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Orlando City vs. Esporte Clube Bahia: Match Preview, Starting XIs, Predictions and More

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Orlando City is back … sort of.

While the Lions still have a week to go before the games count for real, their final preseason friendly against Esporte Clube Bahia will give the Citrus Bowl faithful their first good look at the club's form heading into the 2016 season. While the opposition may be a second-division Brazilian club, expect Bahia to present plenty of challenges for Orlando on Saturday night.

The spotlight in this game will be focused on the guys in purple, as several Orlando City players come into 2016 under the weight of newfound expectations. Kaká will be searching for consistency during his second season in MLS, while Brek Shea and Kevin Molino will simply be looking to stay on the field. And several OCSC newcomers, including goalkeeper Joe Bendik and left back Kevin Alston, will be looking to impress with their new club.

Thanks to Flávio Augusto da Silva's role in the front office and the immense star power of Kaká, this is already Orlando's third friendly against Brazilian opposition since joining MLS. The Lions previously squared off against Ponte Preta last May, in a memorable encounter that saw the Lions emerge with a 3-2 victory.

The Lions would also travel to the historic Maracanã in October, where they fell to Flamengo 1-0 in a post-season friendly from Rio de Janeiro.

We’ve got everything you need to prepare for Saturday night’s dress rehearsal right here, with some help from our resident Brazilian soccer expert, Austin Miller of the The Botafogo Star. He’s got a scouting report on Bahia, players to watch and predictions for the match. Give him a follow at @austin_james906 for some of the best English-language coverage of Brazilian soccer you’ll find on Twitter.

Starting XI and Lineups:

Orlando City - Football tactics and formations

Orlando City:

It’s never easy predicting the lineup for a preseason friendly, but expect Adrian Heath to send out plenty of big names on Saturday night. While substitutions will be coming early and often, this should give the coaching staff a final chance to evaluate Orlando’s projected starters before facing off against Real Salt Lake next week.

In the attacking midfield, SuperDraft pick Richie Laryea could start alongside Kaká and Adrian Winter. That’s the spot normally reserved for Kevin Molino, but the club has been cautious with the Trinidadian as he recovers from an ACL tear suffered last season. He played 45 minutes against Fort Lauderdale Strikers in a closed-door friendly on Wednesday, so expect limited minutes from Molino if makes an appearance at all on Saturday night.

Christian Higuita and Darwin Cerén will partner in the defensive midfield while the club awaits Antonio Nocerino’s arrival from Italy. Brek Shea and Rafael Ramos appear to have things locked up on the wings.

But the center backs are where things get interesting.

Aurélien Collin has been running with the reserves in the preseason, while Seb Hines and David Mateos have been paired together in the starting back line. This could represent a changing of the guard at center back in 2016, but more likely indicates that Hines and Mateos are battling for the other starting center back role, alongside Collin, once the season gets underway. Saturday night will provide Orlando fans with a chance to see what each player brings to the table on the defensive end of the field.

Esporte Clube Bahia:

Austin Miller: “Bahia come to Orlando in a down moment for the club. Following relegation in 2014, Bahia were pegged to bounce back to the top flight in 2015, but struggled down the stretch of the Série B season, losing 4 of their final 6 games and subjecting themselves to another season fighting for promotion. As is wont to happen in Brazilian football, Bahia experienced a massive amount of turnover during the January transfer window in preparation for the current campaign.

For the uninitiated, the Brazilian season runs from the beginning of February to the end of December. Bahia are currently participating in both the Campeonato Baiano, their state championship, and the Copa do Nordeste, a tournament between clubs from the Northeast region of the country. Due to playing this match with Orlando City, Bahia will actually play two matches on March 9th, one in the Baino, and one in the Copa do Nordeste. On a related note, this will probably only be the 10th weirdest thing to happen in Brazilian football this season.

Bahia are managed by Doriva, who like most Brazilian managers, has been around the block a time or two. Most recently, he managed São Paulo for a whopping seven matches before finding himself dismissed. Like most Brazilian sides, Bahia will work out of a 4-2-3-1. With Bahia having played Thursday night in the Copa do Nordeste against Confiança, it's quite uncertain exactly who they'll bring to Orlando or what they'll play, but a 4-2-3-1 should be the basis."

Players to Watch:

Austin Miller: “As stated before, it’s difficult to know exactly who Bahia will bring to Orlando, and thus who will play. All three goalies are talented, starter Marcelo Lomba (who played for Ponte Preta against Orlando City last year) was pegged by many to move up the Série A pecking order, but elected instead to move to Bahia. 20-year-old Jean was the starting keeper for Brazil in last summer’s U-20 World Cup, and should at least feature, if not start, on this summer’s Olympic roster. In the attack, 29-year old Hernane scored 16 goals in 2013 for Flamengo, and should lead the Bahia attack this season.

Bahia's two best attackers from last season, Kieza and Maxi Biancucchi are both gone, Kieza to São Paulo, while Biancucchi has been told to find another club. As always with Brazilian clubs, the names are part of the fun, and Bahia have Feijão, which literally translates to "beans.""

Three Questions for Orlando City:

1) How many minutes will we see from the regulars?

This will be Orlando's first preseason match in front of a crowd since the 2-1 loss to Jacksonville back on February 13. Adrian Heath sent out a first choice starting XI in that game, with Kevin Molino the only projected started withheld due to injury. But with their MLS opener only a week away, Orlando could always sideline a few more key players for this game.

Whether playing it safe with injury or trying to avoid giving Real Salt Lake or Chicago an early-season tactical preview, don't be surprised if some big names don't see action in this one.

On the other hand, Heath might take this opportunity to see if his starters are ready to go a full 90 minutes.

2) Can Joe Bendik make a good first impression?

When Orlando City signed embattled Toronto goalkeeper Joe Bendik in the off-season, it wasn’t exactly hailed as big-time move. But with Tally Hall out of the picture, it looks like Bendik will get a shot to lock down the starting job in 2016. His 73 appearances with Toronto give the 26-year-old an advantage over Earl Edwards Jr. and he saw plenty of time in goal during preseason.

Despite a rough end to his tenure in Canada, Bendik would love nothing more than to endear himself to Orlando fans with a strong performance in his Citrus Bowl debut.

3) Will Adrian Heath make any changes in the defensive midfield ahead of Antonio Nocerino's arrival?

Orlando City fans won't get a chance to break out their No-No-No-Nocerino chants on Saturday night, but we could see some tactical proof that the Lions are preparing for the Italian's arrival.

Nocerino is expected to slot into the defensive midfield next to either promising youngster Cristian Higuita or reigning MLS Latino Player of the Year Darwin Ceren, but Heath could also experiment with a new formation that better utilizes the attacking prowess of the former AC Milan star.

While Orlando City played out of a 4-2-3-1 for the majority of last season, the coaching staff wasn't afraid to mix it up when necessary. What better time to experiment with something new than an exhibition match against a non-league team?

Prediction:

Austin Miller: "I can't see Bahia having too much of an investment in this match. With two competitions going on in Brazil right now, and Série B action starting up in May, expect to see a young side take the pitch on Saturday. With that considered, I like Orlando City to win 2-0."
Me: It's preseason, so the result only means so much, but I expect Orlando City to be the sharper team on Saturday. With a Bahia squad likely composed of rotational players looking to impress the coaching staff, look for the Brazilian visitors to be high on motivation but short on talent in this one. With a healthy roster and a little added juice from the Citrus Bowl faithful, I think Orlando City wins 3-1.

Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More

The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.

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Image of Alex Freeman celebrating after scoring the tying goal at Cincinnati.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.

We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote

This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.

Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 506 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!

27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.

39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.

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PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More

Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more

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Image of Oscar Pareja giving his team directions.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.

We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.

We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.

Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.

This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.

The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 502 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.

29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).

46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.

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Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media

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Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.

When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.

With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.

All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.

We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.

Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.

Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.

Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.

Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.

But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.

Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.

Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.

Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.

Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.

At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.

Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.

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