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Orlando City

Orlando City vs. Toronto FC: Player Grades and Man of the Match

How did Orlando City’s players do individually in their 2-0 win over Toronto FC?

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC

Orlando City ended the 2023 MLS regular season with a 2-0 win away to Toronto FC. Oscar Pareja made several changes to the team, providing rest for some regular starters. But the Lions took over when he brought on Duncan McGuire, who netted a brace in his 29 minutes on the field. The team ends the season with a club-record 63 points, just six behind FC Cincinnati for the Supporters Shield.

Here’s how I saw the individual performances for the Lions in this win.

Starters

GK, Mason Stajduhar, 7 — With Pedro Gallese returning from international duty, Stajduhar got his first start since June 21. There wasn’t a lot to do for the backup goalkeeper, but he did well to earn a clean sheet. His most memorable moment was in the 59th minute, when he jumped off his line to beat Cristian Gutierrez to the ball, keeping the game scoreless. He faced three shots, saving all of them, punched one shot away, and assisted on McGuire’s opening goal.

D, Luca Petrasso, 5.5 — Petrasso got the start over Rafael Santos and recorded two tackles, one interception, and one block defensively. In the attack, the left back completed 74.4% of his 39 passes, none of his three long balls, and had one incomplete cross. His 52 touches were far more than Michael Halliday on the other side, and he was dispossessed once in 70 minutes before being replaced by Kyle Smith.

D, Rodrigo Schlegel, 6 — Schlegel started his 11th consecutive game and was sturdy for most of it. He had a scary moment in the 28th minute when he whiffed on a cross, but wasn’t punished. His 57 touches on the night tied for second on the team. He had one tackle, two interceptions, two clearances, and one blocked shot defensively, completed 91.5% of his 47 passes, and completed one of his four long balls before being replaced by Robin Jansson in the 78th minute.

D, Antonio Carlos, 7 — If not for McGuire’s second-half brace, Carlos would’ve been Man of the Match. The center back was excellent in his first start since Aug. 2, with three interceptions, one clearance, and one block, and he was often involved with 57 touches. In the 52nd minute, his quick movement caught Prince Osei Owusu offside and his sliding block in the 62nd minute kept Toronto from scoring. Going forward, Carlos completed 87.8% of his 49 passes and five of his eight long balls. He also recorded a shot on a header, but it was right to Sean Johnson.

D, Mikey Halliday, 5.5 — Halliday started at right back and had only 37 touches, 15 fewer than Petrasso. He completed 70.8% of his 24 passes and didn’t connect on his two crosses, but found teammates on two of his three long balls. Defensively, Halliday recorded one tackle and four clearances in 90 minutes.

MF, Felipe, 6 — Felipe got the start in place of Wilder Cartagena, who was away with Peru on international duty this week. The Brazilian recorded 46 touches, completed 92.1% of his 38 passes, and connected on four of his five long balls. He won two tackles on defense and took one shot that was blocked in front. It was a solid night for the midfielder before he was replaced by Mauricio Pereyra in the 61st minute.

MF, Cesar Araujo, 6 — It was a typical solid night for Araujo, who was active with a team-high 60 touches. Defensively, he recorded three tackles, two interceptions, and a clearance. His passing wasn’t as accurate as Orlando City fans have become accustomed to, completing 80.4% of his 46 attempts and three of his eight long balls. But he wasn’t dispossessed in the game, maintaining possession in the center of the field.

MF, Gaston Gonzalez, 5 — Gonzalez started the game instead of Ivan Angulo, playing 61 minutes before being replaced by the regular starter. However, while Angulo is often involved in play, Gonzalez only had 26 touches. He completed 77.8% of only nine passes, one of two crosses, and neither of his two long balls. He also contributed defensively, recording one tackle, two interceptions, and a clearance.

MF, Martin Ojeda, 6 — In a Designated Player swap, Ojeda started in place of Facundo Torres for this game. He did well in his 90 minutes, completing 73.9% of his 23 passes, and a team-high two key passes. He connected on his lone cross and on three of his six long balls. He took one shot, but it was blocked. Defensively, Ojeda added one tackle and a team-high four interceptions.

MF, Junior Urso, 5.5 — Junior Urso got his second start since rejoining Orlando City earlier this season. He had 41 touches, completed 80% of his 30 passes, and was 0-for-2 on long balls. He had one tackle defensively and won an aerial duel, but did little else in his 90 minutes.

F, Ramiro Enrique, 5.5 — Enrique got the start up top as McGuire returned from competing with the U.S. U-23 National Team. The Argentine attacker wasn’t very involved in play, only recording 14 touches in 61 minutes. He completed 57.1% of his seven passes and his only long ball. However, he didn’t take any shots in just over half an hour on the field. Probably his most surprising statistic was winning a team-high four aerial duels despite being one of the smallest players on the field.

Substitutes

MF, Ivan Angulo (61’), 5.5 — Angulo was one of the three subs Pareja made in the 61st minute that changed the game. However, he didn’t make much of an impact in this one, only touching the ball 12 times. He completed all of his seven passes, but didn’t connect on his one cross attempt.

MF, Mauricio Pereyra (61’), 6 — While Pereyra’s 19 touches weren’t much more than Angulo’s, he was more involved in play. He completed 82.4% of his 17 passes, but didn’t connect on his one long ball. He also won one aerial duel on the night.

F, Duncan McGuire (61’), 8 (MotM) — McGuire entered the game for Enrique in the 61st minute and completely took over. He used two excellent touches in the 63rd minute to turn Michael Bradley and sent a rocket past Johnson to open the scoring. He then put the game away in the 74th minute when Kyle Smith sent him behind the Toronto back line. The striker only had eight touches, but did about as much as you possibly could with them. He converted 75% of his four passes and scored a brace on his only two shots. It was a remarkable performance in only 29 minutes.

D, Kyle Smith (70’), 6.5 — Smith replaced Petrasso in the 70th minute and, like McGuire, made the most of his time on the field. The defender recorded two tackles and an interception, but it was the attack where he was most effective. He completed 86.7% of his 15 passes and sent a beautiful ball behind the back line in the 74th minute, putting McGuire on goal and sealing the game.

D, Robin Jansson (78’), 6 — Coming on for Schlegel in the 78th minute to help see out the game, Jansson did his job well. The center back recorded two clearances, completed seven of his 10 passes, and connected on one of his two long balls.


That’s how I saw the Orlando City players in a great way to end the 2023 regular season. They’ll now take this momentum into the playoffs, where they’ll face Nashville SC. Let me know how you saw this game and don’t forget to vote for your Man of the Match.

Opinion

Martin Ojeda Can Further Build on an Improved 2024

Martin Ojeda has picked things up after a slow start to the season, but he has room to play even better.

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Dan MacDonald, The Mane Land

Argentinian attacking midfielder Martin Ojeda finished his maiden season in an Orlando City uniform with six goals and 10 assists. While 16 goal contributions in his first year in a new league with unfamiliar surroundings isn’t a terrible return, there was a widespread sense that he didn’t perform at the level the Lions needed from a Designated Player. He improved the deeper Orlando got into the year though, and coming into the 2024 season, a lot of the projections involving OCSC being one of the best teams in the league were predicated on him taking the next step and becoming a true force in Major League Soccer. So, has that happened?

The broad numbers say that it hasn’t. Through 27 appearances and 1,582 minutes, Ojeda has three goals and eight assists, compared to six goals and 10 assists in 34 appearances and 1,751 minutes in 2023. The Argentine still has time to eclipse his totals from last year, but barring a positively explosive run of form, it’ll take him more minutes to do so. For my money, it isn’t quite that simple though.

For one thing, Ojeda has shown improvement in two key areas: passing accuracy and key passes. His accuracy is up to 84% in 2024, while it was 79% last season. He’s also already eclipsed his total for key passes in 2023, currently sitting on 45, compared to the 42 he finished with in his debut season in purple. That suggests that not only is he passing the ball better, but he’s also putting it in more dangerous areas than previously. Some of that is to be expected, considering his shift into the center of the field to play the no. 10, but he’s still had to adapt to the new position, and he’s looked more and more comfortable as the year has continued.

Let’s talk about that positional change a little. The first few months of the season were ugly for just about everyone wearing an Orlando City jersey. Guys were hurt, off on international duty, or suspended, and many of the ones who could play were forced to do so in positions that weren’t natural for them. At various points throughout the early months of 2024, he found himself playing in the hole behind two strikers, as a deep-lying playmaker, deputizing at striker himself, or dropped from the starting XI entirely.

It was hard to argue with him coming off the bench, as he had just three assists in the 16 games prior to the LAFC match on June 15. He got his first league goal of the year in that match though, and in the 11 games since then, he’s recorded two goals and four assists. While not a staggering return, he’s trending in the right direction. Outside of the numbers, he looks capable of being able to produce at a higher level.

Saturday’s match against Nashville SC provided two specific instances which I found encouraging. The first was his assist on Ivan Angulo’s opening goal, specifically the way in which Ojeda created the goal.

Everything about that is fantastic. The anticipation and work rate to get into a position to intercept the wayward pass, the vision to see Angulo’s position, the quick decision to play the one-touch pass, and the execution to deliver that pass squarely on the money. One of the knocks on Ojeda in an OCSC shirt has been his decision making and execution in the final third, as at times he’s settled for long potshots or held onto the ball too long before trying to find a teammate. None of that was on display here, and the speed of thought, coupled with the execution, meant that Orlando grabbed an early lead.

Let’s then talk about the turn he executed at midfield during the buildup to Facundo Torres’ first goal. Ojeda receives the ball, takes a touch, neatly slips it through a defender’s legs, and then immediately drives hard at the Nashville defense before releasing the ball and finding Torres in space. It’s one moment of skill, but it’s something that happens when you have a guy who’s playing with confidence, and the fact that he then made the right pass at the right time makes it even better.

Those are the moments that we’ve started to see more of from the Designated Player as the year has gone on, and we’ll need to continue seeing more of if Orlando City wants to keep pushing up the table.

Ojeda has a chance to improve on his debut season and really make an impact for the Lions down the stretch. If he keeps playing with confidence, making the correct decisions, and executing in the way that he’s shown this summer, it should bode well for OCSC. Vamos Orlando!

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Lion Links

Lion Links: 9/6/24

Amanda Allen loaned to Lexington SC, Alex Morgan announces retirement, USMNT prepares for Canada, and more.

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Image courtesy of Victor Tan / New Day Review

Happy Friday! I don’t have many plans this weekend, but am still looking forward to the next few days after a hectic week. When not working, I plan on finally starting Book of Night by Holly Black and figuring out how to make the most out of some dark rum I was gifted. For now though, let’s get to today’s links from around the soccer world!

Amanda Allen Loaned to Lexington SC

The Orlando Pride have loaned forward Amanda Allen to Lexington SC for the remainder of the USL Super League season. This decision should give Allen some valuable minutes, and the loan includes a right to recall as well. The 19-year-old has made 17 appearances since joining the Pride and had an assist in this year’s season opener. She is also currently in Colombia for the U-20 Women’s World Cup and her Canada squad takes on Brazil tonight. Hopefully she’s able to tear it up in the USL Super League’s inaugural season.

Alex Morgan Announces Her Retirement

American forward Alex Morgan has announced that she will retire after the San Diego Wave’s match on Sunday. She also announced that she is pregnant with her second child.

In her 224 international appearances, Morgan scored 123 goals and was a major force behind the USWNT’s back-to-back World Cup victories in 2015 and 2019. At the club level, she has played in every year of the NWSL’s existence and joined the Orlando Pride ahead of their inaugural season in 2016. In her six years in Orlando, Morgan recorded 23 goals and 10 assists in 69 appearances. Off the field, she’s been an outspoken supporter of equality and increased investment in women’s sports. We wish her the best of luck after a legendary career.

USMNT Faces Canada on Saturday

The United States Men’s National Team will take on Canada on Saturday in Kansas City in the first of two friendlies this month. Plenty has changed since the U.S. beat Canada in a penalty shootout in the 2023 Concacaf Gold Cup quarterfinals, particularly on the sideline. American coach Jesse Marsch was hired by Canada in May, while the U.S. will be led by Mikey Varas in an interim capacity amid buzz that Mauricio Pochettino will take over. The U.S. is without Giovanni Reyna for these friendlies due to injury, with Cade Cowell replacing him. Canada boasts a talented roster that includes a trio of former Lions in Cyle Larin, Richie Laryea, and Kamal Miller. After this match, the USMNT will take on New Zealand on Tuesday.

Keeping Up With International Soccer

San Marino may be one of the smallest countries in the world, but it arguably had the biggest win of a busy day of international soccer after beating Liechtenstein 1-0 for its first competitive victory. Elsewhere in the UEFA Nations League, Cristiano Ronaldo scored his 900th career goal in Portugal’s 2-1 win over Croatia, while Spain was held to a scoreless draw in Serbia.

The third round of AFC World Cup qualifying is underway and Australia was upset 1-0 at home by Bahrain. Japan suffered no such setback though, dominating China in a 7-0 home win. Palestine drew 0-0 against South Korea in Seoul, which is no easy task.

CONMEBOL’s World Cup qualifiers have also resumed, and Bolivia came up with a huge 4-0 win in high altitude against Venezuela to move up the table. We may see some Lions in action today. Facundo Torres and Uruguay take on Paraguay, while Pedro Gallese, Wilder Cartagena, and Peru host Colombia.

Free Kicks


That’s all I have for you today. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend!

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Orlando City

Predictions for Orlando City’s Remaining Games of the 2024 Season

A deep dive into Orlando City’s final seven opponents and predictions on the Lions will do in those matchups.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

We do not often write about National Football League Commissioner Roger Goodell at The Mane Land, but it is clear that the NFL was intentional about scheduling its season-opening weekend on a bye weekend for Orlando City, lest they lose all of their viewers to watching the team that you know and I know is the most exciting team to watch in all of sports. Fittingly for the city of Orlando, that excitement has been similar to a roller coaster this season, with ups and downs throughout, but with positive results in eight of the last 10 matches and wins in six of those matches, the team is clearly now heading in the right direction. The question remains whether the Lions will continue this climb or if they are just leading up to a sudden drop.

The Lions have seven games remaining on their regular-reason schedule, and at a quick glance it would appear like they have an excellent chance of continuing their hot streak and picking up points in more than half of those games. The next games in order are:

  • Home vs. New England (1.04 points/game this season, 23rd in MLS)
  • Home vs. Charlotte (1.41, 14th)
  • At Columbus (1.96, second)
  • At Dallas (1.22, 18th)
  • Home vs. Philadelphia (1.11, 21st)
  • At Cincinnati (1.89, fourth)
  • Home vs. Atlanta (1.15, 20th)

As Orlando City is currently on a pace of 1.37 points per game, which is 15th in MLS, the Lions are playing four teams with lower points per game this season, one that is nearly the same, and two that have been performing better thus far this season.

In looking a little deeper at the seven remaining opponents, however, that schedule actually starts to look a little more difficult. If you look at the results from the most recent five matches instead of the season as a whole, Orlando City is playing four teams (Columbus, Dallas, Philadelphia, Atlanta) that are performing better recently than they had been for all games prior to their most recent five games. Two of those teams (Columbus and Dallas) are tied with Orlando City for second in MLS, with 10 points from their last five games. Unfortunately for Orlando City, both of those games against Columbus and Dallas will be on the road, but then again, Orlando’s road record of 6-3-5 (1.50 points/game) is better than its home record of 4-4-5 (1.23 points/game), so perhaps that is actually fortunate.

In looking even deeper, well, this chart will help show how all over the place Orlando City’s opponents really are when you look at their full season performance and also their more recent performance. (PPG = points per game and GDG = goal differential per game, which I needed to use instead of just plain goal differential, since the teams have not all played the same amount of games.)

New England’s -0.84 under Full Season GDG means that for the full season the Revolution have been losing games by an average of 0.84 goals per game.

A few takeaways from this chart:

  • I mentioned earlier that four teams are getting better results recently than they had been before the most recent five matches, but Dallas and Philadelphia are both playing significantly better than they had before, while Atlanta and Columbus are only playing slightly better than they had before.
  • That said, Columbus was playing really well and is still playing really well, so that lack of improvement is relative, since the Crew did not have a lot of room to improve and yet they still did.
  • Cincinnati is a stunning case, since the club had only lost four of its first 22 matches before losing four of its next five. And in those four losses, Cincinnati was outscored 9-2, leading to that big drop in GDG. Even with that swoon, Cincinnati is still ranked fourth overall in MLS and third in the Eastern Conference in points per game.
  • Lastly, the section on the far right shows how each team has performed at home or on the road this season. The Match Location is for Orlando City, and the Opponent PPG shows, for example, that Philadelphia averages 1.31 points on the road this season. Orlando City has a better location-based PPG than its opponent in only three (New England, Charlotte, Atlanta) of the final seven games.

During each of the last three seasons, Orlando City earned at least 48 points during the regular season, and to make it four years in a row, the Lions will need to pick up at least 11 points from these final seven games. Here are the possible points the Lions can still earn, based on the number of wins they could have in those seven games:

Just looking at the math, it is possible that they could get to 11 points with only two wins, but that would require no losses in the other five games, and I think that is asking a lot for a team that has lost 37% of its games thus far this season. I think the most likely way that Orlando City gets to at least 11 points is three wins and two draws or four wins and any number of draws, so we need to rank the final seven opponents based on the likelihood of an Orlando City win.

Before we do that, however, we should note that Orlando City’s only MLS loss in its last seven MLS matches was at Sporting Kansas City, a team that is among the hottest in MLS, with results in four of its last five matches. Even though SKC lost, it played some close matches with several of the top teams in the league (LA Galaxy, Real Salt Lake, Colorado, Vancouver) before that. Perhaps Orlando City’s loss away in Kansas City was not as bad as it seemed at the time.

No, that loss still stunk.

Coming back to our ranking, I got out my mathematics degree, shined it up, blew it a kiss, and then put together a very fancy (read: very simple) algorithm using standard deviations to determine the order of most to least likely for Orlando City to get a win, with a formula that went:

That formula produced the list below, ranked in order of the upcoming schedule, accompanied by the team’s rank in order of likelihood of Orlando City getting a win (higher numbers mean Orlando City is more likely to win):

Whether this algorithm is correct or not, there is no doubt that the next two games for Orlando City are absolutely critical in both the made-up pursuit of a fourth straight season of at least 48 points and the more important push to secure a playoff berth and the opportunity to win MLS Cup. The next game (New England) is always the most important game, and after that, Orlando City could have an opportunity to pass Charlotte and move up the table, depending on how the Lions do against New England and how Charlotte does in its Sept. 14 match against CF Montréal. Both matches are at home, and despite their poor overall home record the Lions have three wins and one draw in their last four home MLS games. It would be quite nice to extend that to five wins in their last six before going on the road to Columbus.

I am going to predict that Orlando City does indeed win against New England and Charlotte, loses on the road at Columbus, ties at Dallas, ties Philadelphia, loses at Cincinnati, and closes with a home win over Atlanta for a final record of 3-2-2 during those last seven matches. The mathematically inclined will quickly recognize that a 3-2-2 record adds up to the 11 points the Lions needed to get to 48 points, but leaves them short of getting to 50 for the third time in the last four years. They would secure a playoff position, but they would also be on the road for the first game, and a third game as well if the series goes to three games.

While the team has definitely been playing a lot better as of late, I think this last seven-match run is a difficult one and the Lions will have to really push to do even as well as I predicted, which is only earning 11 of a possible 21 points. They have it in them to make a run. Let’s hope they come back from this bye week ready to roar and rub my prediction right in my face.

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