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View from the End Line: 2019 Mane Land Staff Predictions

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It is that time of year again, time to put the reality stone to bed for a few fleeting moments, pull that crystal ball out from the drawer, dust it off, and take a gander inside. This exercise is not just for me, as once again I have reached out to my fellow writers to get their predictions as well. The format is the same as years past, so let’s dive right in and see what everyone thinks for the upcoming 2019 MLS season for Orlando City.

Alek Pierce

Record: 14-11-9 (51 points).

Eastern Conference Result: 5th.

Playoff Result: First-round elimination.

Season MVP: Nani. I foresee far more assists than goals, and I believe his leadership and the intangibles that he brings to the table will spur on the Lions to their first-ever playoff appearance.

Breakout Player: Chris Mueller. With an impressive showing in the preseason and an unmatchable work ethic, I think the club’s new No. 9 will have an impressive year. He appears to be the heir apparent to Dom Dwyer’s role once he hangs up his boots, but I still foresee a great sophomore season for the young attacker.

Bold Prediction: Aside from the Lions finding their way into the playoff race for the first time in the club’s MLS history, I foresee a huge difference in the club’s goal differential as opposed to last season’s -31. Going out on a limb, but I think the goal differential will be in the black this season.

Season Outlook: Massive optimism. There are some questions, namely who will win the starting role between the sticks, but the addition of Nani is going to be massive. I think this is the season that the Lions finally make their presence known, and James O’Connor will remain at the helm at the conclusion of the season.


Andrew Sharp

Record: 9-13-12 (39 points). If this team can improve enough to turn last year’s losses into draws and draws into wins, then Orlando might have a passable record in 2019, but with half of the 22 losses being by multiple goals and uninspiring defensive acquisitions in the off-season, it seems like it will be an uphill struggle.

Eastern Conference Result: 9th. Even with the best starts, Orlando can’t escape the summer slump hoodoo. Admittedly, last year’s slump turned more into a nosedive with the Lions taking nine points out of the last possible 75, with none coming away from home in that time. A complete reset for the second time in as many years breeds some hope that things could be different and with an extra playoff spot up for grabs it may finally be the year the Lions make it to the promised land, but it’s hard to see no less than eight teams comfortably better than Orlando in the East right now.

Season MVP: Don’t overthink it, it’s Nani. The Euro 2016 winner is according to some remarkably not at his peak anymore. You don’t say! That’s irrelevant, even at 32 (two of last season’s five MVP candidates arrived older than that and were equally written off as “past it” before tearing everyone apart) he is undoubtedly the best player in this squad. His technical ability, outlandish creativity and wicked eye for goal should allay any cliché fears about the four-time Premier League champion having “lost a step.” That’s not to say he’s a miracle worker and leaning on him too heavily like many of Kaká’s teammates did won’t help him flourish.

Breakout Player: With no less than 11 senior acquisitions so far made this winter and a large number of them being relatively unknown quantities in an MLS setting it’s hard to tell which ones will hit. One familiar face, however, is Chris Mueller, who had a hot start to his rookie season and was earning early Rookie of the Year plaudits before his production tailed off along with the rest of the team. If you thought year one Cash was good, I’m touting him to have an even better 2019.

Bold Prediction: Only one MLS season has seen two Orlando players hit double figures for goals when Larin and Molino bagged 14 and 11, respectively, in 2016. Last campaign, Dwyer topped the charts with 13 but the next best was Kljestan with a paltry six. So how is this for bold? Orlando will have three players with 10+ goals for the first time, a feat achieved by D.C. United, both LA teams, San Jose, and Sporting Kansas City last year.

Season Outlook: You can’t be disappointed if you had low expectations to start with, right? In all seriousness, Orlando City is a small fish compared to the MLS elite and will be scrapping for the last handful of playoff spots — but they are well within reach. MLS is an unpredictable beast and if O’Connor manages to regain that confidence that made Orlando so difficult to beat at home in the first few seasons then an uptick in home points, along with a simple return to the mean for away form, and the Lions have a shout. However, my biggest hope for 2019 is that it’s simply more watchable. With Nani, Mueller, Dwyer, Tesho Akindele, Benji Michel and Santiago Patino, O’Connor can no longer lament his lack of forward options and City must play on the front foot more if they are to succeed.


Jennifer Warren

Record: Shockingly, I believe that Orlando will end up around — or even slightly over — 50 points. I see the Lions getting 15-ish wins, with a handful of draws, resulting in a fifth-place spot in the East.

Playoffs: Good shot at getting past Round One, but Orlando will be eliminated in the conference semifinals.

Season MVP: Without a doubt, this will be Nani. As much as we all loved Kaká, Nani is still performing at a high level and comes to the club pretty much match fit. With the team consisting of a lot of youth, Nani’s experience and leadership will lift everyone around him on the pitch. Orlando has attacking options for him and a coach that is willing and able to adjust things as the match dictates. He most likely won’t be the team’s top scorer, but his assists and creativity will lead the way.

Breakout Player: Tesho Akindele. He has already begun to demonstrate a connection with last season’s breakout player, Chris Mueller. He’s big and strong, and can arguably provide better hold-up play than Dwyer. He’s got some experience but is still young and will continue to grow as the season progresses, learning under Dwyer and Nani. When teams focus on Dwyer, like they always do, Akindele will be able to come on and surprise defenses.

Bold Prediction: The fact that I not only see City making the playoffs, but that I think it be solidly in 5th place. I fully expect Orlando to be better than seven other clubs in the East.

Season Outlook: It’s fair to say that I’m quite optimistic about this season and, just to add to that, I felt this way before the 6-2 victory on Wednesday evening. I honestly don’t put a lot of faith in that win, since the Lions were playing a team that I’m confident will finish way below them in the standings. O’Connor also fielded a fairly random assortment of players that will most likely not be consistent first-team starters. I do, however, have a lot faith in O’Connor and I’m certain that him having a full, intense preseason will lead to the club’s first playoff run. The younger, less experienced signings will be out to prove something, and having a superstar leader on the pitch in Nani is exactly the right balance needed for the club to have a standout 2019.


Scott Carnevale

Record: 11-16-7 (40 points), 9th in the Eastern Conference.

Playoffs: No playoffs.

Season MVP: Nani is probably the highest profile player signed in MLS this off-season, and he will live up to the expectations. His services into the box, combined with his long-range shots, will be detrimental to oppositions in 2019. Nani will lead the team in assists, and be second in goals, behind Dom Dwyer.

Breakout Player: Alex De John. De John has been promising this preseason. He has played well and looks to have chemistry with the other center backs already. On a team that broke the record for allowing the most goals in MLS history a season ago, the back line should be a focal point. Arguments can be made, and I agree, that many of the goals let in were not the defenders’ fault, but look to De John as a big part of the solution to this problem.

Bold Prediction: Orlando City will improve in every statistical category from last year. Okay, that is not saying too much as last year was a train wreck, but small steps here! This year will be better than in 2018 in every sense of the word.

Season Outlook: James O’Connor’s rebuild will take some time, so don’t expect fireworks this year. But, as long as the front office finds some patience, O’Connor will get the team to where it needs to be. This season will be much more entertaining, with fewer goals allowed and more goals scored, but ultimately the Lions will miss the playoffs.


David Rohe

Record: 14-9-11 (51 points).

Eastern Conference Result: 6th.

Playoff Result: Lose in first round (but hey, they made it).

Season MVP: Dom Dwyer. The new player additions free up Dom to be Dom, and force the opposition to cover other players.

Breakout Player: Tesho Akindele will have a massive impact on the Lions season. He will not only score plenty of goals himself (not to mention assists), but his presence will allow Dwyer to score more as well. We’ve also seen the chemistry that Tesho has with Chris Mueller, and I think that it will transfer to the other players as well.

Bold Prediction: Orlando City doesn’t change coaches mid-season. That shouldn’t be a bold prediction, but the recent past looms large.

Season Outlook: There will be marked improvement from a squad that has a lot of new faces. James O’Connor will actually have everyone pulling the same direction, and the team will score many more goals. This will be the turnaround year the club has needed, but it will also just be the foundation, as the 2020 season will be the year to enjoy.


The Bearded Guy

Record: 17-13-4 (for an insane 55 points).

Eastern Conference Result: 4th.

Playoff Result: The Lions make the playoffs, and that is all that matters. The new playoff structure in MLS means that the Lions will play on the road, which sucks. The good news here is that the Lions will play a playoff match.

Season MVP: I am going to step out on a limb and throw Lamine Sané out as my season MVP. Nani is an easy choice, and he will come in second, but I honestly believe that Sané will be the man we toast to at the season’s end.

Breakout Player: Benji Michel. I fully expect names like Nani, Sebas Mendez, Mueller, Dwyer, Akindele, and others to make an impact. I think that Michel off the bench will be one of those impact players that runs teams stupid. He is going to be that 20-minute sub that is feared in MLS.

Bold Prediction: Orlando City makes a turnaround that even Matt Doyle cannot help but write nice things about. OCSC is going to make heads turn this season, and not because the Lions are breaking the records they unfortunately set last season. This is the season that Orlando City solidifies itself as an Eastern Conference juggernaut.

Season Outlook: It is going to be a roller coaster, but in the end, the club will see the promised land. I fully expect more wins than losses, thanks to defending our home.


Michael Citro

I hate making predictions, and usually abstain from participating in these preseason prediction things, but I’m jumping in this year for reasons I’ll explain in a minute.

Record: 12-13-9 (45 points).

Eastern Conference Result: 8th.

Playoff Result: No playoffs, but a step closer toward them in the future.

Season MVP: The man who will put up the statistics will be Dom Dwyer, reaping the rewards from a much-improved surrounding cast and a better overall offensive team philosophy. Dom’s goal total will climb to at least 15 goals and the assists will be split among Nani, Chris Mueller, Sebas Mendez, and others.

Breakout Player: Sebas Mendez, and this is why I’m in this column. Seriously? No one else picked Sebas? In fairness, only a few of us on staff were able to be at both Orlando City Invitational matches, but Mendez was a huge problem for New York City FC on both the defensive end and in the attack. I loved his energy, his tenacity, and his knack for finding the right teammate with his next pass.

Bold Prediction: Sacha Kljestan will return to his Red Bulls-level assist numbers. If the NYCFC match is anything to judge by, Kljestan appears to have regained his mojo. His passes were spot on, his energy level was high, and he had a good understanding of where his teammates would move next.

Season Outlook: This team is made up of a lot of new pieces and the biggest of those — Nani — hasn’t gotten a preseason game in (and won’t). He may not even be available in the opener if his paperwork is slow to arrive. I still think this team is a couple of players away from completing the overhaul it needed, I’m not convinced the young strikers will be sufficient additions, and the attacking part of the midfield is still too thin. Some steps in the right direction will be made, but I don’t know that this team is ready to join the postseason party just quite yet.


There you have it folks. Do you agree or disagree? Please let us know in the comments. You never know, I might sing your praises or make fun of you incessantly at the end of the season.

Podcasts

PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More

The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.

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Image of Alex Freeman celebrating after scoring the tying goal at Cincinnati.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.

We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote

This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.

Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 506 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!

27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.

39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.

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PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More

Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more

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Image of Oscar Pareja giving his team directions.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.

We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.

We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.

Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.

This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.

OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.

The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!

Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.

If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.


Here’s how No. 502 went down:

0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.

29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).

46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.

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Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media

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Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.

When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.

With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.

All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.

We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.

Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.

Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.

Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.

Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.

But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.

Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.

Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.

Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.

Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.

At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.

Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.

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