Orlando City
Orlando Has Been The Goal-Happiest Place On Earth in 2026
A look at the variances in goals scored and goals allowed for Orlando City thus far this season.
Most public schools in central Florida have their final day for the 2025-2026 school year this week, which means that hundreds of thousands of kids will be celebrating not having to do any more math for a few months. This is, of course, silly, because math is the most beautiful of all of school subjects (they made A Beautiful Mind about a mathematician for a reason), but young people are comically uninformed about what is actually important still learning and are allowed to make mistakes.
The most common of those mistakes is to think that they will not need math in the future, when the reality is that math will be critical to their future lives. They may not need to remember how to find the first or second derivative, but they will definitely use math in a number (get it?) of ways.
One of the simpler uses of math is looking at a set of results and identifying outliers, which may not feel like math but certainly is. And speaking of derivatives two sentences ago, an outlier is a derivative of the words “out” and “lies” and the suffix “-er,” to describe something that lies out from all the others around it. Something like, for example, Orlando City’s goal scoring and goal allowing thus far this season.
Much has been made on this site, in our podcasts, in our exclusive weekly newsletter (which you can sign up for by clicking here), and on the broadcasts of the games about Orlando City’s leaky defense this season, but on the offensive side, the Lions have already scored four goals in a game five times. That is the most times in the club’s history that the team has scored exactly four goals in a match. Last year was the only season in club history the Lions have scored four or more goals more times, as the 2025 Lions reached or bettered the four-goal mark six times.
The five games in which Orlando City scored four goals are split between three in MLS play and two during the U.S. Open Cup, though surprisingly it was the two cup games against MLS teams when the Lions scored four, and not the game against FC Naples from the third division of American soccer. Orlando City is tied for second in MLS with those three games of scoring at least four goals, trailing only Inter Miami, which has four MLS games of at least four goals. If Miami had scored four goals in its game against Orlando City, it would not have lost to the Lions, but the Herons only scored three, and therefore took the L. Too bad, not sad at all.
Orlando City gave up “only” three goals in that game against Miami, and I say only because there have already been five occurrences thus far during MLS play when the Lions have given up four or more goals. Unsurprisingly, that leads the league, in a category in which teams most certainly do not want to lead the league, and those five occurrences of four or more goals allowed is tied with the 2018 and 2022 seasons for the most times Orlando City allowed that many goals in MLS games. Those were full seasons, whereas it has only been 15 games so far in 2026, so based on the opening stanza of the season the odds are that this year’s team goes down in inglorious history.
All those goals allowed may give Orlando City fans heartburn, but for independent fans or fans who just love to see goals going into the back of the net, Orlando City games have been great theater this year. Either the Lions or their opponents have scored at least four goals in half of this season’s games, and in 11 of the 18 games there were at least five goals scored between the two teams. Soccer is boring? Not when there are at least five goals scored in 61% of the team’s games!
The variances for the 2026 Lions are more stark than they have ever been, with the offense showing up in a major way in some games but not at all in others (the Lions have been shut out five times), and the defense kind of showing up in some games and not at all in others (nine games with three or more goals allowed). The two charts below show the percentage of games in every season since 2015 with each number of goals allowed and goals scored, including games across all competitions. The seasons since 2015 go left to right, with 2026 as the farthest to the right in each category and in purple.
We shall start on offense, and look at the goal scoring.

The Lions have only scored zero, one, two or four goals so far this season, and the counts of games scoring each number of goals is nearly evenly distributed across the 18 games played. The percentage of times that they scored four (28%) is much higher than in any other season, though with at least 23 games left in the season we will see what happens to that percentage by the end of the year. Ideally, the percentage of zero goals scored goes down, and preferably those in the 3+ range increase.
The opposite, of course, is true for the chart below on goals allowed, where preferably the high percentages at the larger numbers decrease. Through 18 games (in all competitions) Orlando City also has only recorded one clean sheet, and that 6% value is the lowest shutout percentage for any season. Shutouts are not required to earn points or advance in cup games, but they significantly increase the probability of positive results, and it would be a lot better for the team if it could record more than one shutout this season.

While the Orlando City offense has stuck with its zero, one, two, or four goals scored amounts, the defense has allowed every number from zero through six, and if not for some good goalkeeping by Maxime Crépeau, the numbers seven and eight might have appeared on the above chart. It is not by chance that the 2026 team is on pace to allow the most goals in MLS history (the Lions are currently on pace to concede 99.7 goals, bringing a new definition to the term “keeping it 100”), and if the club wants to achieve anything after returning from the World Cup break, then it needs to reduce all of the variance in its performances and find a way to limit those goals allowed numbers to zero or one in most games.
As the saying goes, the math isn’t mathing for Orlando City so far in 2026, as aside from in the U.S. Open Cup the team’s performances have generally been below the lower bound of expectations. At the same time, there are still 19 MLS regular-season games remaining, a U.S. Open Cup to play for, a Leagues Cup to play for, and an Antoine Griezmann to suit up in purple, so let’s hope the 2026 team has already hit its global minimum in terms of performance and that the rest of the season is nearly all positive like an absolute value.
Vamos Orlando!
Lion Links
Lion Links: 7/20/26
Pride fall to Utah Royals, OCB draws Chattanooga FC, Orlando City signs Clovis Archange, and more.
Hello, Mane Landers! I hope all is well with you down in Florida. I’ve been busy at work, but I checked out a Noah Kahan concert and watched the World Cup final while catching up with friends over the weekend. We’ve got plenty to cover today, so let’s get to the links.
Orlando Pride Fall at Utah Royals
The Orlando Pride fell 1-0 to the Utah Royals at America First Field Saturday night. Narumi Miura scored the lone goal for Utah to secure the win, while the Pride have lost back-to-back matches after losing to Boston Legacy Wednesday. That result also dropped Orlando below the playoff line, as the club sits ninth in the NWSL table with 20 points. The Pride will return home for their next match against the Chicago Stars Friday at Inter&Co Stadium.
OCB Wins Penalty Shootout After 1-1 Draw vs. Chattanooga FC
Orlando City B drew Chattanooga FC 1-1 on the road at Finley Stadium Saturday. Pedro Leao scored the opener for the Young Lions in the first half. However, in the second half, Chattanooga FC scored the equalizer. The Young Lions won the penalty shootout 4-3 to earn a second point. OCB will be back in action at home Sunday, facing Huntsville City FC at Osceola County Stadium.
Orlando City Signs Clovis Archange to Homegrown Player Contract
Orlando City announced Friday that the club has signed defender Clovis Archange to a Homegrown Player contract with the first team. The deal is a three-year contract lasting through the 2027 calendar year, with club options in 2028 and 2029. Archange has made six appearances across all competitions for OCB during the 2026 MLS NEXT Pro season.
Latest MLS Transfer Roundup
According to Tom Bogert of The Athletic, there is no movement on the rumored Orlando City forward Marco Pasalic’s potential transfer to Hull City, but the English Premier League side has reportedly inquired about a loan deal.
The Columbus Crew have signed former Manchester United and Real Oviedo center back Eric Bailly. The contract runs through June 2027, with club options for the 2027-2028 and 2028-2029 seasons. Liga MX side CF Monterrey is reportedly finalizing a deal to sign Chicago Fire forward Hugo Cuypers.
LAFC has reportedly reached an agreement with Hammarby on a transfer fee to move midfielder Amin Boudri to the Swedish club. Lastly, San Diego FC is reportedly finalizing a deal to sign winger Elias Achouri from FC Copenhagen.
Spain Wins World Cup
Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, Sunday to win the World Cup for the second time since 2010. Argentina midfielder Enzo Fernandez was sent off in stoppage time after committing a foul on Spain defender Pau Cubarsi. The match went to extra time, and Ferran Torres scored the winning goal for Spain in the 106th minute. Argentina was unable to find a late equalizer to send the match to penalties. Argentina was looking to repeat as champions but had only two shots in the game (both in extra time) and failed to record a shot on goal. As for the FIFA World Cup awards, Spain midfielder Rodri took the Best Player Award, while France striker Kylian Mbappe won the Golden Boot Award with 10 goals, the Golden Glove Award went to Spain goalkeeper Unai Simon, and Cubarsi won the Young Player Award.
Free Kicks
- Check out this player spotlight piece from Stars and Stripes FC on Orlando City midfielder Justin Ellis, highlighting his soccer journey, his chances of making the 2030 USMNT World Cup squad, and more.
- Dylan Judelson and Archange of Orlando City B were called up to Canada’s U-20 squad for the Concacaf U-20 Championship in Mexico. Canada will face Panama on July 25, Honduras on July 28, and Jamaica on July 31 during the group stage.
- Major League Soccer is reportedly considering two candidates to succeed Don Garber as the league’s new commissioner, LAFC co-owner Larry Berg and former Fox executive David Nathanson. 49ers Enterprises president Paraag Marathe was mentioned as a candidate but later removed his name from consideration, according to reports.
- The Portland Timbers are reportedly hiring former Leicester City manager Marti Cifuentes as the club’s new head coach and have reached an agreement on a three-year deal.
- Bukayo Saka recorded a hat trick for England as his side defeated France 6-4 in a 10-goal thriller to win the third-place FIFA World Cup playoff match Saturday.
- Besiktas has reached an agreement to sign Flamengo and former Orlando City defender Leo Pereira. The club is reportedly in advanced negotiations to sign former Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah.
- Telemundo has reportedly acquired the U.S. Spanish-language broadcasting rights to the UEFA Champions League men’s club competitions for three seasons, beginning in 2027-2028.
That will do it for me today, Mane Landers. Enjoy your Monday, and I’ll see you next time.
Orlando City
Daryl Dike Returns to Orlando City, Signs Deal Through 2027
Daryl Dike is back with the Lions after being out of contract with West Bromwich Albion.
Striker Daryl Dike has returned to the club that gave him his professional start. Orlando City announced today that it has signed Dike as a free agent through the 2027 MLS “sprint season” with an option for 2027-2028. The club also had to send $75,000 in 2027 General Allocation Money (GAM) to the Seattle Sounders in exchange for Dike’s Discovery Priority and could owe the Western Conference side another $75,000 in GAM if Dike meets undisclosed performance metrics.
The signing gives Dike a new start after an injury-plagued career at West Bromwich Albion.
“Daryl is a player our club and our fans know well, and we’re very excited to welcome him back to Orlando,” Orlando City General Manager and Sporting Director Ricardo Moreira said in a club press release. “He brings a powerful combination of strength, speed, and physical presence, and his ability to hold up play, bring teammates into the attack, and finish chances gives us another important option up front. Daryl has already shown what he can do in our league and in this city, and we look forward to helping him make an impact again in purple.”
Dike, who will wear No. 9 for the Lions, returns nearly five years since Orlando City sold him to West Brom on Jan. 3, 2022, for a fee reported by The Athletic to be around $10 million.
The Edmond, OK native was Orlando City’s first-round selection with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2020 MLS SuperDraft. As a rookie, he started to see minutes on the pitch during the MLS is Back Tournament, making his professional debut against the Montreal Impact in the competition’s round of 16. From there, the striker out of the University of Virginia blossomed, playing in 35 regular-season matches with Orlando, including 30 starts, for a total of 2,547 minutes. He contributed 18 goals and seven assists on 63 shots, getting 27 on target. He passed well (71.1% in 2020 and 72.1% in 2021), providing 14 key passes. Dike drew 71 fouls while committing 40 and was never booked during the regular season in his time in MLS.
He also played in all three of Orlando City’s playoff games during his first stint with the club, starting all three and scoring one goal on five total shots (two on target). He suffered seven fouls and committed four, and picked up one yellow card in the 2020 postseason.
Following his rookie season, Dike went on loan to Barnsley, where he scored nine goals in 22 matches from February to May of 2021.
Dike’s play with the Lions in his first two professional seasons quickly put him on the USMNT radar and before he was sold to West Brom he made eight appearances and scored three goals for the United States at the senior level. He has added two more caps since for a total of 10.
After his sale to West Brom in the EFL Championship, Dike struggled to stay on the pitch, dealing with Achilles injuries that kept him off the pitch for long stretches. Dike managed to score 11 goals in 68 matches when healthy. He scored twice and added an assist in 24 matches in 2025-2026, starting six times, as he was finally able to get a stretch of games in.
“I’m thrilled to be back where it all started,” Dike said in the club’s press release. “Orlando is where I first got the opportunity to play professionally, and returning here feels like coming home. From the moment I arrived the first time, I felt welcomed, and that same feeling has only grown since I’ve come back. Everyone has been incredibly supportive, and I’m grateful to be back in Orlando.”
What It Means for Orlando City
Dike fills a hole vacated by the trade of Duncan McGuire to the Houston Dynamo a week ago. It will be interesting to see where his salary slots in when the MLS Players’ Association reveals its next salary information. McGuire, who had his own injury struggles in recent years, made a base salary of $600,000 and a total guaranteed annual compensation of over $920,000.
The hope will be that Dike can both stay healthy and contribute at a higher level than McGuire was prior to his trade to Houston. The new scenery may do McGuire good and a return to familiar surroundings may similarly help Dike regain his footing. At just 26 years old, Dike is still in his prime years and there are plenty of miles left in Dike’s legs if he can stay on the pitch. Fans will remember how he tossed center backs around like rag dolls during his two previous seasons in Orlando. That kind of physicality will open a lot of room underneath for Antoine Griezmann and Martin Ojeda.
With just a year and a half on the base deal, this is a low-risk and potentially very high-reward signing for the Lions.
Orlando City
Flashback Friday: July 15, 2023 at Atlanta United
Let’s rewind to a tense battle up in Atlanta that took place a little over three years ago.
Well everyone, Major League Soccer is officially back. The league returned from its summer hiatus with three games Thursday night (four were scheduled but air quality from the Canadian wildfires caused Chicago vs. Vancouver to be postponed), and two more games are set to be played later today. Orlando City won’t take the field until Wednesday night against the San Jose Earthquakes though, so that means we have time for one more trip down memory lane. Last week, we went four years into the past and reminisced on a weird 1-0 win over Inter Miami that came courtesy of a Damion Lowe own goal. Today, we go back to mid-July 2023 and a road trip against Atlanta United.
Orlando had been in mostly good form heading into the team’s trip up I-75 to take on the Five Stripes but had hit a sizable bump in the road in the previous match in the form of a 4-0 hammering out west against Real Salt Lake. Oscar Pareja went to his usual 4-2-3-1 in an effort to get back to winning ways, with Pedro Gallese in goal; Rafael Santos, Antonio Carlos, Robin Jansson, and Kyle Smith at the back; Cesar Araujo and Wilder Cartagena at the double pivot; Ivan Angulo, Mauricio Pereyra, and Facundo Torres in attacking midfield, and Duncan McGuire leading the line.
The Lions seemed determined to put the previous game’s woes behind them and fashioned a chance with not even a minute played. McGuire played a slick pass behind the defense for Pereyra, but a poor first touch let him down and Brad Guzan came off his line well to save from point-blank range. Torres, McGuire, and Araujo then tried shots in the fifth, sixth, and eighth minutes, respectively, but none of them troubled Atlanta’s goalkeeper.
Orlando then took its foot off the gas a bit after trying to come out of the gates and overwhelm the hosts, but some self-inflicted errors gave the Five Stripes some life and eventually led to them opening the scoring. The Lions took a poor throw-in during the 22nd minute which turned the ball over deep in their own defensive third. Miguel Berry drew four OCSC players to him before flicking a ball over the top for Machop Chol. Carlos saved Chol’s deflected shot off the line but Caleb Wiley was first to the loose ball and did well to lift his shot into the net over a recovering Gallese.
Fortunately, the good guys were able to find a quick response. Orlando had a dangerous free kick just three minutes after conceding, and Pereyra curled in a dangerous ball toward the penalty spot. Carlos rose highest and powered a vicious header into the far corner with Guzan left helpless.
Leveling the game gave Orlando a needed injection of belief. McGuire tried his luck at catching Guzan off his line in the 35th minute, and Angulo put a powerful shot just outside the post two minutes later. Smith even had a pop from distance in the 42nd minute, but it went high and that was the last meaningful action of the half.
Atlanta ended the opening 45 minutes with more of the ball (52.1%-47.9%) and more corners (2-0), while OCSC took more shots (7-5) put more shots on target (3-2), and passed more accurately (81.3%-78.2%).
The two teams traded chances after a slow start to the second half, with a deflected ball trickling just wide of the Atlanta net in the 51st minute, before Santiago Sosa put a ball onto the roof of Gallese’s goal four minutes later.
Orlando then went ahead in the 60th minute. Pereyra split Atlanta’s center backs with a great ball for McGuire, who held off Luis Abram’s recovery efforts, and put a low shot past Guzan and into the side netting.
The good guys really should have bagged an insurance goal in the 68th minute, but Ramiro Enrique’s diving header went off the post and out after a great cross from Torres. Pareja then switched to five at the back to try to see out the game, and Atlanta managed to generate some chances. Thiago Almada and Matheus Rossetto had chances in the 88th and 90th minutes, but nothing came of them. The most dangerous moment occurred deep in stoppage time. Atlanta had a dangerous free kick in the 98th minute, and Almada sent a wicked-looking effort on net, but Gallese got over well and put two strong hands on it to parry away.
Atlanta took the resulting corner, but the Lions cleared successfully and the final whistle blew to give the visitors a 2-1 win and all three points.
Atlanta finished with more possession (59.2%-40.8%), corners (7-1), and shot attempts (17-10), but each side put four shots on target. The hosts were also more accurate when it came to passing the ball (84%-76.3%).
Marcus Mitchell was on Player Grades for this one, and he gave Carlos the Man of the Match nod with a grade of 7.5 out of 10. Other high scorers on the evening were Pereyra and McGuire, who each earned grades of 7 out of 10.
Here’s hoping the Lions can pick up some road points in a similar fashion when they return to play next Wednesday. Vamos Orlando!
-
Orlando City2 weeks agoOrlando City vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies: Final Score 6-0 as Lions Run Wild in Friendly on Griezmann’s Debut
-
Orlando Pride1 week agoOrlando Pride vs. Kansas City Current: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More
-
Lion Links2 weeks agoLion Links: 7/8/26
-
Orlando Pride5 days agoOrlando Pride vs. Boston Legacy FC: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More
-
Lion Links2 weeks agoLion Links: 7/7/26
-
Lion Links7 days agoLion Links: 7/14/26
-
Orlando City1 week agoOrlando City Trades Duncan McGuire to Houston Dynamo
-
Orlando City2 weeks agoRunning the Numbers: Orlando City’s Fastest, Fittest Players

