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Orlando City’s Return on Investment for Chris Mueller Improves
What started out as a failure to take full advantage of a valuable club asset has turned out better than expected. Orlando City wasn’t able to re-sign winger Chris Mueller or secure a transfer deal to move him before losing its leverage. As a result, Mueller left on a free transfer to Hibernian FC at the end of last season — after being held in Orlando despite his wishes to move on and join his new team as soon as possible.
That didn’t work out for anyone involved. While the club was perfectly within its rights to enforce its existing contract with Mueller rather than letting him go, having an unhappy player in the ranks generally doesn’t work well. So it was with Mueller, whose form slumped, which was bad for both player and club. While I have no doubt the energetic winger never stopped trying to do his best while in an Orlando shirt, things like that have a way of seeping into the brain and affecting performance.
Mueller’s stay in Scotland lasted only a matter of months. The coach who wanted him, Jack Ross, was let go back in early December. His next coach with Hibs, Shaun Maloney, was just fired recently. Per Soccerway, Mueller made just 11 appearances (five starts) in the Scottish Premier League season and didn’t score a goal. He notched one goal for Hibs in four Scottish Cup appearances.
Now he’s returning to Major League Soccer, as confirmed by Hibernian FC (transfer details not disclosed), but not as a Lion.
“Chris has worked extremely hard in training since he arrived but has found it difficult to adapt to the pace and physicality of the Scottish Premiership, which has severely limited his game time. Ultimately, he wants to play football regularly and when the opportunity came about for him to play for his home-town side, it was something he didn’t want to turn down and we were happy to work with all parties to make this happen.
“For us, it was vital that this deal made complete sense for the Club and alongside this, it has also freed up a significant amount financially that the incoming manager will be able to use to mould the squad in their way. “We thank Chris for all his efforts during his time with us and wish him all the best at Chicago Fire.”
[Hang on, I need a minute to absorb that line about struggling with the pace of the SPL. The physicality? Sure, but the pace? I’m not exactly seeing 11 Ruans vs. 11 Ruans when I watch SPL matches but I’m generally seeing Celtic or Rangers, so maybe those are the slow teams? OK, carry on.]
Paul Tenorio of The Athletic reported that Orlando City would get something out of the 25-year-old’s transfer to the Chicago Fire. Per Tenorio’s source, Orlando will receive $500,000 in General Allocation Money (GAM) — $250K in 2022 and $250K in 2023 — the Fire’s 2023 first-round SuperDraft pick, and discovery rights to an unnamed player. That GAM total could also increase by another $150,000, depending on performance metrics. Orlando will also keep a small sell-on percentage.
That’s up to $650,000 in GAM, a first-round pick, the discovery rights to an unnamed player on Chicago’s Discovery List, and potentially more money from a future sale. Even if the incentives aren’t met for the additional $15,000 in GAM, that’s a hell of a piece of business for Orlando if that turns out to be the official haul. After all, Mueller was gone for nothing just months ago.
And bear in mind this is a player the Lions drafted out of college, so there wasn’t any initial fee for his services other than his first pro contract.
This is the kind of return Orlando could have expected after Mueller’s breakout 2020 season. The Schaumberg, IL, native had 17 direct goal contributions (10 goals, seven assists) in 22 matches (17 starts) in Orlando’s first MLS playoff season. His brilliant season put him on the radar of USMNT Head Coach Gregg Berhalter and Mueller made a big impact in his international debut with the U.S. senior team. He scored twice and added an assist in a 6-0 rout of El Salvador on Dec. 9, 2020, but he also figured prominently in some of the other goals which he didn’t score or set up directly that night.
The sky seemed to be the limit for Mueller. But then came the struggles of the last year and a half. His numbers returned to his rookie season level in 2021 with Orlando City, with just three goals and six assists in 29 games (18 starts). He struggled to beat opponents on the dribble or with a pass and was far less clinical shooting the ball. Things didn’t seem to get any better after his arrival at Hibs.
Now he returns to the league where his professional career began, playing for his hometown MLS team. The Fire are hoping he can provide the same energy and positivity he brought to Orlando City in his four seasons in purple, while at the same time returning to the form he showed in 2020. Will that year turn out to be an outlier in his career? So far it has been one. Mueller’s goal total from 2018, 2019, and 2021 combined is one more than the 10 he had in 2020 alone. That 2020 season is the only time he’s surpassed five goals in a season, reaching double digits.
Chicago will be quite happy with parting with what Tenorio reported if Mueller can get back to 17 goal contributions per season. Meanwhile, Orlando got good value for him even if he does return to those numbers. The Lions have proven to be shrewd with first-round draft picks through the club’s history, they’ll get nice infusions of GAM in back-to-back seasons, and who even knows which player’s discovery rights they now hold?
And if Mueller doesn’t return to his 2020 form, and he continues to provide three to five goals and half a dozen assists to Chicago per year, Orlando will have made out well above what it should receive for a player of that level.
The Lions could have certainly used another winger and Mueller would have been a good fit. Benji Michel has been inconsistent and Silvester van der Water not only couldn’t get on the field much before, but he now seems to have picked up a significant injury as of last weekend, so Orlando is a bit thin on the wings. The long-reported Gaston Gonzalez deal won’t help this season if it becomes official, because the young Argentine has injured his knee. While the Lions could have used Mueller’s energy and relentless defensive hustle — even if he didn’t return to filling the net — there is likely too much bad blood at the way his departure was protracted for him to have realistically returned to Orlando.
That’s not ideal, but Orlando City will still be quite satisfied with the haul Tenorio reported. The Lions have an opportunity to bring in a winger and can even do it at the Designated Player level if the front office wants, because Mauricio Pereyra’s salary can be bought down below the DP threshold. Whether the team goes that route or tries to weather the storm until the off-season remains to be seen.
Orlando is in a good spot at the moment, but injuries and yellow cards are mounting and the club is spending most of this month on the road. Hopefully the return on Mueller will help City fill some holes, because a successful season is still very much on the table at this point.
Podcasts
PawedCast Episode 506: Cincinnati Rewind, OCB-Carolina Core, Columbus Preview, and More
The Lions claimed a late draw at Cincy and now host Columbus while OCB’s playoff hopes hang by a thread.
Orlando City left it late again. Tyrese Spicer reprised his role from the Nashville game by providing the assist for a goal late in stoppage time, but this time it was a different goal scorer and a road draw instead of a home win. Alex Freeman played great against FC Cincinnati, so it was fitting that he literally pulled a point out of thin air on a Sunday night that saw the Lions squander numerous good opportunities to score while allowing the hosts only one Kevin Denkey strike.
We look back at the key moments, players, and plays of a critical road match, check our score predictions, and make our selections for Man of the Match, splitting the vote
This week’s mailbagbox asked us a pair of trivia questions and added an individual question for each host. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.
OCB got two points at Carolina Core FC when it needed three, but it did enough to stay alive in the postseason race but there is no margin for error. The Young Lions fell behind by two goals, battled back to get level, conceded again, and once again equalized on the road. Carlos Mercado then helped his team win the penalty shootout on his birthday to claim the extra point. OCB must beat FC Cincinnati 2 on Sunday at home and get help to reach the postseason.
Finally, Orlando City returns home with another game against a good team from the Buckeye State, as the Columbus Crew visits Inter&Co Stadium on Saturday. Whether Diego Rossi plays or not, the Crew are always a difficult opponent. We break down the series history, look at the battle ahead, provide our key matchups, and make our predictions for the final score.
Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.
If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.
Here’s how No. 506 went down:
0:15 – Orlando City didn’t seem to want to put the ball in the net, but maybe that’s because it wasn’t yet the death of stoppage time. Earlier goals are OK too, guys!
27:55 – The mailbagbox offers trivia, but no prizes if we get them right.
39:11 – OCB was listening to Meat Loaf and thinking two out of three ain’t bad, and the senior Lions prepare for Columbus.
Podcasts
PawedCast Episode 502: Galaxy Rewind, Ramiro Enrique Transfer News, OCB Defeats Crown Legacy, and More
Lions leave Leagues Cup empty handed, Ramiro Enrique could be on the move soon, OCB gets a vital win, and more
I couldn’t tell you why this show is nearly an hour other than the fact that we are verbose. Orlando City crashed out of Leagues Cup with back-to-back losses in games that had a Concacaf Champions Cup berth on the line. The Lions did almost nothing in the first half against the LA Galaxy on the road, and threw Martin Ojeda’s second-half equalizer away just seven minutes after he scored it with a horrendous turnover in their defensive third.
We discuss Orlando City’s 2-1 road loss, which featured one of Pedro Gallese’s best-ever saves as a Lion, although it ultimately didn’t matter much, looked back at our score predictions, and made our selections for Man of the Match.
We also discussed Seattle’s 3-0 win over Inter Miami in the final and the shenanigans that the Herons pulled after losing.
Ramiro Enrique was not in uniform Sunday night in the wake of reports that he’s about to be sold for a reported $3 million to a Saudi team. Although the timing isn’t perfect, it would be a good return for the Argentine striker.
This week’s mailbagbox asked about ice cream, donuts, Carlos Mercado vs. Javier Otero, and more. Remember, if there’s anything — and we do mean anything — you want us to address on the show, just ask us by tweeting it to us at @TheManeLand with the hashtag #AskTMLPC, or hitting us up on Bluesky Social with that same hashtag.
OCB picked up a much-needed three points with a home win over Crown Legacy at the death that nearly immediately became a draw at the even more death. Mercado was sensational in the match for the Young Lions and Thalles scored the timely goal to push the club over the playoff line for the time being. I nearly started to preview an OCB game that is more than a week ago, but the important thing is I stopped myself, otherwise the show would have been even longer.
The senior Lions are also off this week, so we’ll see you next week!
Be sure to rate and review our show wherever you get your podcasts. Remember, we’ll read any five-star reviews we get on Apple Podcasts on the next show.
If you’d like to support our independent writing and podcasting efforts, we’d love to have you as a subscriber or donor over at our Buy Me a Coffee site.
Here’s how No. 502 went down:
0:15 – Orlando City looked to be following the same script as in the win at LA back in March, but then coughed up the ball in a dangerous spot to one of the Galaxy’s best scorers.
29:36 – The mailbagbox is trying to make us fat(ter).
46:38 – OCB has put together two consecutive late wins as the Young Lions try to get back into playoff contention after several rough weeks.
Uncategorized
Announcement: Change to The Mane Land’s Approach to Live Updates on Social Media
Here at The Mane Land, we were able to build a rather sizable following on social media early in our growth. We quickly surpassed a thousand followers while we were still a free independent WordPress site with just a few contributors posting about one new story per day. This helped us get the attention of SBNation, which we eventually joined.
When we joined SBNation’s roster of blogs, we quickly rose up the ranks to one of the most followed MLS team-specific accounts on Facebook and Twitter (especially the latter). We always had great engagement on Twitter, with mixed results on Facebook.
With all of that said, we take the relationship with our social media followers seriously, because our readers have helped our growth on those channels (and vice versa), and we know who our friends are. We’ve met a lot of our Twitter followers in person over the years, and we value those times we’ve spent with you.
All of this serves to preface that we’ve decided to change some things up, although it’s nothing too radical. Starting Friday, March 28, TML will no longer be live tweeting matches on Twitter (sorry, I’m still never going to call it X, because that’s dumb). We will also be reducing our already dwindling presence there. I want to emphasize that we are not deleting our account. We will continue to post new stories to the artist formerly known as Twitter. But that’s about all we’ll be doing there. This week’s OCB game will be the last match for which we’ll provide live updates on Twitter.
We will be moving all of our live game coverage to our Bluesky Social account.
Please note: This move should in no way be construed as a political one. There are several factors at play, and while some of our writers may not share political alignment with Twitter’s owner, that is not why I’ve chosen this course — with the support of the TML staff. If this was a political choice, we’d simply delete the account and quit using the platform entirely.
Once upon a time, Twitter used to drive a decent-ish (but, if I’m being honest, never great) amount of engagement to our website, which we could see in our analytics. It was also a place where we could engage with our followers, exchanging thoughts on the club and its players, and occasionally arguing a little bit about those topics.
Before you could simply buy a blue checkmark, Vox Media assisted us in getting vetted by the former ownership, which helped legitimize us as a reliable outlet covering Orlando City SC. That too helped us grow our follower base, but it all went away when the current owner decided to overpay for the platform and tried to monetize it by letting anyone buy a blue checkmark, flooding the non-checkmarked accounts with ads. That was the start of when we began seeing Twitter become less useful as a marketing tool for TML and when it started driving a lot less traffic to our website and podcasts.
Most of our post engagement on Twitter has dried up because of people leaving (or spending less time on) the platform. More likes and retweets are coming from bot accounts than ever before. Typically, we have been seeing a high percentage of post likes coming from obvious bot accounts. And it’s just not a pleasant place to be. There are far too many ads, and most of the “ads” we see in our feed aren’t advertising any service or product. They seem to be individual tweets boosted by…I don’t know, some algorithm, or maybe the account’s owner is actually paying for things like this to be boosted. Most, but not all, of those “ads” are political in nature, and many of the political ones feature easily disprovable lies.
But sometimes it’s random stuff like this:

When every fourth or fifth post is something like the above (or often something worse), it’s just not an enjoyable user experience. We’re not going to give the world’s richest man more money just to cleanse our timeline of it and have the old Twitter experience back (that’s the entire point of “premium,” to get us to pay to go ad free). That’s as valid a choice for a business model as any, I guess, but it’s not one we’re interested in boosting just to get things to go back to how they were.
Between the drop in engagement, the rise of unchecked bot activity, and the weirdness and frequency of the “ads,” it’s a place we’d like to spend less time. Again, we aren’t leaving. We’ll continue to let people on Twitter know when new stories drop. That’s always been our basic approach to Facebook, where we’ve never received a whole lot of engagement.
Bluesky Social, on the other hand, has been quite enjoyable in all the same ways Twitter used to be. With less than a third of the followers that we have on Twitter, our replies, likes, and reposts have been much higher on average over the past year, than those same posts on Twitter. Our podcast listeners submit far more questions there than on Twitter (but you can still ask on Twitter and we’ll answer them on the show). The Bluesky interface is slightly more clunky on desktop than Twitter (desktop is an important part of how I provide live updates during games), but it feels pretty much like Twitter used to. I have been trying to post on both Twitter and Bluesky for OCSC games, but doing both is problematic and more than a little stressful. By limiting live updates to Bluesky, it’ll make things easier for those of us doing this in our spare time for no real financial gain. I’m not asking the staff to start Bluesky accounts, but some of our writers already have them.
Our ask of you on this subject is…nothing. If you’re not on Bluesky, and you decide you don’t want or need another social media account, that’s a valid choice. If you want to join us on Bluesky, we’d love to see you. Our posts about our stories will be (and have been for some time) identical on both platforms (and on Facebook). The only change will be that we (mainly I) will spend more time on Bluesky, less on Twitter, and our live game coverage will be on Bluesky. You can still @ us on Twitter if you like. We may just be a bit less responsive.
Things change, especially technology and social media. Some of you remember MySpace. Or even AOL. It’s entirely possible that a future Twitter with better control of bots and ads may one day be worth egaging with more often again. That’s another reason for us not to delete the account.
At The Mane Land, our main reason for existence continues to be that we love telling the stories of our favorite MLS, NWSL, and MLS NEXT Pro soccer teams. That won’t change — even if the way we promote those stories does from time to time.
Feel free to reach out with any comments or questions you have. And, as always, thank you for your support over the last 11 years.
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