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Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati

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Last year Orlando City had to wait until its third game to notch a victory, and hopefully that pattern repeats itself this year. The Lions will look to remain undefeated against FC Cincinnati, and hopefully can get their first win of the 2021 season.

With FCC coming to town, I spoke with Bryan Weigel of Cincinnati Soccer Talk to get us all brought up to speed on a team we haven’t faced since 2019. Big thanks to Bryan as he provided some excellent insight on this week’s opponent.

The team had two very different results in its opening pair of games. FCC went on the road in Week 1 and earned a gutsy draw in Nashville, but fell to NYCFC 5-0 last week. Obviously it’s a bit too early to draw major conclusions from results, but does last week’s performance concern you or do you think it will stand out as an outlier in a few month’s time?

Bryan Weigel: FC Cincinnati’s first two matches were certainly interesting. On matchday one at Nashville, the Orange & Blue dictated play in the first 15-20 minutes, resulting in a 2-0 scoreline early. Their vulnerabilities came to the forefront shortly after with the midfield conceding possession and the defense reverting to 2020 emergency defending. Due to the heroics of Przemysław Tytoń, Cincinnati was able to come away with a point while allowing 31 shots. Both Brenner (de Souza) and Luciano Acosta were able to get on the scoresheet, but struggled to generate chances later in the match due to the midfield’s inability to move the ball forward.

NYCFC was an absolute drubbing, yet FCC did not allow any goals in the run of play. Injuries to Tyton and Acosta set Cincinnati back and the makeshift playmaker Allan Cruz was ineffective. NYCFC scored all five goals off set pieces, with two going in the net off FCC center back Nick Hagglund. Cincinnati’s center backs (Hagglund and Tom Pettersson) are starting by default due to an injury to starter Maikel van der Werff and the quarantine of newcomer Gustavo Vallecilla. With two healthy center backs, who in all likelihood would be the third or fourth best CB on an average MLS side, Cincy is going to struggle. With that in mind, I think this last result was a one off that likely won’t repeat itself.

The return of Luciano Acosta to Major League Soccer was one of the biggest pieces of off-season news in the league. How has he looked so far?

BW: Lucho Acosta provided one of the best moments of brilliance vs. Nashville in his opening goal of the season. Cincinnati has missed a true playmaker for the past two seasons in MLS and Acosta was expected to shore up the league’s worst attack. He dazzled in preseason and the sky was the limit after week one. Unfortunately, Acosta injured his elbow last week in training and, while coach Jaap Stam stated he is day-to-day, Acosta is expected to miss two to four weeks. The whole attack was supposed to run through the Argentine and I am disappointed he is not able to develop relationships on the field early this season. The third DP, Brighton loanee Jurgen Locadia, will likely be called upon after building back fitness after a preseason injury and will need to create should he start on the left or right wing.

The other big name FCC brought in was Brenner, who might not be as familiar to the average fan as Acosta just yet. What role has he played for the team so far, and what do you expect to see from him this year?

BW: Brenner is the player that excites me the most for 2021. While young Designated Players have a mixed track record in MLS, Brenner scored a penalty in week one and was denied a goal on an amazing save by Sean Johnson last week. The young Brazilian should be as successful as the service that is provided to him. He ranks near the bottom of touches by forwards and wingers through two weeks after barely getting any looks in New York. Carrying a poor FCC attack without Acosta is a lot to ask a youngster, but I am optimistic with what I have seen. Brenner is not an imposing figure and will rely on his positioning and timing of runs. If this match becomes a game of long ball up to Brenner, Cincinnati will struggle. I hope he will assert himself better than last week, but the shock loss of Acosta and unfamiliarity with others will take time to overcome. I expect the new TQL Stadium to be referred to as “The House that Brenner Built” quickly. 

Are there any injuries or suspensions that will keep players unavailable for selection? What is your projected starting lineup and score prediction?

BW: Starters Maikel van der Werff (CB) and Luciano Acota (central attacking midfielder) will likely be out with goalkeeper Tyton probably 50/50 at best. New U-22 designation players Isaac Atanga (winger) and Gustavo Vallecilla (CB) are unlikely as well with Vallevilla in his quarantine period and Atanga beginning training on Monday. Both players arrive in Cincinnati with seven-figure transfers looming, so I expect them to perform at a high level later in the season. 

Some other key notes: Joe Gyau (right back) and Alvaro Barreal (U-22 right wing) are still working on a successful partnership. While they had their moments, Ronald Matarrita (left back) and first round draft pick Calvin Harris (left wing) have generated the most opportunities up the left flank. Locadia may start over Harris this week, but the youngster was probably the best player vs. NYCFC. Former forward/winger Yuya Kubo is transitioning to a box-to-box midfielder with mixed results. Kamohelo Mokojo and Kubo looked nervy in their defending last week and I would drive right at them this week.

Formation (4-3-3)

Goalkeeper: Any of Przemysław Tyton, Cody Cropper or Ben Lundt. 

Defenders: Ronald Matarrita, Nick Hagglund, Tom Pettersson, Joe Gyau.

Midfielders: Kamohelo Mokotjo, Allan Cruz, Yuya Kubo.

Forwards: Calvin Harris/Jürgen Locadia, Brenner, Alvaro Barreal.

Prediction: Orlando 2 – Cincinnati 0.


Thanks to Bryan for bringing us up to date on FC Cincinnati.

Opinion

Orlando City’s Start to the Season a Pleasant Surprise So Far

The Lions have started the new season well enough, but we shouldn’t get too carried away just yet.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

While Orlando City didn’t have a ton of roster turnover to deal with during the off-season, it was really anybody’s guess as to what sort of start the Lions would make to the 2025 Major League Soccer season. There was obviously the loss of all-time leading goal scorer Facundo Torres to deal with, then Wilder Cartagena was lost for the year in preseason, although the club did a great job in landing Eduard Atuesta to replace him. There were also questions about depth at left back, center back, and central midfield. It was anyone’s guess on how Marco Pasalic would adjust to life in MLS, and there were serious questions about whether the Lions had enough firepower up front with Duncan McGuire unavailable to start the season while he recovered from shoulder surgery.

While the club returned the vast majority of the guys who played key roles in helping reach the Eastern Conference final, on paper, the roster didn’t improve and arguably got weaker, so was it truly realistic to expect the team to go a step farther and make the final this year?

Despite all of those concerns, and despite a confidence-shaking 4-2 opening game loss to the Philadelphia Union, Orlando has largely made a good start to the campaign. The Lions have compiled a respectable 3-2-3 record and have 12 points to show for it, currently sitting in seventh place in the Eastern Conference, six points behind the first-place Columbus Crew.

Even in the two losses, it’s hard to make the argument that OCSC played truly bad games on the whole. Rather, the Lions were undone by moments of bad defending and losses of concentration that led to silly mistakes, particularly against the Union. The shaky defending has certainly been one of the bigger concerns, especially on an Oscar Pareja-coached team, but things have begun to look better after keeping two straight clean sheets.

Ironically, even though the offense seemed to be most people’s biggest concern before the season started, it’s been the part of the team that has consistently functioned at the highest level. Before the two 0-0 draws, Orlando had scored the most goals in the league, and despite being held scoreless twice in a row, they still have the third-most goals scored. Out of OCSC’s six games played with a first choice XI, the Lions have scored more than one goal four times. Even in the games when they haven’t been as prolific, or have largely been on the back foot, the Lions have still managed to carve out a healthy number of chances. While their finishing has let them down at times, they’ve still managed to get several good looks at goal in every game, and that’s half the battle.

All in all, it’s been a perfectly respectable start to the season, and the team honestly has performed higher than my (probably slightly pessimistic) expectations. While the start hasn’t been white hot, it’s been nice to not see the sort of slow start that so often has seemed to plague this club during Pareja’s tenure at the helm.

That being said, I think it’s important to place the beginning of the year in the proper context. It’s worth noting that of the teams that Orlando has played to this point, Philadelphia is the only one currently above the playoff line (although the New York Red Bulls occupy the last play-in spot). The Lions have beaten an LA Galaxy team that is the worst in the West; Toronto FC, which is second from the bottom in the East; and D.C. United, which is third from the bottom in the East. They drew the fifth-place Union on the road, and lost to NYCFC at the baseball stadium. But it has to be said that Orlando has faced a noticeable lack of top shelf opponents so far.

Essentially, Orlando has played three bad teams, two decent ones, and one that started very well but has cooled off in recent weeks (twice). Of course, OCSC can’t do anything about that, but it’s worth asking if the solid start to the season is due to the Lions legitimately being a good team, or if it’s more of a paper tiger situation where they just haven’t had to play many tough opponents yet.

There isn’t really any way of knowing for sure, and there won’t be any hints for awhile. With the way the standings currently look, Orlando won’t face a team above the playoff line until they go up against Charlotte FC on the road on May 14. I don’t bring all of this up to try to dampen the mood, but I just don’t think we have a truly accurate idea of this team’s level yet. Which is fair and totally fine, after all we’re only eight games into the season.

That doesn’t mean that we can’t give OCSC its due for a solid start to the year. It hasn’t been perfect by any means, but the team has done more good than bad, and the Lions’ current place in the standings reflects that. We should still keep things in perspective and resist the urge to dole out too much praise just yet, but we can be happy with what we’ve seen so far.

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Lion Links: 4/18/25

Orlando City set to play the Tampa Bay Rowdies, Lions reach Generation Adidas Cup semifinals, Angel City hires Alexander Straus, and more.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Happy Friday! I hope today finds you well as we gear up for another Saturday filled with soccer to enjoy. I don’t have many plans this Easter weekend beyond working, catching soccer when I can, and playing Baldur’s Gate 3 for the first time if I find some spare hours. Let’s dive right into today’s links from around the soccer world!

Orlando City Learns U.S. Open Cup Opponents

Orlando City’s 2025 U.S. Open Cup campaign will begin on the road against the Tampa Bay Rowdies on May 7 at 7:30 p.m. in what will be the latest edition of the I-4 Derby. It will be Orlando’s first game of this year’s tournament, while the Rowdies joined in the previous round and got past FC Naples in penalties. The Rowdies have lost four of their five games so far this season in the USL Championship and fired Robbie Neilson as head coach earlier this month. The Lions also notably would have hosting priority if they reach the round of 16, where they will play either Nashville SC or the Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Here’s the full schedule for the round of 32, which includes some interesting matchups across the country. The Tacoma Defiance are the only MLS NEXT Pro side left and will face the Portland Timbers, while the New York Red Bulls will have a long road trip to take on the Colorado Springs Switchbacks.

Lions Advance to Generation Adidas Cup Semifinals

Orlando City’s U-18 team beat Real Salt Lake 1-0 in the Generation Adidas Cup to secure a spot in the semifinals. The Young Lions have won four of their five games of the tournament and will take on Santos Laguna in the semifinal on Saturday. The winner of that match will face whichever team becomes victorious in the other semifinal between Atlanta United and the Colorado Rapids.

The U-16 team’s run in the Premier bracket is also going strong after a 1-0 win over Bayern Munich, and Orlando will take on the New England Revolution in the semifinals on Saturday.

Angel City FC Hires Alexander Straus

Bayern Munich’s Alexander Straus was named Angel City FC’s next head coach and will officially join the club on June 1. The Norwegian coach has won back-to-back Bundesliga titles and has Bayern positioned well to make it three straight this season. He’ll join an Angel City team that’s unbeaten in its first four games of the season under interim head coach Sam Laity, who will stay on as an assistant coach once Straus joins.

Europa League Quarterfinals End In Dramatic Fashion

Old Trafford hosted one of the wildest games in Europa League history, with Manchester United and Lyon battling for a spot in the quarterfinals. United scored twice in the first half, then conceded twice in the second, sending the game to extra time. Lyon took the lead despite being a man down and then the teams traded penalty kicks as the madness continued. Casemiro orchestrated Manchester’s victory in the end, assisting on two late goals within a minute of each other to beat Lyon 5-4 and advance. This United fan pretty much sums up just how much of a rollercoaster this match was.

There was also drama in Italy, as Lazio came back in the second leg to force extra time against Bodo/Glimt. The match went to penalties and Bodo/Glimt goalkeeper Nikitka Haikin denied former New York City FC player Taty Castellanos from the spot to book his team’s place in the semifinals. Although Tottenham was without Son Heung-Min, it got the job done in a 1-0 road win against Eintracht Frankfurt, while Athletic Club beat Rangers 2-0 in Spain to advance as well. In the semifinals, Tottenham will face Bodo/Glimt and Manchester United will take on Athletic Club.

Free Kicks


That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend!

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Orlando City

Orlando City at CF Montreal: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to earn all three points on the road against Montreal?

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City heads to the Great White North to take on CF Montreal. The Canadian squad sits in last place in not just the Eastern Conference but also the entire MLS, with only two points from a pair of draws. To say it’s not been a good start to the season is an understatement. Of course, it’s exactly that type of situation that makes it feel like a trap. What does Orlando City need to do to take all three points against CF Montreal?

Designated Goal Scorers

What do you do if you haven’t scored a goal in the last two matches? You play a team that has given up 13 goals in eight matches with a -9 goal differential. Montreal doesn’t have the worst defense in the league — I’m looking at you, D.C. United — but it’s not far off. That presents an opportunity for Orlando City to get back on track when it comes to scoring goals.

Through the first six matches of the season, Orlando City was leading the league in scoring with 15 goals. Over the last two matches, the spigot has dried up. The Lions must seize on this opportunity to create and finish their chances. Much like earlier in the season, I want to see Luis Muriel, Martin Ojeda, and Marco Pasalic lead the way. If anyone can get the first goal, then I’m hopeful the dam will break and the scoring drought will be over.

Keep it Clean

There is some good news of late when it comes to the Orlando City defense. The club has two clean sheets over the last two matches, and that is without Cesar Araujo. There is also some bad news, given Rodrigo Schlegel will be serving his red card suspension this match. That means David Brekalo will move back to center back with Robin Jansson, and Oscar Pareja will have to employ either Rafael Santos or Kyle Smith at left back. Santos has been less than good so far this season.

Montreal has scored a paltry four goals so far in 2025, but two of them have come from striker Prince Owusu. The defense will also need to deal with Caden Clark facilitating in the midfield. I get that this isn’t a prolific attack. Montreal has not looked very good this season and is looking for both its first win and its first points of any sort at home. That means the hosts may be desperate for a result, and desperate is often dangerous. How well the defense does — in particular, how well Santos does if he plays — may determine if Montreal is able to break out of its slump. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen.

Give the Midfield Time

Before the last match, I was a little worried about the midfield. Having both Araujo and Eduard Atuesta out at the same time seemed to be a concern. Now, after seeing how well Joran Gerbet and Dagur Dan Thorhallsson worked together against the New York Red Bulls, I’m way less worried. If Araujo and Atuesta need a little more time to get fully healthy, then let them. The Franco/Icelandic combo seems to be a potent one.

Of course, if the normal starters are ready, then by all means bring them back, but maybe not until the 60th minute. Perhaps Pareja could even mix and match. One never knows how yellow card suspensions or minor injuries will affect player availability. This is a good match for Gerbet and Thorhallsson to work their magic.


That is what I will be looking for Saturday night. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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