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Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. Atlanta United

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After taking care of business against a resurgent New York Red Bulls team, Orlando City is hitting the road as the team looks to keep pressure on the Columbus Crew and Toronto FC at the top of the Eastern Conference. The next opponent is an especially familiar one, as Orlando is heading to Mercedes-Benz stadium for yet another match against Atlanta United.

With that being the case, I spoke to Rob Usry, one of the managers over at SBNation’s Dirty South Soccer. Rob was kind enough to give us an update on how Atlanta is doing since these teams last met.

Atlanta put a 4-0 hurting on D.C. United in the team’s last game, and Adam Jahn, who we talked about before the last time these two teams played, bagged a goal. Jahn also scored the stoppage time equalizer against Orlando back in September. Goals aside, has he been playing better?

Rob Usry: We have to give a ton of credit to Adam Jahn this season. He should have never been in the position that he’s in currently of being relied on heavily to produce. Replacing Josef Martinez is an impossible task, but being the expected backup with limited MLS success and being asked to fill his shoes has to be a daunting proposition.

To Jahn’s credit, he’s improved drastically over the last month of play. Even his harshest critics have come to realize that he has a value at this level of play. His hold-up play has gotten better, linking up with Jon Gallagher and Brooks Lennon very nicely. He’s even added another headed goal since that masterpiece against the Lions. We’re under no illusions that Jahn will be a star in MLS, but the outlook of his impact is looking a lot better than it was when the Five Stripes left Orlando a couple of months ago.

One of the big talking points for Atlanta lately has been Homegrown Player George Bello. What is your opinion of the young defender?

RU: To put it simply, he’s been the Man of the Season for Atlanta so far. In a poor year he’s been something the club can hang their hat on as proof that they are beginning to get player development right. He’s as calm and composed as you’ll ever see a teenager. Sure he may make a mistake or two, but it never fazes him. Bello adds a dynamic to the attacking end while providing a reliability on the left side of the defense that is crucial to any team. He still has plenty of room to grow, but there’s no doubt that he has an extremely bright future along with being a very nice piece for the present.

Atlanta is currently in eighth place in the East and has won two of its last three games. Is the team heading in the right direction?

RU: Who knows? This season doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. Just look all over the league and the world. Up is down, down is up, Orlando is a world-beater. This Atlanta United team isn’t very good but the chemistry is steadily building and the belief among the players is still present. If they can start to build some momentum and play together as a team, they could possibly stay above that playoff line at season’s end and have something to show for what has overall been a rotten campaign.

Are there any injuries or suspensions that will keep players unavailable for selection? What is your projected starting lineup and score prediction?

RU: Ha! Strangely enough this is a touchy subject around the Atlanta United community. The club has been strangely mysterious surrounding their injuries. Specifically with Ezequiel Barco, who has missed four straight games with what has only publicly been described as a “knock.” Who the heck knows what his status is for this match? Matheus Rossetto is also on the mend the past few matches and probably won’t feature in the starting lineup, but could return to the matchday squad.

Starting Lineup Prediction (4-2-3-1): Brad Guzan; Franco Escobar, Miles Robinson, Anton Walkes, George Bello; Eric Remedi, Mo Adams; Brooks Lennon, Emerson Hyndman, Jon Gallagher; Adam Jahn.

Score prediction: 2-1 Orlando City


Big thanks to Rob for bringing us up to speed on Atlanta United, and vamos Orlando!

Orlando City

2024 Orlando City Season in Review: David Brekalo

The Slovenian defender missed some time with injuries and international call-ups, marring his first season in Orlando.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City completed a weeks-long courtship of Viking FC and Slovenian international defender David Brekalo on Feb. 8, signing him to a contract through 2027 with an option year in 2028. The expectation at the time was that the former Norwegian top flight center back would replace the Lions’ departed starter, Antonio Carlos, who transferred out after the 2023 season.

That happened at times, but through some injuries and international breaks creating some issues with him finding rhythm in the season and with his teammates, he lost the battle down the stretch to Rodrigo Schlegel, who played under control more consistently from July on than he had previously throughout his MLS career. Schlegel became the starter and Brekalo came off the bench as a fifth defender to see out wins or as an aerial target when the Lions were trailing.

It’s time to look back at the center back’s first season in purple.

Statistical Breakdown

The Ljubljana, Slovenia native made his debut as a Lion Feb. 24 in Orlando’s 0-0 opening-day draw against CF Montreal. He appeared in 19 games during the regular season (12 starts), logging 1,128 minutes. He scored one goal but did not register an assist, attempting nine shots during the season with three of those on target. He completed 85.3% of his 618 passes, including one key pass, 13 accurate long balls, and no crosses. Defensively, he contributed 23 clearances, 19 tackles, 18 interceptions, and five blocked shots. He committed 10 fouls, suffered six, and was booked once.

In the MLS Cup playoffs, Brekalo made four appearances — all off the bench — totaling just 10 minutes as a late-game sub. He did not have a goal contribution or a shot attempt. He passed at a strong 88.9% rate, albeit on only nine attempts, but did not complete a cross, a long ball, or a key pass. Brekalo recorded two clearances on the defensive end. He did not commit or suffer a foul or pick up a card of any color.

In Concacaf Champions Cup, Brekalo played in two matches — both starts — playing 180 minutes. He didn’t record a goal contribution but attempted two shots, putting one on frame. He completed 88.4% of his 69 passes without a cross or a key pass. Brekalo contributed four clearances on the defensive end. He committed on foul, suffered one, and wasn’t booked.

Finally, in Leagues Cup, Brekalo started all three matches and played 270 minutes. He didn’t provide a goal contribution and attempted just one off-target shot. The defender completed 86.2% of his 94 passes with one key pass but no crosses. Brekalo contributed three clearances in the tournament. He committed seven fouls, suffered one, and was shown one yellow card.

Best Game

It would be easy to take the game in which Brekalo scored his goal, and…well, yeah, that’s what I’m going to do. But it wasn’t only for his goal. Brekalo started, played the full 90 minutes, and scored his first Orlando City goal on April 13 at Audi Field in the Lions’ 3-2 win over D.C. United. Trailing 2-1 late in the match, the Lions won a corner kick on the right side. Facundo Torres served a good ball to the top of the six. Brekalo went up and gave the cross a perfect flicked header to beat Alex Bono, tying the game in the 82nd minute.

The Lions rode the momentum of that goal and added another in the first minute of stoppage time, as Duncan McGuire timed his run perfectly to get in behind D.C.’s back line and won the match.

In addition to scoring his first career goal and helping his team come from behind to win on the road, Brekalo added two tackles, two clearances, and an interception on the defensive end. The goal was one of two shots, but it was the only one on target. His passing rate of 77.1% could have been better, but he managed three complete long balls, which was one off his season high. He also won two aerials. By contributing on both ends of the pitch and spurring an Orlando City comeback, I think it’s a worthy choice.

2024 Final Grade

The Mane Land awarded Brekalo a composite rating of 6 out of 10 for the 2024 season. His season got off to a stop-start beginning, as he played in the MLS season opener and then missed three of the next four matches. He missed five more games during June and July at the Olympics. Once he returned, he came off the bench in four straight games before starting again at Sporting Kansas City and then coming in at halftime at home against Nashville SC. From that point on, Brekalo did not play in the final seven games of the regular season, before coming on for a few minutes late in four playoff matches. His playing time was inconsistent, which may have contributed to an inconsistent season on the pitch, but at times he showed he can be an effective partner for captain Robin Jansson.

2025 Outlook

Brekalo is under contract for 2025, so he’ll be on the squad unless something unforeseen happens. Although the Lions did not protect him in the MLS Expansion Draft, I’m not reading much into that, as we don’t know how many players may have had to be protected due to their contract terms, and his price tag was likely not favorable for an expansion side at a base salary of $600,000. I expect Brekalo to give Schlegel a run for the starting right center back position. Just a couple of weeks shy of his 27th birthday, he’s early in his prime years as a center back. If he can build a solid foundation with Jansson and right back Dagur Dan Thorhallsson in preseason camp, he may become a mainstay in the starting XI as long as he can stay healthy.


Previous Season in Review Articles (Date Posted)

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Orlando City

Orlando City Signs Defender Kyle Smith through 2025

The Accountant is back for another year after signing a one-year contract to remain with Orlando City.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

El Soldado will be a Lion for another season. Orlando City announced today that the club has re-signed defender Kyle Smith to a new one-year contract through 2025, bringing his free agency to an end after just a few days. The club had announced Dec. 5 it was in negotiations with Smith for his return when the end-of-season roster update came out.

“Bringing Kyle back to Orlando for 2025 is a great step in our project for next season,” Orlando City Executive Vice President of Soccer Operations and General Manager Luiz Muzzi said in a club press release. “He’s been such a vital piece of our successes over the last few seasons with his versatility and work rate both on and off the field. He’s a player that we know we can always depend on, and we’re excited to have him back with us next year.”

The 32-year-old Cincinnati, OH native originally signed with Orlando City on Dec. 21, 2018, after serving three seasons in the USL with Louisville City. He was well known by then-manager James O’Connor, who had coached Smith in Louisville. Few could have foreseen the length of his stay in Orlando at the time, which has far outlasted O’Connor’s tenure. Muzzi re-signed Smith on March 29, 2021, to a new deal through 2022 with an option year for 2023, which the club exercised Nov. 15, 2022. Although he was already under contract for the following year, Smith signed another new contract through the end of the 2023 season with an option year for 2024 on Dec. 5, 2022. The club picked up that 2024 option almost exactly one year ago on Dec. 11, 2023.

Smith is coming off his sixth season with the Lions, in which he did not score a regular-season goal for the first time since 2020, but he provided three assists to equal his career high. He scored his only goal in any competition in 2024 in a 3-1 win over Cavalry FC in Concacaf Champions Cup play Feb. 27.

He made 40 appearances across all competitions this season (18 starts).

The versatile fullback has made 180 appearances in all competitions (105 starts) in his first six years with the Lions, placing him second on the club’s all-time appearance list behind fellow defender Robin Jansson. Smith has scored five goals and added nine assists during his Orlando City career. In 2022, he helped the Lions win their first trophy since joining Major League Soccer, playing in every match of the tournament as Orlando City claimed the U.S. Open Cup.

What It Means for Orlando City

There is no doubt every club needs at least one player like Smith. He works hard, gives you everything he has, plays wherever he’s asked to play, and has the versatility to play several positions. He has played multiple midfield and back line positions in his time in Orlando, primarily as left back in 2024 after spending most of his previous appearances at right back. He has also been an inexpensive player for the club to fit under the salary cap. In 2024, he made a base salary of $290,000 — the lowest salary of any non-Homegrown who played on Orlando City’s back line this season.

Smith will turn 33 in January, and he’s not always able to keep up with some of the league’s speedy wingers, but he’s still rarely a liability because of his awareness and experience. His role will likely be the same as it’s been in recent times — to provide depth at both fullback positions, starting when injuries or fixture congestion become problematic, and entering games late to help see out wins or spell tired starters. He knows Pareja’s system as well as anyone, has the respect of his teammates, fits in with the team’s culture, and (as previously mentioned) puts in an honest shift. This signing can only be seen as a positive for Orlando City.

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Orlando City Striker Duncan McGuire Undergoes Shoulder Surgery

The big forward will miss four to five months after having surgery to repair his labrum and rotator cuff.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Jeremy Reper

Orlando City announced today that Duncan McGuire has undergone arthroscopic surgery to repair the labrum and rotator cuff in his right shoulder. The surgery, which the club called “successful,” was necessary to repair damage from an injury McGuire sustained in Orlando City’s playoff match against Charlotte FC Nov. 9 when he was pulled down by Djibril Diani.

Orlando City Chief Medical Officer Dr. Craig Mintzer of the Orlando Health Jewett Orthopedic Institute performed the surgery.

McGuire’s injury occurred in the decisive Game 3 in the first round in the seventh minute of stoppage time, with the Lions trailing 1-0. Diani tugged McGuire’s shirt as he made a run that would have seen him have a play on a set piece cross in the penalty area. The striker went down hard and was visibly in pain on the ground, before getting to his feet and sprinting to the trainers in the technical area. The training staff appeared to be trying to pop his shoulder back into place but McGuire was unable to return to the match.

Facundo Torres’ subsequent penalty attempt was saved by Charlotte goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina, but before the crowd could fully absorb the missed opportunity, Torres scored on the rebound to level the match at 1-1, ultimately sending the game to a penalty shootout, which Orlando won, 4-1, advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals.

McGuire was seen lobbying to come back onto the pitch for the penalty shootout in the Charlotte match, but trainers would not clear him to return. The 23-year-old came off the bench in Orlando’s remaining playoff games against Atlanta and the New York Red Bulls despite the injury, playing a total of 50 more minutes in the playoffs.

The Creighton product did not register a goal contribution or put any of his three postseason shot attempts on frame. However, he was a key contributor to the Lions reaching the playoffs for the fifth straight year, providing 10 goals and three assists in the regular season across 27 appearances (18 starts), despite missing a chunk of the season with the U.S. Olympic Men’s Soccer Team.

Orlando City drafted McGuire in the first round (No. 6 overall) in the 2023 MLS SuperDraft. After a breakout rookie campaign, in which the Omaha, NE native scored 13 goals and added three assists, he was courted by several teams in Europe. In fact, McGuire’s presence in Orlando this season was an unexpected delight for City fans, as he had agreed to a deal with Blackburn Rovers, only to see the transfer rejected by the English Football League due to an administrative error by the EFL Championship club. After returning to Orlando, McGuire signed a new deal on Aug. 22 to remain a Lion. The new contract runs through 2027 with a club option for 2028.

What It Means for Orlando City

The club puts McGuire’s timeline on recovery at four to five months, which would mean he won’t return to training until at least mid-April and as late as mid-May. If his rehab goes well, and factoring in about a month of training to regain his full fitness, that would likely mean his availability won’t come until somewhere between the middle of May and the middle of June.

While Oscar Pareja has been starting Ramiro Enrique up top in his preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, McGuire brings size and strength and an ability to occupy center backs that the Argentine can’t replicate. There are times when Enrique’s game is better suited to the opponent, but without McGuire there will be no ability to pivot. Jack Lynn is also under contract, and he can do some of the things McGuire does, but not at the same level.

Without McGuire available for the first half of the season, Orlando City has some options on a replacement. The Lions may opt to draft a striker, start using Luis Muriel in that role more, sign an available free agent, or simply roll with Lynn as the primary backup.

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