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View from the End Line: Lions Have Fought Halfway Through Tough July Stretch
Prediction pieces are one thing I have the pleasure of writing every month, but no worries, this will not be one. This will also not be a look back piece to check in and see how Orlando City SC has fared against those predictions to date. What this will be is a reminder of the insanity that has been July so far through the years, as well as what lies ahead for the remainder of the month and the weeks after.
Sit down, please buckle your safety harnesses, and enjoy your trip in the way-way-back machine as I remind you just how special July has been to date.
To help jog your memory, here is a quick look back at the matches played to date in July:
- July 3 — a 3-1 home loss to the Philadelphia Union at home.
- July 7 — a 2-2 draw to Philly in Philly.
- July 10 — a win in spot kicks against New York City FC at home in U.S. Open Cup.
- July 13 — a 1-0 win against the Columbus Crew at home.
In case you are still recovering from the last two matches, that would add up to OCSC getting four out of nine points available to date in July, as well as securing a place in the semifinals of the U.S. Open Cup. Anyone who has been following this club is fully aware of the summer slump that has seemed to haunt it since joining MLS. In fact, the previous few years’ point totals have looked like this:
- 2018: three points in five July matches.
- 2017: one point in three July matches.
- 2016: six points in six July matches.
- 2015: one point in four July matches.
The best the Lions have ever done to finish July was with a one-point-per-match average in 2016. Here is the next most gut-wrenching stat to chew on. Below are the points garnered by the Lions to finish the season after each July:
- 2018: six points over 12 matches (six home and six away).
- 2017: nine points over 12 matches (five home and seven away).
- 2016: 15 points over 13 matches (six home and seven away).
- 2015: 20 points over 13 matches (six home and seven away).
There are so many factors that can be pointed to in the past to start to explain what went wrong, how it went wrong, and why it just continued to get worse. I will leave that for the comment section because I do not have enough room to express myself in this article. I would like to focus on a few things that I think are helping to turn the tide for the Lions this year.
The Lions’ +1 goal differential isn’t looking horrible at the moment, but what is more important is that the team has only given up 27 goals to date — the fourth-best goals against total in the Eastern Conference and ninth best in the league as a whole. The current average goals conceded is 30 across the 24 teams in the league. Throwing out the high (45 goals allowed by FC Cincinnati) and the low (17 for Los Angeles FC), the average is still 29.91.
Orlando’s ability to finish has long been debated, but given what we just reviewed, the Lions are currently sitting with their best goal differential this late in the season. James O’Connor has found the right combination of center backs in Lamine Sané and Robin Jansson to work in front of, and with, goalkeeper Brian Rowe. The defensive side of the Lions has made leaps and bounds of progress since last season (the resurgence of Will Johnson, the hustle of Sebas Mendez, Ruan, Joao Moutinho, and Kamal Miller). There is still plenty of room for improvement, and we are witnessing it every week. The Lions actually have a chance to end July with a positive goal differential for the first time in their MLS history, thanks in large part to growth on the defensive side of the pitch.
The rotation of the squad from match to match, although puzzling at times, has proven to not be a complete Achilles heel for the club this season. Starters have done well as substitutes, starting XIs can see nine new faces between matches, and the Lions keep plugging away the point totals and their place in the Eastern Conference. You can see players getting rested, but it has been a little difficult to really pinpoint if O’Connor is strictly focusing on USOC, driving for a playoff spot, or both.
One thing is sure: he is using as many bodies on the pitch as possible, and I honestly think that the results are speaking for themselves, and they are speaking positively and bringing home results. They may be small, incremental benefits, but anyone who expected this club to go from where they finished in 2018 to top of the table is fooling themselves. The steps forward are absolutely there, you just have to look a little deeper to find them, and the success of the club with the amount of rotation used in starters speaks volumes to me.
One more thing: the boys are figuring out how to score. Currently, the Lions are mid-table in the East in goals for, at 28 — tied with last year’s MLS Cup winners, Atlanta United FC, and sitting in 15th in the league overall. The higher press that the team has been using, based on the success of the defensive back four, is giving the midfielders and forwards more opportunities to take shots. I think most fans would agree that this is still an area that needs more improvement, but I am not sure it is as bad as it seems. I think the club just needed to gain that trust in the defensive third before the players really felt comfortable to take a few chances in the offensive third. It also helps when you can make attacking substitutions in close matches and they benefit you from box to box as well as help secure three points.
The month isn’t over yet. Here is a quick reminder of what’s in store for the next several weeks. I am adding a look into early August because the aforementioned win against NYCFC made it important to consider:
- July 18 at Portland Timbers (7-8-3).
- July 21 vs. New York Red Bulls (9-7-4).
- July 27 vs. New England Revolution (6-8-6).
- Aug. 3 vs. FC Dallas (8-8-5).
- Aug. 6 vs. Atlanta United FC in USOC semifinal (9-8-3).
- Aug. 10 at Toronto FC (7-8-5).
- Aug. 14 vs. Sporting Kansas City (6-7-7).
- Aug. 17 at Minnesota United FC (10-7-3).
Folks, that is another eight matches in 30 days — three against Eastern Conference rivals, four road trips, and one U.S. Open Cup semifinal against those folks from up north. Also, there will be an All-Star weekend sprinkled in there as well. It is going to only get hotter here in Central Florida, but for the first time that I can remember, the Lions look poised to shake off the summer doldrums and not just survive them, but come out in a better position than years past.
Orlando City
Orlando City vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More
Orlando City restarts its 2026 MLS campaign late tonight out west at San Jose.
Welcome to your match thread for a late night midweek matchup tonight between Orlando City (4-9-2, 14 points) and the San Jose Earthquakes (10-3-2, 32 points) at PayPal Park (10:30 p.m., Apple TV). This is the only scheduled meeting between the teams in 2026 and the first time the teams have met since 2024.
Here’s what you need to know ahead of tonight’s match.
History
Orlando City is 3-1-3 in the previous seven MLS meetings with the Quakes since the club joined Major League Soccer in 2015. The Lions got their only away win in the series in the last meeting and enter tonight 1-1-2 on the road against San Jose.
The teams last met on May 18, 2024, with Jack Lynn coming off the bench to score the game’s only goal. Lynn’s strike in the 89th minute broke the scoreless deadlock and lifted the Lions to a 1-0 victory.
The teams met in Orlando most recently way back on June 22, 2021, with the Lions beating the Quakes down, 5-0. Orlando got things started with an early penalty kick goal by Nani, followed by braces from Benji Michel and Daryl Dike to easily put the game away. The lasting memory from the game is Michel’s celebratory dance wearing a cowboy hat that came out of the stands.
Prior to that Orlando City romp, the last time the teams met was on Aug. 31, 2019 when the Lions got freight trained 3-0 at Avaya Stadium, giving the Quakes their first win in the series. San Jose’s offense came via a Chris Wondolowski brace and an early opening goal by Magnus Eriksson. Orlando looked flat and weary out of the gate.
The Lions were victorious in Exploria Stadium in the 2018 meeting on April 21, a 3-2 Orlando win. It was the first win in the series for either side after three straight draws. Chris Mueller, Sacha Kljestan, and Dom Dwyer gave the Lions a 3-0 lead before Florian Jungwirth pulled two back in the game’s late stages.
The Lions led all of the first three matches in the second half only to see San Jose pull level, with two of those tying goals coming late. In the 2017 meeting, Carlos Rivas finally broke the scoreless tie and gave Orlando City the lead in the 81st minute, but Wondolowski spoiled the Lions’ night with an equalizer two minutes later as the teams drew at Avaya Stadium, 1-1.
In 2016, the Lions were gut-punched in the 94th minute in an emotional match that ended in a 2-2 draw. It was the first home match following the Pulse nightclub tragedy and what appeared to be a storybook ending to a cathartic win turned sour on a last-gasp equalizer by Shea Salinas. Seb Hines — now the Orlando Pride’s head coach — opened the scoring for Orlando, only to see Chad Barrett tie it up. Julio Baptista restored the lead in stoppage time, but Salinas ruined everything.
The two teams also drew in the first meeting, a 1-1 affair at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, with the Lions down to 10 men after Brek Shea was sent off in the first half. Kaká and Wondolowski each scored from the penalty spot four minutes apart in that initial meeting.
Overview
The teams meet tonight to get their post-World Cup portion of the season started. Orlando City has been terrible on the road all season long, keeping only one MLS opponent under two goals all year away from home and allowing five goals twice (at New York City FC and Nashville) and six goals twice (at LAFC and in the team’s most recent match away at FC Cincinnati just before the break).
Orlando City is a putrid 1-6-1 on the road this season, and now the Lions must face the Western Conference co-leaders tonight before coming home to face Supporters’ Shield-leading Nashville SC at home on Saturday. They’ll have to play at least tonight’s game without Martin Ojeda, who is out with a thigh injury sustained some time between his first-half goal a week ago in a friendly against FC Dallas and the time the availability report dropped on Tuesday.
But it isn’t all bad news for the Lions, who should have both Antoine Griezmann and Dike in the lineup. Griezmann was the club’s highly prized and widely publicized summer Designated Player signing, while Dike’s return to Orlando came together more recently, following his departure from West Bromwich Albion. They’ll help the club’s offense, but the attack hasn’t been the issue in 2026 — it’s been the historically porous defense, which is on pace to shatter the MLS record for goals conceded.
Meanwhile, San Jose is one of the first half of the season’s biggest surprises, as the Quakes have been outstanding in 2026. Scoring 34 goals while conceding just 15, San Jose is among the league leaders in goals scored (tied for third), goals conceded (third), and goal differential (+19, third).
The Earthquakes are 4-2-1 at home and are coming off a 3-1 road win at Portland in their last game prior to the World Cup break. San Jose boasts Golden Boot challenger Preston Judd, who leads the Quakes with 11 goals, adding two assists in his 15 appearances. Ousseni Bouda has chipped in five goals and three assists. Niko Tsakiris leads the team with seven assists to go along with his two goals, but he’s still recovering from a lower body injury and is not available tonight. However, the arrival of Timo Werner (four goals and five assists in just seven games) has truly elevated Bruce Arena’s Quakes, and he’ll need to be one of the main focal points for the Orlando defense.
To have any shot at taking something from this game, the Lions will need to play better road defense than they have all season. Orlando can score goals, but with Ojeda out, Griezmann will need to adapt quickly, and someone other than the team’s leading scorer will need to find the net.
The Lions will play without Ojeda (thigh), Joran Gerbet (knee), Nolan Miller (knee), Colin Guske (international duty), and Clovis Archage (international duty). In addition, Marco Pasalic may or may not have returned to the team after the World Cup. He was not in training Monday, although interim head coach Martin Perelman said he expected the Croatian back soon. The Earthquakes will be without Nonso Adimabua (lower body), former Lion Earl Edwards Jr. (lower body), DeJuan Jones (lower body), and Tsakiris (you guessed it, lower body…come on, San Jose).
Match Content
- Our most recent PawedCast includes our key matchups and score predictions for tonight’s match.
Official Lineups:
Orlando City (4-4-2)
Goalkeeper: Maxime Crepeau.
Defenders: Adrian Marin, David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Griffin Dorsey.
Midfielders: Ivan Angulo, Braian Ojeda, Eduard Atuesta, Tiago.
Forwards: Justin Ellis, Antoine Griezmann.
Bench: Javier Otero, Bernardo Rhein, Tahir Reid-Brown, Zakaria Taifi, Iago, Wilder Cartagena, Luis Otavio, Harvey Sarajian, Tyrese Spicer
San Jose Earthquakes (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Angus Gunn.
Defenders: Jamar Ricketts, Reid Roberts, Daniel Munie, Benjamin Kikanovic.
Defensive Midfielders: Beau Lerouox, Ronaldo Vieira.
Attacking Midfielders: Timo Werner, Nick Fernandez, Ousseni Bouda.
Forwards: Preston Judd.
Bench: Jonathan Gonzalez, Dave Romney, Paul Marie, Jack Skahan, Jack Jasinski, Ian Harkes, Francesco Montali, Max Floriani, Darius Johnson.
Referees
REF: Elijio Arreguin.
AR1: Adam Wienckowski.
AR2: Mike Nickerson.
4TH: Timothy Ford.
VAR: Jose Carlos Rivero.
AVAR: TJ Zablocki.
How to Watch
Match Time: 10:30 p.m.
Venue: PayPal Park — San Jose, CA.
TV/Live Stream: Apple TV.
Radio: AM 810 FOX Sports Radio Orlando (English), Mega 97.1 FM (Spanish), Nossa Rádio 1160 AM-WRLZ (Portuguese).
Social Media: For rapid reaction and live updates, follow us on Bluesky Social at @themaneland.bsky.social or follow Orlando City’s official Twitter (@OrlandoCitySC) or Bluesky (@OrlandoCitySC) feed.
Enjoy the match. Go City!
Podcasts
PawedCast Episode 542: Tampa Bay Friendly, McGuire Traded, OCB Beats Cincinnati, and More
Lions maul the Rowdies in friendly action, OCB wins on the road, and it’s transfer season.
Orlando City welcomed I-4 Derby rival Tampa Bay to Inter&Co Stadium for a friendly match on Wednesday and then proceeded to bludgeon the Rowdies with a couple of hammers named Antoine Griezmann and Justin Ellis. The two attackers combined for a goal and four assists in a 6-0 beatdown of the team from the Gulf Coast, with five different Lions scoring and Griffin Dorsey forcing an own goal. We discuss Griezmann’s first minutes with Orlando City, what the team showed in its formation, and how good Justin Ellis’ vision is.
Oh, and it’s also transfer season now. Duncan McGuire is on his way out and Marco Pasalic reportedly will follow soon, while a new left back may be headed from Spain to Orlando.
Following all of that, we discuss Maxime Crepeau being added to the MLS All-Star Team and the announcement that he’ll participate in the 2026 MLS All-Star Skills Challenge.
Our mailbagbox asked us about which World Cup semifinalist players we’d want to join Orlando this season (if we could only pick one), and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.
After the mailbagbox, we dive into OCB’s 2-1 road win at FC Cincinnati 2. It wasn’t the prettiest game by the Young Lions, but they managed to do enough to earn three points on the road, where they’ll stay to face Chattanooga on Saturday. We briefly preview that game.
Finally, Orlando City will be in Dallas Wednesday for the second of two friendlies leading up to the restart of the MLS season. It’s unlikely we’ll get a lot of details about that one, but we’ll see what happens. Maybe the FC Dallas folks will help us out.
Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.
If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.
Here’s how No. 542 went down:
0:15 – Orlando City crushed the Rowdies, the transfer season is in full swing, plus: hey now, Crepeau’s an all-star.
28:50 – The mailbagbox is always good for a hypothetical scenario.
36:54 – The Young Lions slipped past Cincy and head to Chattanooga, while the senior Lions head to Dallas.
Podcasts
SkoPurp Soccer Episode 119: International Break, USWNT, Louisville Preview, and More
The Pride return from a long international break looking to get their first-ever road win against Racing Louisville.
It feels like months since the Orlando Pride last took the field, but the calendar says otherwise. If you believe calendars, it’s only been a little less than three weeks, but time moves strangely in the post-pandemic apocalyptic world.
Anyway, we don’t have a match to recap, so we touched on a couple of Pride players putting the ball in the net during the international break and chat a bit about the United States Women’s National Team’s three-game friendly series against Japan. Emma Hayes used a lot of players, and the team looked solid for two of the three matches, but the rotated middle game seemed a bit disjointed. Hayes has greatly expanded the player pool and will have plenty of options when the World Cup approaches.
Our mailbagbox had questions about a potential change in the NWSL schedule, as the league explores adopting the fall-to-spring slate, and opposition own goals. Remember, you can ask us anything by hitting us up on Twitter at either @TheManeLand or @SkoPurpSoccer and using the hashtag #AskSkoPurp. You can use that same hashtag and hit @TheManeLand.bsky.social up on Bluesky. Or you can visit our show page, scroll down, and fill out the handy form. We’d also appreciate any ratings or reviews you can leave wherever you get your podcasts, and if you do that on Apple Podcasts, we’ll find them easily and read them on the show.
After the mailbagbox, we turned our attention toward Friday’s late afternoon tussle with Racing Louisville in Kentucky. The Pride have never won on the road against Louisville, and it’s about high time they did. This match begins a congested push to the June World Cup break, and although Friday’s hosts aren’t high in the table, the Pride must be at their best to get a road result in this fixture. We look back at the series history, compare the two sides, provide our key matchups in the game, and make our final score predictions.
If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.
Here’s how Episode 119 went down:
0:15 – We open the show with a little banter about the Pride in the international break and the USWNT’s series vs. Japan.
9:03 – The mailbagbox features questions via both eletronic mail and social media. We welcome all modes of delivery.
19:59 – The Pride travel to Louisville to face Racing. They’ve never won in Kentucky, but we inform them how to do so.
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