Orlando City
Orlando City vs CF Montreal: Player Grades and Man of the Match
It started so well. Orlando City was on the front foot for the first 15 minutes, but the 20 minutes that followed were devastating as Nani was sent off after a second yellow, and Montreal scored its second goal. This was a night that everything that could go wrong did go wrong, and the Lions paid the price as they head for the playoff goal line. A second loss in a row is nothing to take lightly.
Just a note for those who read our player’s grades: Each staff member has their own scale on how they grade players. My grading involves not just stats and key moments, but also how the player performs against my expectations. If you disagree with how I, or any of our staff, approach our grades, I sincerely encourage you to join The Mane Land staff so you can use your own criteria. Now, let’s see how the Lions did in the loss to CF Montreal.
Starters
GK, Pedro Gallese, 6 — Gallese returned to Orlando City but was unable to help the Lions get any points at home. While Montreal scored four goals, three came when Orlando City was playing with only 10 men. On most of the goals there was nothing he could do, though he really didn’t seem to be himself either. He did make three saves, and one clearance. El Pulpo attempted 18 passes at a 77.8% passing rate and connected on five of 10 long balls.
D, Emmanuel Mas, 6 — Mas got the start and did well in the attack as Orlando tried to work the ball up the field connecting with Nani and Pereyra. He also was in the scrum that resulted in Ruan’s goal. Offensively, Mas took one shot. On defense he had three tackles, and one clearance. Mas attempted 34 passes and had a 79.4% passing rate with one key pass, and attempted two long balls.
D, Robin Jansson, 7.5 (MotM) — The Beefy Swede scored his first MLS goal on a tough night for the Lions. It was Orlando City’s first goal and gave the club life after Nani was sent off. Jansson also made several key defensive plays to keep the match as close as it was. I know that seems strange, but without Jansson’s defense it could have been worse, although he was partly responsible on the first Montreal goal. He attempted 45 passes and had an 88.9% passing rate, while completing three of six long balls. He had one tackle, two clearances, one blocked shot, and committed one foul.
D, Antonio Carlos, 6 — Like the rest of the back line, Carlos had to play a lot of one on one in this match, and that is difficult when the third center back is a midfielder. Defensively, Carlos made three tackles, two interceptions, one clearance, one blocked shot, and committed one foul. He attempted 31 passes and had an 87.1% passing rate, while completing two of four long balls.
D, Ruan, 6.5 — Ruan got caught out of position on Montreal’s first goal. He did make up for it later when he scored Orlando City’s second goal, cleaning up the ball as it bounced off Mas in the box. He used his speed effectively on both sides of the ball, getting back on defense, and stretching the Montreal offense. Offensively, he attempted two shots, scoring on one, with two crosses. He made one key pass, attempted two long balls, and had one successful dribble. Defensively, he made four clearances, and committed one foul. Ruan attempted 27 passes and had an 85.2% passing rate.
MF, Júnior Urso, 6.5 — Orlando City missed the Bear’s presence in the midfield. He provided spark on offense, and consistency in the midfield. Unfortunately, it wasn’t enough to overcome playing with 10 men. Offensively, he took one shot, made two dribbles, and suffered two fouls. Defensively Urso made three tackles and committed one foul. He attempted 39 passes and had an 82.1% passing rate, one successful through ball, and completed two out of three long balls.
MF/D, Andrés Perea, 5 — Perea started the match in the midfield and did pretty well, but as the Lions adjusted their shape to deal with being a man down, Perea was shifted into a central center back position, almost kind of a sweeper at times. Playing out of position is never easy, and though I don’t doubt that he tried his best, he still allowed a goal, and then earned a red card in the 83rd minute when he denied a scoring opportunity. Perea had two tackles, one clearance, and committed one foul. He attempted 41 passes and had a 92.7% passing rate, and completed one out of two long balls.
MF, Mauricio Pereyra, 7 — Pereyra was the playmaker that Orlando City needs every match. His through passes were pinpoint, and he provided the service on both the free kick that resulted in Jansson’s goal, and the ball to Michel that resulted in Ruan’s goal. There were times he single-handedly kept the Lions in the attack. Pereyra made two key passes, one dribble, and suffered one foul. Defensively, he made one tackle, one interception, and committed three fouls. He attempted 61 passes with an 83.6% passing rate and made one successful cross. He also completed seven of nine long balls. If it wasn’t for Jansson scoring his first MLS goal, Pereyra most likely would be Man of the Match.
MF, Silvester van der Water, 6 — Van der Water thought he scored in the seventh minute, but the offside flag was up. He looked to be dangerous in the attack, but shortly after Nani was sent off, van der Water signaled he was feeling something wrong physically. He was subbed off in the 41st minute for Chris Mueller. Offensively, van der Water had no shots that counted, made one successful dribble, and one cross. He attempted 12 passes with a 75% passing rate, with three successful long balls.
F, Nani, 4.5 — Nani earned a yellow in the 28th minute and is experienced enough to know he should be careful after that. Unfortunately, a mere seven minutes later, he was dispossessed outside Montreal’s box, and made a very poor decision to foul from behind when trying to chase down the ball. His effort earned a second yellow and, as such, a red card. The captain put Orlando City in the difficult position of playing down a man for the remainder of the match. Indeed Quioto made Orlando pay for it in the 37th minute after Nani left the pitch, putting Montreal up 2-0. Offensively, Nani took one shot that was not on target, and had two successful dribbles, Defensively, he made one tackle and as mentioned committed two fouls that resulted in his sending off. Nani attempted nine passes with a 77.8% passing rate, and two crosses.
F, Daryl Dike, 5.5 — Dike did well in hold up play, especially once Orlando was playing a man down. Offensively, he had one shot, suffered two fouls and was dispossessed once. His one shot should have been a goal, with a gaping empty net in front of him, but he sent his effort off target. Defensively, Dike made one clearance. He attempted just nine passes with a 77.8% passing rate, and had one cross. Dike came off in the 71st minute for Tesho Akindele.
Substitutes
MF, Chris Mueller (41’), N/A — Mueller came on for van der Water, who was feeling some sort of pain or tightness. I’m not sure if Mueller was wearing the wrong boots, but he was slipping quite a bit, and picked up a knock himself. Oscar Pareja said he tweaked his ankle. He played a total of approximately 10 minutes since he was subbed off at half. Mueller attempted one pass with a 100% passing rate, but that isn’t that impressive. He suffered one foul, and that was it. He wasn’t on long enough to warrant a grade or impact the game.
MF, Benji Michel (46’), 6.5 — Michel was a surprise sub when Mueller wasn’t able to continue at the half, but his speed was just what the Lions needed to try to get back into the match. He did well to handle the ball from Pereyra that resulted in Ruan’s goal. If he doesn’t bring it down, and find Mas in the box, the second goal never happens. Michel had one successful dribble, and suffered one foul. Defensively he made one tackle. He attempted 10 passes with a 90% passing rate, made one cross, and one successful long ball. He also had a shot on target late.
F, Tesho Akindele (71’), 5 — Akindele was brought in to spell Dike when the match was still tied at 2-2. Through no fault of Akindele, it didn’t stay that way long. He attempted 10 passes with an 80% passing rate, and made one successful dribble.
MF, Alexander Alvarado (80’), N/A — Alvarado came on to provide some more offense as the Lions tried to come back following Montreal’s third goal for defender Emmanuel Mas. He attempted 14 passes with a 92.9% passing rate, with one key pass.
That is how I saw the game. How do you feel about the individual performances? Tell us by commenting and voting on the Man of the Match below.
Polling Closed
| Player | Votes |
| Robin Jansson | 22 |
| Mauricio Pereyra | 5 |
| Ruan | 0 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Other: Put answer in the comments | 1 |
Opinion
The Case for Starting Luis Muriel Against Atlanta
Muriel’s game is tailor made to help Orlando get the result in what will likely be a tight contest.
For the second season in a row, Orlando City finds itself hosting a match in the Eastern Conference semifinals. It was a scenario that was far less likely this year, with the Lions watching as all three seeds above them crashed out in the first round, leaving OCSC as the highest-seeded team still standing in the East. Last year’s semifinal match didn’t go so well, with 10-man Orlando falling to the eventual champion Columbus Crew in extra time. So, how do the Lions avoid that fate this year and advance to the Eastern Conference final for the first time?
For starters, they can succeed on each of Dave Rohe’s three keys to victory! I’d like to make an addition though, and campaign for Oscar Pareja to start Luis Muriel instead of Ivan Angulo. To be clear, it’s not that I have an axe to grind against Angulo, as he’s largely ranged from solid to good when starting out on the left wing. For my money though, this match is tailor made for Muriel and giving him the start could help Orlando get through to the next round without needing to resort to extra time or penalties.
It’s not unreasonable to expect Sunday’s game to play out in a similar manner to Orlando’s 2-1 Decision Day loss to Atlanta, in which the visitors had 34% of the ball to OCSC’s 66%. True, part of that disparity was down to Atlanta’s 2-0 lead after 16 minutes, which allowed the visitors to sit back, bunker, and protect what they had. Even if the game had remained scoreless for longer though, Atlanta probably would likely have ceded possession anyway and looked to play defensively and hit on the counter. They rolled out a compact 4-2-3-1 in that game, but deployed a 3-5-2 in their last two games against Miami, and they might do so again after its effectiveness.
With Orlando likely to have the lion’s share (hehe) of the ball, and Atlanta sitting deep, there figures to be less room for Angulo to deploy his electric pace. OCSC will probably need to make things happen in the “half-court,” with an emphasis on moving the ball quickly, making clever runs, and finding those runs with creative and accurate passes.
Enter Luis Muriel. The Colombian Designated Player had a slow start to life with Orlando City but has come on strong in recent months, excelling in a super sub role and frequently making an impact in games off the bench. In 56 minutes against Charlotte in Game 3, he completed two dribbles, played one key pass and one through ball, and took three shots, with one on target, one off target, and one blocked. He doesn’t offer Angulo’s speed, but he has maybe the best vision and range of passing of anyone on the team, he’s an outstanding dribbler, and he’s a calm and capable finisher.
He hasn’t been asked to do a ton of traditional striker work during his resurgence, but Muriel has excelled at setting up teammates and creating chances, as evidenced by the litany of key passes littering his stat sheet. Those attributes could be hugely important in breaking Atlanta down, and with two key passes and two completed dribbles against them in just 22 minutes on Decision Day, he’s already proven he can be effective against the Five Stripes.
Another thing that could help the Lions in starting Muriel, is that it would almost certainly take Atlanta by surprise. Oscar Pareja isn’t exactly known for tweaking his lineup on a game-to-game basis, vastly preferring to find an XI that works and stick with it religiously. As long as everyone’s healthy, that lineup has featured Angulo starting with Muriel coming off the bench, and flipping the script would certainly be an unexpected variation that Atlanta might not be expecting. At this level, teams are good enough to adjust on short notice, but you also take every possible edge that you can find, and a lineup shift could be exactly that.
In short, as much as I like Angulo, I think Muriel should get the call in his place on Sunday. The veteran’s combination of vision, passing ability, and dribbling makes him uniquely suited to help unlock defenses, which will be crucial in a game where Orlando City is likely to dominate possession. I don’t think it’s likely to happen given Papi’s consistency with his lineups, but the unexpected move could give the Lions the edge they’re looking for. Vamos Orlando!
Lion Links
Lion Links: 11/22/24
Emily Sams wins Defender of the Year, Orlando City’s turnaround, Barbra Banda nominated for African Woman Player of the Year, and more.
Happy Friday! Beyond working and catching some soccer here and there, I don’t have many plans for the weekend. I’m also hoping to find some time to trial some cranberry and brie bites I’m trying to perfect before Thanksgiving next week. For now though, let’s jump right into today’s links from around the soccer world!
Emily Sams Awarded NWSL Defender of the Year
The Orlando Pride’s Emily Sams was named 2024 NWSL Defender of the Year after a fantastic season. The Pride only conceded 20 goals in a record-breaking season, and Sams played in all 13 of the team’s shutouts. Sams was one of the most impactful players for the Pride this year and had 163 recoveries, 76 clearances, and 16 blocks. She’s the first Pride player to win the award and it’s great to see her receive some deserved recognition in her second year in Orlando.
Analyzing Orlando City’s Revitalization
It’s been a rollercoaster of a season for the Lions to say the least. There were serious concerns over whether or not the Lions would even make the playoffs back in June and now they find themselves as the highest remaining seed in the Eastern Conference this postseason. Facundo Torres’ excellent run of play is a major reason behind the club’s turnaround, but the buy-in from all of Orlando’s attackers has helped create a dynamic and unselfish offense. Although expectations are rising once more for the Lions, Executive Vice President of Soccer Operations and General Manager Luiz Muzzi spoke on how the team is focused on Sunday’s playoff match.
“There’s only one team that matters: Atlanta United,” Muzzi said. “The easiest way to lose a game is to look ahead. I’ll say we didn’t expect to be playing at home, but it’s welcomed. We’re focused on Atlanta, they’re playing great. They have a lot of confidence and momentum. It doesn’t matter they’re the No. 9 seed because they’re not playing like the No. 9 seed.”
Barbra Banda Up For African Woman Player of the Year
Orlando Pride forward Barbra Banda was one of 10 players nominated for this year’s African Woman Player of the Year award. The 24-year-old has done well for both club and country this year. She scored 13 goals in her first regular season with the Pride and has three goals so far in the playoffs. Banda also had a hat trick for Zambia in the Summer Olympics. She’s joined by fellow NWSL players Temwa Chawinga and Racheal Kundananji on the list of nominees. Bay FC striker Asisat Oshoala, who has won the award in five of the past six years, was not nominated for the first time in a decade. The nomination list will be trimmed to a three-player shortlist before the winner is announced on Dec. 16 in Morocco.
Croix Bethune Named NWSL Midfielder of the Year
Washington Spirit rookie Croix Bethune won NWSL Midfielder of the Year after recording 10 assists and five goals in 17 matches this season. A knee injury cut her season short in September, but she still tied Tobin Heath’s record for the most assists in a season. Bethune gave plenty of NWSL teams headaches this year and also won Rookie of the Year earlier this week. She’s the first player to ever receive NWSL Midfielder of the Year and she beat out the Pride’s Marta, the North Carolina Courage’s Ashley Sanchez, and Kansas City Current duo Lo’eau LaBonta and Vanessa DiBernardo.
Eastern Conference Clubs Making Moves
FC Cincinnati officially signed striker Kevin Denkey from Cercle Brugge on a deal that will last through 2028. The 23-year-old joins as a Designated Player on a reported $16.2 million transfer, which would be a league record. He won the Golden Boot in Belgium last year after scoring 27 goals and should give Cincinnati some considerable firepower next year.
Elsewhere in the league, CF Montreal declined the option on Josef Martinez’s contract, meaning the Venezuelan forward will be a free agent once again. The 31-year-old led Montreal with 11 goals this season and we’ll see where he winds up next. Charlotte FC did not trigger the purchase option on Pep Biel’s loan, opening up a Designated Player spot. Former Lion Junior Urso’s contract option was also declined by Charlotte. The Philadelphia Union signed defender Olivier Mbaizo to a contract extension that will keep him with the club through 2026, with options for 2027 and 2028 as well.
Free Kicks
- In preparation for the 2026 World Cup, FIFA named 26 new options across the country as “base camps” for participating teams to train and rest. Orlando was included, with OCSC’s training grounds at Osceola Heritage Park pitched alongside the Lake Nona Wave Hotel.
- ESPN‘s Jeff Kassouf dove into how the NWSL stacks up to the biggest sports leagues in the U.S. Saturday’s NWSL Championship between the Pride and Spirit should showcase just how entertaining the league is to plenty of viewers.
- Pep Guardiola will stick around as Manchester City’s manager for a couple more years after signing a two-year contract extension with the club. His contract was set to expire at the end of this season.
- Here’s a cool breakdown of the seven amateur teams that have qualified for the 2025 Lamar Hunt U.S. Open Cup so far. None are from Florida, but there are some great logos to check out if you’re looking for a team to root for in the early rounds next year. Debutants Southern Indiana FC and the Virginia Dream are my personal favorites of the bunch.
- The draw for the 2025 Women’s Africa Cup of Nations will take place today. Zambia is in the second pot, meaning it will be put in a group of four that will include one of Nigeria, South Africa, or Morocco. The tournament itself will be in July of next year.
- Arsenal, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City all clinched a spot in the Women’s Champions League quarterfinals with two games still left to play.
That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend. Go Orlando!
Orlando City
How Orlando City’s Offense Stacks Up Against What Atlanta Does Defensively
How Orlando City has performed against teams playing with three or four defenders, and how that may influence the playoff game against Atlanta United.
The most famous quote about real estate is that “there are three things that matter in property: location, location, location.” Soccer coaches also like to think in threes, especially when it comes to points, but for a soccer coach, the three things that matter might be the rhyming triplet “formation, formation, formation,” as that is where they will have the biggest influence on every game that their team plays.
Throughout his tenure as head coach, Óscar Pareja has preferred to use a 4-2-3-1 as his formation (fbref.com’s lineup data shows that the Lions primarily played a 4-2-3-1 in 65% of their MLS matches this season, and 79% of their MLS matches during the last three seasons). The Lions have lined up in a 4-2-3-1 during each of their last 14 games, and my confidence level is strong to quite strong (can you believe Meet the Parents came out 24 years ago?) that they will do so once again on Sunday when they host Atlanta United.
Atlanta United also prefers to deploy a 4-2-3-1, but was less consistent than Orlando City this season during MLS play, as evidenced by the chart below that shows how Atlanta lined up this season:
I am relying on the coders at Opta for their evaluation of the formation, as I do not watch a lot of Atlanta United matches (sounds terrible), but though Atlanta primarily played with four defenders in more than two-thirds of its matches, during the last two matches it played a 3-5-2, the only two matches all season in which interim coach Rob Valentino rolled out that formation. I suspect that the formation change was related partially to playing Inter Miami and trying to defend the Herons’ dynamic offense and partially due to an injury suffered by defender Brooks Lennon in the first game of that series. So, while Atlanta primarily played four in the back for most of the season, there is a good chance it will roll with what worked against Florida’s second-best MLS team when it plays Florida’s best MLS team this weekend.
Now, if you want to read more about Atlanta, then you can read our match preview, which will drop Sunday morning, but I want to look at how Orlando did against teams that play similar styles. Looking only at MLS games, the table below shows how Orlando City performed against different back line structures this season (the left side is how the Lions’ opponents lined up, the right side is how Orlando City performed against opponents in those formations):
Orlando City earned slightly more points per game — the stat that matters most — against teams that played four in the back, but the Lions had a better average goal differential when teams played three in the back. Atlanta will likely deploy one of those two formations. In both games against Orlando City this season, Sunday’s visitors went with a 4-2-3-1, but as mentioned earlier, they used three in the back in each of their last two matches, so it really could be either.
Soccer is not like baseball, where players primarily stay in the same spot throughout the game, so some of these stats have to be taken with a grain of salt, as players are not always rigidly in the same position throughout a match. A team may also primarily play with four in the back but switch to three when chasing a game, or five when trying to protect against a late goal.
That said, using the data around Orlando City’s opponents’ general formations, here are the attacking groups who played the most frequently against four defenders during the 24 MLS games where Opta coded the opponents as using a defensive group of four:
It is a little ominous that the main starting group, shown in row one, has played 666 MLS minutes against back lines of four this season, but do I like that green goal differential of +8 in those minutes, which is a strong +1.08 per 90 minutes. I like that goal differential more than I like all the things that Cardi B, Bad Bunny, and J Balvin like on their song that is creatively named “I Like It.” Coincidentally, when people ask me what I think about that song, I say, “I like it.” I am very creative.
If we look at the lineups that Orlando City has used against back lines of three defenders then there are some pretty major differences in personnel groupings, but it must be noted that more than half of the games against teams playing three in the back came early in the season, when Ramiro Enrique was unavailable to play. Enrique, my presumed starter at striker, has played fewer than three games’ worth of minutes (265 total) against back lines of three this season, and only 28 minutes with the main starting group, which ranks 13th among all the attacking lineups for minutes played against three defenders. That group scored one goal in their 28 minutes together though, for a robust 3.21 goals-scored-per-90-minutes average.
While the team as a whole has been successful against three-man back lines, I do not expect any of the lineups shown in the table below to play more than a few minutes together this weekend, though the first row and the last row are strong groups and had a lot of success.
I am sure that all week long the Orlando City coaching staff has been going back and forth on whether it is more likely that Atlanta reverts to its most commonly used four in the back, or if the Five Stripes try for three wins in a row with three in the back. I would prefer that Atlanta plays with zero defenders and goalkeeper Brad Guzan wears a blindfold, but I think that is unlikely to be the case.
Even though Atlanta defeated Orlando City both times while in a 4-2-3-1, based on available personnel and recent results, I believe that the team will come out in a 3-5-2 in Inter&Co Stadium in the conference semifinal. Good things come in threes, and Orlando City’s best offensive production this season has been against three defenders, so I am going to be hoping that this continues, and in the third game against Atlanta the Lions grab the three points. Three’s company!
Well, it is a playoff game, so there are no actual points at stake, but you know what I meant.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando Pride vs. Washington Spirit: Three Keys to Victory
The Case for Starting Luis Muriel Against Atlanta
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