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Orlando City and the Illusion of Progress

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Edit: I wrote this yesterday before James O’Connor was sacked so apologies if some of it still reads as speculation instead of fact. I’ve tried to update it since but, in short, O’Connor was never going to survive and rightly so.

It’s finally over. As the 2019 Orlando City season finally comes to a close, I’ll hit you with one more dose of reality. Anyone who has followed my articles will know I’m a big stats guy. I don’t like reactionary opinions based in little or no fact but the difficulty can still remain when what people infer from stats differs. After all, it’s not black or white.

Depending on your outlook in life, this year’s numbers either make for terrible reading or, as those scrambling for any shred of optimism have repeatedly told themselves, “the team has improved and must be trending upwards.” It’s technically true: for the first time in history, Orlando City has finished with a higher points total than the previous year. It also improved on both the goals scored and goals conceded totals simultaneously for the first time and got the furthest it ever has in the U.S. Open Cup following its run to the semifinals.

Yet, for all these improvements, they largely register as nothing more than default wins when in truth the only reason the team has seemingly improved is because it would have been incredibly difficult for things to get worse following a historically poor 2018 season. The progress is an illusion based purely on comparing it to subpar standards. In reality, the team has in fact stood still compared to the rest of MLS. A net gain of nine total points on last year has taken Orlando from 11th in the Eastern Conference and 22nd in the Supporters’ Shield standings last year all the way up to *checks notes* 11th in the Eastern Conference and 22nd in the Supporters’ Shield standings.

For further context, this season’s points total of 37 is the team’s second lowest in history behind only 2018. The goal total is only one more than last year and the third fewest by season. The only notable difference has been that the team took the tremendous leap of conceding the fewest goals it has in a single season, namely 52, which is still frankly a pretty poor number to have as a record best (12 teams managed to concede 50 or fewer goals just this season alone). Orlando City’s biggest boast in the 2019 season is essentially that it lost lower scoring games by narrower margins. Even then, the rhetoric starts to fall apart thanks to a Decision Day defeat that saw the Chicago Fire come to Orlando and hand the Lions a record home defeat with the Lions only losing by three goals in Central Florida for the third time and the first time it had conceded five goals at home. On a day with absolutely nothing but pride, hope and self-respect at stake, James O’Connor’s Orlando City crumbled in embarrassing fashion.

So yes, the team has improved but that’s like being thankful the diner that gave you food poisoning has at least stopped spitting in your food. Of course it’s an improvement but you’re still getting sick. Improving and failing to reach an acceptable standard are not mutually exclusive. If Orlando City had any ambition, it needed to stop measuring its targets against itself and recalibrate its standards to fall in line with the rest of the league. This is one of the strongest squads Orlando City has had — unfortunately MLS has moved a lot faster than Orlando City has even in the short five seasons since the team joined in 2015, leaving the Lions playing a game of checkers they’ve only just learnt the rules to while everyone else is playing chess.

Fortunately the team now has somebody with a sense of just where the standards need to be and who is accountable when they are not met in Luiz Muzzi. The former FC Dallas Director of Soccer has already done some smart recruiting since joining from the Texas outfit last December and the team will be able to jettison some of the high-value contracts attached to players that have struggled to contribute ahead of the 2020 season. But 2019 was James O’Connor’s audition to really show what he’s got to a man that did not hire him but whose success is intrinsically linked to that of O’Connor’s. What O’Connor turned out to have was the second worst season in team history, a standard that would all but seal his fate in any other league and for Muzzi, that was more than enough to not want to gamble his own job on. Orlando City’s security as an MLS team, regardless of how poor it is, meant there was previously little in the way of consequence under a regime that was content with being an “also ran” type of contender. We can always go again next year, right? Not any more.

Einstein once said that insanity is “doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.” I’ve spoke at length earlier in the season on both the importance of getting value from numerous Designated Players and hiring the right head coach and this end of season run has done nothing to sway my thinking.

The team went into the final eight games of the season above the playoff line. Finally, a playoff race in which the team controls it own destiny! Even the team’s favorable end of season strength of schedule lent itself perfectly to a postseason push.

How did the Lions respond? By taking four points out of a possible 24 — a points total that last season’s historically bad team managed in its final six games, two games fewer and without the prospect of playoff contention to help motivate them. At what point do we stop convincing ourselves that this team is any better off this year, a season that saw an additional one extra playoff spot up for grabs no less, than last year? The team has had 18 months to assess O’Connor and hasn’t liked what it has seen. If Orlando City is to get 2020 right, it needed to go into the season with a coach it believes in, not hesitantly stick with O’Connor before inevitably sacking him in the middle of the season as happened with both Adrian Heath and Jason Kreis before trying to muddle through another half season and rebuilding again during winter.

I was called a pessimist when I gave my preseason predictions. I said the team would finish in 9th with a 9–13–12 record and 39 points, the lowest of anybody. Turns out I was a realist, or maybe even a borderline optimist, after the team finished 11th with a 9–15–10 record and 37 points. I said it then and I’ll say it again: “Orlando City is a small fish compared to the MLS elite and will be scrapping for the last handful of playoff spots.” The team has consistently shown that it is only interested in little more than trying to fight it out for that final playoff spot. There’s no real shame in having realistic and attainable ambitions yet despite setting such a lowly target, Orlando City still came up significantly short.

As a wise Jedi Master once said: “Do or do not. There is no try.” Orlando City did not. There are no prizes for trying and the simple fact is, the arbitrary notion ‘progress’ isn’t good enough in a results-based business. Orlando City has finally chosen to acknowledge that and now the pressing issue with O’Connor gone is finding the right replacement that won’t simply improve on a bad season by having a less-bad season; they need a good season.

Orlando City

Orlando City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More

Orlando City restarts its 2026 MLS campaign late tonight out west at San Jose.

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Image of Braian Ojeda taking a shot in a friendly against FC Dallas.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Justin Glatt

Welcome to your match thread for a late night midweek matchup tonight between Orlando City (4-9-2, 14 points) and the San Jose Earthquakes (10-3-2, 32 points) at PayPal Park (10:30 p.m., Apple TV). This is the only scheduled meeting between the teams in 2026 and the first time the teams have met since 2024.

Here’s what you need to know ahead of tonight’s match.

History

Orlando City is 3-1-3 in the previous seven MLS meetings with the Quakes since the club joined Major League Soccer in 2015. The Lions got their only away win in the series in the last meeting and enter tonight 1-1-2 on the road against San Jose.

The teams last met on May 18, 2024, with Jack Lynn coming off the bench to score the game’s only goal. Lynn’s strike in the 89th minute broke the scoreless deadlock and lifted the Lions to a 1-0 victory.

The teams met in Orlando most recently way back on June 22, 2021, with the Lions beating the Quakes down, 5-0. Orlando got things started with an early penalty kick goal by Nani, followed by braces from Benji Michel and Daryl Dike to easily put the game away. The lasting memory from the game is Michel’s celebratory dance wearing a cowboy hat that came out of the stands.

Prior to that Orlando City romp, the last time the teams met was on Aug. 31, 2019 when the Lions got freight trained 3-0 at Avaya Stadium, giving the Quakes their first win in the series. San Jose’s offense came via a Chris Wondolowski brace and an early opening goal by Magnus Eriksson. Orlando looked flat and weary out of the gate.

The Lions were victorious in Exploria Stadium in the 2018 meeting on April 21, a 3-2 Orlando win. It was the first win in the series for either side after three straight draws. Chris Mueller, Sacha Kljestan, and Dom Dwyer gave the Lions a 3-0 lead before Florian Jungwirth pulled two back in the game’s late stages.

The Lions led all of the first three matches in the second half only to see San Jose pull level, with two of those tying goals coming late. In the 2017 meeting, Carlos Rivas finally broke the scoreless tie and gave Orlando City the lead in the 81st minute, but Wondolowski spoiled the Lions’ night with an equalizer two minutes later as the teams drew at Avaya Stadium, 1-1.

In 2016, the Lions were gut-punched in the 94th minute in an emotional match that ended in a 2-2 draw. It was the first home match following the Pulse nightclub tragedy and what appeared to be a storybook ending to a cathartic win turned sour on a last-gasp equalizer by Shea Salinas. Seb Hines — now the Orlando Pride’s head coach — opened the scoring for Orlando, only to see Chad Barrett tie it up. Julio Baptista restored the lead in stoppage time, but Salinas ruined everything.

The two teams also drew in the first meeting, a 1-1 affair at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, with the Lions down to 10 men after Brek Shea was sent off in the first half. Kaká and Wondolowski each scored from the penalty spot four minutes apart in that initial meeting.

Overview

The teams meet tonight to get their post-World Cup portion of the season started. Orlando City has been terrible on the road all season long, keeping only one MLS opponent under two goals all year away from home and allowing five goals twice (at New York City FC and Nashville) and six goals twice (at LAFC and in the team’s most recent match away at FC Cincinnati just before the break).

Orlando City is a putrid 1-6-1 on the road this season, and now the Lions must face the Western Conference co-leaders tonight before coming home to face Supporters’ Shield-leading Nashville SC at home on Saturday. They’ll have to play at least tonight’s game without Martin Ojeda, who is out with a thigh injury sustained some time between his first-half goal a week ago in a friendly against FC Dallas and the time the availability report dropped on Tuesday.

But it isn’t all bad news for the Lions, who should have both Antoine Griezmann and Dike in the lineup. Griezmann was the club’s highly prized and widely publicized summer Designated Player signing, while Dike’s return to Orlando came together more recently, following his departure from West Bromwich Albion. They’ll help the club’s offense, but the attack hasn’t been the issue in 2026 — it’s been the historically porous defense, which is on pace to shatter the MLS record for goals conceded.

Meanwhile, San Jose is one of the first half of the season’s biggest surprises, as the Quakes have been outstanding in 2026. Scoring 34 goals while conceding just 15, San Jose is among the league leaders in goals scored (tied for third), goals conceded (third), and goal differential (+19, third).

The Earthquakes are 4-2-1 at home and are coming off a 3-1 road win at Portland in their last game prior to the World Cup break. San Jose boasts Golden Boot challenger Preston Judd, who leads the Quakes with 11 goals, adding two assists in his 15 appearances. Ousseni Bouda has chipped in five goals and three assists. Niko Tsakiris leads the team with seven assists to go along with his two goals, but he’s still recovering from a lower body injury and is not available tonight. However, the arrival of Timo Werner (four goals and five assists in just seven games) has truly elevated Bruce Arena’s Quakes, and he’ll need to be one of the main focal points for the Orlando defense.

To have any shot at taking something from this game, the Lions will need to play better road defense than they have all season. Orlando can score goals, but with Ojeda out, Griezmann will need to adapt quickly, and someone other than the team’s leading scorer will need to find the net.

The Lions will play without Ojeda (thigh), Joran Gerbet (knee), Nolan Miller (knee), Colin Guske (international duty), and Clovis Archage (international duty). In addition, Marco Pasalic may or may not have returned to the team after the World Cup. He was not in training Monday, although interim head coach Martin Perelman said he expected the Croatian back soon. The Earthquakes will be without Nonso Adimabua (lower body), former Lion Earl Edwards Jr. (lower body), DeJuan Jones (lower body), and Tsakiris (you guessed it, lower body…come on, San Jose).

Match Content


Official Lineups:

Orlando City (4-4-2)

Goalkeeper: Maxime Crepeau.

Defenders: Adrian Marin, David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Griffin Dorsey.

Midfielders: Ivan Angulo, Braian Ojeda, Eduard Atuesta, Tiago.

Forwards: Justin Ellis, Antoine Griezmann.

Bench: Javier Otero, Bernardo Rhein, Tahir Reid-Brown, Zakaria Taifi, Iago, Wilder Cartagena, Luis Otavio, Harvey Sarajian, Tyrese Spicer

San Jose Earthquakes (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper: Angus Gunn.

Defenders: Jamar Ricketts, Reid Roberts, Daniel Munie, Benjamin Kikanovic.

Defensive Midfielders: Beau Lerouox, Ronaldo Vieira.

Attacking Midfielders: Timo Werner, Nick Fernandez, Ousseni Bouda.

Forwards: Preston Judd.

Bench: Jonathan Gonzalez, Dave Romney, Paul Marie, Jack Skahan, Jack Jasinski, Ian Harkes, Francesco Montali, Max Floriani, Darius Johnson.

Referees

REF: Elijio Arreguin.
AR1: Adam Wienckowski.
AR2: Mike Nickerson.
4TH: Timothy Ford.
VAR: Jose Carlos Rivero.
AVAR: TJ Zablocki.


How to Watch

Match Time: 10:30 p.m.

Venue: PayPal Park — San Jose, CA.

TV/Live Stream: Apple TV.

Radio: AM 810 FOX Sports Radio Orlando (English), Mega 97.1 FM (Spanish), Nossa Rádio 1160 AM-WRLZ (Portuguese).

Social Media: For rapid reaction and live updates, follow us on Bluesky Social at @themaneland.bsky.social or follow Orlando City’s official Twitter (@OrlandoCitySC) or Bluesky (@OrlandoCitySC) feed.


Enjoy the match. Go City!

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Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 542: Tampa Bay Friendly, McGuire Traded, OCB Beats Cincinnati, and More

Lions maul the Rowdies in friendly action, OCB wins on the road, and it’s transfer season.

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Image of Antoine Griezmann and Ivan Angulo celebrating a goal in a friendly against the Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City welcomed I-4 Derby rival Tampa Bay to Inter&Co Stadium for a friendly match on Wednesday and then proceeded to bludgeon the Rowdies with a couple of hammers named Antoine Griezmann and Justin Ellis. The two attackers combined for a goal and four assists in a 6-0 beatdown of the team from the Gulf Coast, with five different Lions scoring and Griffin Dorsey forcing an own goal. We discuss Griezmann’s first minutes with Orlando City, what the team showed in its formation, and how good Justin Ellis’ vision is.

Oh, and it’s also transfer season now. Duncan McGuire is on his way out and Marco Pasalic reportedly will follow soon, while a new left back may be headed from Spain to Orlando.

Following all of that, we discuss Maxime Crepeau being added to the MLS All-Star Team and the announcement that he’ll participate in the 2026 MLS All-Star Skills Challenge.

Our mailbagbox asked us about which World Cup semifinalist players we’d want to join Orlando this season (if we could only pick one), and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

After the mailbagbox, we dive into OCB’s 2-1 road win at FC Cincinnati 2. It wasn’t the prettiest game by the Young Lions, but they managed to do enough to earn three points on the road, where they’ll stay to face Chattanooga on Saturday. We briefly preview that game.

Finally, Orlando City will be in Dallas Wednesday for the second of two friendlies leading up to the restart of the MLS season. It’s unlikely we’ll get a lot of details about that one, but we’ll see what happens. Maybe the FC Dallas folks will help us out.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 542 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City crushed the Rowdies, the transfer season is in full swing, plus: hey now, Crepeau’s an all-star.

28:50 – The mailbagbox is always good for a hypothetical scenario.

36:54 – The Young Lions slipped past Cincy and head to Chattanooga, while the senior Lions head to Dallas.

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SkoPurp Soccer Episode 119: International Break, USWNT, Louisville Preview, and More

The Pride return from a long international break looking to get their first-ever road win against Racing Louisville.

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Image of Haley McCutcheon scoring the opening goal in Orlando's home playoff win over Seattle.
Image courtesy of Orlando Pride / Jeremy Reper

It feels like months since the Orlando Pride last took the field, but the calendar says otherwise. If you believe calendars, it’s only been a little less than three weeks, but time moves strangely in the post-pandemic apocalyptic world.

Anyway, we don’t have a match to recap, so we touched on a couple of Pride players putting the ball in the net during the international break and chat a bit about the United States Women’s National Team’s three-game friendly series against Japan. Emma Hayes used a lot of players, and the team looked solid for two of the three matches, but the rotated middle game seemed a bit disjointed. Hayes has greatly expanded the player pool and will have plenty of options when the World Cup approaches.

Our mailbagbox had questions about a potential change in the NWSL schedule, as the league explores adopting the fall-to-spring slate, and opposition own goals. Remember, you can ask us anything by hitting us up on Twitter at either @TheManeLand or @SkoPurpSoccer and using the hashtag #AskSkoPurp. You can use that same hashtag and hit @TheManeLand.bsky.social up on Bluesky. Or you can visit our show page, scroll down, and fill out the handy form. We’d also appreciate any ratings or reviews you can leave wherever you get your podcasts, and if you do that on Apple Podcasts, we’ll find them easily and read them on the show.

After the mailbagbox, we turned our attention toward Friday’s late afternoon tussle with Racing Louisville in Kentucky. The Pride have never won on the road against Louisville, and it’s about high time they did. This match begins a congested push to the June World Cup break, and although Friday’s hosts aren’t high in the table, the Pride must be at their best to get a road result in this fixture. We look back at the series history, compare the two sides, provide our key matchups in the game, and make our final score predictions.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how Episode 119 went down:

0:15 – We open the show with a little banter about the Pride in the international break and the USWNT’s series vs. Japan.

9:03 – The mailbagbox features questions via both eletronic mail and social media. We welcome all modes of delivery.

19:59 – The Pride travel to Louisville to face Racing. They’ve never won in Kentucky, but we inform them how to do so.

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