat to Minnesota United FC Saturday night. It was a night of blown chances with the Lions having multiple opportunities around the six-yard box. However, they were unable to convert the opportunities, enabling the visitors to grab a late winner and hand City its first home regular-season loss since April 22, 2023.

Let’s take a look at how the individual Lions performed in this frustrating performance.

Starters

GK, Pedro Gallese, 4.5 — The Lions’ number one got off to an inauspicious start when, in the fourth minute, he took too long to clear a Rafael Santos back pass. The clearance was blocked by Teemu Pukki, who put the ball in to even the game at 1-1. He gave up another bad goal in the 38th minute, getting beaten to his near post by Pukki from outside of the box. The goalkeeper saved two of the five shots he faced on the night and completed 66.7% of his 18 passes, including four of 10 long passes. Overall, it was a poor night from a usually dependable goalkeeper.

D, Rafael Santos, 6 — Santos was back at his starting left back position in this game. He completed 70.6% of his 51 passes, two of which were key passes, and one of his seven crosses. His 72 touches were second-most on the team, one short of Robin Jansson, and he recorded a tackle and clearance defensively. His biggest contribution came in the first minute when he intercepted a Minnesota pass, made a good run into the attacking third, and played Duncan McGuire through for the earliest goal in Orlando City history.

D, Robin Jansson, 6 — Jansson was active in this game, touching the ball a team-leading 73 times. He recorded an interception, blocked shot, and three clearances, all team-leading stats. Going forward, the center back completed 79% of his 62 passes and one of his seven long balls. Additionally, he had one successful dribble and took one off-target shot. He was beaten in the air on the late goal kick that resulted in Minnesota’s game-winning goal.

D, Rodrigo Schlegel, 5.5 — Schlegel’s 65 touches were fourth-most on the team and, like Jansson, he was active on defense. The center back recorded a team-high four tackles and two clearances. He completed 89.8% of his 49 passes, including a key pass, one of his four long balls, and took an off-target shot. Unfortunately, with Jansson having gone forward to try to win the ball in the air, Schlegel was left in a bad spot, and Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi beat him to a flick-on from a goal kick, enabling the opponent to play Bongokuhle Hlongwane through for the late winning goal. He was also beaten by Hlongwane a few minutes earlier, trying to see a ball over the end line, but the Minnesota attacker was able to keep it in, take control, and get a scoring opportunity. Those defensive errors knock his grade down a bit.

D, Dagur Dan Thorhallsson, 6 — The right back was less active than his left-sided counterpart, recording 45 touches. He completed 75% of his 24 passes with one key pass and one of his four long balls. His key pass should have provided Felipe with an easy goal, but the midfielder couldn’t make good enough contact with the cross. Defensively, Thorhallsson recorded one tackle before being replaced by Mikey Halliday in the 55th minute.

MF, Cesar Araujo, 5.5 — The defensive midfielder’s night was cut short by injury, but he had 13 touches and completed 88.9% of his nine passes, including his only long ball attempt. The most memorable moment of his game came in the 33rd minute when Martin Ojeda’s free kick went beyond the outstretched arm of Minnesota goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair and found Araujo. Unfortunately, the ball hit off of him, went straight down, and then sailed over the crossbar, blowing a golden opportunity to give the Lions their second lead of the night. The ensuing goal kick resulted in a collision that injured Araujo, forcing him to be replaced by Wilder Cartagena.

MF, Felipe, 5.5 — Similar to Araujo, Felipe’s night will be remembered for a squandered opportunity to score. Two minutes into first-half stoppage time, a Thorhallsson pass into the box found Felipe inside the six and nobody between him and goal. It seemed like an impossible miss, but the midfielder found a way to miss the target high and wide. Apart from that disastrous play, Felipe completed 87.5% of his 24 passes and one of his two long balls. He also had one tackle in addition to his one painfully off-target shot. In an attacking change, the defensive midfielder was replaced at halftime by Nico Lodeiro.

MF, Ivan Angulo, 6 — Angulo quietly had a strong night for the Lions. He only touched the ball 28 times, but completed 84.6% of his 13 passes, including one key pass, and his only cross. His lone shot was on target and he had a successful dribble. The attacking midfielder also helped out defensively, winning two tackles, before being replaced by Luis Muriel in the 54th minute.

MF, Martin Ojeda, 7 (MotM) — Ojeda had an excellent game, recording 66 touches and an assist. He completed 84.2% of his 38 passes, including three key passes, two of his 10 crosses, and all five of his long balls. He put one of his three shots on target — although it was right at the goalkeeper from just around the penalty spot — assisted Ducnan McGuire’s second goal with a nice play to win the ball in the midfield, and should’ve had a second assist on Araujo’s miss. The attacking midfielder also had a strong defensive night, recording two tackles, an interception, and a clearance.

MF, Ramiro Enrique, 5.5 — Enrique got the start with Facundo Torres out due to a shoulder injury suffered against Tigres in the Champions Cup last week. The attacker had 42 touches in 90 minutes and completed 78.6% of his 28 passes but neither of his two crosses. His one shot was off target and he added two clearances defensively.

F, Duncan McGuire, 6.5 — McGuire was the star of the night with a brace. He scored the earliest goal in Orlando City history in the first minute and equalized with a long-distance strike in the 83rd minute.  He completed 82.1% of his 28 passes, including one key pass, but didn’t complete his only cross. Three of his four shots were on target, but I knocked him down from Man of the Match because of his miss in the 64th minute. Muriel sent a hard ball across that found McGuire at the top of the six yard box. It was an easy tap-in attempt, but the striker messed it up, sending it just wide. Strikers have to convert those easy chances, which McGuire obviously knew as he put his head in his hands after the miss. He did make up for it with his second goal and was replaced by Kyle Smith four minutes later.

Substitutes

MF, Wilder Cartagena (41’), 5.5 — Cartagena came on in the 41st minute for Araujo and had arguably his best game of the young season. The defensive midfielder completed 84.9% of his 33 passes, including three key passes, and three of his five long balls. Both of his shots were off target, but he recorded two tackles and a clearance in 49 minutes. His score is a bit lower than it would be had he not foolishly picked up an unnecessary red card after the final whistle after coming together with Joseph Rosales of Minnesota, who was also shown a red card.

MF, Nico Lodeiro (46’), 6 — Lodeiro came on for Felipe at halftime in an attacking change. He completed 75% of his 36 passes, including one key pass, one of his three crosses, and three of his five long balls. One of the midfielder’s three shots were on target and he had a defensive clearance.

F, Luis Muriel (54’), 6 — Muriel came on in the 54th minute for Angulo and made an impact on the game. Orlando City’s newest Designated Player completed nine of his 10 passes, including two key passes, and his lone cross. He should’ve also had an assist when McGuire failed to convert on a golden opportunity in front of goal. He missed the target on his only shot (on a free kick attempt), but it was an impactful performance by the Colombian.

D, Mikey Halliday (55’), 5.5 — The Homegrown product came on in the 55th minute for Thorhallsson and had a team-high three tackles. Going forward, he completed 77.8% of his 18 passes, but his biggest contribution was a negative play. He got caught flat-footed in second-half stoppage time, enabling Hlongwane to get behind him and score the winning goal.

D, Kyle Smith (87’), N/A — Smith was a late substitution, replacing McGuire and sliding into the central midfield, pushing Lodeiro into the attacking midfield line of Pareja’s 4-2-3-1. He had 15 touches in the final minutes and completed nine of his 10 passes, including his only long ball attempt. Defensively, he recorded one tackle.

This is how I saw the performances in Orlando City’s devastating 3-2 loss to Minnesota United. I would’ve given McGuire Man of the Match had he scored the second-half sitter and the club’s first hat trick since 2015, but gave it to Ojeda for his impact on the game. Let us know how you saw the individual performances and who you think was the Man of the Match.

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Orlando City

How Orlando City’s Offense Stacks Up Against What Atlanta Does Defensively

How Orlando City has performed against teams playing with three or four defenders, and how that may influence the playoff game against Atlanta United.

Published

12 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

The most famous quote about real estate is that “there are three things that matter in property: location, location, location.” Soccer coaches also like to think in threes, especially when it comes to points, but for a soccer coach, the three things that matter might be the rhyming triplet “formation, formation, formation,” as that is where they will have the biggest influence on every game that their team plays.

Throughout his tenure as head coach, Óscar Pareja has preferred to use a 4-2-3-1 as his formation (fbref.com’s lineup data shows that the Lions primarily played a 4-2-3-1 in 65% of their MLS matches this season, and 79% of their MLS matches during the last three seasons). The Lions have lined up in a 4-2-3-1 during each of their last 14 games, and my confidence level is strong to quite strong (can you believe Meet the Parents came out 24 years ago?) that they will do so once again on Sunday when they host Atlanta United.

Atlanta United also prefers to deploy a 4-2-3-1, but was less consistent than Orlando City this season during MLS play, as evidenced by the chart below that shows how Atlanta lined up this season:

The purpose of this image is a table to show how Atlanta United lined up in 2024 (mostly in a 4-2-3-1 but also in one of six other formations).

I am relying on the coders at Opta for their evaluation of the formation, as I do not watch a lot of Atlanta United matches (sounds terrible), but though Atlanta primarily played with four defenders in more than two-thirds of its matches, during the last two matches it played a 3-5-2, the only two matches all season in which interim coach Rob Valentino rolled out that formation. I suspect that the formation change was related partially to playing Inter Miami and trying to defend the Herons’ dynamic offense and partially due to an injury suffered by defender Brooks Lennon in the first game of that series. So, while Atlanta primarily played four in the back for most of the season, there is a good chance it will roll with what worked against Florida’s second-best MLS team when it plays Florida’s best MLS team this weekend.

Now, if you want to read more about Atlanta, then you can read our match preview, which will drop Sunday morning, but I want to look at how Orlando did against teams that play similar styles. Looking only at MLS games, the table below shows how Orlando City performed against different back line structures this season (the left side is how the Lions’ opponents lined up, the right side is how Orlando City performed against opponents in those formations):

Table embedded as an image showing Orlando City doing best in goal differential in 12 games against three-man back lines, second best against four-man back lines, and having played once against a five-man back line (a 1-1 draw).

Orlando City earned slightly more points per game — the stat that matters most — against teams that played four in the back, but the Lions had a better average goal differential when teams played three in the back. Atlanta will likely deploy one of those two formations. In both games against Orlando City this season, Sunday’s visitors went with a 4-2-3-1, but as mentioned earlier, they used three in the back in each of their last two matches, so it really could be either.

Soccer is not like baseball, where players primarily stay in the same spot throughout the game, so some of these stats have to be taken with a grain of salt, as players are not always rigidly in the same position throughout a match. A team may also primarily play with four in the back but switch to three when chasing a game, or five when trying to protect against a late goal.

That said, using the data around Orlando City’s opponents’ general formations, here are the attacking groups who played the most frequently against four defenders during the 24 MLS games where Opta coded the opponents as using a defensive group of four:

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy four defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus eight goal differential for the season.

It is a little ominous that the main starting group, shown in row one, has played 666 MLS minutes against back lines of four this season, but do I like that green goal differential of +8 in those minutes, which is a strong +1.08 per 90 minutes. I like that goal differential more than I like all the things that Cardi B, Bad Bunny, and J Balvin like on their song that is creatively named “I Like It.” Coincidentally, when people ask me what I think about that song, I say, “I like it.” I am very creative.

If we look at the lineups that Orlando City has used against back lines of three defenders then there are some pretty major differences in personnel groupings, but it must be noted that more than half of the games against teams playing three in the back came early in the season, when Ramiro Enrique was unavailable to play. Enrique, my presumed starter at striker, has played fewer than three games’ worth of minutes (265 total) against back lines of three this season, and only 28 minutes with the main starting group, which ranks 13th among all the attacking lineups for minutes played against three defenders. That group scored one goal in their 28 minutes together though, for a robust 3.21 goals-scored-per-90-minutes average.

While the team as a whole has been successful against three-man back lines, I do not expect any of the lineups shown in the table below to play more than a few minutes together this weekend, though the first row and the last row are strong groups and had a lot of success.

Table embedded as an image showing the most frequently used lineups against teams who deploy three defenders. The most frequently used attacking group has a plus three goal differential for the season.

I am sure that all week long the Orlando City coaching staff has been going back and forth on whether it is more likely that Atlanta reverts to its most commonly used four in the back, or if the Five Stripes try for three wins in a row with three in the back. I would prefer that Atlanta plays with zero defenders and goalkeeper Brad Guzan wears a blindfold, but I think that is unlikely to be the case.

Even though Atlanta defeated Orlando City both times while in a 4-2-3-1, based on available personnel and recent results, I believe that the team will come out in a 3-5-2 in Inter&Co Stadium in the conference semifinal. Good things come in threes, and Orlando City’s best offensive production this season has been against three defenders, so I am going to be hoping that this continues, and in the third game against Atlanta the Lions grab the three points. Three’s company!

Well, it is a playoff game, so there are no actual points at stake, but you know what I meant.

Vamos Orlando!

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Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Atlanta United: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to get a victory to advance to the Eastern Conference final?

Published

14 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City continues its playoff journey against Atlanta United Sunday at Inter&Co Stadium. The Lions are coming off an emotional penalty shootout win over Charlotte FC in their best-of-three, first-round series. Likewise, Atlanta United stunned everyone by taking out Inter Miami to advance in its own best-of-three matchup. Now, the rivals meet in the Eastern Conference semifinals.

What does Orlando City need to do to get past Atlanta United to advance to the Easter Conference final?

Beat Guzan

Brad Guzan made 16 saves over Atlanta’s three matches against Inter Miami, including seven in the 3-2 win on the road in Game 3. The 40-year-old former USMNT keeper is in excellent form and is a big reason why the Five Stripes are facing Orlando City. Converting chances against Guzan will be crucial to earning a result. There have been times this season when the Lions have struggled to convert their chances. Despite that, the team has done enough offensively to get to this point. Facundo Torres, Martin Ojeda, Duncan McGuire, Ramiro Enrique, and others have contributed and will need to do so this weekend.

Cartagena is Essential

Orlando City lost twice to Atlanta United during the regular season. What is interesting, and perhaps relevant, is that Wilder Cartagena was out for both of those matches. Cartagena was shown a straight red in the match against Minnesota United prior to the first match against Atlanta way back in March. He was shown a yellow card in the match against FC Cincinnati and then served a yellow card accumulation suspension for the final match of the season against Atlanta. Fortunately for Orlando City, Cartagena will be available for the match this weekend. I’ve mentioned before the importance of Cartagena to Orlando City’s success. When he and Cesar Araujo are on the field together, the defense is simply better. Cartagena is frankly one of the better defensive midfielders in MLS. Atlanta scored five goals in the series against Miami, and Orlando will need to keep the visitors from having that kind of offensive success.

Overcome the Past

That darn international break in the middle of the playoffs is something I don’t love. More precisely, I don’t like it because Orlando City often struggles after a break. It would have been nice if Orlando City could have ridden the momentum from the penalty kick victory into the Atlanta match, but that’s not to be. Now is the time for Orlando City to break some bad habits, including turning around its historical lack of success against Atlanta, and tendency to struggle in the first match after a break. Oscar Pareja needs to have the players in the right frame of mind, and the players need to execute the plan. A full house of supporters can also make a difference. Given it’s a Sunday afternoon match, there’s no reason not to pack the house.

That is what I will be looking for Sunday afternoon. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links

Lion Links: 11/21/24

Marta’s chance to shine in NWSL Championship, NWSL and MLS award winners announced, 2025 SheBelieves Cup details, and more.

Published

17 hours ago

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November 21, 2024

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Image courtesy of Orlando Pride

How’s it going, Mane Landers? I’ve been spending most of this week plotting out some holiday shopping to make things a little less stressful for myself over the next few weeks. A big weekend filled with Orlando soccer awaits us, so make sure to get any errands or obligations out of the way sooner rather than later. Let’s dive into today’s links!

Spotlight Falls On Marta in NWSL Championship

There are plenty of storylines heading into Saturday’s NWSL Championship between the Orlando Pride and Washington Spirit, including Marta’s opportunity to put an exclamation point on what has been an excellent season for the Pride. Orlando has been enjoying the fruits of its labor this season after a rebuild over the past few years that’s included plenty of change in the City Beautiful. Marta has been a constant, however, enduring some difficult seasons since joining the Pride and adapting her game She’s scored in both of the Pride’s playoff games so far and has a chance to author a storybook ending on Saturday.

Ann-Katrin Berger Named NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year

NJ/NY Gotham FC goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger was named 2024 NWSL Goalkeeper of the Year, beating out the Pride’s Anna Moorhouse and Utah Royals FC’s Mandy Haught for the honor. It was Berger’s first year in the NWSL and she’s the first European player to win the award. She only conceded 16 goals across her 22 matches for Gotham this season and was a key reason behind her team’s success. I’m not too surprised that Moorhouse did not win, considering how solid the Pride’s defense was as a whole, but this won’t take anything away from a record-breaking season for her.

Wilfried Nancy Named MLS Coach of the Year

Columbus Crew Head Coach Wilfried Nancy was voted 2024 MLS Coach of the Year after a historic season in which the Crew set club records in both points and goals. The Crew also won the Leagues Cup this summer and their 2024 Concacaf Champions Cup campaign included advancing past Tigres and Monterrey en route to the final. This is Nancy’s first time being named Coach of the Year and he has been a finalist for the award every year since 2021. The Frenchman received 40.02% of the vote, winning the award over Inter Miami’s Gerardo Martino and Colorado Rapids Head Coach Chris Armas.

2025 SheBelieves Cup Details Unveiled

The 10th annual SheBelieves Cup will take place next year and the tournament will return to its usual format where each of the four teams plays each other once. The United States Women’s National Team will host Japan, Colombia, and Australia in February in what should be an exciting tournament. The U.S. will take on Colombia on Feb. 20 in Houston before facing Australia in Arizona on Feb. 23 and finishing the tournament on Feb. 26 against Japan at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. These games will also be the first domestic games of 2025 for the USWNT as it prepares to qualify for the 2027 World Cup in Brazil.

Eric Quill Named FC Dallas Head Coach

FC Dallas announced that Eric Quill will become the team’s next head coach. Quill joins Dallas after a great year with New Mexico United that included trips to the U.S. Open Cup quarterfinals and USL Championship Western Conference semifinals. It’s also a reunion of sorts for Quill, as he previously coached North Texas SC and was named USL League One Coach of the Year with the club in 2019. Dallas missed out on the playoffs this season, with Peter Luccin coaching the team on an interim basis after the firing of Nico Estevez in June.

Free Kicks

  • District of Columbia Mayor Muriel Bowser challenged Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer to a bet involving this weekend’s NWSL Championship, with embarrassing lightshows on the line.

That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a wonderful Thursday and rest of your week!

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