Orlando City
Orlando City Will Probably Look South To Replace Luis Muriel
What Orlando City has looked for in the past when filling Designated Player spots might tell us something about a future Luis Muriel replacement.
Orlando City kicked off (see what I did there?) its preseason Monday, but Luis Muriel was not in attendance, as he has almost certainly played his final game for the club and will be with a new team in 2026. Muriel did not reach the levels that many fans had hoped he would during his time with the Lions, but he was a solid player for the team and there is no ready-made like-for-like replacement for him on the current roster. His are important shoes to fill, but if he’s out, the club will have an available Designated Player slot, which means the Lions have carte blanche to fill that roster spot however they would like.
Carte blanche is a French phrase meaning “blank check.” Listeners of The Mane Land PawedCast and subscribers to our weekly newsletter will know that our Michael Citro would like the club to use that French phrase to sign a certain French forward named Antoine Griezmann. Bringing his je ne sais quoi to Inter&Co Stadium would enable the Lions to enact a coup d’état on Inter Miami and win the 2026 MLS Cup, which would obviously be a fait accompli were Griezmann to be le prince qui…sorry, the prince that was promised and sign with the Lions.
Griezmann has expressed interest in MLS, and according to transfermarkt.com his market value has dropped from its high of $175 million in 2018 to approximately $12.8 million today, but I do not believe he wants to come to MLS right now, and right now is when Orlando City is looking for a third Designated Player to join with the lethal lefties Marco Pašalić and Martín Ojeda.
Muriel’s departure would leave approximately 2,500 minutes to fill, but it is not yet exactly clear what the front office will be looking for to replace those minutes, as though he primarily played up top, Muriel was not a traditional striker, often dropping deep into the midfield to help initiate offense. After several years of primarily playing a 4-2-3-1, Orlando City played a 4-4-2 for most of 2026, but when Muriel was on the field he played more like a trequartista, roaming all over the field and trying to create goal-scoring opportunities. He finished 2025 with 22 goal contributions in all competitions, so he was decently effective, at nearly one goal contribution (0.88) per 90 minutes — second on the team behind Ojeda.
Muriel’s offense will need to be replaced, but the who, when, and where questions still are unanswered as to how the club will do that. Let’s review the club’s last 10 Designated Player signings, looking at their stats from the season immediately preceding joining Orlando City to see how they filled those spots recently (the table below is from Opta’s tracking on fbref.com across all competitions, and as a reminder, Opta only allocates assists to the player who made the final pass to the goal scorer):
| Player | Nationality | Club Location | Age | Mins. Played | G+A / 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dom Dwyer | USA via England | USA | 26 | 2,244 | 0.52 |
| Sacha Kljestan | USA | USA | 31 | 2,582 | 0.38 |
| Josué Colmán | Paraguay | Paraguay | 18 | 1,984 | 0.05 |
| Nani | Portugal | Portugal | 31 | 1,772* | 0.66 |
| Mauricio Pereyra | Uruguay | Russia | 28 | 2,220 | 0.36 |
| Facundo Torres | Uruguay | Uruguay | 20 | 2,497 | 0.36 |
| Ercan Kara | Austria | Austria | 25 | 1,728* | 0.63 |
| Martín Ojeda | Argentina | Argentina | 23 | 3,630 | 0.62 |
| Luis Muriel | Colombia | Italy | 32 | 6,99* | 0.90 |
| Marco Pašalić | Croatia | Croatia | 23 | 1,359* | 0.46 |
| Average | 25.9 | 2,627** | 0.47 |
- *These players came from European clubs during the middle of their season, so they are minutes played through half of a full season.
- **In order to get a season-long average for minutes played, I doubled the totals from the players who came from Europe, and kept the others as they were.
Taking a look at that list of players and their performances during the season before they arrived in Orlando, we see that while the average age ends up at nearly 26, that is because the club signed four young (ages 18-23) players, two peak age players (24-29) and four older players (30+). Unsurprisingly, these players were logging a lot of minutes at their clubs and, aside from Colmán, they were contributing goals at a decent rate. At just 18 years old, Colmán is an age outlier on this list, and removing his stats lifts the average goals + assists per 90 minutes to 0.51.
Is Orlando City going to look for an attacking player who is 26 years old, on pace to play (or played, if he was in a league with a calendar like MLS) around 2,600 minutes, and contributes a goal every other game?
Probably not, because as both Orlando City and the overall caliber of play in MLS have improved in recent years, the club will want to target higher performing players with its valuable Designated Player slots. The rumor mill has been heavy around Richarlison (28 years old, plays in England, 0.47 G+A/90) and Robert Lewandoski (36 years old, plays in Spain, 0.89 G+A/90), and while those two and the aforementioned Griezmann (34 years old, plays in Spain, 0.76 G+A/90) definitely would all be the club’s biggest signing since Nani in terms of name recognition, there are also questions about if the Lions want to sign a left wing, attacking midfielder, or striker, and do they want someone who wants to be here for a few years (like Pereyra) or someone who wants to use MLS as a stepping stone in their career (like Torres)?
Either way, the expectations in Orlando have been raised during the Óscar Pareja era, and with the club clearly leaning into the South American pipeline more and more and with those raised expectations, I expect the club to look for a player from South America who is playing a lot of minutes at a club in one of the world’s top 25 leagues (using Opta’s world rankings), who is contributing goals at a rate of around two-thirds of a goal per 90 minutes (sorry Richarlison, though in league play he is at 0.70, so we could just look the other way on those other competitions), and is in the age range of 23-31, allowing for the potential for the player to be sold on in the future.
There are some great players who hit all of those benchmarks (including one Martín “don’t confuse me with Braian, I’m the offensive” Ojeda), and while players like Colombia’s/Bayern Munich’s Luis Díaz and Brazil’s/Real Madrid’s Vinicius Júnior likely have little to no interest in MLS at this point in their careers, fbref.com’s database spit out 38 players who qualify under the above parameters I set out.
Let’s remove the players already in MLS, since they likely are not going to switch teams at this point of the season, and also the following players who are either far too expensive (more than $20 million, according to transfermarkt’s estimated value) or already succeeding far too well in elite leagues: Díaz, Vini Jr., Julián Álvarez (Atlético Madrid), Antony (Real Betis), old friend Cucho Hernández (Real Betis), Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro), José Manuel López (Palmeiras), Lautaro Martínez (Inter Milan), Pedro (Flamengo), Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting Lisbon), Igor Thiago (Brentford), and Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga).
Once we take all of those out, we are left with a list that contains 21 players, at whom I believe the club will take a long look for the soon-to-be-open Designated Player slot (the list shows the player, his nationality, Transfermarkt’s estimated market value, and where he is currently playing):
- Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Uruguay, $17.6 million, Flamengo (Brazil Série A)
- Mauricio, Brazil, $14 million, Palmeiras (Brazil Série A)
- Marcelino Núñez, Chile, $10.5 million, Ipswich (England Championship)
- Ángel Correa, Argentina, $10.5 million, Tigres (Mexico Liga MX)
- Clayton, Brazil, $9.4 million, Rio Ave (Portugal Primeira Liga)
- Talisca, Brazil, $9.4 million, Fenerbahçe (Turkey Süper Lig)
- Brian Rodríguez, Uruguay, $7.6 million, América (Mexico Liga MX)
- Juan Brunetta, Argentina, $7.6 million, Tigres (Mexico Liga MX)
- Miguel Merentiel, Uruguay, $7 million, Boca Juniors (Argentina Liga Profesional)
- Diber Cambindo, Colombia, $6.4 million, León (Mexico Liga MX)
- Nicolás Castro, Argentina, $6.4 million, Toluca (Mexico Liga MX)
- André Luiz, Brazil, $4.7 million, Rio Ave (Portugal Primeira Liga)
- Oscar Estupiñan, Colombia, $4.4 million, FC Juárez (Mexico Liga MX)
- Rafael Elias, Brazil, $3.7 million, Kyoto Sanga (Japan J1 League)
- Rafael Ratão, Brazil, $3.5 million, Cerezo Osaka (Japan J1 League)
- Léo Ceará, Brazil, $2.9 million, Kashima Antlers (Japan J1 League)
- Jesús Ramírez, Venezuala, $2.3 million, Nacional (Portugal Primeira Liga)
- Emiliano Gómez, Uruguay, $2.3 million, Puebla (Mexico Liga MX)
- Lucas Fernandes, Brazil, $1.4 million, Cerezo Osaka (Japan J1 League)
- Alfonso Trezza, Uruguay, $1.2 million, Arouca (Portugal Primeira Liga)
- Jay-Roy Grot, Suriname, $900,000, Odense (Denmark Superliga)
- Maurides, Brazil, $500,000, Radomiak Radom (Poland Ekstraklasa)
I will not pretend to be an expert on these players, but this is the list of those who qualified under the parameters I outlined earlier, which means they are in the prime of their careers and good goal-contributing form, and therefore should be of interest to the Orlando City front office, especially if any of them are looking for new opportunities in a different league.
I am sure the club will consider an even wider swath of players, including those like Richarlison, who just missed out via my hypothetical parameters, or players like Brazil’s/Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus, who was injured all of last season, so he did not have any data to evaluate. Orlando City also found success by dipping into the European market with Nani and Pašalić, and so the Lions will certainly not exclude Europeans from their search — or players from any continent for that matter. And while Orlando has never spent a huge amount on a player, maybe the Wilf family really will get out that blank check and go above $20 million, which opens up the landscape for more top-level players to acquire.
In the coming days, we will surely hear about what type of player the club wants with that third spot, and see if that profile falls into the range that I found from who the team has signed recently, or if Ricardo Moreira goes in a different direction entirely. I am looking forward to seeing who comes in and joins the club, because if Orlando can acquire another high-level producer and a finally healthy Duncan McGuire returns to his form from his first two seasons, the team record of 63 goals scored during the 2025 regular season might no longer be the team record after 2026.
If so, then I think that the Eastern Conference final will be sending a répondez s’il-vous-plaît (you might be more familiar with the acronym RSVP) to the Lions this year.
Vamos Orlando!
Lion Links
Lion Links: 7/13/26
Pride and OCB win, Maxime Crepeau to compete in MLS All-Star Skills Challenge, Latest MLS transfer roundup, and more.
Hello, Mane Landers! I hope all is well with you down in Florida. I’ve been very busy at work, but I look forward to watching the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals and final this week. We’ve got plenty to cover today, so let’s get to the links.
Pride Shut Out Kansas City Current at Home
The Orlando Pride defeated the Kansas City Current 3-0 at Inter&Co Stadium Friday night, bouncing back from a tough outing at Angel City the previous week. After a scoreless first half, Marta scored the opener from long distance to give Orlando the lead. Hannah Anderson and Barbra Banda added a goal apiece as the Pride have won three out of their last four league matches. Goalkeeper Anna Moorhouse earned a clean sheet in her 100th appearance for the club. Orlando remains eighth in the NWSL table with 20 points. The Pride will be back in action at home Wednesday, taking on Boston Legacy at Inter&Co Stadium.
OCB Wins at FC Cincinnati 2
Orlando City B beat FC Cincinnati 2 by a 2-1 scoreline at NKU Soccer Stadium in Highland Heights, KY on Sunday. Issah Haruna’s goal gave the Young Lions the lead in the first half. In the second half, Cincinnati leveled the match, but Matthew Belgodere scored the winner on the road. That result pulls the Young Lions into third in the MLS NEXT Pro Eastern Conference standings with 33 points, just one point off leaders Chattanooga FC. OCB will be away for another road test Saturday against Chattanooga FC at Finley Stadium.
Orlando City Reportedly Submits Transfer Offer for Alex Moreno
Orlando City has reportedly submitted a transfer offer to sign Girona defender Alex Moreno. No agreement has been reached between the two sides, and conversations remain ongoing, according to reports. Moreno made 31 appearances for Girona last season in La Liga and recorded three assists. The 33-year-old left back remains under contract with Girona through 2027, but the club was relegated from La Liga to La Liga 2 last season. Several European clubs have also expressed interest in signing Moreno, including La Liga sides Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano.
Crepeau to Compete in MLS All-Star Skills Challenge
Orlando City goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau will compete in the 2026 MLS All-Star Skills Challenge at Truist Field in Charlotte on July 28, the club announced Friday. The competition will feature top players from Major League Soccer and Liga MX competing to test their soccer skills on the pitch. Five skills challenge competitions are featured, including the All-Star Goalie Wars, All-Star Crossbar Challenge, and the MLS vs. Liga MX Relay Challenge. Each competition will crown its own champion this year, switching from the traditional MLS-versus-opponent format used in previous years.
Latest MLS Transfer Roundup
According to Tom Bogert of The Athletic, Sporting Kansas City has emerged as a potential option to sign former Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah.
D.C. United has reportedly acquired forward Nathan Ordaz from LAFC.
Meanwhile, the Seattle Sounders have reportedly traded defender Cody Baker to the New England Revolution.
Free Kicks
- Former Lion Silvester van der Water has signed with Cambodian Premier League side Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng FC.
- Ted Lasso actor Cristo Fernandez, who plays Dani Rojas in the show, made his professional debut for USL Championship side El Paso Locomotive over the weekend.
- FIFA President Gianni Infantino confirmed that the organization will examine expanding the men’s World Cup from 48 to 64 teams after the 2026 tournament concludes.
- Senegal has fired manager Pape Thiaw following its Round of 32 defeat to Belgium in the World Cup.
That will do it for me today, Mane Landers. Enjoy your Monday, and I’ll see you next time.
Orlando City
Orlando City Trades Duncan McGuire to Houston Dynamo
The Lions send the 2023 first-round pick to Houston for a pile of Garberbucks.
Orlando no longer runs on Duncan as Orlando City has traded 2023 first-round draft pick Duncan McGuire to the Houston Dynamo. The big striker with the even bigger smile and the back flips joins the Dynamo, with the Lions receiving $600,000 in 2026 General Allocation Money (GAM), $400,000 in 2027 GAM, and $250,000 in 2027-2028 GAM. The return could also include up to $1.15 million in GAM add-ons if certain performance metrics are met. OCSC will retain a percentage of any sell-on by Houston.
It became clear that something was up with McGuire, as he did not dress for Orlando City’s friendly against Tampa Bay on Wednesday.
“Duncan has meant a great deal to this club since the day he arrived in Orlando,” Orlando City General Manager and Sporting Director Ricardo Moreira said in a club press release. “His resilience, determination, and willingness to fight through challenges both on and off the field have earned the respect of everyone throughout our organization. He has played a major role in our success over the last several years, and when the opportunity arose, we wanted to ensure it was a move that made sense for both Duncan and the club. We’re grateful for everything he has given to Orlando City and wish him and his family nothing but success in this next chapter.”
The Lions selected McGuire out of Creighton with the No. 6 overall selection in the first round of the 2023 MLS SuperDraft. Although he was not a Generation Adidas player, the striker had signed a pre-draft contract with the league, meaning Orlando City didn’t need to spend time agreeing to a contract. The 6-foot-1 forward quickly became a starter for the Lions during his rookie year, and put together back-to-back, double-digit goal-scoring seasons in his first two professional seasons. Now in his fourth pro year, McGuire has appeared in 85 MLS matches (45 starts) for the Lions, scoring 29 goals and adding eight assists. In all competitions, McGuire has contributed 32 goals and nine assists in 109 appearances (55 starts).
Once one of the most promising up-and-coming American strikers in any league after his 24 goals across his first two MLS campaign, Mcguire underwent surgery on both shoulders in separate procedures after the 2024 MLS Cup playoffs, which have restricted his availability, affected his form, and have limited him to just five goals and three assists in his last 29 matches. He has sat behind various other strikers starting in his place the last couple of seasons, including Ramiro Enrique, Luis Muriel, and Justin Ellis.
After his breakout rookie campaign, in which the Omaha, NE native scored 14 goals, he was courted by several teams in Europe. He signed with Blackburn Rovers in 2024, only to see the transfer rejected by the English Football League due to an administrative error by the EFL Championship club. Upon his return, the Creighton product signed his most recent contract on Aug. 22, 2024, locking him down through 2027 with a club option for 2028. That deal now belongs to the Dynamo.
McGuire’s hot start to his professional career had him climbing the U.S. Men’s National Team player pool. Gregg Berhalter called him up to the USMNT for the first time in January 2024 ahead of the team’s friendly against Slovenia. The striker made his first USMNT appearance in that match, coming off the bench to replace Brian White on Jan. 20, 2024, in a 1-0 loss. That is his only cap to date, although he had previously appeared nine times and scored one goal for the U.S. U-23 side.
The 2022 Hermann Trophy winner spent three seasons at Creighton, where he appeared in 24 games (23 starts) in his final (junior) season, logging 1,591 college minutes. McGuire scored 23 goals and added three assists in 2022.
What It Means for Orlando City
It makes sense to deal a striker making a base salary of $600,000 ($921,000 in total guaranteed compensation) if he can’t crack the starting lineup. While some of that comes down to coaching decisions and other players emerging, it didn’t help McGuire that he struggled to regain the consistent form he showed in his first two years in Orlando. In the end, this is a bit of a blow financially to the club, as the initial agreement with Blackburn was for a reported $4 million. He now departs for considerably less money, but his value understandably dropped with his production and the two shoulder surgeries.
McGuire is still just 25 years old, and sitting out after two surgeries means he has fewer miles on his legs than many players his age. He could still regain the form that saw him score 14 times in 2023 and 10 more times in 2024 and had the USMNT and European clubs paying attention. Orlando City will hope that he returns to form, because that will influence how much GAM the club eventually receives for this transaction.
A fan favorite since his arrival, McGuire will be missed, and while the Lions could perhaps have benefitted from getting a player back in return to bolster an area of need, the influx of GAM can help accomplish the same goal.
McGuire’s departure appears to solidify Justin Ellis’ position on the first team, although his play in the first half of the season likely already did that. It may also open up more minutes for Tiago. But the trade also tells us that unless a new striker is brought in, the Lions will play without a traditional target striker for the time being, allowing players who have typically either played as wingers, attacking midfielders, or false nines to have the freedom to fluidly change positions and force defenders out of their comfort zones when it comes to coverage. Martin Ojeda, Antoine Griezmann, Ellis, Ivan Angulo, Marco Pasalic, and the team’s fullbacks will be harder to keep tabs on under such a system.
Whether it will work or if it will further stress the team’s shoddy transition defense (or both) remains to be seen.
Orlando City
Flashback Friday: July 10, 2022 vs. Inter Miami
Let’s rewind to a match against the Herons that featured the unlikeliest of heroes.
With both the United States Men’s National Team and Colombia suffering World Cup exits that were both agonizing in their own right, this summer’s tournament has lost a little luster for me. Don’t get it twisted, I’m still looking forward to the rest of the games, but I’d be lying if I said it wasn’t going to be a little bittersweet.
Fortunately, Orlando City will be back in action before we know it, and in the meantime we can continue our practice of looking back on Lions matches from years gone by. Last week we relived a 4-0 win over Toronto FC from July 4, 2023. This week we go a little farther into the past to July 10, 2022, and a visit from Inter Miami.
Going into the match with the Herons, OCSC was badly in need of a result. The Lions were in the midst of a summer slump and had won just one of eight matches since squeaking by Toronto FC 1-0 back on May 14. To try to turn things around, Oscar Pareja sent out a lineup of Pedro Gallese in goal; a back line of Kyle Smith, Robin Jansson, Rodrigo Schlegel, and Ruan; Junior Urso and Cesar Araujo in the double pivot; Benji Michel, Mauricio Pereyra, and Facundo Torres in attacking midfield; and Ercan Kara up top.
Orlando’s effort to try to pick up a win had to wait a little longer than originally planned, as kickoff was postponed by close to two and a half hours due to lightning in the area. Once the game eventually started, both Orlando City’s fans and players probably wished it had been delayed a little longer. The Lions came out of the starting blocks slow and were guilty of a number of bad passes and miscommunication that made it difficult to get going offensively.
The bad start nearly cost the home side early, as Pereyra played a bad back pass in the seventh minute that was snagged by Indiana Vasilev, who promptly broke toward goal. Fortunately, his shot smashed into Gallese’s face and went wide of the net to spare Mauricio’s blushes. Speaking of the Uruguayan, Miami seemed to have keyed on him as a player to stop at all costs, because whenever the Lions started to get a rhythm in the final third, the Herons promptly fouled him to break up the flow of things.
It took half an hour for the first decent chances to finally surface for Orlando City. When those opportunities arrived, it was in the form of Urso taking a pop from outside the box that got blocked on the way through, and Michel nearly getting on the end of a training ground corner kick routine, only to be let down by a bad first touch.
That was mostly everything of note in a largely quiet first half. Miami had the more dangerous chances, but there wasn’t much to separate the teams in the end. Miami had a slim lead in possession (50.6%-49.4%), and also had more shots (6-3), shots on target (1-0), and corners (3-2). Orlando City was a shade more accurate in its passing (84.5%-83.6%).
Once the second half started, Miami very nearly got an early goal once again, but Robert Taylor didn’t get good contact on a header attempt and the ball went out harmlessly for a goal kick. Vassilev had a much more dangerous effort in the 49th minute, but he put his shot over the bar and wasted a nice passage of play from the visitors.
Orlando carved out an excellent chance of its own nine minutes later. Ruan played a clever cutback for Michel, but like Taylor, he didn’t get good contact on his shot and sent it tamely right to goalkeeper Drake Callender. Torres and Urso sent shots wide and high shortly afterward, before Miami really should have scored from a 72nd-minute corner kick. Aime Mabika found himself all alone in front of goal after the initial ball was played short, but he put his header wide right.
Tesho Akindele was one of the substitutes brought on, and he flashed his fresh legs by getting on a couple of chances as the game wound towards the 90th minute. Unfortunately, he wasn’t able to convert either one, and things looked sure to end in a scoreless draw. Enter an extremely unlikely hero: Jake Mulraney.
In the second of four minutes of stoppage time, the winger sent a hopeful cross into the box with just two men in purple to aim for. The ball had relatively little chance of reaching Akindele, who was bracketed by two defenders, but Damion Lowe tried to clear it and instead sliced it off the underside of the crossbar and into the Miami net making it 1-0 to the good guys.
Unsurprisingly, given the state of the game up to that point, neither team managed to muster any real chances after that, and Orlando narrowly came away with three much-needed points.
OCSC ended the game with more possession (54.7%-45.3%) and better passing accuracy (96.6%-82.9%), while Miami took more shots (10-8) and won more corners (6-2). Both sides put just one shot on target, making the final score somewhat unsurprising.
Marcus Mitchell was at the helm for Player Grades in this game, and he gave the outstanding Cesar Araujo the Man of the Match award, with a grade of 7.5 out of 10. The midfielder racked up eight tackles, drew nine fouls, and played a key pass while snuffing out a lot of Miami’s danger before it could truly develop.
Those three points didn’t exactly galvanize the Lions in the short term, as they won just one of their next six games in all competitions, not counting a friendly loss to Arsenal. Fortunately, better times lay ahead in the U.S. Open Cup.
That’ll do it for this week’s edition of Flashback Friday. We’ve only got one more of these before Orlando City returns to action on July 22, so enjoy the reminiscing while you can. Vamos Orlando!
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