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Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati

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Orlando City has six games left in the season, and is looking to close out the season strong and make the playoffs. The home stretch begins with a road trip to FC Cincinnati.

Ahead of this one, I once again spoke to Bryan Weigel, one of the contributors over at Cincinnati Soccer Talk. As usual, Bryan did an excellent job of bringing us up to speed on Cincy.

Let’s start off by looking at the bigger picture, specifically the firings of Jaap Stam and General Manager Gerard Nijkamp. Do you think those moves were the correct decision?

Bryan Weigel: The move to mutually agree to part ways with GM Gerard Nijkamp and the dismissal of head coach Jaap Stam, while panned in the national media, were 100% necessary. I would like to refer your readers to CST’s roster tracker where we analyze the 2021 roster budget. (https://cincinnatisoccertalk.com/fc-cincinnati-salary-budget-tracker/). When viewing this metric, you will notice how egregious the 2020 and 2021 roster builds were, between Nijkamp’s reckless overspending on average-at-best internationals to not having a true No. 6, left wing or right back on the roster.

Can players do those roles? Certainly, but none of them are truly at home in those roles, or perform to what I would deem league average. Stam is a bit more uncertain in the short term. Could he have seen the season out and left in a more respectable manner? Yes, but while the players reportedly liked Jaap, his minute management and tactical acumen, especially when reviewing the Philly match this weekend, were rightfully questioned.

Tyrone Marshall is the interim head coach while new GM Chris Albright searches for Stam’s replacement. How has the team looked under him?

BW: Marshall has three losses in his short tenure, but I do not believe it’s an accurate representation of his ability as head coach. He came into a scenario where the club had to travel mid-week to Toronto and then another home match on short rest. His minute management already appears better with some “bench” players seeing more minutes. This weekend was probably the best and most dynamic the offense looked all season, with more creative plays coming from a variety of positions. If Cincy would have finished their chances, I believe it would have been a win. Overall I have been impressed and if the remaining games look like last weekend, he will certainly earn himself an interview.

What do you think the goals should be for this team as the season comes to a close? Is there anything particular that you are looking to see from FCC?

BW: The goals are fairly easy. Figure out who is a part of the team for (beyond) 2021. Unfortunately some huge contracts are still on the books for 2022, but Albright should be able to make decisions on a decent chunk of depth roles and who will be sold or bought out. Another goal would be for Brenner, the $13 million Young Designated Player to find better form. The striker has had plenty of chances, but his decision making and end product have been lacking. Brenner finds himself in good spaces and his relationship with Luciano Acosta is great, but he simply needs to find the back of the net. This off-season needs to be about finding a wing with playmaking abilities to get more balls in to Brenner and help shoulder the load.

Are there any injuries, suspensions, or call-ups that will keep players unavailable for selection? What is your projected starting XI and score prediction?

BW: The only player who was announced to be out is backup left back Edgar Castillo due to yellow card suspension. Converted right back Joe Gyau and newly signed midfielder Kyle Scott (Newcastle) are building up their fitness and could return in bench roles.

Unfortunately, DP Yuya Kubo experienced an ankle injury and starting center back Gustavo Vallecilla (hamstring) left the match last week in the 31st minute. I doubt that they will go. Starting left back Ronald Matarrita will likely have to play after returning from the international window, but you could see a surprise youngster at left back. Without Kubo, starting right wing Alvaro Barreal may slide to the left, but he also left the match prematurely (muscle cramps). I predict a 2-1 loss as Cincy also has the worst home record in the league.

Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Przemysław Tyton; Ronald Matarrita, Tyler Blackett, Geoff Cameron, Zico Bailey; Haris Medjunanin, Kamohelo Mokojko; Alvaro Barreal, Luciano Acosta, Isaac Atanga; Brenner.


Thank you again to Bryan for the excellent insight into Cincy. Vamos Orlando!

Orlando City

Orlando City Signs Defender Kyle Smith through 2025

The Accountant is back for another year after signing a one-year contract to remain with Orlando City.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

El Soldado will be a Lion for another season. Orlando City announced today that the club has re-signed defender Kyle Smith to a new one-year contract through 2025, bringing his free agency to an end after just a few days. The club had announced Dec. 5 it was in negotiations with Smith for his return when the end-of-season roster update came out.

“Bringing Kyle back to Orlando for 2025 is a great step in our project for next season,” Orlando City Executive Vice President of Soccer Operations and General Manager Luiz Muzzi said in a club press release. “He’s been such a vital piece of our successes over the last few seasons with his versatility and work rate both on and off the field. He’s a player that we know we can always depend on, and we’re excited to have him back with us next year.”

The 32-year-old Cincinnati, OH native originally signed with Orlando City on Dec. 21, 2018, after serving three seasons in the USL with Louisville City. He was well known by then-manager James O’Connor, who had coached Smith in Louisville. Few could have foreseen the length of his stay in Orlando at the time, which has far outlasted O’Connor’s tenure. Muzzi re-signed Smith on March 29, 2021, to a new deal through 2022 with an option year for 2023, which the club exercised Nov. 15, 2022. Although he was already under contract for the following year, Smith signed another new contract through the end of the 2023 season with an option year for 2024 on Dec. 5, 2022. The club picked up that 2024 option almost exactly one year ago on Dec. 11, 2023.

Smith is coming off his sixth season with the Lions, in which he did not score a regular-season goal for the first time since 2020, but he provided three assists to equal his career high. He scored his only goal in any competition in 2024 in a 3-1 win over Cavalry FC in Concacaf Champions Cup play Feb. 27.

He made 40 appearances across all competitions this season (18 starts).

The versatile fullback has made 180 appearances in all competitions (105 starts) in his first six years with the Lions, placing him second on the club’s all-time appearance list behind fellow defender Robin Jansson. Smith has scored five goals and added nine assists during his Orlando City career. In 2022, he helped the Lions win their first trophy since joining Major League Soccer, playing in every match of the tournament as Orlando City claimed the U.S. Open Cup.

What It Means for Orlando City

There is no doubt every club needs at least one player like Smith. He works hard, gives you everything he has, plays wherever he’s asked to play, and has the versatility to play several positions. He has played multiple midfield and back line positions in his time in Orlando, primarily as left back in 2024 after spending most of his previous appearances at right back. He has also been an inexpensive player for the club to fit under the salary cap. In 2024, he made a base salary of $290,000 — the lowest salary of any non-Homegrown who played on Orlando City’s back line this season.

Smith will turn 33 in January, and he’s not always able to keep up with some of the league’s speedy wingers, but he’s still rarely a liability because of his awareness and experience. His role will likely be the same as it’s been in recent times — to provide depth at both fullback positions, starting when injuries or fixture congestion become problematic, and entering games late to help see out wins or spell tired starters. He knows Pareja’s system as well as anyone, has the respect of his teammates, fits in with the team’s culture, and (as previously mentioned) puts in an honest shift. This signing can only be seen as a positive for Orlando City.

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Orlando City Striker Duncan McGuire Undergoes Shoulder Surgery

The big forward will miss four to five months after having surgery to repair his labrum and rotator cuff.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City announced today that Duncan McGuire has undergone arthroscopic surgery to repair the labrum and rotator cuff in his right shoulder. The surgery, which the club called “successful,” was necessary to repair damage from an injury McGuire sustained in Orlando City’s playoff match against Charlotte FC Nov. 9 when he was pulled down by Djibril Diani.

Orlando City Chief Medical Officer Dr. Craig Mintzer of the Orlando Health Jewett Orthopedic Institute performed the surgery.

McGuire’s injury occurred in the decisive Game 3 in the first round in the seventh minute of stoppage time, with the Lions trailing 1-0. Diani tugged McGuire’s shirt as he made a run that would have seen him have a play on a set piece cross in the penalty area. The striker went down hard and was visibly in pain on the ground, before getting to his feet and sprinting to the trainers in the technical area. The training staff appeared to be trying to pop his shoulder back into place but McGuire was unable to return to the match.

Facundo Torres’ subsequent penalty attempt was saved by Charlotte goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina, but before the crowd could fully absorb the missed opportunity, Torres scored on the rebound to level the match at 1-1, ultimately sending the game to a penalty shootout, which Orlando won, 4-1, advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals.

McGuire was seen lobbying to come back onto the pitch for the penalty shootout in the Charlotte match, but trainers would not clear him to return. The 23-year-old came off the bench in Orlando’s remaining playoff games against Atlanta and the New York Red Bulls despite the injury, playing a total of 50 more minutes in the playoffs.

The Creighton product did not register a goal contribution or put any of his three postseason shot attempts on frame. However, he was a key contributor to the Lions reaching the playoffs for the fifth straight year, providing 10 goals and three assists in the regular season across 27 appearances (18 starts), despite missing a chunk of the season with the U.S. Olympic Men’s Soccer Team.

Orlando City drafted McGuire in the first round (No. 6 overall) in the 2023 MLS SuperDraft. After a breakout rookie campaign, in which the Omaha, NE native scored 13 goals and added three assists, he was courted by several teams in Europe. In fact, McGuire’s presence in Orlando this season was an unexpected delight for City fans, as he had agreed to a deal with Blackburn Rovers, only to see the transfer rejected by the English Football League due to an administrative error by the EFL Championship club. After returning to Orlando, McGuire signed a new deal on Aug. 22 to remain a Lion. The new contract runs through 2027 with a club option for 2028.

What It Means for Orlando City

The club puts McGuire’s timeline on recovery at four to five months, which would mean he won’t return to training until at least mid-April and as late as mid-May. If his rehab goes well, and factoring in about a month of training to regain his full fitness, that would likely mean his availability won’t come until somewhere between the middle of May and the middle of June.

While Oscar Pareja has been starting Ramiro Enrique up top in his preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, McGuire brings size and strength and an ability to occupy center backs that the Argentine can’t replicate. There are times when Enrique’s game is better suited to the opponent, but without McGuire there will be no ability to pivot. Jack Lynn is also under contract, and he can do some of the things McGuire does, but not at the same level.

Without McGuire available for the first half of the season, Orlando City has some options on a replacement. The Lions may opt to draft a striker, start using Luis Muriel in that role more, sign an available free agent, or simply roll with Lynn as the primary backup.

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2024 Orlando City Season in Review: Luis Muriel

The Colombian forward started slowly, but showed a lot of promise as he grew into the season.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City announced the signing of Luis Muriel back on Feb. 15. The Colombian international arrived from Serie A side Atalanta on a three-year deal and slotted in as the team’s third Designated Player alongside Facundo Torres and Martin Ojeda. The club began looking for another striker when it appeared that Duncan McGuire would be on the move to England, and when he stayed, Muriel found himself in a crowded striker depth chart with he, McGuire, Ramiro Enrique, and Jack Lynn all competing for minutes.

The logjam at forward, combined with a late arrival to camp and missing preseason with the team, meant that Muriel took a little time to get going. As a result, he had a fairly worrying start to the season. He settled in after a few months though, and began turning in some much-improved performances off the bench.

Let’s take a look at how Muriel performed during the 2024 season.

Statistical Breakdown

Muriel appeared in 33 regular-season games for the Lions, starting 14 of those and playing a total of 1,582 minutes. He scored five goals and added seven assists, attempting 55 shots and put 17 of them on target. The veteran forward completed 81.3% of his passes, including 37 key passes, two successful crosses, and 22 long balls, while also amassing 43 dribbles. Defensively, he totaled 25 tackles, three interceptions, and seven clearances. He committed 30 fouls, suffered 23, and received two yellow cards.

He also played in three Concacaf Champions Cup matches for Orlando, starting the home match against Cavalry FC and both matches against Tigres, logging 223 minutes. He didn’t score in the competition but provided an assist, attempting four shots and putting two on target. He passed with 82.4% accuracy and played one key pass. On defense, he contributed three clearances. The Colombian forward committed two fouls, drew three on his opponents, and he was not booked.

Muriel made two Leagues Cup appearances — both as a substitute — appearing for 39 minutes in total. He did not provide a goal contribution, although he scored his penalty attempt against Cruz Azul in the postgame shootout after the teams drew. He attempted two off-target shots, passing with 88.9% accuracy, and he did not record any defensive statistics in the competition.

Finally, he appeared as a substitute in all five of OCSC’s postseason games, and logged 89 minutes in the process. While he didn’t record an official goal contribution, he scored on both of his penalty shootout attempts against Kristijan Kahlina in the opening series against Charlotte FC. Muriel attempted six postseason shots, putting one on target, and passing with 79.5% accuracy, including three key passes. He didn’t register any defensive stats. Muriel did not commit a foul and drew five on his opponents and was not booked.

Best Game

There were a couple of candidates for Muriel’s best performance, but I went with Orlando’s 3-2 road win against the Philadelphia Union. The Colombian started that match at striker and played 85 minutes as part of a 3-5-2 alongside Duncan McGuire. The formation was one that was necessitated due to injury as both Rafael Santos and Dagur Dan Thorhallsson were unavailable. The unfamiliar formation didn’t seem to bother Muriel as he opened his Orlando City account in style, cutting onto his left foot in the 41st minute and unleashed a rocket into the top corner.

He followed that up with the eventual game-winner just seconds after halftime. He managed to find a pocket of space in the Union’s back line and Nico Lodeiro’s pass was perfectly weighted to put him in on goal. Muriel used one touch to get the ball out from his feet and his second touch to slide the ball beyond a helpless Oliver Semmle.

His involvement went beyond the two goals though. In addition, he played two key passes, completed a game-high five dribbles, drew two fouls, took three shots (two on target, one off target), completed three long balls, and passed with 85.2% accuracy. On defense, he contributed one tackle and committed one foul, but was not booked.

In the Player Grades piece penned by yours truly, I graded Muriel as an 8.5 out of 10, as he narrowly edged out a superb Nico Lodeiro, who was given an 8.

2024 Final Grade

Our staff here at The Mane Land awarded Muriel a composite grade of 6 out of 10 for his first season wearing purple. It was a difficult start to the season for him, much as it was for most of the team, but he showed some improvement as the season went on and did some good things while being asked to come off the bench.

2025 Outlook

Muriel is under contract through the end of the 2026 season and is on some pretty big money, so barring something very unforeseen he’ll be back next year. He’s a particularly interesting case. His talent and ability is obvious whenever he steps on the field, but we didn’t see a ton of him leading the line in a full-strength team. His vision, passing range, and dribbling ability are among the best on the team, and he probably should have had at least six more assists but was held back by his teammates’ finishing.

There’s no denying that he had a pretty dreadful start to the year, but he quietly morphed into having a pretty fantastic end to the season. The duality of that shows in his final grade for 2024. The main issue is that by the time he started to heat up, Enrique and McGuire were bagging goals, and Oscar Pareja almost always goes with whoever the hot hand is. Going forward, I’d like for the coaching staff to find a way to get him on the field, whether that’s as part of a two-forward system, or he’s slotting in as a no.10, as we often saw him do off the substitutes’ bench. A full off-season will hopefully do him good and help justify the big contract that OCSC gave him.


Previous Season in Review Articles (Date Posted)

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