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Orlando City Players Evaluated by the “Goals Added” Metric

Let’s look at the Lions through the lens of a new (to me, anyway) soccer statistical metric.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City / Jeremy Reper

Colonel Kilgore in Apocalypse Now said that he loved the smell of napalm in the morning, and while I, thankfully, have no idea what that smells like, I do know a good quote when I hear one, and that line is widely considered one of the most memorable lines in movie history. It is also one of the most quoted, with various replacements for “napalm” being inserted as a turn of phrase. With that in mind, let me say that I love the smell of a brand new soccer dataset in the morning.

It’s not quite as catchy, but my love for soccer data at the very least approaches Kilgore’s love for napalm.

I reference a brand new soccer dataset because I just discovered a new one, with several new metrics and one of the best premises in all of soccer analytics. It is publicly available on americansocceranalysis.com and is updated frequently, and you can check it out yourself by clicking on this link.

The premise of this dataset (when I said new I really meant new to me, it has been around for a while but I just discovered it recently) is as follows, and while I highly recommend reading their more detailed explanation of goals added, the basic premise is this:

We wanted to derive a metric that values every action in units of goals, the currency of soccer. So many actions go unnoticed and/or underappreciated in traditional soccer statistics. Let’s measure them all, we said. And that’s what we did—well, for on-ball actions anyway.

Without copying even more from their explanatory articles on americansocceranalysis.com, the idea is that every action in a game creates the likelihood of a goal, and by summing up all of those actions, you can see which players contributed the most towards scoring goals and preventing goals. Most soccer metrics are heavily weighted towards offensive players, but the key one we will look at today, goals added (g+), gives credit to every play and not just the final plays that led to a goal.

For example, Martín Ojeda is having a monster season for Orlando City, and has had at least one goal contribution in his last 11 consecutive MLS games. Many of those goals or assists came from possessions that started several touches before he even received the ball, so while in the world of goal contributions (and also everyone’s favorite stats — expected goals and expected assists) the credit only goes to the assister and the scorer, in the world of goals added every player involved in the possession earned credit towards adding a goal.

Defenders, whose contributions to the beginning of a goal-scoring possession are often long forgotten by the final few plays, earn credit for the defensive stop that put the ball back into Orlando City’s possession and also for making forward passes that got the play started. The goals added metric sums up all of the actions that happen in a game and looks at whether they were positive or negative. Sometimes even a play that seems positive, like a completed pass from a left back to a center back, earns a negative value, since the pass went backwards and actually increased the opposition’s likelihood of scoring. Those actions fall into the following categories:

  • Shooting: Shots
  • Receiving: Receptions
  • Passing: Passes
  • Dribbling: Carries, Take-ons, Miscontrols, Dispossessions
  • Interrupting: Tackles, Interceptions, Blocks, Clearances, Recoveries, Contested Headers
  • Fouling: Fouls Committed, Fouls Received

Note that actual goals scored are not included in this metric. It is not that goals are not important — obviously they are — but this metric is about all the plays throughout the game that either prepare a team to score a goal or prevent the opposition from scoring. A completed pass into the center of the opposition’s box is much more valuable than a completed pass in the defensive third of the field, so it earns more g+ value for the passer and receiver. A tackle in front of a team’s own net is more valuable than a tackle at midfield due to the threat of the other team scoring, so those two tackles earn different g+ values as well. The research team looked at thousands of games to determine these assigned values, and in looking at the players who are at the top of the list for this season and previous seasons, their calculations definitely pass the smell test.

Their calculations also pass another test, a critical one that has been used for years when it comes to soccer data and assessing value. That test is known as the Messi Test, which is to say that for whatever metric you create, you had better hope that Lionel Messi comes out at or near the top, because even as much we at The Mane Land like to joke about Inter Miami and Messi, the man has been spectacular since he came to MLS and is head and shoulders better than everyone else in the league.

Even though he has played 300 fewer minutes than every other field player in the list below, Messi is still crushing everyone.

PlayerTeamGoals Added (g+)
Lionel MessiMiami13.36
Sam SurridgeNashville10.37
Dénis BouangaLAFC10.02
Hugo CuypersChicago9.86
Rafael NavarroColorado9.48
Zack SteffenColorado9.33
Hany MukhtarNashville9.05
Prince OwusuMontreal8.28
Carles GilNew England8.25
Gabriel PecLA Galaxy8.19

Now, I know you are screaming “where’s Ojeda?” just like D’Angelo Barksdale was screaming “where’s Wallace?” at Stringer Bell in HBO’s The Wire. A timely reference by me right there — you’re welcome.

I was surprised not to see Ojeda in the top 10, but he is not far behind, sitting in 13th place through the games from this past weekend. The main culprit is that he does not get fouled as often and in as dangerous locations as other players, and he is not as much of a dribbler either, as he has only the sixth-most attempted take-ons and the fourth-most progressive carries on Orlando City. Ranking 13th out of 788 MLS players still puts him in the top 2% of all players, but I thought he would be higher.

I am sure Ojeda would rather contribute to real goals by scoring or assisting than to rack up value in a derived statistic like g+, but it goes to show that the creators of this metric took pains to be fair to all players in how they contributed to scoring and preventing goals, even if they are on a, shall we say, not-so-good team like Montreal. They mention in the explanation that I linked to earlier that actual goals scored are more random than most people think, which is why they excluded goals from the g+ formula.

As for looking at values, let’s take a look at Orlando City’s primary players and how they’ve performed this year.

PlayerPositionPosition RankOverall RankGoals Added (g+)
Martín OjedaAM5137.67
Marco PašalićW4177.13
Alex FreemanFB2236.88
Luis MurielST11336.33
Iván AnguloW17824.68
David BrekaloFB121034.33
Eduard AtuestaCM111223.99
Robin JanssonCB171243.98
César AraújoCM171473.62
Rodrigo SchlegelCB281623.33
Pedro GalleseGK244820.98

I love the position rank feature, because unlike many other sites I think americansocceranalysis.com accurately depicts how soccer is played, breaking players out into eight distinct positions. If you don’t immediately recognize the abbreviations above, in this model, they stand for: goalkeeper (GK), center back (CB), fullback (FB), defensive midfielder (DM), center midfielder (CM), winger (W), attacking midfielder (AM) and striker (ST). The distinction between DM and CM is difficult. Araújo is more of a DM than a CM, but they classified him as a CM, so that is how he is listed. Had he been a DM, he would have ranked ninth, which feels more fair to me with how and where he plays.

How dare they not perfectly allocate the positions of more than 700 MLS players on 30 different teams on a free site! The nerve.

For those of you wondering about Kyle Smith, he is listed as playing AC, for Accountant. Just kidding, they listed him as a FB, which they also did for Dagur Dan Thórhallsson. Feels more fair for Thórhallsson than Smith, but I am sure every team has players who could slot into multiple spots, and again, I am not going to complain about something that is provided to everyone for free.

Going back to Orlando City’s primary players, it is testament to how well the team has played offensively and defensively that nine of the Lions’ 11 most frequently played players are in the top 20 at their position. Most teams start two fullbacks, two center backs and two wingers, meaning that across 30 teams there are 60 players at those three positions, and Orlando City has two in the top 12 at fullback, two in the top 17 at winger, and two in the top 28 at center back.

For the individual positions, the Lions feature players in fifth, 11th (two), 17th (“should” be ninth though), and the lowest is Gallese in 24th, which feels a bit low for El Pulpo, but the same data inputs apply to all goalkeepers, so there is no bias in their rankings.

Orlando City has four players in the overall top 33, and every other team either has zero, one, or two. This is another reason why Ojeda is not even higher on the individual rankings, as he is flanked by three elite playmakers, and they share in contributing to the goals — not just at the end with the actual goal contribution, but also in the buildup play as well.

Iván Angulo also deserves a special mention here, because he often draws the ire or frustration from many fans and, if we are being honest (we are), from The Mane Land’s staff at times due to some offensive shortcomings, but g+ puts him in the top third of MLS wingers this season. And he was 15th in 2024 and 13th in 2023. Maybe Óscar Pareja deserves a little more credit than we usually give him for seeing a winning all-around player in Angulo, who is on track for his third consecutive season of at least five goals added. Only three Lions have ever had three consecutive seasons of at least five goals added: Dom Dwyer between 2017-2019 (in 2017 he started with Sporting Kansas City before being traded to Orlando), Facundo Torres between 2022-2024, and Jansson, who still has a chance to add to his current streak of four straight seasons, which started back in 2021.

I really like g+ as an all-encompassing metric, and while it has some flaws (specifically that it only captures on-ball actions, and not anything that happens off the ball), it does better than anything I’ve seen at capturing the entire set of plays that lead to positive or negative outcomes. I really like that defenders and goalkeepers have opportunities to score high, as the plays they make to stop the opposition and initiate offensive attacks are just as important as the plays made at the end of offensive possessions. I think of goals added as a statistic about increasing goal differential, which is critical, because in order to win a game, a team needs a differential of at least one.

And when that winning team is Orlando City, I love the smell of that in the morning, afternoon, and evening.

Orlando City

Flashback Friday: June 3, 2023 vs. New York Red Bulls

Let’s rewind to an eventful match on the road up in New Jersey that took place just over three years ago.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

With Orlando City on break for the foreseeable future, it falls to me to keep bringing you fond memories from OCSC games of years gone by. We won’t be going quite as deep into the vault as we did last week, when we rewound to nine years ago and relived a wet and weird win over D.C. United. Today, we’ll go a little over three years into the past to June 3, 2023, when the Lions hit the road to take on the New York Red Bulls.

As Orlando prepared to face the Red Bulls after opening the season against them at home, things were going pretty well for the Lions. They were riding a four-game unbeaten streak that included some solid results on the road and sought to continue that trend up in Harrison, NJ.

To do that, then-coach Oscar Pareja sent out the team in his traditional 4-2-3-1. Pedro Gallese was in net, while Kyle Smith, Antonio Carlos, Robin Jansson, and Rafael Santos manned the back line. Cesar Araujo and Wilder Cartagena sat in deep midfield as the double pivots, Ivan Angulo, Mauricio Pereyra, and Facundo Torres were the attacking midfielders, and Ercan Kara was deployed as the tip of the proverbial spear.

By and large, the first half wasn’t the most engaging 45 minutes of soccer that Orlando City has ever graced us with. The first 15 minutes saw a lot of fouls and fairly sloppy play, with the game lacking any real rhythm but featuring plenty of stops, starts, and turnovers. That all changed in the 18th minute when Orlando broke the deadlock through an unlikely source. The Lions managed to break New York’s press, and Cartagena took advantage of an out-of-position John Tolkin to play Angulo behind the defense with a great ball. The Colombian carried the ball into the box, cut onto his left foot to avoid the sliding challenge of Dylan Nealis, and beat goalkeeper Carlos Coronel to score his third goal of the season.

The Red Bulls had a great opportunity to tie the game in the 30th minute after a bad Pereyra giveaway at midfield, but Luquinhas hit a tame shot at Gallese and failed to capitalize. Smith of all people had a crack at goal from inside the box just a few minutes before halftime, but he sent his effort wide of the post when he really should have hit the target. Tom Barlow then wasted another chance to put the game at 1-1 going into halftime but contrived to fire over the bar from the top of the area when all he had to do was hit the empty net.

That proved to be the last action of the half, and it was surprising to see Orlando in the lead based on the stats. Orlando held slightly more possession (52.1%-47.9%) and passed marginally better (76.1%-74.9%) but those were the only categories in which it led. The Lions were outshot (7-2), had fewer shots on goal (2-1), and took no corner kicks while the Red Bulls had one.

Fortunately, the Lions got a break just a couple minutes into the second half. Kara ran onto a ball over the top and New York center back Andres Reyes pulled him back, picked up a deserved second yellow card, and hit the showers early in the 47th minute.

New York cleared the danger from the ensuing free kick, but referee Victor Rivas was advised to go to the monitor and check for a foul during the play. Further examination revealed that Sean Nealis took Jansson down from behind as the ball was in the air, and he rightfully pointed to the spot. Enter Torres, who stepped up and beat Coronel (who guessed the right way), to double Orlando’s advantage despite the Paraguayan trying to get in his head beforehand.

The good vibes were dented slightly when Araujo went down injured in the 57th minute, with Felipe coming on in his place. The Red Bulls kept up their traditional high pressing despite being down a man, and with the Lions continuing to be sloppy in possession, it was hard to blame them. The teams traded chances right after Araujo made his exit, and some close calls for New York spurred Pareja into further changes, with Duncan McGuire and Martin Ojeda entering the fray for Kara and Pereyra in the 62nd minute.

Angulo squeezed off a shot from an acute angle three minutes later and Coronel saved it well, with the game entering a bit of a lull after he did so as the teams traded fouls and McGuire was caught offside.

Things sprang back into life in the 72nd minute. Ojeda cleared his lines and managed to find Angulo in the process, who absolutely torched Frankie Amaya down the left wing. The Colombian carried the ball into the box, drew Tolkin to him, and crossed perfectly for the unmarked Torres, who fired low and hard past Coronel with conviction to put the game away for good.

Despite being down 3-0, the Red Bulls kept up the fight and Jansson was forced into a good block just four minutes after Facu bagged his brace. The Lions spurned a few more half chances as the game wound down, and there was a scary moment in the 82nd minute when Dylan Nealis fell into Gallese’s leg, but the goalkeeper was able to soldier on after getting some treatment, although he looked a little shaky.

That more or less did it for the notable moments of action, as Orlando saw out a healthy eight minutes of stoppage time to make it five games unbeaten. The Lions finished with more possession (51.2%-48.8%) and more shots on target (5-2), but New York was crisper with its passing (79.2%-78%), took more shots (14-7), and won more corners (8-2).

David Rohe was on hand for our Player Grades column in this one, and Angulo took Man of the Match honors with an 8 out of 10 for his one-goal, one-assist performance that also included three completed dribbles, two tackles, and an interception. Torres unsurprisingly also graded out high with a 7.5 out of 10, as did Cartagena, who received the same grade.


The Lions went on to grab one more victory before the undefeated streak ended at six up in Foxborough against the New England Revolution. Fortunately, they started picking up points again immediately afterward and had a largely strong summer and back half of the year that saw them finish second in both the Eastern Conference and Supporters’ Shield race. Hopefully, this year’s side can take some cues from the 2023 squad and start stacking points with more regularity once the season resumes in July. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links

Lion Links: 6/5/26

Maxime Crepeau named Canada’s starter, analyzing Germany before USMNT friendly, USWNT prepares for Brazil, and more.

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Image of Maxime Crepeau making a save against the New York Red Bulls.
Dan MacDonald, The Mane Land

Happy Friday, Mane Landers! It’s been a pretty hectic week for me, but I’m looking forward to a weekend filled with soccer and celebrating with some friends. It should be a nice next couple of days before the World Cup is here in full force next week. Before we dive into today’s links, let’s all wish a happy birthday to Orlando City B midfielder Dylan Judelson!

Canada Chooses Maxime Crepeau as Starting Goalkeeper

Orlando City goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau was named as the starter for Canada for the upcoming World Cup. The 32-year-old has been in a tight battle with Dayne St. Clair for the starting job for quite some time and he’s done well enough for Jesse Marsch to choose him for the role. This will be Crepeau’s first World Cup since he wasn’t able to take part in the 2022 competition due to a broken leg. Canada will play Ireland today in a friendly before hosting Bosnia and Herzegovina in the World Cup on June 12.

Analyzing Germany Ahead of USMNT Clash

The United States Men’s National Team will take on Germany on Saturday in Chicago in its final friendly before the World Cup starts next week. This will be the 13th match between the two nations, with the most recent one being a 3-1 loss by the U.S. in October of 2023. Manuel Neuer is Germany’s starting goalkeeper, but he’s dealing with an injury and backup Oliver Baumann could play on Saturday in his place. Hopefully the U.S. can make his life difficult, but Germany has tough defenders in Jonathan Tah and Nico Schlotterbeck. Florian Wirtz, Kai Havertz, and Leroy Sane are dangerous attacking threats, while Nick Woltemade brings both height and solid ball movement at the top of the formation. It should be a great test for the USMNT before the games get serious.

USWNT Prepares for Brazil

The United States Women’s National Team is in action on Saturday as well, with the team set to play Brazil in Sao Paulo in the first of two friendlies. Plenty of attention will be on the reunited attacking trio of Sophia Wilson, Trinity Rodman, and Mallory Swanson that combined for 10 goals and five assists in the 2024 Summer Olympics. As for Brazil, the Orlando Pride are well represented, with Marta, Angelina, and Rafaelle all called up for these friendlies. There’s plenty of competing talent on Brazil’s roster, so it will be interesting to see who starts on Saturday. I’m most interested to see how the U.S. defense manages against Brazilian attackers like Ludmila, Dudinha, and Kerolin without having Naomi Girma on the back line.

Liverpool Hires Andoni Iraola as Next Manager

Liverpool didn’t waste much time finding a new manager after firing Arne Slot last week, hiring Andoni Iraola as his replacement. Iraola joins Liverpool after three years with Bournemouth that included securing Europa League qualification for the first time in club history this past season. He now joins a Liverpool team that qualified for the Champions League, but lost 12 league games after winning the league title in 2025. It will be interesting to see how Iraola does at one of England’s biggest clubs, particularly in regards to how his high-octane approach is applied.

Free Kicks

  • While the Pride haven’t provided an injury update on Barbra Banda according to reporter Jeff Kassouf, she did reportedly travel for Zambia’s friendlies against Kenya and Burkina Faso as the team prepares for next month’s Women’s Africa Cup of Nations tournament.

I checked in with the Orlando Pride: no official update on Barbra Banda after sustaining an injury over the weekend in #NWSL play. A spokesperson confirmed that Banda did travel to join Zambia for international duty. Hopefully more answers soon. No NWSL games until July 3.

Jeff Kassouf (@jeffkassouf.bsky.social) 2026-06-04T19:11:37.433Z

That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a fantastical Friday and rest of your weekend!

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Orlando City

According to Math, Orlando Among Top Soccering Cities in North America In 2026

A ranking of every North American city by its soccer performances thus far in 2026.

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An aerial image of Inter&Co Stadium
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC

The opening match of the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup kicks off one week from today, when Mexico hosts South Africa at Estadio Azteca Mexico City Stadium (thanks FIFA, for your silly stadium-naming policy). Like most soccer fans, I am excited for wall-to-wall games starting next week, but I will definitely also be missing the men and women in purple as Orlando City and the Orlando Pride will not play again until early July (Pride) and late July (Orlando City).

MLS NEXT Pro channeled its inner Red Hot Chili Peppers and said they “can’t stop, they’re addicted to the shindig” and will continue to play a normal weekly schedule throughout the World Cup, so thankfully we will still have the Young Lions to root for during this break. But aside from that, it will be all international soccer for the upcoming weeks, and primarily in North America.

With that in mind, I took a deeper look at the beautiful game on our beautiful continent and evaluated which cities in North America are having the best soccer-related 2026 so far. There are no actual rankings for this, so I created my own, using the following components:

  • I awarded a half point to the city of every team in Liga MX, Liga MX Femenil, Major League Soccer (MLS), NWSL, and the Northern Super League (Canada’s top domestic women’s league). This covers the highest levels of club competition on the continent. I did not include the Canadian Premier League (men’s, ranked 159th among men’s leagues by Opta) or the Gainbridge Super League (women’s, ranked 35th among women’s leagues), because even though those are considered leagues at the highest level of competition in their countries, they do not compare to the five leagues I included. Also, Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver all have teams in MLS.
  • I awarded a full point to every city that is hosting World Cup games. This is a little sticky because some stadiums and/or teams represent metropolitan areas as opposed to the actual zip/area code location for the team or stadium, but I did some rounding. I had to put my mathematics degree to good use.
  • I averaged the points earned per match per team in that city, and awarded that total number of points to the city. Orlando, for example, received 1.18 points in this category, as Orlando City is averaging 0.93 (this was disappointing to type) and the Pride are averaging 1.42.
  • I awarded a point to the city of each quarterfinalist in the 2026 Concacaf Champions Cup and U.S. Open Cup, and a subsequent point for each win by those teams.
  • I awarded a point to the city of each semifinalist in the 2026 Concacaf W Champions Cup (this tournament went straight to the semifinals after the group stage), and a subsequent point for each win by those teams, excluding the third-place game.

After I awarded all those points, I rested for a minute, and then I summed up all the points for each city to see which cities are having the best 2026 so far (there are 47 North American cities/metro areas with at least one team in the leagues I included).

As this is an Orlando-focused publication, let’s take a look at the City Beautiful and how we fared. There are two professional teams in Orlando that count, so a half point for Orlando City plus a half point for the Pride accounted for one total point. With how well OCB has been playing (fourth in the Eastern Conference and winners of three of its last four games), I wish I could have included MLS NEXT Pro teams in the points system, but including that league did not make sense.

OCB would have helped with the average points metric as well, as it is averaging 1.83 points per match, the best in Orlando. Restricting it down to Orlando City and the Pride, however, added the 1.18 points that I referenced in the bullets earlier.

The Lions are in the U.S. Open Cup semifinals, which earned them one point for being a quarterfinalist and another point for winning that quarterfinal match, so they picked up two points from the U.S. Open Cup.

Orlando was not selected to be a host city for any World Cup games, Orlando City did not qualify for this year’s Concacaf Champions Cup, and the Pride nearly qualified for the semifinals of the Concacaf W Champions Cup but fell just short (ugh, because they really should have advanced), so Orlando did not pick up any points from any of those three categories.

With the points that Orlando accumulated it has tallied a total of 4.18 points so far in 2026. Let’s take a look at where 4.18 puts Orlando in the city rankings:

Chart showing all North American cities in the study and its score, organized alphabetically.

The cities in the chart above are sorted alphabetically, for ease of finding any cities you are interested in picking out, but the chart below shows the same data but sorted from most to fewest points earned:

Chart showing all North American cities in the study and its score, organized by score, showing Orlando in 13th.

In looking at this chart, you will find Orlando just outside the top 10, sitting in the lucky number 13 spot. Unsurprisingly, most of the teams at the top are among the largest cities on the continent and were also selected to be World Cup host cities. Among cities not selected as host cities, and therefore cities that did not receive a one-point bump in my rubric, Orlando ranked fifth, trailing Toluca (Mexico), Nashville, Washington D.C., and Denver.

If the Pride had played a little better in the Concacaf W Champions Cup, and had Barbra Banda not gotten injured and missed the entire group stage last summer, Orlando likely would have qualified for at least the semifinals in that cup and finished in the top six, or perhaps even higher, of these rankings.

It should come as no surprise to soccer fans that Mexican cities dominate the top of this ranking system, as Mexico City boasts a continent-high six teams (men’s and women’s heavyweights Club América, Cruz Azul, and Pumas), Monterrey houses four (men’s and women’s for Tigres and Monterrey), and Toluca, which only has men’s and women’s teams called Toluca but is the reigning Concacaf men’s champion after defeating Tigres on May 30.

With Miami to the south and Atlanta to the north, it was always unlikely that Orlando was going to be selected as a host city, but based on performance alone, our city is among the top soccer cities on the continent this year. And this is even with Orlando City having a down year during league play in 2026 and the Pride only recently putting together some decent results.

Last year, through 15 games Orlando City was nearly one full point better, averaging 1.80 points per game compared to this year’s 0.93, and the 2025 Pride were two-thirds of a point better than this year’s team through their first 12 games, averaging 2.08 points per game last year compared to 1.42 in 2026.

That was then and this is now, and neither season ended the way Orlando City or the Pride wanted in 2025, so hopefully the slower starts portend something better for this year’s teams. There is still a U.S. Open Cup, Leagues Cup, and MLS playoff spot for Orlando City to play for when its season resumes, and the Pride can solidify, or preferably, improve their playoff spot as well.

As we get closer to the end of 2026 I will update this chart to see where Orlando finishes in the full-year rankings, but for now we once again have unimpeachable evidence that shows that Orlando is the soccer capital of the southeast. We have all known this for years and years, but it is important to remind the people of Atlanta and Miami about it from time to time.

This was that time.

Vamos Orlando!

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