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MLS Coach of the Year: The Too-Late Case for Óscar Pareja

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In what shouldn’t have been, but felt like, a surprise, Jim Curtin of the Philadelphia Union has won the 2020 Sigi Schmid MLS Coach of the Year award over Orlando City’s Óscar Pareja. I say shouldn’t have been, because we’ve already seen MLS change the Rookie of the Year award to the Young Player of the Year Award to allow Diego Rossi to win.

In previous seasons, Daryl Dike most likely would have won the award as the best rookie. So, it shouldn’t be a surprise that Pareja wasn’t honored either. Let’s look at the reasons why I don’t agree with the result.

First off, let me say that Curtin had a good year. His club won the Supporters’ Shield in a year where we weren’t sure if that award would even be given. Philadelphia has managed injuries very well, and has won matches. I’ll even add that Curtin has done a great job building Philadelphia to this point over the last several years. It’s the several years thing that is my main point of contention.

If you want to argue that taking into consideration the last several years, Curtin has been the best coach, I might agree with you. However, for just the 2020 season, Pareja is the clear choice. So how does Major League Soccer come up with the winner? They vote on very clear guidelines, taking into account numerous factors. Just kidding, it’s just based on what the following list of people feel.

  • Current MLS players.
  • MLS clubs (coaches, technical directors/general managers).
  • Select media members representing local and national outlets who consistently covered the 2020 MLS regular season.

I can’t be certain those people looked at the numbers from the end of 2019 to the end of the 2020 regular season, but we’re going to do so. Under Pareja, Orlando City went from 22nd place in MLS to fifth place, up 17 spots in the overall (Eastern Conference and Western Conference combined) standings. Under Curtin, Philadelphia went from fifth place to first place, up four spots in the standings. That is a much bigger improvement for the Lions, especially considering that it was Pareja’s first season with Orlando City, and Curtin’s seventh season with the Union.

Additionally, Pareja’s Lions went from 1.09 points per game in 2019 to 1.78 in 2020, an increase of 0.69. Orlando City also had two more wins, and 11 fewer losses than in 2019. The Lions’ longest unbeaten run in 2020 was 12 matches. On the other side, the Union went from 1.62 points per game to 2.04, which is a smaller increase of 0.42. Philadelphia had two fewer wins than 2019, seven fewer losses, and the club’s longest unbeaten run in 2020 was seven. (Note: with a shorter season, you’d expect fewer wins/losses from the previous season if all else was equal.)

When I write player grades columns for Orlando City matches, part of my criteria is my expectation for the player versus the actual results. The expectations for Orlando City from pretty much everyone, including our own Michael Citro in his 2020 Orlando City MLS preview, were not that high.

This is a team that should compete for a playoff position but I don’t see them finishing higher than sixth or seventh in the Eastern Conference unless things really come together well under Pareja. Eighth or ninth might be more realistic but progress must be made.

Of course, the rest of The Mane Land staff was split as to whether the Lions would even make the playoffs in our preseason TML staff roundtable. The Mane Land staff weren’t the only ones skeptical of an Orlando City team improving too much in 2020. Over at www.mlssoccer.com, their panel made the following predictions for the Lions.

  • Ben Baer: 11th in East
  • Marcelo Balboa (Univision): 9th in East
  • Calen Carr: 12th in East
  • Charlie Davies: 8th in East
  • Matt Doyle: 9th in East
  • Kristian Jack (TSN): 9th in East
  • Frederic Lord (TVA Sports): 13th in East

Now, let’s compare that to what they thought about Philadelphia.

  • Ben Baer: 6th in East
  • Marcelo Balboa (Univision): 2nd in East
  • Calen Carr: 3rd in East
  • Charlie Davies: 4th in East
  • Matt Doyle: 7th in East
  • Kristian Jack (TSN): 2nd in East
  • Frederic Lord (TVA Sports): 4th in East

Quite a big difference. What about ESPN? In their MLS 2020 team-by-team preview, Orlando City was predicted to finish “In the cellar,” and Philadelphia as an “Eastern Conference champion contender.” Even after the Lions’ run into the MLS is Back Tournament final, most were still skeptical of what Orlando City could do “outside the bubble.” It’s pretty obvious that the expectations for Orlando were very low, and much higher for Philadelphia. Which means Pareja got more than expected out of his club than his competition.

Because the 2020 season has been so odd, there’s only so much we can tell from the schedules, but in the only head-to-head result in the group stage of the MLS is Back Tournament, the two clubs drew, 1-1. Even then the Lions might have won if not for a vital save by Andre Blake. Regardless, Orlando City won the group. In non-conference play, the Union went 0-1-1 versus Western Conference opponents (both on the road), whereas Orlando City went 1-1-2 versus Western Conference opponents (all four on the road). The common opponent was at Dallas, with Orlando drawing 0-0 and Philadelphia losing 2-0.

There have been plenty of other articles on The Mane Land regarding how Pareja has brought out the best in his players both individually, and as a club. I’m certain that Curtin has done some good stuff on that front as well. But with all the others factors mentioned above, I can only come to the conclusion that the voters decided to award Coach of the Year to Curtin based on the culmination of several years of club development, rather than just one season, or maybe because his team won the Supporters’ Shield.

If that’s the case, then just attach it to the Supporters’ Shield, because when you look at what each accomplished — given where they started at the beginning of 2020 — it’s clear Pareja should have received more votes.

Here’s hoping that the club takes the slight as motivation as the Lions head into the playoffs.

Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More

The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.

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Image of Alex Freeman celebrating after scoring the tying goal at Cincinnati.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.

We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote

This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.

Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 506 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!

27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.

39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.

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Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More

Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more

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Image of Oscar Pareja giving his team directions.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.

We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.

We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.

Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.

This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.

The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 502 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.

29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).

46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.

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Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media

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Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.

When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.

With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.

All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.

We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.

Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.

Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.

Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.

Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.

But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.

Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.

Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.

Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.

Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.

At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.

Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.

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