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Orlando City

Intelligence Report: Orlando City at New York Red Bulls

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Orlando City’s 2018 season will finally draw to a close on Sunday as the Lions travel to square off with the New York Red Bulls in Red Bull Arena on Decision Day. New York still has the Supporters’ Shield in its sights while Orlando is coming off its first victory since July. City played spoiler a bit with that win, throwing the playoff hopes of the Columbus Crew into doubt and the team has an opportunity to do something similar to the Red Bulls. In a smaller storyline, Sacha Kljestan makes his return to the Red Bulls after Orlando acquired him in early January.

To give us the final opposition update of the season, Austin Fido is back from Once a Metro to let us know what to expect from the Shield-seeking home side this weekend.

Chris Armas has had half of the season at the helm now and the Red Bulls have shown no signs of slowing down. Is that because of the system in place or is it a testament to Armas’ ability as a manager?

Austin Fido: A bit of both, I’d suggest. It is now four seasons since RBNY dedicated itself to RalfBall. Since 2015, the entire club has been focused on working to the principles (and within the parameters) of the philosophy of Red Bull Global Soccer’s master plan. Pretty much every decision the club makes is informed by the system to which it has committed, on and off the field: tactics, players, coaches, the way the academy and reserve teams develop and advance candidates for first team contracts, and the way RBNY shops the transfer market. Even the decision to hire Armas as Marsch’s successor is consistent with RalfBall’s ideals of continuity and developing its own talent. The system isn’t foolproof and is to blame when things go wrong, but it should be credited when things go right, since making things go right is surely the point of the system. Well done, RalfBall: RBNY is in good shape.

But credit Armas too. He stepped into a situation that might have quickly gone bad for him. Injuries to the likes of Florian Valot and Vincent Bezecourt trimmed the depth of the squad; some key players on expiring contracts (Kemar Lawrence — since signed to a new deal — and Tim Parker, whose future at RBNY is still not certain) might have started to impact the squad’s unity and focus. And of course any dip in form — real or imagined — was always more likely to be blamed on Armas not being up to the job rather than other factors. In some ways, making a team successful under a designated system is harder than having more control. Marsch’s tenure established that a Ralfball team can be successful — competitive, certainly — in MLS. Any slip-ups in Marsch’s absence would be attributed to Armas, not the system. 

Sunday is a must-win match for the Red Bulls to have their best chance of winning the Supporters’ Shield. Does that change how Armas will approach the match?

AF: I don’t think it will change things for Armas because I think this is the situation he’d been hoping and planning for for at least a couple of weeks now. After RBNY beat Atlanta at the end of the September, the task was to try winning two games on the road and hope to land back at Red Bull Arena for the regular season finale with something meaningful to play for. That has been achieved.

Atlanta remains the favorite to win the Shield — because beating TFC, even in Toronto, isn’t nearly as difficult this season as it was last year. I’m not expecting RBNY to claim the regular season title this season because I’m not expecting Atlanta to drop points this weekend. I would guess Armas thinks much the same, but neither he nor the players want to be the team that surrendered the Shield race without a fight; nor do they want to limp into the playoffs on the back of a loss at home. So they will treat this as a must-win game, even if the win won’t necessarily deliver any silverware — at the very least, it’s the last chance to tune up for must-win games that lie ahead in the postseason.

Sacha Kljestan will return to Red Bull Arena for the first time since the trade between the two clubs over the winter. What will the reception be like for the team’s former captain? What’s New York’s assessment of the trade after a season without Kljestan?

AF: I expect Sacha’s reception to be mixed. He was a major contributor to RBNY’s success during his time at the club, and he set or tied at least one of our major assists record (single-season league assists, all-competitions career assists, etc.) in each of his seasons with the team. He was a big part of the last RBNY squad to lift a trophy — the 2015 Supporters’ Shield. For his commitment (he didn’t ask to leave the team) and performance, he deserves to be remembered fondly and with respect — and some, perhaps several, fans will do just that. 

Others will recall that his last act as a Red Bull — as captain, no less — was to get sent off for squalling with Jozy Altidore at half-time of a must-win game (which RBNY did win, but not by enough to advance in the playoffs) against TFC. And many will remember Sacha’s apparent questioning of RBNY’s ambition: muttering about the team’s need for “difference-makers” as he looked back on his time in New York from his new surroundings in Orlando. 

As for evaluating the trade that sent Sacha to Florida, clearly it was a success for RBNY. It’s an odd success in that the trade was never really about what Orlando was offering, more what the Red Bulls thought could be done to bolster the squad by filling the space vacated by Kljestan. Neither Carlos Rivas nor Tommy Redding have made any great contribution to this season for RBNY. It looked like a trade that favored Orlando at the time it was made, and it still looks that way now, if you judge the trade purely by what each team took away from it. But judge the trade by what each team has achieved since, however, and it shouldn’t be controversial to say RBNY got the better of it.

What injuries/suspensions will keep players out this weekend and what is your projected lineup and predicted final score?

AF: Daniel Royer and Kemar Lawrence did not feature against Philadelphia last week, but word is they have recovered from their respective knocks. If they’ve made it through the back-end of the week , I’d expect them both to play against Orlando. Marc Rzatkowski might be a concern, but that might simply serve to save Armas a headache over whether or not to start Alex Muyl. No great suspension worries either, so I’d expect a full-strength lineup as RBNY looks to close out the regular season on a high, and maybe with a trophy — if TFC does something unexpected.

Injured: Vincent Bezecourt, Kyle Duncan, Ben Mines, Tommy Redding, Florian Valot.

Predicted lineup: Luis Robles; Kemar Lawrence, Aaron Long, Tim Parker, Michael Murillo; Sean Davis, Tyler Adams; Daniel Royer, Kaku, Alex Muyl; Bradley Wright-Phillips.

Predicted Score: RBNY 2-1 Orlando.

I think OCSC will be up for this and give us a scare, but the Red Bulls want to win this game — regardless of what happens in Toronto — and should not lack for motivation to chase down three points at home.


Thanks again to Austin for giving us the update on New York.

Orlando City

Orlando City’s Offense Looks Different With Marco Pašalić on the Right

How Orlando City’s offensive style changed from the end of 2024 to 2025 and how the Croatian contributes differently than Facundo Torres did.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

As I often like to do, I will start this article on Orlando City by writing about…baseball. America’s pastime — or at least it was for most of the 20th century — is celebrating opening day for the 2025 season this week, but that is not why I mention baseball. Rather, when I think about baseball I often think about baseball movies, and that brings me to one of the seminal sports films of all time, The Sandlot.

There are many great characters and moments in this movie, but a fan favorite was Michael “Squints” Palledorous. If you have not seen The Sandlot, you should, because that movie is fun and fun is good, but the reason I brought Squints up is because…wait for it…if you squint really hard when looking at Orlando City’s newest Designated Player, Marco Pašalić, then you can see Orlando City’s former Designated Player, and all-time leading scorer, Facundo Torres.

I say you have to squint really hard because aside from being similarly aged (Torres is 154 days older than Pašalić), left-foot-dominant players who play on the right side of the field, the styles of play for both players are quite different, as is how Orlando City has played in 2025 with Pašalić vs. toward the end of 2024 with Torres.

Let’s start with Orlando’s style of play in 2025 vs. the end of 2024, and we will look at the two individual players after that. I am choosing the final games of last season, because those are the most recent games played by the team, and as was frequently discussed in the run-up to this season, Orlando City brought back many of its key players from last season and has much of the same coaching staff as well. If you look at the statistics though, the team is playing differently this season as compared to 2024.

I’ve broken this out into three sections: the first five games of the 2025 regular season, the five 2024 playoff games, and the final five 2024 regular-season games. Playoff games are played differently than regular-season games, so I did not want to just compare the most recent five games of 2024 to the first five of 2025. This data is sourced from fbref.com, tracked by coders from Opta (all data is on a per-game basis):

Category2025 Reg. Season
(First 5 Games)
2024 Playoffs
(5 games)
2024 Reg. Season
(Last 5 Games)
Possession46%56%52%
Passes Attempted473538536
Touches in Attacking Third142195183
Shots16.012.413.4
Expected Goals2.01.31.9
Attacks Down Right Side37%31%28%

We will get back to the attacks down the right side more specifically when we look at Pašalić and Torres, but look at the major differences in all of these numbers. This year’s team, at least through the first few games, is playing a different style of soccer than the 2024 team played at the end of the season. They are possessing the ball less throughout the game but also in particular while in the attacking third of the field. This comes from rapid counterattacks and excellent transition offense as well as a more direct approach to creating shots.

We can see this more direct approach by looking at the reduction in touches per game in the attacking third of the field juxtaposed against an increase of more than 20% in shots per game, meaning that the ratio of touches per shot in the attacking third has decreased dramatically from last year to this year. During the final five regular-season games, the Lions were averaging 13.7 touches per shot, and thus far in 2025 that number is 8.9.

In this context, a touch is counted not as every individual dribble or pass but rather as a count of each person who possesses the ball in the attacking third of the field. So, a pass from player A to player B, who then takes four dribbles and passes to player C is three touches, even though player B dribbled the ball four times.

The upshot of the reduction of touches per shot is that Orlando City is getting to its shots in a reduced number of possessors of the ball, meaning that there has been lower risk of a bad exchange since there have been fewer exchanges. This year’s team is generating shots from more dangerous locations (using expected goals) as well, and the Lions’ 13 goals scored in the first five games leads the league at this point of the season.

Looking at the final row in that table, there is also a big difference in the location of where the Lions are emanating their attacks from. The team is more frequently launching attacks down the right side, and that is where the comparison of Torres and Pašalić starts to come into play. It must also be noted that the primary right back in 2024 was Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, whereas in 2025 it has been future USMNT starter Alex Freeman (I crossed it out, but I do believe that Freeman is a serious candidate to play on the national team), and it is likely not coincidental that there have been more attacks down the right side with the direct playing style of the Pašalić-Freeman combination.

Torres also always made a point to play all across the attacking zone, often switching sides with Iván Angulo, whereas that has not been the case this season with Pašalić. I pulled the heatmaps (thank you very much, whoscored.com) for Pašalić and Torres from the same five-game periods from the table above, and you can see that in Torres’s heatmaps the blue shading goes all over the field, whereas for Pašalić he stays mostly to the right side (Orlando City is attacking from left to right on all of the heatmaps below).

These heatmaps and the following stats show some stark differences between the Croatian Designated Player and the Uruguayan former Designated Player in terms of how they play/played for Orlando City (all data is on a per-game basis):


Category
Pašalić:
2025 Regular Season
Torres:
Playoffs
Torres:
Last 5 games of
2024 Regular Season
Touches37.861.050.8
Take-Ons4.82.81.2
Passes Attempted23.252.043.4
Shots3.02.41.6
Shot-Creating Actions3.23.82.4
Progressive Passes Received5.69.88.0

Across nearly every metric there are big differences between the players, but in particular the ones that stand out to me are how much of the offense flowed through Torres last season and how the Lions looked for him to initiate as compared to how Pašalić appears to get his offense in the flow of play — at least through the first five games of this season. Pašalić also attacks more off the dribble than Torres did, as shown by his much higher rate of take-ons per game, and he is able to get shots off at a higher rate as well.

That leads me to the last comparison, which is not shown in the table above, but is the most critical category for any offensive player — goals scored. Orlando City has not yet played 15% of its 2025 MLS regular-season games, but Pašalić has scored four goals and assisted on another. With so many games still to play, we can extrapolate the numbers to see a pace of 27 goals scored and seven assists, but we can also consider that defenses will adjust over a long season and it is unlikely that the pace will remain the same for the next seven months.

Torres, sadly, is not on pace to score any more goals for the Lions, but he did score 37 MLS regular-season goals during his three seasons, including two seasons of 14 goals each, and he added 20 assists as well. His numbers are real, not theoretical or extrapolated, and while it is incredibly exciting to think about Orlando City’s offense and what it could be and what Pašalić could achieve, we are still only five games into the new season, so let’s keep our excitement from boiling over for at least another week.

Pašalić still has a way to go to show that he can consistently create goals the way that Torres did, but if you squint real hard, you can see that the potential is there for him to do so or perhaps even surpass his predecessor out on the right wing. He is playing with a different offensive style but going after the same result.

We will see.

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Orlando City

Orlando City vs. LA Galaxy: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to secure their first road win of the season?

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City heads to the other coast to take on the defending MLS champions LA Galaxy Saturday. The Lions are coming off a dominating 4-1 victory over D.C. United at Inter&Co Stadium. Orlando City looks capable of beating any team with the way the offense is humming, but road wins are tough to come by in MLS. Here’s what Orlando City needs to do to earn all three points against the LA Galaxy.

Keep the Good Times Rolling

Orlando City leads MLS in scoring with 13 goals so far this season. Just as importantly, the Lions’ three Designated Players — Martin Ojeda, Luis Muriel, and Marco Pasalic — have accounted for nine of those goals. Additionally, the trio has provided seven of the 16 total assists this season. I’m no math guy, but 20 goal contributions from the players that are supposed to be doing just that is good stuff.

The Galaxy have shipped 10 goals so far this season. The champs are vulnerable and the Lions are on a goal-scoring hot streak. If the Lions can get the first goal of the match early, they will better be able to dictate the terms to the home team. As such, the Orlando City offense, led by the Designated Players, needs to keep things going against the Galaxy. I expect it will take multiple goals to secure a win.

Get Gritty

Cesar Araujo made his return against D.C. United and it was the first time Orlando City didn’t give up multiple goals this season. I want to see him be the enforcer he usually is against the likes of Edwin Cerrillo and Christian Ramirez. However, I also want to see Eduard Atuesta show a bit more grittiness in the defense as well. You can’t push the ball forward if you don’t take it away from the opposition.

Pedro Gallese will be back for this match, and he will rightly get the start. I’m not taking anything away from Javier Otero’s first start, but sometimes defenses take on more responsibility when you have a younger, less experienced keeper in goal. That shouldn’t mean Araujo or the back line can take it easy. We’ve seen what happens when this defense loses focus and it isn’t good. Show me the grit.

The Intangibles

Traveling all the way across the country to play is never an easy proposition. Away matches in MLS are always difficult because your routine is a bit messed up. You don’t get to sleep in your own bed, the climate is different, and in L.A. you’re kicking off when you are usually going to bed. The Lions need to overcome all of those elements to maximize their chances.

Of course, not all the intangibles are against the Lions. The Galaxy have struggled to start the season, and a team can press too much when looking for a win in front of the home fans. Additionally, the Galaxy are playing in Concacaf Champions Cup, with their next match three days later on Tuesday night against Tigres UANL. Hopefully they’ll be keeping an eye on minutes played for their starters in anticipation of the Champions Cup match.


That is what I will be looking for Saturday night. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links: 3/27/25

Marco Pasalic wins Goal of the Matchday, Orlando Pride members join U.S. U-23 camp, Orlando City B beats Crown Legacy FC, and more.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

We’re another day closer to what should be an awesome Saturday, with both Orlando City and the Orlando Pride in action. All three of Orlando’s soccer teams have been doing well lately, which is not something we can say too often. Hopefully that trend continues this weekend and beyond. Let’s get to today’s links!

Marco Pasalic Wins MLS Goal of the Matchday

An Orlando City player has won MLS Goal of the Matchday for the first time this season, with Marco Pasalic claiming the award for his strike against D.C. United. The goal was a real team effort from the Lions, as all three Designated Players linked up to get the ball up the field in a hurry for a counter. Pasalic did well to create space and then curl the ball into the back of the net from distance. His goal garnered 64.7% of the vote, beating out goals from Daniel Rios, David Martinez, and Deandre Kerr. In his first year as a Lion, the Croatian winger has already recorded four goals and an assist so far.

Pride’s Zara Chavoshi and Yolanda Thomas Join U.S. U-23 Camp

Orlando Pride defender Zara Chavoshi was called up for the first U-23 United States Women’s National Team training camp of the year, which will run alongside the senior team’s camp in California. The 22-year-old, who was signed by the Pride directly out of college after four years at Wake Forest, will develop her game at the camp alongside other promising young defenders like Savy King, Gisele Thompson, and Eva Gaetino. Orlando Pride Assistant Coach Yolanda Thomas will also be in attendance as an assistant coach at the camp, and it’s great to see her get this opportunity.

Orlando City B Defeats Crown Legacy FC on the Road

Orlando City B won its first road match of the 2025 season, beating Crown Legacy FC 1-0 to extend its unbeaten run to three games (2-0-1). The Young Lions didn’t make things easy on themselves by not converting some solid opportunities to extend their lead, but they ultimately held on to secure all three points. Orlando is now tied at the top of the Eastern Conference standings with New York City FC II with eight points from three matches. OCB’s next match will be a road game against Chattanooga FC on April 5.

Say Hello to Boston Legacy FC

Boston’s NWSL team has rebranded itself as Boston Legacy FC, which is leagues better than BOS Nation FC. The team initially went with that anagram of Bostonian as its name back in October as part of a brand launch that also included a widely criticized marketing campaign involving the slogan “Too Many Balls.” While I’m not crazy about the name, the team deserves credit for not defaulting to something too generic after whiffing on its first swing. The Boston Legacy will take the field for the first time next year as the NWSL’s 16th team.

Free kicks

  • Pride midfielder Angelina was called up by Brazil for its friendlies against the United States in California on April 5 and April 8.

That’s all I have for you this fine Thursday. I hope you all have a terrific day and rest of your week!

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