Orlando City
What We Can Learn from Tracking Where Orlando City Players Came From
Can looking at players’ former clubs’ global ranking tell us anything about their expected performance?
I am sorry for what I am about to do to everyone, but I have to do it. The refrain from a song that I do not even like has been stuck in my head for days, because it fits so well with this week’s article, but I feel bad that you are about to involuntarily find yourself playing a fiddle and stomping around the room you are in, which may cause problems depending on where you are reading this.
Or, perhaps while on your third lap of the general area, you will see someone else exhibiting the same behavior, and you two will immediately become life-long best friends due to your mutual love of The Mane Land and our Orlando soccer clubs. Probably in the reverse order of how I wrote that though.
Without any further ado, I bring back to your consciousness a song from before the Civil War, and the line that has been stuck in my head for days:
Where did you come from?
Where did you go?
Where did you come from
Cotton-Eye Joe?
The rest of the article will be below when your euphoria wears off.
The reason I thought of this song was because I was reading all of the news about players Orlando City was trying to sign from other clubs, or clubs where current Orlando City players were allegedly considering transferring to, and I was thinking about whether these were steps up or steps down in the global soccer hierarchy. In most American professional sports, our teams are considered the best in the world, so players want to get here and stay here. In soccer, however, Major League Soccer is not considered the best league in the world.
Opta, one of the world’s leading soccer analytics companies, ranked MLS as the ninth strongest league in the world in October of 2024, the last time the company released its global league rankings. Globalfootballrankings concurs, also ranking MLS ninth. There is no shame in being the ninth-best league in the world. In fact, I think this is actually a major achievement considering that the first season of MLS was in 1996 and many of the leagues ranked lower than MLS have been around for significantly more years, and are in countries where soccer is the most popular sport.
As you might imagine, our group of writers at The Mane Land closely — some might say obsessively — follows every piece of news around the Orlando clubs. We talk about every player rumored to be possibly coming here, and consider the possible destinations for every player rumored to be departing and whether those would be steps up or down in our eyes — our discerning and never-biased eyes. And since we converse on an internal Mane Land Slack channel, I guess we could say that these players cannot escape our private eyes. We see their every move.
Hall & Oates may have crept into your head with those lines, and if they did not, then they definitely should have, but let us return to Cotton-Eye Joe and where did he come from and where did he go? Well, for this article the answer to where did he go is very simple, and that is Orlando City. I went back through every player on the senior roster and found the professional club where each player had most recently played, and went into Opta’s database of club rankings to see where they are ranked right now. Of course, many of Orlando City’s players joined the club several years ago, but alas Opta does not have a historical point in time tool I could use to see where a club ranked in the past.
These club rankings will likely not exactly match where the club was when the current Orlando City player was on the squad, but my bet is that each club is in at least a somewhat similar position as to where they were when their player became a Lion. So now let us look at the Orlando City Where Did He Come From list, complete with the current Opta ranking of each player’s team as of Feb 7, 2025. Orlando City is currently ranked No. 127, for comparison purposes.
| Player | Former Club | Current Opta Ranking |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Muriel | Atalanta (Italy) | 9 |
| Nico Lodeiro | Seattle (USA) | 119 |
| Rodrigo Schlegel | Racing Club (Argentina) | 123 |
| Marco Pašalić | HNK Rijeka (Croatia) | 160 |
| David Brekalo | Viking (Norway) | 262 |
| Martín Ojeda | Godoy Cruz (Argentina) | 276 |
| Robin Jansson | AIK (Sweden) | 353 |
| Ramiro Enrique | Banfield (Argentina) | 465 |
| Rafael Santos | Coritiba (Brazil) | 569 |
| Pedro Gallese | Alianza Lima (Peru) | 597 |
| Nico Rodriguez | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. (Colombia) | 651 |
| César Araújo | Montevideo Wanderers (Uruguay) | 894 |
| Iván Angulo | Portimonense (Portugal) | 944 |
| Dagur Dan Thórhallsson | Breiðablik (Iceland) | 974 |
| Wilder Cartagena | Kalba (United Arab Emirates) | 1263 |
| Kyle Smith | Louisville City (USA) | 1360 |
| (See Below) | Orlando City B (USA) | 5028 |
| Duncan McGuire | Lane United (USA) | 9739 |
A few quick notes on this list:
- Ten players on the senior roster (Alex Freeman, Colin Guske, Michael Halliday, Favian Loyola, Carlos Mercado, Shak Mohammed, Javier Otero, Tahir Reid-Brown, Yutaro Tsukada, and Thomas Williams) all played with Orlando City B last season.
- Duncan McGuire came to Orlando City from Creighton University via the MLS SuperDraft, but he did play 11 times for USL League Two club Lane United (Eugene, OR) during the summer of 2022, making that the last professional team he had played for before Orlando City.
- I did not include any of the players drafted in the most recent MLS SuperDraft, since as of the time that I am writing this none have signed a contract with Orlando City.
I found it interesting that some players from clubs towards the bottom of the list —Cear Araújo, Ivan Angulo, Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, and Wilder Cartagena — were all near the top in terms of minutes played during the 2024 season, while some of the players from clubs closer to the top of the list, like Luis Muriel, Nico Lodeiro, and David Brekalo, primarily came off the bench.
Orlando City’s ranking of 127 also stood out to me, as did what Opta calls its rating. Opta calibrates its ratings so that a rating of 100 goes to the team ranked as the best in the world, and then every team in the world indexes off of that 100 to create the rest of the ratings and rankings.
Orlando City’s Opta rating is currently 82.8, ranking them the aforementioned 127th in the world, and you can basically read that as the Opta rankings assessing that Orlando City is about 83% as good as the number one team on the men’s side, Liverpool. I did not enjoy typing that about Liverpool, though I know The Mane Land’s David Rohe is nodding along and saying yes, of course Liverpool is considered the best men’s team in the world. The Orlando Pride, incidentally, rank 11th on the women’s side.
Back to Orlando City, only three of the team’s current players came from clubs currently ranked better than the Lions. If Orlando City completes the signing of midfielder Eduard Atuesta, then that three becomes four, as Atuesta plays alongside Facundo Torres with Palmeiras in Brazil, and Palmeiras is currently ranked 55th in the world. Based on player performance though, club pedigree does not seem to actually have any kind of identifiable impact. Because some players came from these clubs years ago, their ranking may have been different in prior years, but I do not think that difference would be so large as to change the general pattern seen in the table I showed. And that pattern was really no pattern at all, with no real association between the pedigree of the former club and a player’s performance while playing for Orlando City.
Sometimes as fans or analysts we get a little overzealous in our thought process around “oh, this player comes from this well-known club so they must be great,” or the flip side of “this player is from this club I have not heard of in this smaller country’s league, so they must not be someone who will be a major difference maker.” I did not know anything about Peñarol or the Uruguayan league when Torres signed with Orlando City, but he left the club as the all-time leading goal scorer and, more importantly, as my son’s favorite ever Lion.
Peñarol ranks slightly higher (117) than Orlando City in Opta’s rankings, so perhaps I should have known more about them as they are close to a top 100 team in the world, but Montevideo Wanderers, the former club of Araújo, is also in the same Uruguayan league and they are ranked more than 750 places behind Orlando City. Araujo has been an amazing player for Orlando City, less prolific than his countryman Torres at scoring goals but every bit as good at his job in central midfield as Torres was out on the wing. One player came from the best team in his league, and a top team on the continent, and the other came from a team in the bottom half of the league who never made it out of domestic competitions.
Both, however, are Orlando City legends in my eyes, two of the best to ever wear purple, even though when both were signed I asked myself, where did he come from?
We are only two weeks away from real games. I hope you are as excited as we are at The Mane Land for the season to start.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando City
Orlando City Announces Signing of Iago on MLS U22 Initiative Deal
The Brazilian youth international joins the Lions through the 2028-2029 season.
Orlando City announced today the long-reported signing of Brazilian defender Iago Teodoro, colloquially known simply as Iago, from Brazilian top flight club CR Flamengo. The Lions signed Iago through the 2028-2029 season on an MLS U22 Initiative contract. Terms of the deal were not disclosed by the club, although unconfirmed online reports have stated the Lions will only get 50% of a sell-on in the transaction.
“Iago is a talented young defender with experience at one of the best youth and professional clubs in the world,” Orlando City General Manager and Sporting Director Ricardo Moreira said in a club press release. “He has shown a strong competitive mentality (and) leadership qualities beyond his years that took him to lead Brazil’s U-20 squad as a captain in the latest FIFA U-20 World Cup. Iago also has an ability to contribute on both sides of the ball. We believe his profile fits well within our long‑term vision, and we’re excited to bring him here (to) Orlando.”
The 20-year-old Brazilian youth international from Volta Redonda, Brazil came up through Flamengo’s academy, debuting for the club’s U-20 team in July 2022 and making his first-team debut in January of 2024. Iago has accumulated a combined 68 appearances and has logged more than 5,000 minutes across Flamengo’s senior and U-20 teams across all competitions. He’s scored 14 goals for his club, helping Flamengo win the 2021 U-17 Brazilian Championship, the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 U-20 Intercontinental Cups, the 2022 and 2024 Brazilian Cups, the 2023-2024 and 2024-2025 Campeao Carioca, and the 2025 Serie A title.
On the international stage, Iago has 13 caps with Brazil’s U-20 team, scoring three goals and captaining the team in the FIFA U-20 World Cup.
If you like buying kits with unique numbers, Iago will wear No. 57 on his jersey.
What It Means for Orlando City
The Lions have filled all three MLS U22 Initiative slots and will likely have to press the young center back into service quickly with Robin Jansson out with an injury and the club short of experienced depth in the interior back line. Iago is young, has good size, and is athletic. He fits the club’s profile and is the type of player who could yield a big profit in a future sale, even if Orlando City gets only half the fee.
The defender will have a little bit of preseason to learn Oscar Pareja’s system and get to know his teammates, but getting this signing across the finish line earlier would have obviously been more optimal. Iago seems to have a better nose for the net than just about any previous Orlando City center back in the MLS era, but only time will tell if those skills will translate to Major League Soccer.
The back line depth is still sketchy and lacks experience with Jansson out. David Brekalo has to be a locked-in starter at this point, with Iago his probable partner to start the season. Nolan Miller, Wilder Cartagena, and Adrian Marin would serve as the depth until the captain returns, with the Lions perhaps employing a three-man back line and wingbacks at times. The Lions will need Iago and Miller to grow up in a hurry, or things could get dicey quickly if Brekalo picks up a knock or a suspension early in the season.
Orlando City
Orlando City’s Roster Short On Tenure, Long On Ambition
The 2026 roster is not yet finalized, but for the first time in years it will primarily be made up of players who only recently joined the club.
If you are like me and are a fan of both soccer and basketball, you likely have been overwhelmed during the last few days by transfer news in global soccer and trades in the NBA as teams shape their rosters for the stretch runs of their seasons (most soccer leagues around the world, the NBA) or the season about to start (MLS, a handful of other spring-to-fall leagues). The news around Orlando City has mostly been limited to rumors about possible defensive reinforcements in recent weeks, and while our Ben Miller became an overnight expert in Polish soccer X (the service that was formerly, and more successfully, known as Twitter), it turned out to be for naught, as the attempted acquisition of Dušan Stojinović fell through due to a failed medical.
The rumors persist about the coming acquisition of Brazilian central defender Iago (Shakespeare lovers surely agree that if he signs it is a good thing there is no longer a Rod(e)rigo on the roster), but as of this writing, the only official recent acquisition came when the Lions signed 2026 MLS SuperDraft draft pick Nolan Miller on Wednesday.
MLS roster construction is complicated, and if you are struggling with sleep I recommend you read through the rules and regulations from the league’s website (that link takes you to the 2025 rules, as they have yet to update them for 2026, which is good news because that means some new sleep-inducing material will be published soon). To simplify, however, teams generally have 20 players on their senior roster and then a supplemental roster of up to 11 players who are also available for selection on game days.
With more than two weeks until the season opener, the roster remains in flux, but we can assume that by the season opener the club will probably have signed a few more players in order to make use of most of those available roster spots. Unless they go out and bring a former OCSC player back to Orlando, the Lions will be acquiring a player who will be new to the club, and that, plus all of the turnover from the 2025 team, made me wonder about the average tenure of this year’s team, in comparison to other Orlando City clubs from the past.
The 2026 roster is not finalized yet, but in honor of the hopefully soon-to-be-announced acquisition, we can channel Othello’s Iago and manipulate the data a little bit to fill out the 2026 Orlando City roster like so:
- Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau, Javier Otero.
- Defender: David Brekalo, Robin Jansson, Adrián Marín, Nolan Miller, Tahir Reid-Brown, Zakaria Taifi.
- Central Midfielder: Eduard Atuesta, Wilder Cartagena, Joran Gerbet, Colin Guske, Braian Ojeda, Luis Otávio.
- Attacker: Iván Angulo, Gustavo Caraballo, Justin Ellis, Duncan McGuire, Martín Ojeda, Marco Pašalić, Harvey Sarajian, Tyrese Spicer, Tiago, Yutaro Tsukada.
- Roster Spots That Will Be Filled: Designated Player (attacker), Defender (likely Iago), Defender (outside back), Additional Player, Additional Player.
I held the line at 29 players, though I will not be surprised if the club maxes out the full 30. It is also possible that some of the young players like Caraballo, Ellis, Guske, Miller, Otávio, Reid-Brown, Sarajian, and even Tsukada play very few or even zero minutes this year at the senior level. It is always exciting to think about the potential of young players, especially those who came up through the academy or were signed via the MLS U22 Initiative, but Óscar Pareja plays every game to win, and over the years he has shown a preference for going with veterans as opposed to young players.
Pareja is not completely opposed to youth, however, and with a roster this full of young players he may not have a choice but to give a serious chunk of minutes to players in their teens or early 20s this season. According to fbref.com, last season’s team had a weighted average age of 27.4 years old during MLS play (10th oldest among all teams), but unless the next few acquisitions are veterans in the twilights of their careers (I am looking at you, Antoine Griezmann), that average age is likely going to drop in 2026.
If we take that theoretical roster that I outlined earlier, and instead of using their actual ages use the number of years that each player has been with the club (assigning a value of one for all of the players who have never played for the senior team), we get the distribution below:
- Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau (1), Javier Otero (3).
- Defender: David Brekalo (3), Robin Jansson (8, most in the MLS era), Adrián Marín (2), Nolan Miller (1), Tahir Reid-Brown (1), Zakaria Taifi (2).
- Central Midfielder: Eduard Atuesta (2), Wilder Cartagena (4), Joran Gerbet (2), Colin Guske (2), Braian “Defensive” Ojeda (1), Luis Otávio (1).
- Attacker: Iván Angulo (5), Gustavo Caraballo (2), Justin Ellis (2), Duncan McGuire (4), Martín “Offensive” Ojeda (4), Marco Pašalić (2), Harvey Sarajian (1), Tyrese Spicer (2), Tiago (1), Yutaro Tsukada (2).
- Roster Spots That Will Be Filled: Designated Player (attacker) (1), Defender (likely Iago) (1), Defender (outside back) (1), Additional Player (1), Additional Player (1).
Before anyone yells at me, Cartagena and Tsukada both have actually been with the club for one more season than I represented above, but I am counting soccer-playing seasons, and they both missed all of 2025 due to injury. The math is not as elegant as it was to Russell Crowe in A Beautiful Mind, but the chart below, which shows the counts by player tenure for every season going back to the team’s inaugural MLS season, will either look beautiful or hideous to you, depending on your artistic perspective. I think it looks fantastic.

The first few years are clear outliers, with every player being new to the club in 2015 (some players had been with the club in the USL era, but my definition of tenure was playing in a game for Orlando City’s MLS team) and no players being able to get to a “longer” tenure until at least 2019. That said, the 2026 team looks like it will be heavily populated by players in their first two seasons with Orlando City (the purple and gold bars in the chart), with that combined number likely being the most since the 2020 team.
Until the roster is finalized and the games begin my 2026 forecast is just that — an estimate of who will play in at least one game for the Lions this season. Just because the team will most likely be full of newer players, it does not mean that they cannot be successful. Inter Miami won the league title last season with 19 players in their first two seasons with the club and only four who had been there for more than three seasons.
The sports world writ large is moving to shorter contracts, with teams changing a lot from year to year, and after two years of relative stability, it looks like this Orlando City season will follow the same pattern and we will see the debuts of more players than in recent years — and also see more appearances by recent acquisitions (i.e. last season or this season) than in a long time.
Hopefully, some more new acquisitions will be announced soon, helping fill out the roster and answer some of the depth chart questions that we frequently talk about in our internal The Mane Land Slack channel (if you are reading this article, you are clearly incredibly intelligent and a passionate fan, so why not come join us and add your opinion to the mix?).
All those new acquisitions would come in as brand new Lions, bringing down that average tenure, but in the end what really matters is not whether a player has been with the club for three years but whether in a game they can help bring the club three points. The crowds at Inter&Co Stadium will be ready to roar for any Lions who can deliver, and I am looking forward to the next announcement from Ricardo Moreira on who will be taking their talents to Church Street and taking Orlando City back to the playoffs.
The club’s lofty goals remain the same, even if many of the players scoring the goals may be playing for the team for the first time.
Vamos Orlando!
Opinion
Likes and Dislikes From the Fourth Week of Orlando City Preseason
Let’s talk through some of the good and bad from the fourth week of Orlando’s preseason preparations.
The fourth week of Orlando City’s preseason preparations is (almost) in the books. The Lions will be kicking off the 2026 MLS season against the New York Red Bulls in a little over two weeks’ time, which seems impossibly near at hand. Let’s take a look at some of the good and some of the bad from the week that was.
Likes
Nolan Miller Earns a Contract
OCSC announced on Wednesday that it signed 2026 MLS SuperDraft selection Nolan Miller to a deal through the 2026 season with several additional option years tacked on. The center back was the ninth overall pick in the draft, and it’s good to see another high selection earning a contract after Harvey Sarajian was the first from the current draft class to do so back in January. Part of the motivation behind the move may be due to Orlando’s center back situation that we’ll touch on later, but either way, the youngster has his foot in the door and will have a chance to get on the field, contribute, and potentially extend his stay in the City Beautiful.
Iago Reportedly on Track
It’s been a trying week for Orlando City fans (more on that below), but another piece of news to be happy about came on Wednesday, when Oscar Pareja noted during his media availability that the team is continuing to work towards finalizing the signing of center back Iago from Flamengo.
This is one that’s been rumored for awhile, and devoted social media users may have even seen specific numbers thrown around, like a transfer fee of $1.5 million and Flamengo retaining a sell-on clause of 50%. Whether those are accurate or not, only time will tell, but for now it’s good to hear that talks are ongoing. While it would be nice for the process to go a little quicker, signing players from Brazilian teams seems to be a bit tricky at times, so it isn’t necessarily surprising that this deal is taking its sweet time. Hopefully negotiations wrap up quickly and Iago can join the Lions sooner rather than later though, because as we’re about to discuss, the team is almost certainly going to need him.
Dislikes
Robin Jansson’s Injury
Robin Jansson had surgery to repair a Jones fracture in his right foot. While no specific recovery timeline was announced and it’s difficult to estimate one since we don’t know when exactly the surgery happened, this is not great news so close to the start of the season. David Brekalo is currently the only experienced center back available to take the field, and we’re 15 days away from the first game of the season. A lot can change in that amount of time, but it’s a nervy place to be regardless. I also don’t love the fact that the injury is a Jones fracture. The fifth metatarsal, where the break occurred, is an area of the body that’s notorious for not getting great blood flow when compared to other bones, and Jones fractures have a reputation of being tricky injuries to heal. The captain is in good hands with the club’s staff and the good folks at Orlando Health, but I would caution restraint when it comes to expecting him to make a speedy return to the field.
A Signing Falls Through
The news of Jansson’s injury might have been slightly easier to bear if not for this piece of news that Tom Bogert broke on Monday.
The wording that the deal fell apart after a failed medical implies that all of the particulars were sorted between the clubs and the player, and that it was the very last hurdle that proved its undoing. That’s brutal enough on the face of things, as it deprived Orlando of a starting-caliber center back who is only 25 and would presumably have time to grow and improve at the club for a number of years. When Jansson’s injury is taken into account, it hurts even worse. As I said earlier, a lot can happen in two weeks, but due to unfortunate and uncontrollable circumstances the Lions’ center back corps is looking positively threadbare at the time of this writing.
While it’s very easy to get lost in the negatives, this week wasn’t all bad. Losing one potential center back and then a nailed-on starter and club captain in the space of two days hurts, there’s no getting around it. But on the bright side, a young player will get a chance to prove himself, an MLS U22 Initiative signing will reportedly be on the way sooner or later, and there’s still some time for additional reinforcements to arrive before the season opener arrives. Keep your heads up, take things one day at a time, and pray for good things from the soccer gods. Vamos Orlando!
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