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Orlando City vs. New England Revolution: Match Preview

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Coming off two league losses and a hard-fought bye week friendly, there’s no rest for the weary for Orlando City (2-4-2, 8 pts) as defending Eastern Conference Playoffs Champion New England Revolution comes to town.

The Revolution (5-2-2, 17 pts) picked up right where they left off and are currently sitting atop the Eastern Conference table. Not only that, but after dropping their first two matches of the season (without Jermaine Jones), the Revs are undefeated in their last seven. Not exactly the ideal candidate to play slump-buster for the Lions.

Speaking of Jones, he’s stepped right back into his role as midfield general for New England, even after missing the club’s first five matches. He should be back in the midfield this week after filling in at center back last week against NYRB. As a deep-lying central play-maker, he poses a unique defensive challenge for Orlando City. Will Amobi Okugo be drawn forward to defend the German-American, or will Kaká be forced into more defensive duty tracking back? Neither is an ideal option for the Lions.

For Orlando, significant changes will likely be in store this week, with the season-ending ACL injury suffered by Kevin Molino in last week’s friendly. It’s not entirely clear who will replace him on the right wing, but it seems most likely that Eric Avila will slide over to that side. More significantly, word from training is that Brek Shea will indeed move back up to left wing, and allow USL veteran Luke Boden to start at fullback.

Shea provides the Lions' most dynamic attacking threat outside of Kaká, and moving the Texan to wing will allow him more freedom to push forward and run at goal. Shea has been solid defensively though, and New England's elite forwards will surely test Boden in only his second MLS appearance.

Formation and Starting XI:

Orlando City vs New England Revolution - Orlando City vs. New England Revolution - Football tactics and formations

Orlando City: What will life be like for the Lions without Kevin Molino? The Trinidadian hadn't found the score sheet yet for City, but he was clearly an integral part of the offense, not to mention Kaká's favorite attack partner. There's really no option on the roster to replace him; hence the dramatic shift of moving Brek Shea back up to his natural winger position. Shea has been great so far at making overlapping runs in support when Kaká is on the ball. Starting at wing, however, he'll need to slow down his play and support the Brazilian in cycling the ball through the midfield and controlling possession. That's never been Shea's strong-suit, so we'll see just how comfortable he looks in Heath's possession-oriented system.

Luke Boden looked capable in his lone appearance of the season against Montreal, and also looked downright good playing on the left side with Shea in last weekend's friendly. However, he's no Brek Shea, and Orlando fans simply can't expect the same level of attacking contribution from the Englishman.

Heath will want to see improvement from rookie Cyle Larin this week, who will be making his sixth MLS appearance. If Larin fails to have an impact, we may see an early appearance from Designated Player Bryan Rochez, who scored a goal against Ponte Preta on Saturday and earned praise from Coach Heath.

New England Revolution: The cliche would be to say that the Revs have “a wealth of attacking talent”, but that’s honestly not nearly a strong enough phrase. Outside of the fearsome Dempsey/Martins combo in Seattle, there may be no team with more options up front. In Juan Agudelo, Lee Nguyen, Teal Bunbury, and Charlie Davies, the Revolution have four excellent, young attacking players, each of whom has been capped by the USMNT. It’s a testament to Jay Heaps’ ability as a coach that he’s able to get all four on the pitch at the same time effectively.

New England plays a similar 4-2-3-1 formation, but their style is much different than Orlando City’s. Jones has more freedom to create from a deep position, and their attack is typically much more direct and high-pressure. Bunbury and Agudelo on the wings are both converted strikers, and neither is afraid to go directly at goal. At the fullbacks, Woodberry and Tierney are talented players, but the Revs are less reliant on them in attack than some teams in the league.

What to Watch For:

Lions' Midfield Chemistry – Fans will discount the impact of Kevin Molino since he had failed to find the net in 2015, but he really had been essential to the Lions offensive movement. Shea has the speed and tricks, but will he be able to play possession soccer in the attacking third?

If it is indeed Avila on the right, will he be able to contribute more in attack from that side than he has on the left? Further, he will have to adjust to Ramos running forward from the fullback position. Rafael is a fiery player, and after his red card against Columbus, one would expect him to come out hungry on Friday.

"X" Factor:

Orlando City Set Pieces – For the first time all year, the Lions had success from set pieces in this weekend’s friendly. Rochez scored a first half header off a corner, and defender Sean St. Ledger did the same in the second.

Aurelien Collin and Seb Hines are elite headers of the ball by MLS standards, and it’s almost a surprise they haven’t had more impact on corners this year. With Larin and Shea providing some size as well, a corner or set piece may well be the best chance Orlando will have at finding the scoreboard against a team like New England. It’s worth noting, with CB Andrew Farrell coming in at only 5-foot-11, the Revolution don’t have the most intimidating back line in MLS.

Prediction:

The friendly win went a long way to increase the confidence among the Lions, though the popular Molino's injury may have dampened spirits a bit. Regardless, Orlando have still not scored a league goal at home in the last 270 minutes.

New England is on fire right now, and are certainly one of the best teams in MLS this year. Can the Molino-less Lions pull off a win at home against the Revs? Of course. But given both teams current form, it would be hard to bet on it.

Final Score: 2-0 New England Revolution

What are your predictions for Orlando's ninth league match? Let us know in the comment section. Be sure to join in on our Match Day Open Thread 90 minutes (or so) prior to kickoff!

The match is scheduled for Friday, May 8, at 8 p.m. It will be televised nationally on UniMas.

Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More

The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.

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Image of Alex Freeman celebrating after scoring the tying goal at Cincinnati.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.

We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote

This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.

Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 506 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!

27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.

39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.

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PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More

Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more

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Image of Oscar Pareja giving his team directions.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.

We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.

We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.

Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.

This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.

The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 502 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.

29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).

46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.

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Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media

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Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.

When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.

With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.

All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.

We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.

Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.

Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.

Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.

Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.

But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.

Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.

Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.

Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.

Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.

At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.

Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.

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