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Orlando City vs. D.C. United (Round 3): Match Preview

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Why does it seem like the team Orlando City (4-5-5, 17 points) has the most trouble beating is the team they have to play the most often?

Sunday will mark the third meeting between the Lions and Eastern Conference rival D.C. United (8-4-4, 28 points), and we haven’t even reached the halfway point of the 2015 season. Through two previous outings, Orlando is yet to earn a single point.

In the first match-up in April, Orlando City outplayed United and amassed 17 shots over 90 minutes. However, with the help of a Man of the Match performance from keeper Bill Hamid, D.C. was able to stick around long enough for Luis Silva to curl in a 91st minute free kick winner.

A month later, the Lions went looking for revenge in the nation’s capital. Orlando went up 1-0 early, but they were unable to hold on and trailed 2-1 at the final whistle. Orlando was missing some key players due to injury as it was, and things were over for the Lions as soon as center back Aurelien Collin went down in the second half with a hamstring strain. That May tilt marked a low point for Orlando City’s season, as the club hadn’t won in four weeks, including three losses.

Things have turned for the better since then though, with the Lions currently riding a four-game unbeaten streak (2-0-2) and squarely in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. Things haven't been so bad for United either, though. D.C. currently sits seven points clear of second-place New England atop the Eastern Conference standings.

Formation and Starting XI:

Orlando City SC vs Away team - Football tactics and formations

Orlando City SC:

The Lions are much healthier now than they were the last time these two teams met, but they'll still be without a few key players due to national team duty. Starting forward Cyle Larin will miss the match, though he scored yesterday for the Canadian National Team. Midfielder Darwin Ceren, whose El Salvador side struggled to a 2-2 tie against St. Kitts and Nevis, will also be absent.

Those are big losses for Orlando, but Brek Shea should be back in action after a two-match stint with the U.S. National Team. A healthy Pedro Ribeiro will be a solid replacement for Larin up top, and we may see a shot at redemption for the benched Amobi Okugo in the midfield. Theoretically, both should be very capable replacements, but you never know how something like that will affect team chemistry.

D.C. United:

On the health front, things aren’t all that different up north in D.C. Staggered by injuries early in the year, United are nearly back to full strength as well. Chris Pontius is still likely out for this one, and Luis Silva may start on the bench for another week or two until he fully regains his form. I like Steve Birnbaum to slide back over to center back this week now that Taylor Kemp has returned, but Kofi Opare could also keep the role for another week or two.

Fabian Espindola is clearly the danger man for United; through only 311 minutes so far in 2015, he’s amassed four assists, one goal, and 12 shots. As Orlando City has learned, though, D.C. is a well-balanced side, and there are plenty of players in the 11 who can finish the chances that Espindola creates. Chris Rolfe and Nick DeLeon provide dangerous support from their respective wings, and Rolfe in particular is an excellent finisher.

What to Watch For:

Can Orlando Score Without Larin?

Surprisingly, rookie Cyle Larin has established himself as the Lions’ number one goal-scoring threat so far this season. Kaká has only scored once from the run of play, ditto for Eric Avila, and Brek Shea has yet to score for Orlando.

Pedro Ribeiro has shown an ability to find the net when healthy, and Orlando City may be relying on him again on Sunday. Kaká and Shea will need to get into the scoring act eventually though. With Larin out, this may be the weekend to do it.

"X" Factor:

Bill Hamid: If it wasn't for the D.C. United keeper, we wouldn't even be discussing the possibility of a season sweep for United. Orlando was easily the better team in the first meeting in April, and would have won if not for a handful of spectacular saves by the U.S. international.

Unfortunately for City, that's not exactly out of the ordinary for Hamid. He's long been tabbed as the heir apparent behind Tim Howard and Brad Guzan for the U.S. National Team, and he's been known to carry his team to victory on occasion in league play. If Hamid plays like he did last time D.C. was in the Citrus Bowl, a 0-0 tie may be the best result the Lions can hope for.

Prediction:

To be frank, there’s not much that’s more embarrassing in MLS than being on the wrong end of a three-game season sweep against a conference opponent. Maybe losing to New York City FC (Boom! Roasted.). But that’s about it.

The Lions outplayed D.C. once already at home this year though, and since then, they seem to have figured out how to win games. It's difficult to account for another round of heroics from Hamid, but if the field players perform the same way they did in April, City comes away the winners nine times out of 10.

Final Result: 2-1 Orlando City

What are your thoughts headed into Orlando's third match of the season against D.C.? Let us know in the comment section. Be sure to join in on our Match Day Open Thread 90 minutes (or so) prior to kickoff!

The match is scheduled for Sunday, June 14, at 7 p.m. It will be televised nationally on FOX Sports 1 and FOX Deportes and will also be transmitted on Real Radio 104.1 FM and La Grande 1030 AM.

Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More

The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.

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Image of Alex Freeman celebrating after scoring the tying goal at Cincinnati.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.

We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote

This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.

Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 506 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!

27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.

39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.

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PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More

Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more

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Image of Oscar Pareja giving his team directions.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.

We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.

We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.

Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.

This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.

The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 502 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.

29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).

46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.

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Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media

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Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.

When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.

With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.

All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.

We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.

Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.

Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.

Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.

Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.

But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.

Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.

Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.

Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.

Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.

At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.

Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.

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