Orlando City

Orlando City’s Usage Rate and Shot Creation Through Seven Games

An analysis of Orlando City’s usage and shot-creation rates and a comparison of their top performers to the rest of MLS.

Published

2 months ago

April 10, 2025

S. Andrew DeSalvo

Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

As so often happens in articles about soccer, I am going to open by writing about…not soccer. The NBA regular season is in its final days, and so a lot of the discourse on podcasts or TV shows about basketball is about who deserves what awards for the 2024-2025 season. This is not the place for that discussion, though I do think my son’s favorite Orlando Magic player, Paolo Banchero, has had a great season. What I want to explore as it relates to basketball awards is how the concept of “usage” plays a big role when comparing players against one another.

Usage in basketball is essentially a measure of what percent of a team’s possessions were finished by a given player, whether it was via a shot, turnover, or offensive foul. There are different formulas for usage, as some get even more intricate as it relates to the definition of a possession, but we are going to change the subject to soccer momentarily so let’s not dwell on the basketball metric any longer than necessary. The critical part of usage is that it is easier to put up scoring numbers — the numbers fans often default to when evaluating who are the best players, when you have a much higher usage rate. If most possessions end with the ball in your hands, then the offense is likely designed around you, and the opportunities will be there for more baskets.

In soccer, usage can be looked at similarly, with goals instead of baskets, and I will draw on the work of several other authors in how they have calculated usage, or, as they often refer to it, possession-ending actions. In soccer it is similar to basketball, but we will get more nuanced with the definition. Here are the possession-ending actions I used, with all data coming from Opta’s tracking on fbref.com:

Shots
Incomplete passes
Failed Ttake-ons
Dispossessions
Miscontrols

I looked at this data in two ways: first by normalizing the data by taking the total number of possession-ending actions and calculating it on a per-90-minutes-played basis (PEA / 90) , and then also by taking a player’s possession-ending actions and dividing them by the total number of possession-ending actions for the whole team, to see their percentage (usage rate). Here is a look at Orlando City’s performance thus far this season (I’m only including field players who have played at least 300 minutes, but a quick shout out to Gustavo Caraballo for generating a PEA per 90 minutes of 40 in his nine minutes played thus far this season. Gustavo was really goosing the throttle when he had the ball. I’ll see myself out.):

Player	Mins Played	PEA / 90	Usage Rate
Rodrigo Schlegel	630	7.3	5.5%
Alex Freeman	575	15.2	10.5%
Martín Ojeda	571	15.4	10.5%
Marco Pašalić	550	15.4	10.2%
Iván Angulo	523	12.9	8.1%
Eduard Atuesta	514	16.1	9.9%
Luis Muriel	490	16.3	9.5%
César Araujo	450	5.6	3.0%
Robin Jansson	450	6.6	3.6%
Rafael Santos	420	18.5	9.4%

It is nice when data backs up the eye test, and the eye test thus far this season definitely shows that Cesar Araujo, Robin Jansson, and Rodrigo Schlegel play conservative soccer, which is critical being that they generally possess the ball in the center of the field near their own goal, whereas the attacking players and the fullbacks are much more likely to be trying to create something on offense, and therefore ending a possession.

I was a little surprised to see Rafael Santos as the player who is ending the most possessions on a per-90-minute basis, but he is someone who is constantly looking to switch the field or play in a cross, and those are low-probability passes that have a low completion rate, meaning they often end a possession.

Usage rate depends heavily on minutes played, as despite the name, it has elements of a counting statistic in it, and it was not surprising to see the top three players in usage rate being non-central defenders who had played a lot of minutes. Santos is again high here because of his style of play, but as it appears that he may be fighting for his starting position, that number will likely drop over the next few games, unless he wins back the left back role.

As a quick aside, only one Orlando City player had a usage rate in double digits during MLS regular-season play in 2024, and as you may have guessed, that player was indeed Facundo Torres, with exactly 10%.

Usage rate is really a statistic that helps identify players who are trying to make something happen (shots, incomplete passes, failed take-ons, dispossessions) or who are targets for teammates trying to make something happen (miscontrols of a ball passed to them), but ultimately what is the most impactful when trying to make something happen is whether a shot gets created, because shots turn into goals, and that is how games are won. If we look at the same group of Lions and focus specifically on creating shots (shot-creating actions + shots taken), the story looks a little different in terms of where those come from:

Player	Mins Played	Shots Created / 90	Shots Created %
Rodrigo Schlegel	630	1.0	2.4%
Alex Freeman	575	4.2	9.4%
Martín Ojeda	571	8.6	18.9%
Marco Pašalić	550	5.7	12.2%
Iván Angulo	523	3.1	6.3%
Eduard Atuesta	514	6.0	11.9%
Luis Muriel	490	7.0	13.3%
César Araujo	450	2.8	4.9%
Robin Jansson	450	0.2	0.3%
Rafael Santos	420	3.8	6.3%

Alex Freeman, Martin Ojeda and Marco Pašalić lead the way in usage rate, but they are closely grouped together, and Eduard Atuesta, Luis Muriel, and Santos were not too far behind. Ojeda is in a class by himself when it comes to creating shots though — significantly ahead of Muriel and Pašalić. Freeman is well ahead of his defensive teammates too, and if you look at the scatterplot below of all MLS defenders from 2024 and 2025, you can see that there are very few defenders who are as attack minded and who help create as high a percentage of their team’s shots as he does (Freeman’s 2025 season is in the purple bullseye, 2024 defenders played at least 500 minutes and 2025 defenders played at least 300 minutes):

I know someone who was driving the Freeman bandwagon last year, and that person, who may or may not have written the words you are are reading right now, is pretty fired up about how much he is contributing for the Lions this season.

I mentioned earlier that Ojeda is well ahead of his teammates in 2025 in shot-creation percentage, but there are some other MLS players who are far more of a focal point of their team’s offense than he is. The below chart is formatted similarly (the y-axis is on the same scale but the x-axis is not, as attacking players generally create a much higher percentage of shots), and is for midfielders and strikers for for the 2024 and 2025 MLS seasons (Ojeda’s 2025 season is in the purple bullseye, and the same minimum minutes played requirements are in place):

As you might have guessed from the pink bullseye, that is indeed Lionel Messi, with his 25.6 possession-ending actions per 90 minutes and 24% of his team’s shots created thus far this season. Messi’s metrics existing above and to the right of Ojeda’s on this chart is not an indication that he is better than Ojeda (although to be fair, he might be), but what it shows is that he initiates more attacking plays and is involved in more of Miami’s shots than Ojeda is in Orlando City’s.

The age-old quantity vs. quality conversation exists as it relates to looking at usage rate and the percentage of shots created by a player. Whether it be basketball or soccer, teams are not looking for players who create or take shots. They want players who will create and make shots. Taking on defenders every time you receive the ball or constantly trying to hit risky passes will increase the various counting and rate stats, but unless a player is successful with those take-ons and passes, what they will more likely get is a seat on the bench and a pause on accumulating any new stats.

I will be tracking the usage numbers throughout the season, and we will revisit them later in the year to see what has changed. With the return of Duncan McGuire to fitness, it will be interesting to see what that does to Ojeda’s usage if he starts to play more minutes out on the wing — and also to that of Muriel if he more frequently plays as the number 10 instead of playing as a striker. The insertion of David Brekalo into the starting lineup may unleash Freeman even more and evoke more comparisons to his wide receiver father as he flies up the sideline looking to receive a long bomb and turn it into a score.

In the end, the stats from this article are not ones that players will be trying to improve. They are more descriptive statistics that explain how the team — and particularly the offense — has interacted thus far this season. Usage rate may be important, but what is more important is that Orlando City gives the opposing net some serious usage in the match this weekend.

Vamos Orlando!

Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Colorado Rapids: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More

The Lions return to action after the international break looking to snap a two-game losing streak.

Published

1 hour ago

June 14, 2025

Michael Citro

Dan MacDonald, The Mane Land

Welcome to your match thread for a Saturday night matchup between Orlando City (7-4-6, 27 points) and the Colorado Rapids (6-7-4, 22 points) at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park (9:30 p.m., MLS Season Pass on Apple TV). It’s the one and only scheduled meeting between the two sides this season.

Here’s what you need to know ahead of the match.

History

Orlando City is 5-1-2 in the all-time series (1-1-2 on the road). The most recent meeting took place on June 10, 2023 in Orlando, when the Lions won 2-0 on goals by Facundo Torres and Ramiro Enrique. It was Enrique’s first MLS goal. Orlando’s job was made easier by a pair of red cards to the Rapids, with both Braian Galvan seeing red in the 39th minute and Lalas Abubakar picking up a second yello in the 75th. Torres’ goal came with a one-man advantage, and Enrique put the game away a few minutes after Abubakar hit the showers.

The last time the teams met in Colorado was in 2022, with the teams playing to a 1-1 draw on July 13. Torres gave the Lions the lead in the first half but Gyasi Zardes equalized in the second half.

Before 2022, the previous meeting also took place in Colorado on March 7, 2020, just prior to MLS shutting down for the pandemic. The Lions fell 2-1 to the Rapids on a 90th-minute goal by Drew Moor off a Colorado corner kick. It spoiled a good road effort by the Lions, who were playing without suspended captain Nani at the time. The winning goal came just eight minutes after Chris Mueller’s goal had leveled things and canceled out a Younes Namli strike.

Before that, the teams met in Exploria Stadium in a wild match won 4-3 by the Lions on April 6, 2019. Orlando came from behind twice in the game — from deficits of 1-0 and 3-2 — to claim all three points. Kei Kamara opened the scoring early, because of course he did. Nani tied things up just past the half-hour mark, and Tesho Akindele gave Orlando the lead two minutes later. But Nicolas Mezquida and Cole Bassett scored 10 minutes apart in the second half to put the Rapids back in front. Mueller knotted the game up at 3-3 as the game approached its end, and Nani scored on a penalty just before stoppage time to bring the Lions back.

The Lions came from behind to win 2-1 at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park on April 29, 2018. Cristian Higuita and Yoshimar Yotún (pen.) provided the offense in the victory.

Orlando City won 2-0 at home as part of a four-game winning streak in 2017, which was also the fifth consecutive victory to open Orlando City Stadium. Carlos Rivas and Kaká provided all the offense in that 2017 game. The 2016 meeting ended in a 0-0 draw at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park. The 2015 meeting at the Citrus Bowl saw the Lions defeat the Rapids, 2-0. Rivas came on for an injured Brek Shea in that match and turned the game around. Kaká and Cyle Larin scored for Orlando City.

Overview

Orlando City has lost two straight entering tonight, so the Lions were in dire need of the international break. It was a strong May for Orlando up until the final week and the team needed to regroup. The Lions are 2-2-4 on the road, so they’ve been good at getting results away from home, even if those results are mostly a point at a time. It’s always difficult for most teams around the league to win at altitude, which becomes a bigger problem as the game wears on. Orlando will most likely only find success if it can score early in the game and hold on when the legs and minds tire and the lungs feel every inch of the mile-high elevation.

The Rapids are off to a decent start, sitting in the last playoff play-in game position entering tonight. Colorado is 4-3-2 at home in 2025 but has lost its last two matches, including a 2-0 defeat at home to Austin a week ago. The Pids created chances in the match but struggled to score, which probably sounds familiar to fans of Orlando City — a team that creates a lot of big chances but often fails to convert them.

Chris Armas was not the Colorado manager the last time these teams met, but he is the one that has the Rapids among the playoff places at the season’s halfway point. Djordje Mihailovic is the obvious danger man the Lions must contend with, as he leads Colorado with seven goals and is tied for the club lead in assists, with three. Rafael Navarro isn’t far behind with five goals and an assist. Darren Yapi has three goals, and no one else on the Pids has more than one.

“Colorado Rapids is a team that has been finding its best version. Right now, we’re focusing on what strengths they have offensively, as well as weaknesses, and combining all of that information,” Orlando City Head Coach Oscar Pareja said ahead of the match. “We are trying to do our best and put our team at an advantage with the way we play so we can defend them. It is a game in a place that we respect, but we are very optimistic. Our preparation has been really good so far.”

Orlando City will be without Alex Freeman (international duty), Duncan McGuire (shoulder), Wilder Cartagena (Achilles), and Yutaro Tsukada (knee), while Nico Rodriguez (thigh) is questionable. Colorado will be without Zack Steffen (knee), Ali Fadal (knee), Wayne Frederick (international duty), and Alex Harris (ankle).

Match Content

Our most recent PawedCast includes our key matchups and score predictions for the Colorado game.
Our Ben Miller provided his three keys to victory for Orlando City against Colorado.

Projected Lineups:

Orlando City (4-4-2)

Goalkeeper: Pedro Gallese.

Defenders: David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Rodrigo Schlegel, Dagur Dan Thorhallsson.

Midfielders: Ivan Angulo, Cesar Araujo, Eduard Atuesta, Marco Pasalic.

Forwards: Martin Ojeda, Luis Muriel.

Colorado (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper: Nicolas Hansen.

Defenders: Jackson Travis, Chidozie Awaziem, Andreas Maxso, Reggie Cannon.

Defensive Midfielders: Josh Atencio, Oliver Larraz.

Attacking Midfielders: Sam Bassett, Djordje Mihailovic, Theodore Ku-Dipietro.

Forward: Rafael Navarro.

Referees

REF: Ramy Touchan.
AR1: Andrew Bigelow.
AR2: Eduardo Jeff.
4TH: Elton Garcia.
VAR: Sorin Stoica.
AVAR: Jonathan Johnson.

How to Watch

Match Time: 9:30 p.m. ET.

Venue: Dick’s Sporting Goods Park — Commerce City, CO.

TV/Live Stream: MLS Season Pass on Apple TV.

Radio: AM 810 FOX Sports Radio Orlando (English), Mega 97.1 FM.

Social Media: For rapid reaction and live updates, follow us on Bluesky Social at @themaneland.bsky.social or follow Orlando City’s official Twitter (@OrlandoCitySC) or Bluesky (@OrlandoCitySC) feed.

Enjoy the game. Go City!

Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Colorado Rapids: Three Keys to Victory

What does Orlando City need to do in order to pick up three points on its trip out west?

Published

1 day ago

June 13, 2025

Ben Miller

Dan MacDonald, The Mane Land

After playing its last game all the way back on May 31, Orlando City will return to action Saturday night when it takes on the Colorado Rapids out in Denver. What follows are three things that I think will go a long way towards helping the Lions get back to winning ways out on the edge of the Rocky Mountains.

Respond Well After Time Off

Having an extended break between games can be a double-edged sword. On one hand, it can give a team time to get healthy, rest up tired legs, and fix any issues that have become evident over the last few games. You might see an energized and focused performance after being able to recharge, implementing some tactical tweaks, and using the extra time to extensively prep for the upcoming match. On the other hand, you might also see a team with its fair share of ring rust. There’s a difference between practice intensity and game intensity, and sometimes it can be hard to ramp back up to the necessary levels after having an extended period of time without games. For Orlando City, it needs to be the former and not the latter. We were treated to an uncharacteristically sloppy performance during the 3-1 loss to the Chicago Fire in the team’s most recent game, and much of what we saw can probably be attributed to fatigue after a grueling May schedule. With any luck, the two weeks that the Lions got between games will help bring back the kind of performances that we saw during the extended unbeaten run.

Maintain Defensive Structure

The Rapids are currently ninth in the Western Conference with 22 points from 17 games. Goal-scoring issues are the primary reason for Colorado occupying the spot that it does, as it has scored just 18 goals in 17 games. The Rapids have scored more than two goals twice this season — in a 3-3 draw against FC Dallas, and a 3-2 home win against San Diego FC. Orlando City has largely tightened things up on defense after an oddly sloppy start to the season, although the defensive issues returned with a vengeance in the loss to Chicago. If the Lions can regain their usual stability at the back, then it’ll go a long way towards picking up three points against a team that’s tied for the seventh-fewest goals scored in the league.

Mute Mihailovic

The best way to go about neutralizing the Rapids on offense is to shut down Djordje Mihailovic. He has seven goals and three assists in 17 games and leads Colorado in both categories. Rafael Navarro is next on the goal contributions list with five goals and one assist, and there’s then a steep drop-off to Oliver Larraz, Cole Bassett, and Darren Yapi, all of whom have three goal contributions. Mihailovic also leads the team with 49 key passes, which is more than double what second-place Navarro has, with 22. Anybody can hurt you on any given day, and the Lions have an unfortunate habit of conceding goals to guys who never seem to score, but the numbers say that if you manage to contain Mihailovic, then it takes away a bulk of Colorado’s danger on offense.

So there you have it. If the Lions can have the right response after their time off, maintain the sort of defensive stability we’ve seen from them most of the year, and put a muzzle on Mihailovic, they should be well set up to claim all three points from their trip out to Denver.

Lion Links

Lion Links: 6/13/25

Orlando City prepares for the Colorado Rapids, Concacaf W Champions Cup schedule released, USWNT tops FIFA rankings, and more.

Published

1 day ago

June 13, 2025

Marcus Mitchell

Image courtesy of Orlando Pride / Mark Thor

Happy Friday! We have some exciting soccer ahead of us over the next few days, starting with the Orlando Pride’s road game against Bay FC tonight at 10 p.m. I’ll be spending most of the weekend working and visiting family for Father’s Day. Let’s go ahead and get this Friday started with today’s links from around the soccer world!

Orlando City Prepares for the Colorado Rapids

The Lions are back in action on Saturday for a road match in high altitude against the Colorado Rapids. Orlando City is coming off a needed break in the schedule after losing two games in a row to close out a busy May. The Rapids have also lost their past two league games and will be without goalkeeper Zack Steffen due to injury. This will be the team’s first match against the Rapids since a 2-0 victory in Orlando back in 2023 and the first in Colorado since a 1-1 draw in 2022. Hopefully the Lions can get back on track with a win to kickstart another strong summer.

Concacaf W Champions Cup Schedule Revealed

The schedule was unveiled for the Concacaf W Champions Cup and we now know where the Pride will be playing this fall. Their campaign will begin at Inter&Co Stadium against Costa Rican club LD Alajuelense on Sept. 2. They’ll then hit the road for their next two matches, playing Chorrillo FC in Panama on Sept. 16 before facing Club America on Sept. 30. The Pride will close out their group play with a home game against Pachuca on Oct. 15. The top two teams from the group will advance to the semifinals, and the winner of the tournament will earn a spot in both the 2027 FIFA Women’s Champions Cup and 2028 FIFA Women’s Club World Cup. It’s going to make for some late-season fixture congestion for the Pride, but that’s the price of success and earning a spot in continental competitions.

USWNT Remains Atop FIFA Rankings

The United States Women’s National Team is still the best team in the world according to the latest FIFA rankings. The U.S. lost points overall in the time since the last rankings in March though, and the gap has narrowed between it and Spain and Germany. Brazil had a decent rise in the rankings, moving up four spots to fourth after beating Japan twice in recent friendlies. With notable international tournaments lined up for this summer, it will be interesting to see how much things shake up when the next rankings come out.

Michael Bradley Named New York Red Bulls II Head Coach

Former USMNT midfielder Michael Bradley was hired as head coach of the MLS NEXT Pro’s New York Red Bulls II. It’s the 37-year-old’s first professional head coaching job after spending time as an assistant coach under his father, Bob Bradley, at Stabaek in Norway. Bradley returns to where he began his professional playing career, as he was drafted by the MetroStars in 2004 at the age of 16.

“I couldn’t be more excited to come back to where my professional playing career began,” says Head Coach Michael Bradley. “This is a dream opportunity as a young coach. I’m looking forward to working everyday with this talented group of players, and I’ll give everything to help them take the next step in their careers. I’m thankful to the club for the opportunity and can’t wait to get started.”

Free Kicks

Vancouver Whitecaps left back Sam Adekugbe is out for the season due to an ACL injury sustained in a friendly with Canada.
The draw for the final round of Concacaf World Cup qualifying was completed, with the 12 teams slotted into three groups of four. Panama and El Salvador were drawn together, while Costa Rica was drawn into a group with Honduras, Haiti, and Nicaragua.
Tottenham named Thomas Frank as its next head coach, inking him to a deal that lasts until 2028. He joins after seven years as Brentford’s manager, which included promotion to the English Premier League in 2021.
Napoli won the Kevin De Bruyne sweepstakes, with the 33-year-old choosing to join the Serie A champs after 10 years with Manchester City.
Michal Probierz has resigned as Poland’s head coach only a few days after striker Robert Lewandowski said he will no longer play for the national team so long as Probierz was in charge. Lewandowski was replaced as team captain before Poland’s 2-1 loss to Finland in World Cup qualifying.
Galatasaray added German winger Leroy Sane on a free transfer, signing him to a three-year contract. Sane will still be available to play at the Club World Cup with Bayern Munich.
Manchester United signed Brazilian forward Matheus Cunha to a five-year contract. The 26-year-old scored 17 goals for Wolverhampton last season.
You’ll need to get past the paywall for the full details, but this is a great dive into the importance of Senegal’s recent 3-1 win over England in a friendly. The win extended Senegal’s unbeaten streak to 22 games and gives the team plenty of momentum as it prepares for World Cup qualifiers this fall.