Orlando City
How Orlando City Can Still Qualify for the 2026 Concacaf Champions Cup
With Leagues Cup over, there are still two other ways MLS teams can qualify for the Concacaf Champions Cup. Here’s what the Lions must do.
This weekend is a FIFA international window, and after a hectic August of eight matches Orlando City will finally get a small break, with no game until Sept. 13. The Lions are coming off of a particularly punishing final two weeks of August, when they traveled from Orlando to Los Angeles, Los Angeles to Nashville, Nashville to Orlando, Orlando to “Miami,” “Miami” to Orlando, Orlando to Los Angeles, and Los Angeles to Orlando — a total of about 9,000 miles.
The Mane Land’s Nic Josey is our resident aviation guru and flight stalker tracker, so he might know the exact number of miles the team traveled, but in this case, close is going to count in hand grenades, horseshoes, and estimates of mileage between two cities.
In between all of that flying, Orlando City played four soccer matches (three Leagues Cup and one in MLS), and unfortunately, the Lions only won the first one of those. This means that despite having a 75% chance of clinching a Concacaf Champions Cup (CCC) berth via the Leagues Cup route, they were unable to win the semifinal or third-place game, leaving them devoid of an automatic bid.
The good news, however, is that American soccer clubs have four different ways of qualifying for the CCC, and while the Lions will not be going in via finishing in first, second, or third in Leagues Cup, they still could qualify via another route.
As an aside, If I was running the CCC, I would consider removing a team’s automatic bid if one of its players had spit on a staff member from their opponent, another player punch an opposing player, a third player put an opposing player in a headlock for 10 seconds, and a coach who apologized for none of it. That team was Inter Miami though, so it is more likely to somehow get a bye directly into the CCC semifinals than receive any type of real punishment. It is kind of like Jerry Tarkanian’s quote about favoritism in college basketball, when back in the 1980s he said that “the NCAA is so mad at Kentucky, they’re going to give Cleveland State another year of probation.”
I really do not like Inter Miami, so that is enough about the Herons.
Back to the four ways that American teams can qualify for the CCC:
- Winning MLS Cup.
- Winning the U.S Open Cup.
- Finishing first, second, or third in Leagues Cup.
- Finishing first in the Eastern and Western Conference, or being one of the next two highest ranked teams in the Supporters’ Shield rankings.
If you are counting along at home, that makes nine possible spots for American teams, though it is possible that Canadian MLS teams could win MLS Cup or take spots from the last item in the list above, which is tied to the MLS standings at the end of the season.
As an American club, Orlando City started the season with those nine possible routes of entry into the CCC for the third time in club history, but as of this past weekend four of those routes are now closed for the club. The Lions lost access to the U.S. Open Cup route in May, when a team of backups from Nashville came into Inter&Co Stadium and upset them. They lost access to the three Leagues Cup spots by finishing fourth in that tournament.
This leaves Orlando City with two routes, both of which are achievable, but only with major runs of form over a six-week period.
Let’s start with the path that’s easiest to explain, which is winning MLS Cup. Orlando City currently sits in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, but it is not worth looking at the team’s possible playoff paths just yet, with teams having between five and nine regular-season games still remaining. Just know that if the Lions qualify for the playoffs, they will be playing for both the MLS Cup and a spot in next year’s CCC between late October and early December.
Now, for Orlando City to qualify for the playoffs, the Lions are going to need to continue to earn points, and if they are to earn a CCC spot through the final avenue from the list of options above, they are going to need to earn a lot of points in their final six games. It has probably already crossed your mind that a team could actually qualify for the CCC in multiple ways, as was the case, for example, with LAFC last season.
LAFC won the U.S. Open Cup in 2024, was the runner-up in Leagues Cup, and finished third in the Supporters’ Shield rankings. The CCC has a hierarchy for how it allocates the positions when a team earns berths in multiple ways, and it goes like this (for American teams):
- Leagues Cup top three.
- MLS Cup winner.
- MLS Supporters’ Shield winner (a.k.a. the Eastern or Western Conference winner with the most points).
- U.S. Open Cup winner.
- The other MLS Conference winner and the next two top-ranked teams in the Supporters’ Shield rankings.
With this in mind, Orlando City could win MLS Cup or get in via a Supporters’ Shield ranking spot. Currently, the Lions are ninth in that ranking, averaging 1.68 points per match. Here are the top 10 teams in the Supporters’ Shield rankings as they stand today, using points per match (PPM) instead of actual points earned, to account for the fact that teams have not all played the same number of matches.
| Team | PPM | Leagues Cup | U.S. Open Cup | Max Possible PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 1.97 | Semifinalist | 2.12 | |
| San Diego | 1.93 | 2.09 | ||
| Miami | 1.84 | Finalist (Qualified for CCC) | 2.15 | |
| Vancouver | 1.81 | 2.06 | ||
| Cincinnati | 1.79 | 1.97 | ||
| Minnesota | 1.76 | Semifinalist | 1.94 | |
| Charlotte | 1.72 | 1.91 | ||
| Nashville | 1.72 | Semifinalist | 1.91 | |
| Orlando City | 1.68 | 1.91 | ||
| Columbus | 1.64 | 1.88 |
If Orlando City runs the table — a difficult task given that four of the club’s final six opponents are in the top 10 list above (thankfully, three of those games are at home, with only Cincinnati on the road) — the Lions could get up to a maximum of 1.91 points per match. If every other team were to continue to play at their same pace during their final games, Orlando City would finish third behind Philadelphia and San Diego and earn a Champions Cup spot.
Both of those statements came with pretty large “ifs,” and it is foolish to think that both will occur. I am a mortal, and even though I live near the Haunted Mansion at Magic Kingdom, I am not a foolish mortal, so I do not think the Lions will win all six games. A realistic, best-case scenario would be earning 12-14 points, which would take the team to 1.74-1.79 points per match after the final game.
Speaking of realism (though not the magical realism of one of my favorite books, One Hundred Years of Solitude), it is unrealistic that every other top team will continue to play at the exact same points-per-match pace, but most teams will likely finish their seasons similarly to how they performed during their first 25+ games. Miami’s performance no longer matters, as the Herons are locked into Champions Cup through Leagues Cup, and if Minnesota, Nashville, or Philadelphia can take home the U.S. Open Cup, that clears out another team ahead of the Lions in the Supporters’ Shield table.
The Western Conference is guaranteed one spot via the Supporters’ Shield route, but the other three places are up for grabs among the teams in the table. It is possible that some of the teams right below Columbus could jump up as well, but Seattle is already in by winning Leagues Cup, and the others would need to win every game to jump over so many teams.
If Orlando City can play well during its final games and get up to fifth or sixth in the league standings, the Lions will have a strong chance of picking up a Champions Cup spot, and if results go their way, they could even get one from finishing seventh or eighth, but that is pushing it. It may come down to just a few points, so these next six games are critical not only for playoff seeding, but also to see whether OCSC can compete for a continental championship in 2026.
Of course, the Lions could also continue their year-over-year trend of advancing one round deeper into the MLS Cup playoffs (2022 — eliminated in the conference quarterfinal; 2023 — eliminated in the conference semifinal; and 2024 — eliminated in the conference final) and advance all the way to the MLS Cup championship game, and then win the whole darn thing. This is my preference.
I think continental competitions are really fun. It is cool to see teams from different nations that rarely play each other matching up and vying for a championship. The Orlando Pride, coincidentally, are currently participating in the Concacaf W Champions Cup, and won their opening match on Tuesday at home against a team from Costa Rica. They play their next match in Panama and finish group play with two matches (away and then home) against teams from Mexico.
Hopefully we at The Mane Land will be previewing an Orlando City Champions Cup game in early 2026, as that will mean the club finished strong in the 2025 regular season and/or the MLS Cup playoffs. The Lions will start their final run of games in Washington, D.C., and it would really be a capital idea that they go into Audi Field, smash D.C. United, and bring home all three points.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando City
Orlando City Announces Signing of Iago on MLS U22 Initiative Deal
The Brazilian youth international joins the Lions through the 2028-2029 season.
Orlando City announced today the long-reported signing of Brazilian defender Iago Teodoro, colloquially known simply as Iago, from Brazilian top flight club CR Flamengo. The Lions signed Iago through the 2028-2029 season on an MLS U22 Initiative contract. Terms of the deal were not disclosed by the club, although unconfirmed online reports have stated the Lions will only get 50% of a sell-on in the transaction.
“Iago is a talented young defender with experience at one of the best youth and professional clubs in the world,” Orlando City General Manager and Sporting Director Ricardo Moreira said in a club press release. “He has shown a strong competitive mentality (and) leadership qualities beyond his years that took him to lead Brazil’s U-20 squad as a captain in the latest FIFA U-20 World Cup. Iago also has an ability to contribute on both sides of the ball. We believe his profile fits well within our long‑term vision, and we’re excited to bring him here (to) Orlando.”
The 20-year-old Brazilian youth international from Volta Redonda, Brazil came up through Flamengo’s academy, debuting for the club’s U-20 team in July 2022 and making his first-team debut in January of 2024. Iago has accumulated a combined 68 appearances and has logged more than 5,000 minutes across Flamengo’s senior and U-20 teams across all competitions. He’s scored 14 goals for his club, helping Flamengo win the 2021 U-17 Brazilian Championship, the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 U-20 Intercontinental Cups, the 2022 and 2024 Brazilian Cups, the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 Campeao Carioca, and the 2025 Serie A title.
On the international stage, Iago has 13 caps with Brazil’s U-20 team, scoring three goals and captaining the team in the FIFA U-20 World Cup.
If you like buying kits with unique numbers, Iago will wear No. 57 on his jersey.
What It Means for Orlando City
The Lions have filled all three MLS U22 Initiative slots and will likely have to press the young center back into service quickly with Robin Jansson out with an injury and the club short of experienced depth in the interior back line. Iago is young, has good size, and is athletic. He fits the club’s profile and is the type of player who could yield a big profit in a future sale, even if Orlando City gets only half the fee.
The defender will have a little bit of preseason to learn Oscar Pareja’s system and get to know his teammates, but getting this signing across the finish line earlier would have obviously been more optimal. Iago seems to have a better nose for the net than just about any previous Orlando City center back in the MLS era, but only time will tell if those skills will translate to Major League Soccer.
The back line depth is still sketchy and lacks experience with Jansson out. David Brekalo has to be a locked-in starter at this point, with Iago his probable partner to start the season. Nolan Miller, Wilder Cartagena, and Adrian Marin would serve as the depth until the captain returns, with the Lions perhaps employing a three-man back line and wingbacks at times. The Lions will need Iago and Miller to grow up in a hurry, or things could get dicey quickly if Brekalo picks up a knock or a suspension early in the season.
Orlando City
Orlando City’s Roster Short On Tenure, Long On Ambition
The 2026 roster is not yet finalized, but for the first time in years it will primarily be made up of players who only recently joined the club.
If you are like me and are a fan of both soccer and basketball, you likely have been overwhelmed during the last few days by transfer news in global soccer and trades in the NBA as teams shape their rosters for the stretch runs of their seasons (most soccer leagues around the world, the NBA) or the season about to start (MLS, a handful of other spring-to-fall leagues). The news around Orlando City has mostly been limited to rumors about possible defensive reinforcements in recent weeks, and while our Ben Miller became an overnight expert in Polish soccer X (the service that was formerly, and more successfully, known as Twitter), it turned out to be for naught, as the attempted acquisition of Dušan Stojinović fell through due to a failed medical.
The rumors persist about the coming acquisition of Brazilian central defender Iago (Shakespeare lovers surely agree that if he signs it is a good thing there is no longer a Rod(e)rigo on the roster), but as of this writing, the only official recent acquisition came when the Lions signed 2026 MLS SuperDraft draft pick Nolan Miller on Wednesday.
MLS roster construction is complicated, and if you are struggling with sleep I recommend you read through the rules and regulations from the league’s website (that link takes you to the 2025 rules, as they have yet to update them for 2026, which is good news because that means some new sleep-inducing material will be published soon). To simplify, however, teams generally have 20 players on their senior roster and then a supplemental roster of up to 11 players who are also available for selection on game days.
With more than two weeks until the season opener, the roster remains in flux, but we can assume that by the season opener the club will probably have signed a few more players in order to make use of most of those available roster spots. Unless they go out and bring a former OCSC player back to Orlando, the Lions will be acquiring a player who will be new to the club, and that, plus all of the turnover from the 2025 team, made me wonder about the average tenure of this year’s team, in comparison to other Orlando City clubs from the past.
The 2026 roster is not finalized yet, but in honor of the hopefully soon-to-be-announced acquisition, we can channel Othello’s Iago and manipulate the data a little bit to fill out the 2026 Orlando City roster like so:
- Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau, Javier Otero.
- Defender: David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Adrián Marín, Nolan Miller, Tahir Reid-Brown, Zakaria Taifi.
- Central Midfielder: Eduard Atuesta, Wilder Cartagena, Joran Gerbet, Colin Guske, Braian Ojeda, Luis Otávio.
- Attacker: Iván Angulo, Gustavo Caraballo, Justin Ellis, Duncan McGuire, Martín Ojeda, Marco Pašalić, Harvey Sarajian, Tyrese Spicer, Tiago, Yutaro Tsukada.
- Roster Spots That Will Be Filled: Designated Player (attacker), Defender (likely Iago), Defender (outside back), Additional Player, Additional Player.
I held the line at 29 players, though I will not be surprised if the club maxes out the full 30. It is also possible that some of the young players like Caraballo, Ellis, Guske, Miller, Otávio, Reid-Brown, Sarajian, and even Tsukada play very few or even zero minutes this year at the senior level. It is always exciting to think about the potential of young players, especially those who came up through the academy or were signed via the MLS U22 Initiative, but Óscar Pareja plays every game to win, and over the years he has shown a preference for going with veterans as opposed to young players.
Pareja is not completely opposed to youth, however, and with a roster this full of young players he may not have a choice but to give a serious chunk of minutes to players in their teens or early 20s this season. According to fbref.com, last season’s team had a weighted average age of 27.4 years old during MLS play (10th oldest among all teams), but unless the next few acquisitions are veterans in the twilights of their careers (I am looking at you, Antoine Griezmann), that average age is likely going to drop in 2026.
If we take that theoretical roster that I outlined earlier, and instead of using their actual ages use the number of years that each player has been with the club (assigning a value of one for all of the players who have never played for the senior team), we get the distribution below:
- Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau (1), Javier Otero (3).
- Defender: David Brekalo (3), Robin Jansson (8, most in the MLS era), Adrián Marín (2), Nolan Miller (1), Tahir Reid-Brown (1), Zakaria Taifi (2).
- Central Midfielder: Eduard Atuesta (2), Wilder Cartagena (4), Joran Gerbet (2), Colin Guske (2), Braian “Defensive” Ojeda (1), Luis Otávio (1).
- Attacker: Iván Angulo (5), Gustavo Caraballo (2), Justin Ellis (2), Duncan McGuire (4), Martín “Offensive” Ojeda (4), Marco Pašalić (2), Harvey Sarajian (1), Tyrese Spicer (2), Tiago (1), Yutaro Tsukada (2).
- Roster Spots That Will Be Filled: Designated Player (attacker) (1), Defender (likely Iago) (1), Defender (outside back) (1), Additional Player (1), Additional Player (1).
Before anyone yells at me, Cartagena and Tsukada both have actually been with the club for one more season than I represented above, but I am counting soccer-playing seasons, and they both missed all of 2025 due to injury. The math is not as elegant as it was to Russell Crowe in A Beautiful Mind, but the chart below, which shows the counts by player tenure for every season going back to the team’s inaugural MLS season, will either look beautiful or hideous to you, depending on your artistic perspective. I think it looks fantastic.

The first few years are clear outliers, with every player being new to the club in 2015 (some players had been with the club in the USL era, but my definition of tenure was playing in a game for Orlando City’s MLS team) and no players being able to get to a “longer” tenure until at least 2019. That said, the 2026 team looks like it will be heavily populated by players in their first two seasons with Orlando City (the purple and gold bars in the chart), with that combined number likely being the most since the 2020 team.
Until the roster is finalized and the games begin my 2026 forecast is just that — an estimate of who will play in at least one game for the Lions this season. Just because the team will most likely be full of newer players, it does not mean that they cannot be successful. Inter Miami won the league title last season with 19 players in their first two seasons with the club and only four who had been there for more than three seasons.
The sports world writ large is moving to shorter contracts, with teams changing a lot from year to year, and after two years of relative stability, it looks like this Orlando City season will follow the same pattern and we will see the debuts of more players than in recent years — and also see more appearances by recent acquisitions (i.e. last season or this season) than in a long time.
Hopefully, some more new acquisitions will be announced soon, helping fill out the roster and answer some of the depth chart questions that we frequently talk about in our internal The Mane Land Slack channel (if you are reading this article, you are clearly incredibly intelligent and a passionate fan, so why not come join us and add your opinion to the mix?).
All those new acquisitions would come in as brand new Lions, bringing down that average tenure, but in the end what really matters is not whether a player has been with the club for three years but whether in a game they can help bring the club three points. The crowds at Inter&Co Stadium will be ready to roar for any Lions who can deliver, and I am looking forward to the next announcement from Ricardo Moreira on who will be taking their talents to Church Street and taking Orlando City back to the playoffs.
The club’s lofty goals remain the same, even if many of the players scoring the goals may be playing for the team for the first time.
Vamos Orlando!
Opinion
Likes and Dislikes From the Fourth Week of Orlando City Preseason
Let’s talk through some of the good and bad from the fourth week of Orlando’s preseason preparations.
The fourth week of Orlando City’s preseason preparations is (almost) in the books. The Lions will be kicking off the 2026 MLS season against the New York Red Bulls in a little over two weeks’ time, which seems impossibly near at hand. Let’s take a look at some of the good and some of the bad from the week that was.
Likes
Nolan Miller Earns a Contract
OCSC announced on Wednesday that it signed 2026 MLS SuperDraft selection Nolan Miller to a deal through the 2026 season with several additional option years tacked on. The center back was the ninth overall pick in the draft, and it’s good to see another high selection earning a contract after Harvey Sarajian was the first from the current draft class to do so back in January. Part of the motivation behind the move may be due to Orlando’s center back situation that we’ll touch on later, but either way, the youngster has his foot in the door and will have a chance to get on the field, contribute, and potentially extend his stay in the City Beautiful.
Iago Reportedly on Track
It’s been a trying week for Orlando City fans (more on that below), but another piece of news to be happy about came on Wednesday, when Oscar Pareja noted during his media availability that the team is continuing to work towards finalizing the signing of center back Iago from Flamengo.
This is one that’s been rumored for awhile, and devoted social media users may have even seen specific numbers thrown around, like a transfer fee of $1.5 million and Flamengo retaining a sell-on clause of 50%. Whether those are accurate or not, only time will tell, but for now it’s good to hear that talks are ongoing. While it would be nice for the process to go a little quicker, signing players from Brazilian teams seems to be a bit tricky at times, so it isn’t necessarily surprising that this deal is taking its sweet time. Hopefully negotiations wrap up quickly and Iago can join the Lions sooner rather than later though, because as we’re about to discuss, the team is almost certainly going to need him.
Dislikes
Robin Jansson’s Injury
Robin Jansson had surgery to repair a Jones fracture in his right foot. While no specific recovery timeline was announced and it’s difficult to estimate one since we don’t know when exactly the surgery happened, this is not great news so close to the start of the season. David Brekalo is currently the only experienced center back available to take the field, and we’re 15 days away from the first game of the season. A lot can change in that amount of time, but it’s a nervy place to be regardless. I also don’t love the fact that the injury is a Jones fracture. The fifth metatarsal, where the break occurred, is an area of the body that’s notorious for not getting great blood flow when compared to other bones, and Jones fractures have a reputation of being tricky injuries to heal. The captain is in good hands with the club’s staff and the good folks at Orlando Health, but I would caution restraint when it comes to expecting him to make a speedy return to the field.
A Signing Falls Through
The news of Jansson’s injury might have been slightly easier to bear if not for this piece of news that Tom Bogert broke on Monday.
The wording that the deal fell apart after a failed medical implies that all of the particulars were sorted between the clubs and the player, and that it was the very last hurdle that proved its undoing. That’s brutal enough on the face of things, as it deprived Orlando of a starting-caliber center back who is only 25 and would presumably have time to grow and improve at the club for a number of years. When Jansson’s injury is taken into account, it hurts even worse. As I said earlier, a lot can happen in two weeks, but due to unfortunate and uncontrollable circumstances the Lions’ center back corps is looking positively threadbare at the time of this writing.
While it’s very easy to get lost in the negatives, this week wasn’t all bad. Losing one potential center back and then a nailed-on starter and club captain in the space of two days hurts, there’s no getting around it. But on the bright side, a young player will get a chance to prove himself, an MLS U22 Initiative signing will reportedly be on the way sooner or later, and there’s still some time for additional reinforcements to arrive before the season opener arrives. Keep your heads up, take things one day at a time, and pray for good things from the soccer gods. Vamos Orlando!
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