Orlando City
Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. Atlanta United
To put things lightly, today’s game is an absolute whale of a match-up. Not only is Orlando City playing Atlanta United — a team most Lions fans are less than fond of — but the game comes at a time when Orlando could scarcely need three points more. Were it not for a frustratingly placed varsity football game that needs medical coverage, I would 100% be in the stands tonight for this one.
Even though I won’t be in The Wall this evening, I still did my pregame duty by sitting down with Sydney Hunte from SBNation’s Dirty South Soccer. As always, Sydney was gracious enough to give me an excellent update on how life has been treating Atlanta United. You can read my answers to their questions over at their place.
Atlanta certainly seems to be back to its MLS Cup-winning form with five wins in its last six league matches. What do you think has been the biggest reason for Atlanta being back to the team we’re used to seeing?
Sydney Hunte: I think it’s really a couple of things: A) a result of going back to what’s worked in the past for Atlanta — free-flowing, attacking football, and B) the presence of Josef Martinez, Pity Martinez, and Ezequiel Barco being on the field at the same time.
I do think that it’s more of the former since this team is simply not used to playing any other way. Frank de Boer tried to overplay his hand when he first came in and attempted to impose a more possession-based, slower version of what Atlanta players and fans were used to. There was a good bit of push-back because of it (including a publicized rift between de Boer and Pity Martinez), as well as some pointed comments from players to the media criticizing the change in tactics from what Tata Martino rolled out in 2017 and 2018.
I think credit is due to de Boer because rather than succumb to the stubbornness that cost him his job at Inter and Crystal Palace, he was willing to adapt and return to the tactical style that Atlanta was famous for in its first two years. Part of that was a switch to a 3-5-2 that favors play alongside the outside wings and depends on well-placed crosses into the box to create opportunities for players like Josef Martinez to score goals, and it’s no surprise that he’s looked better than he’s looked all season over this past chunk of matches. At times, the wings are able to work up the field and look for diagonal balls to break through the defense, which is what you saw with Julian Gressel on Josef’s goal in Portland.
The three DPs playing together and building chemistry certainly helps as well. Pity Martinez has slowly been acclimating himself into the forward corps and is hopefully set for a strong back end of the season going into the playoffs. Barco hasn’t quite found his form yet after a long absence but should return to it sooner rather than later. I think that once those two can put the pieces together, they — coupled with Josef Martinez — will make Atlanta tough to beat down the stretch.
One of those wins came in the Campeones Cup final over Club America. I’m curious to get an Atlanta fan’s perspective on the competition. Was it a trophy that most fans were super invested in winning or was it viewed as simply another distraction in a season where Atlanta already competed in the Concacaf Champions League and has advanced to the U.S. Open Cup final?
SH: I’ll be completely honest: I wasn’t too high on Campeones Cup, even with Atlanta having made it. However, after watching what turned out to be an emotional, competitive match against one of the big clubs in Liga MX, I came away with a greater appreciation of it and certainly will be watching in the future. I think that Atlanta fans will certainly pay more attention to it down the road whether they shared my sentiment coming into the match or were already amped up to see it play out.
I will say that Atlanta players were completely all-in on the competition, with even Pity Martinez guaranteeing a victory beforehand and Josef Martinez saying afterward that he would look back on beating Las Aguilas as a highlight of his career when he retired. You could certainly see what it meant to América players during the match as well. I think that in a sense, a team like Atlanta (or any other MLS side, for that matter) was really the best-case scenario for the organizers of the tournament as you’d like to see MLS grow more competitive with Liga MX sides — especially with this era of collaboration they’re in right now — which hopefully carries over to CCL.
What do you see as a match-up that Atlanta needs to win in order to make it three wins out of three against Orlando this season?
SH: I think it really rests on Orlando’s outside backs to neutralize the threat that both Justin Meram and Julian Gressel pose along the edges of the pitch. Obviously there’s no love lost between Meram and Orlando City fans, but he’s looked terrific in his tenure with Atlanta and has fit right into that 3-5-2 formation since both he and Gressel have the pace to work the ball upfield rather than it being forced through the middle — which really was a source of frustration for the team this season, especially without a player like Miguel Almiron, who really thrived on making those pretty runs through the center of the field.
Obviously, the health of João Moutinho and Ruan may be in question, but whoever is on either side of Orlando’s defense on Friday night will have their hands full.
Are there any injuries, suspensions, or call-ups that will keep players unavailable for selection on Friday? What is your projected starting lineup and score prediction?
SH: As I write this (on Tuesday evening), I’m not sure of the status of Franco Escobar and Eric Remedi as they both missed Campeones Cup last Wednesday and the Portland Timbers game on Sunday night with separate injuries. Brek Shea is done for the year with a knee injury. Mikey Ambrose, who was questionable for Portland, should crack the 18 but probably won’t see any time, but outside of that, it’s a largely clean bill of health.
Lineup-wise, de Boer has to toe the line of ensuring Atlanta is able to come away from Orlando with a result (especially on the road, and especially in a rivalry match) while having an eye toward a U.S. Open Cup final on Tuesday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium against Minnesota United. That said, it should still be close to a first-team XI as possible, especially with the match in Philadelphia over Labor Day weekend being the last before the international break. Here’s how I think it will look if Remedi and Escobar are both fit (3-5-2):
Forwards: Josef Martinez-Pity Martinez.
Midfield: Justin Meram-Ezequiel Barco-Eric Remedi-Darlington Nagbe-Julian Gressel.
Defense: Franco Escobar-Leandro Gonzalez Pirez-Miles Robinson.
If Remedi and Escobar can’t go, look for Jeff Larentowicz and Florentin Pogba to take their places in the lineup, respectively.
As for a scoreline prediction? Atlanta does come into Exploria Stadium riding that wave of momentum after a Campeones Cup victory at home and a key away win at the Timbers, giving it back-to-back away wins across all competitions after four straight losses away from Mercedes-Benz. I feel that they’ll be able to ride that to a victory, although I think Orlando makes it a little interesting and puts pressure on the visitors early on before allowing a pair of second-half goals. Let’s go with 2-0 Atlanta with Josef Martinez extending his MLS-record scoring streak to 12 and Ezequiel Barco finding the net for his first goal in a while.
Big thanks to Sydney for the excellent info on Atlanta.
Orlando City
2024 Orlando City Season in Review: David Brekalo
The Slovenian defender missed some time with injuries and international call-ups, marring his first season in Orlando.
Orlando City completed a weeks-long courtship of Viking FC and Slovenian international defender David Brekalo on Feb. 8, signing him to a contract through 2027 with an option year in 2028. The expectation at the time was that the former Norwegian top flight center back would replace the Lions’ departed starter, Antonio Carlos, who transferred out after the 2023 season.
That happened at times, but through some injuries and international breaks creating some issues with him finding rhythm in the season and with his teammates, he lost the battle down the stretch to Rodrigo Schlegel, who played under control more consistently from July on than he had previously throughout his MLS career. Schlegel became the starter and Brekalo came off the bench as a fifth defender to see out wins or as an aerial target when the Lions were trailing.
It’s time to look back at the center back’s first season in purple.
Statistical Breakdown
The Ljubljana, Slovenia native made his debut as a Lion Feb. 24 in Orlando’s 0-0 opening-day draw against CF Montreal. He appeared in 19 games during the regular season (12 starts), logging 1,128 minutes. He scored one goal but did not register an assist, attempting nine shots during the season with three of those on target. He completed 85.3% of his 618 passes, including one key pass, 13 accurate long balls, and no crosses. Defensively, he contributed 23 clearances, 19 tackles, 18 interceptions, and five blocked shots. He committed 10 fouls, suffered six, and was booked once.
In the MLS Cup playoffs, Brekalo made four appearances — all off the bench — totaling just 10 minutes as a late-game sub. He did not have a goal contribution or a shot attempt. He passed at a strong 88.9% rate, albeit on only nine attempts, but did not complete a cross, a long ball, or a key pass. Brekalo recorded two clearances on the defensive end. He did not commit or suffer a foul or pick up a card of any color.
In Concacaf Champions Cup, Brekalo played in two matches — both starts — playing 180 minutes. He didn’t record a goal contribution but attempted two shots, putting one on frame. He completed 88.4% of his 69 passes without a cross or a key pass. Brekalo contributed four clearances on the defensive end. He committed on foul, suffered one, and wasn’t booked.
Finally, in Leagues Cup, Brekalo started all three matches and played 270 minutes. He didn’t provide a goal contribution and attempted just one off-target shot. The defender completed 86.2% of his 94 passes with one key pass but no crosses. Brekalo contributed three clearances in the tournament. He committed seven fouls, suffered one, and was shown one yellow card.
Best Game
It would be easy to take the game in which Brekalo scored his goal, and…well, yeah, that’s what I’m going to do. But it wasn’t only for his goal. Brekalo started, played the full 90 minutes, and scored his first Orlando City goal on April 13 at Audi Field in the Lions’ 3-2 win over D.C. United. Trailing 2-1 late in the match, the Lions won a corner kick on the right side. Facundo Torres served a good ball to the top of the six. Brekalo went up and gave the cross a perfect flicked header to beat Alex Bono, tying the game in the 82nd minute.
The Lions rode the momentum of that goal and added another in the first minute of stoppage time, as Duncan McGuire timed his run perfectly to get in behind D.C.’s back line and won the match.
In addition to scoring his first career goal and helping his team come from behind to win on the road, Brekalo added two tackles, two clearances, and an interception on the defensive end. The goal was one of two shots, but it was the only one on target. His passing rate of 77.1% could have been better, but he managed three complete long balls, which was one off his season high. He also won two aerials. By contributing on both ends of the pitch and spurring an Orlando City comeback, I think it’s a worthy choice.
2024 Final Grade
The Mane Land awarded Brekalo a composite rating of 6 out of 10 for the 2024 season. His season got off to a stop-start beginning, as he played in the MLS season opener and then missed three of the next four matches. He missed five more games during June and July at the Olympics. Once he returned, he came off the bench in four straight games before starting again at Sporting Kansas City and then coming in at halftime at home against Nashville SC. From that point on, Brekalo did not play in the final seven games of the regular season, before coming on for a few minutes late in four playoff matches. His playing time was inconsistent, which may have contributed to an inconsistent season on the pitch, but at times he showed he can be an effective partner for captain Robin Jansson.
2025 Outlook
Brekalo is under contract for 2025, so he’ll be on the squad unless something unforeseen happens. Although the Lions did not protect him in the MLS Expansion Draft, I’m not reading much into that, as we don’t know how many players may have had to be protected due to their contract terms, and his price tag was likely not favorable for an expansion side at a base salary of $600,000. I expect Brekalo to give Schlegel a run for the starting right center back position. Just a couple of weeks shy of his 27th birthday, he’s early in his prime years as a center back. If he can build a solid foundation with Jansson and right back Dagur Dan Thorhallsson in preseason camp, he may become a mainstay in the starting XI as long as he can stay healthy.
Previous Season in Review Articles (Date Posted)
Orlando City
Orlando City Signs Defender Kyle Smith through 2025
The Accountant is back for another year after signing a one-year contract to remain with Orlando City.
El Soldado will be a Lion for another season. Orlando City announced today that the club has re-signed defender Kyle Smith to a new one-year contract through 2025, bringing his free agency to an end after just a few days. The club had announced Dec. 5 it was in negotiations with Smith for his return when the end-of-season roster update came out.
“Bringing Kyle back to Orlando for 2025 is a great step in our project for next season,” Orlando City Executive Vice President of Soccer Operations and General Manager Luiz Muzzi said in a club press release. “He’s been such a vital piece of our successes over the last few seasons with his versatility and work rate both on and off the field. He’s a player that we know we can always depend on, and we’re excited to have him back with us next year.”
The 32-year-old Cincinnati, OH native originally signed with Orlando City on Dec. 21, 2018, after serving three seasons in the USL with Louisville City. He was well known by then-manager James O’Connor, who had coached Smith in Louisville. Few could have foreseen the length of his stay in Orlando at the time, which has far outlasted O’Connor’s tenure. Muzzi re-signed Smith on March 29, 2021, to a new deal through 2022 with an option year for 2023, which the club exercised Nov. 15, 2022. Although he was already under contract for the following year, Smith signed another new contract through the end of the 2023 season with an option year for 2024 on Dec. 5, 2022. The club picked up that 2024 option almost exactly one year ago on Dec. 11, 2023.
Smith is coming off his sixth season with the Lions, in which he did not score a regular-season goal for the first time since 2020, but he provided three assists to equal his career high. He scored his only goal in any competition in 2024 in a 3-1 win over Cavalry FC in Concacaf Champions Cup play Feb. 27.
He made 40 appearances across all competitions this season (18 starts).
The versatile fullback has made 180 appearances in all competitions (105 starts) in his first six years with the Lions, placing him second on the club’s all-time appearance list behind fellow defender Robin Jansson. Smith has scored five goals and added nine assists during his Orlando City career. In 2022, he helped the Lions win their first trophy since joining Major League Soccer, playing in every match of the tournament as Orlando City claimed the U.S. Open Cup.
What It Means for Orlando City
There is no doubt every club needs at least one player like Smith. He works hard, gives you everything he has, plays wherever he’s asked to play, and has the versatility to play several positions. He has played multiple midfield and back line positions in his time in Orlando, primarily as left back in 2024 after spending most of his previous appearances at right back. He has also been an inexpensive player for the club to fit under the salary cap. In 2024, he made a base salary of $290,000 — the lowest salary of any non-Homegrown who played on Orlando City’s back line this season.
Smith will turn 33 in January, and he’s not always able to keep up with some of the league’s speedy wingers, but he’s still rarely a liability because of his awareness and experience. His role will likely be the same as it’s been in recent times — to provide depth at both fullback positions, starting when injuries or fixture congestion become problematic, and entering games late to help see out wins or spell tired starters. He knows Pareja’s system as well as anyone, has the respect of his teammates, fits in with the team’s culture, and (as previously mentioned) puts in an honest shift. This signing can only be seen as a positive for Orlando City.
Orlando City
Orlando City Striker Duncan McGuire Undergoes Shoulder Surgery
The big forward will miss four to five months after having surgery to repair his labrum and rotator cuff.
Orlando City announced today that Duncan McGuire has undergone arthroscopic surgery to repair the labrum and rotator cuff in his right shoulder. The surgery, which the club called “successful,” was necessary to repair damage from an injury McGuire sustained in Orlando City’s playoff match against Charlotte FC Nov. 9 when he was pulled down by Djibril Diani.
Orlando City Chief Medical Officer Dr. Craig Mintzer of the Orlando Health Jewett Orthopedic Institute performed the surgery.
McGuire’s injury occurred in the decisive Game 3 in the first round in the seventh minute of stoppage time, with the Lions trailing 1-0. Diani tugged McGuire’s shirt as he made a run that would have seen him have a play on a set piece cross in the penalty area. The striker went down hard and was visibly in pain on the ground, before getting to his feet and sprinting to the trainers in the technical area. The training staff appeared to be trying to pop his shoulder back into place but McGuire was unable to return to the match.
Facundo Torres’ subsequent penalty attempt was saved by Charlotte goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina, but before the crowd could fully absorb the missed opportunity, Torres scored on the rebound to level the match at 1-1, ultimately sending the game to a penalty shootout, which Orlando won, 4-1, advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals.
McGuire was seen lobbying to come back onto the pitch for the penalty shootout in the Charlotte match, but trainers would not clear him to return. The 23-year-old came off the bench in Orlando’s remaining playoff games against Atlanta and the New York Red Bulls despite the injury, playing a total of 50 more minutes in the playoffs.
The Creighton product did not register a goal contribution or put any of his three postseason shot attempts on frame. However, he was a key contributor to the Lions reaching the playoffs for the fifth straight year, providing 10 goals and three assists in the regular season across 27 appearances (18 starts), despite missing a chunk of the season with the U.S. Olympic Men’s Soccer Team.
Orlando City drafted McGuire in the first round (No. 6 overall) in the 2023 MLS SuperDraft. After a breakout rookie campaign, in which the Omaha, NE native scored 13 goals and added three assists, he was courted by several teams in Europe. In fact, McGuire’s presence in Orlando this season was an unexpected delight for City fans, as he had agreed to a deal with Blackburn Rovers, only to see the transfer rejected by the English Football League due to an administrative error by the EFL Championship club. After returning to Orlando, McGuire signed a new deal on Aug. 22 to remain a Lion. The new contract runs through 2027 with a club option for 2028.
What It Means for Orlando City
The club puts McGuire’s timeline on recovery at four to five months, which would mean he won’t return to training until at least mid-April and as late as mid-May. If his rehab goes well, and factoring in about a month of training to regain his full fitness, that would likely mean his availability won’t come until somewhere between the middle of May and the middle of June.
While Oscar Pareja has been starting Ramiro Enrique up top in his preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, McGuire brings size and strength and an ability to occupy center backs that the Argentine can’t replicate. There are times when Enrique’s game is better suited to the opponent, but without McGuire there will be no ability to pivot. Jack Lynn is also under contract, and he can do some of the things McGuire does, but not at the same level.
Without McGuire available for the first half of the season, Orlando City has some options on a replacement. The Lions may opt to draft a striker, start using Luis Muriel in that role more, sign an available free agent, or simply roll with Lynn as the primary backup.
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