Orlando City
What We Can Learn from Tracking Where Orlando City Players Came From
Can looking at players’ former clubs’ global ranking tell us anything about their expected performance?
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I am sorry for what I am about to do to everyone, but I have to do it. The refrain from a song that I do not even like has been stuck in my head for days, because it fits so well with this week’s article, but I feel bad that you are about to involuntarily find yourself playing a fiddle and stomping around the room you are in, which may cause problems depending on where you are reading this.
Or, perhaps while on your third lap of the general area, you will see someone else exhibiting the same behavior, and you two will immediately become life-long best friends due to your mutual love of The Mane Land and our Orlando soccer clubs. Probably in the reverse order of how I wrote that though.
Without any further ado, I bring back to your consciousness a song from before the Civil War, and the line that has been stuck in my head for days:
Where did you come from?
Where did you go?
Where did you come from
Cotton-Eye Joe?
The rest of the article will be below when your euphoria wears off.
The reason I thought of this song was because I was reading all of the news about players Orlando City was trying to sign from other clubs, or clubs where current Orlando City players were allegedly considering transferring to, and I was thinking about whether these were steps up or steps down in the global soccer hierarchy. In most American professional sports, our teams are considered the best in the world, so players want to get here and stay here. In soccer, however, Major League Soccer is not considered the best league in the world.
Opta, one of the world’s leading soccer analytics companies, ranked MLS as the ninth strongest league in the world in October of 2024, the last time the company released its global league rankings. Globalfootballrankings concurs, also ranking MLS ninth. There is no shame in being the ninth-best league in the world. In fact, I think this is actually a major achievement considering that the first season of MLS was in 1996 and many of the leagues ranked lower than MLS have been around for significantly more years, and are in countries where soccer is the most popular sport.
As you might imagine, our group of writers at The Mane Land closely — some might say obsessively — follows every piece of news around the Orlando clubs. We talk about every player rumored to be possibly coming here, and consider the possible destinations for every player rumored to be departing and whether those would be steps up or down in our eyes — our discerning and never-biased eyes. And since we converse on an internal Mane Land Slack channel, I guess we could say that these players cannot escape our private eyes. We see their every move.
Hall & Oates may have crept into your head with those lines, and if they did not, then they definitely should have, but let us return to Cotton-Eye Joe and where did he come from and where did he go? Well, for this article the answer to where did he go is very simple, and that is Orlando City. I went back through every player on the senior roster and found the professional club where each player had most recently played, and went into Opta’s database of club rankings to see where they are ranked right now. Of course, many of Orlando City’s players joined the club several years ago, but alas Opta does not have a historical point in time tool I could use to see where a club ranked in the past.
These club rankings will likely not exactly match where the club was when the current Orlando City player was on the squad, but my bet is that each club is in at least a somewhat similar position as to where they were when their player became a Lion. So now let us look at the Orlando City Where Did He Come From list, complete with the current Opta ranking of each player’s team as of Feb 7, 2025. Orlando City is currently ranked No. 127, for comparison purposes.
Player | Former Club | Current Opta Ranking |
---|---|---|
Luis Muriel | Atalanta (Italy) | 9 |
Nico Lodeiro | Seattle (USA) | 119 |
Rodrigo Schlegel | Racing Club (Argentina) | 123 |
Marco Pašalić | HNK Rijeka (Croatia) | 160 |
David Brekalo | Viking (Norway) | 262 |
Martín Ojeda | Godoy Cruz (Argentina) | 276 |
Robin Jansson | AIK (Sweden) | 353 |
Ramiro Enrique | Banfield (Argentina) | 465 |
Rafael Santos | Coritiba (Brazil) | 569 |
Pedro Gallese | Alianza Lima (Peru) | 597 |
Nico Rodriguez | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. (Colombia) | 651 |
César Araújo | Montevideo Wanderers (Uruguay) | 894 |
Iván Angulo | Portimonense (Portugal) | 944 |
Dagur Dan Thórhallsson | Breiðablik (Iceland) | 974 |
Wilder Cartagena | Kalba (United Arab Emirates) | 1263 |
Kyle Smith | Louisville City (USA) | 1360 |
(See Below) | Orlando City B (USA) | 5028 |
Duncan McGuire | Lane United (USA) | 9739 |
A few quick notes on this list:
- Ten players on the senior roster (Alex Freeman, Colin Guske, Michael Halliday, Favian Loyola, Carlos Mercado, Shak Mohammed, Javier Otero, Tahir Reid-Brown, Yutaro Tsukada, and Thomas Williams) all played with Orlando City B last season.
- Duncan McGuire came to Orlando City from Creighton University via the MLS SuperDraft, but he did play 11 times for USL League Two club Lane United (Eugene, OR) during the summer of 2022, making that the last professional team he had played for before Orlando City.
- I did not include any of the players drafted in the most recent MLS SuperDraft, since as of the time that I am writing this none have signed a contract with Orlando City.
I found it interesting that some players from clubs towards the bottom of the list —Cear Araújo, Ivan Angulo, Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, and Wilder Cartagena — were all near the top in terms of minutes played during the 2024 season, while some of the players from clubs closer to the top of the list, like Luis Muriel, Nico Lodeiro, and David Brekalo, primarily came off the bench.
Orlando City’s ranking of 127 also stood out to me, as did what Opta calls its rating. Opta calibrates its ratings so that a rating of 100 goes to the team ranked as the best in the world, and then every team in the world indexes off of that 100 to create the rest of the ratings and rankings.
Orlando City’s Opta rating is currently 82.8, ranking them the aforementioned 127th in the world, and you can basically read that as the Opta rankings assessing that Orlando City is about 83% as good as the number one team on the men’s side, Liverpool. I did not enjoy typing that about Liverpool, though I know The Mane Land’s David Rohe is nodding along and saying yes, of course Liverpool is considered the best men’s team in the world. The Orlando Pride, incidentally, rank 11th on the women’s side.
Back to Orlando City, only three of the team’s current players came from clubs currently ranked better than the Lions. If Orlando City completes the signing of midfielder Eduard Atuesta, then that three becomes four, as Atuesta plays alongside Facundo Torres with Palmeiras in Brazil, and Palmeiras is currently ranked 55th in the world. Based on player performance though, club pedigree does not seem to actually have any kind of identifiable impact. Because some players came from these clubs years ago, their ranking may have been different in prior years, but I do not think that difference would be so large as to change the general pattern seen in the table I showed. And that pattern was really no pattern at all, with no real association between the pedigree of the former club and a player’s performance while playing for Orlando City.
Sometimes as fans or analysts we get a little overzealous in our thought process around “oh, this player comes from this well-known club so they must be great,” or the flip side of “this player is from this club I have not heard of in this smaller country’s league, so they must not be someone who will be a major difference maker.” I did not know anything about Peñarol or the Uruguayan league when Torres signed with Orlando City, but he left the club as the all-time leading goal scorer and, more importantly, as my son’s favorite ever Lion.
Peñarol ranks slightly higher (117) than Orlando City in Opta’s rankings, so perhaps I should have known more about them as they are close to a top 100 team in the world, but Montevideo Wanderers, the former club of Araújo, is also in the same Uruguayan league and they are ranked more than 750 places behind Orlando City. Araujo has been an amazing player for Orlando City, less prolific than his countryman Torres at scoring goals but every bit as good at his job in central midfield as Torres was out on the wing. One player came from the best team in his league, and a top team on the continent, and the other came from a team in the bottom half of the league who never made it out of domestic competitions.
Both, however, are Orlando City legends in my eyes, two of the best to ever wear purple, even though when both were signed I asked myself, where did he come from?
We are only two weeks away from real games. I hope you are as excited as we are at The Mane Land for the season to start.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando City
Orlando City Signs Colombian International Midfielder Eduard Atuesta
The Lions add a proven quality central midfielder to cover for Wilder Cartagena’s injury absence.
![](https://themaneland.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/MarkThor-OCSCvAtlantaUnitedFC-101924-OCSC4941.jpg)
The Lions took a necessary roster-building step today with the acquisition of central midfielder Eduard Atuesta via transfer from Palmeiras in Brazil’s Serie A. The contract runs through 2025 with a club option for 2026. Details of the transfer were not released. Atuesta can join the Lions pending receipt of his P-1 Visa and International Transfer Certificate. The Colombian international will wear jersey No. 20 for Orlando City.
“We’re very excited about bringing Eduard here to Orlando, as a player that is in the prime of his career, has proven himself previously here in Major League Soccer and knows our league,” Orlando City Executive Vice President of Soccer Operations and General Manager Luiz Muzzi said in a club press release. “He’s a great midfield talent that has the ability to organize the team throughout the game, but most importantly, he’s a title winner at each of his previous clubs. We have confidence in him and his ability to help us achieve the goals we have here at this club.”
This played out publicly as a difficult one, with Orlando City seemingly close to a deal at times, while at others there seemed to be sticking points about such details as whether it would be a sale or loan, how much (if any) of Atuesta’s salary Palmeiras would pay, and the size of the transfer fee. Orlando was limited in what it could spend due to having to fit the player under the Designated Player threshold (salary plus transfer fee amortized over the length of the contract) as all three slots are full.
“I’m very excited to be here, to join this great team and live in this beautiful city,” Atuesta said in the club’s release “I can’t wait to step out into the stadium filled with our fans, to win games and to fight for the titles that this city deserves.”
Atuesta’s arrival is expected to mitigate the loss of Wilder Cartagena to a lower leg injury that recently required surgery. Cartagena was injured in the preseason opener against Atletico Mineiro, and although the club has yet to make an official announcement about it, Cartagena shared on his Twitter account that he had surgery in late January.
![](https://themaneland.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/image.png)
Atuesta’s season in Brazil is off to a slow start, with just three appearances and 42 minutes played so far without a goal contribution. The Colombian spent the 2024 season on loan with LAFC, where he made 28 appearances (25 starts), playing 2,197 minutes, scoring four goals, and adding six assists. In five MLS seasons with LAFC dating back to 2018, Atuesta has appeared in 124 matches, starting 109 of them, and playing 9,790 minutes. He has scored 11 goals and added 29 assists, attempting 172 shots and putting 53 on target. Atuesta has passed at an 85.9% rate with 155 key passes. He has amassed 27 yellow cards and one red card in MLS play.
The 27-year-old native of Vélez, Colombia has appeared in seven MLS playoff games (four starts), playing 428 postseason minutes, providing two goals and an assist while putting three of his six shots on target and logging eight key passes.
During his time in Los Angeles, Atuesta was part of the 2019 Supporters’ Shield-winning squad and helped the club win the 2024 U.S. Open Cup.
Prior to joining LAFC, Atuesta was with Independiente Medellín, where he started his professional career in 2016. He won the 2016 Categoría Primera A title with Medellín, playing 44 matches with The Paisa Red.
Since 2022, Atuesta played 26 matches with Palmeiras, scoring one goal and helping the team win the 2022 and 2023 Brazilian championships, 2023 Supercopa do Brasil, and 2022 Recopa Sudamericana.
On the international stage, Atuesta has represented Colombia at the U-20, U-23, and senior levels, with two caps for his national team since 2022.
What It Means for Orlando City
Atuesta wasn’t the least expensive option on the market at central midfield, but this signing shows that the club is serious about avoiding a drop-off in the middle of the pitch with Cartagena sidelined. Atuesta brings more offensive capabilities with him than Cartagena or Cesar Araujo possess, and he’ll likely be deployed as the No. 8 in Oscar Pareja’s usual 4-2-3-1.
If Atuesta can find the same kind of chemistry with Araujo that Cartagena has, the Lions should see continued standout play in central midfield. The duo will be tasked with protecting the back line and goalkeeper Pedro Gallese, forcing play wide and limiting opposing shots to lower-percentage attempts. Meanwhile, his ability to pick out a key pass should improve the Orlando attack, which will be trying to fit a Marco Pašalić-shaped peg into a Facundo Torres-shaped hole and that still hasn’t found a depth forward to replace Duncan McGuire for the months he’ll miss this season.
This was a necessary move by Muzzi if the Lions are going to try to take the next step after reaching the conference final in 2024. The window may be closing on this core of Orlando City players, as several contracts are either set to expire or will require options picked up after the 2025 season among that group.
Orlando City
Orlando City’s Offensive Struggles Raise Questions as Regular Season Approaches
Orlando City is once again struggling to find the net and the games that matter are quickly approaching.
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The 2025 MLS regular season is drawing near, so we have a much better idea of where each team stands. Orlando City has now played four preseason games, one in front of its home fans and one in front of season ticket members only. That should provide excitement about the upcoming season, but it’s actually produced some concern.
The 2024 season saw the Lions have their best postseason run since joining MLS in 2015. They finished fourth in the Eastern Conference standings and made it all the way to the Eastern Conference final before falling 1-0 to the New York Red Bulls on home turf. The experience created a lot of optimism heading into 2025.
Unfortunately, it’s been a rough go so far. The club transferred last season’s top goal scorer — and the club’s all-time leading goal scorer — Facundo Torres to Brazilian side Palmeiras on Dec. 20. Additionally, striker Duncan McGuire is out after having shoulder surgery during the off-season and his return date is unknown.
The first preseason game against Atletico Mineiro on Jan. 25 was less than inspiring. Neither team threatened the opposition goal much in a rather boring scoreless draw and, to make matters worse, Luis Muriel appeared to pick up a knock late in the first half. Preseason had just started for both teams, so you can chalk that one up to shaking off the rust.
The Lions followed up that performance with a trip to Mexico, where they played to a scoreless draw against Canadian side Forge FC. After a third preseason game against Atlanta United in Bradenton — which actually saw a goal by Alex Freeman — the Lions returned home Saturday night to face CF Montreal with season ticket members in attendance, filling most of the seats on the lower level on the stadium’s east side.
Orlando City was unquestionably the more dangerous team during the first 90 minutes of the 120-minute contest. Joran Gerbet hit the crossbar in the first half and Freeman hit the inside of the post in the second. Additionally, the Lions sent players free on goal no less than three times in the game. However, they didn’t score until Nico Lodeiro converted a free kick in the dying seconds.
To be fair, the Lions weren’t at full strength. Neither Ramiro Enrique nor Muriel, two players who will be depended on to provide goals, played in the game. Instead, Shak Mohammed started up top and was replaced by teenager Justin Ellis in the 65th minute.
Also, it’s not as if Orlando City’s leading scorer is typically a striker.
In the team’s first 10 years of MLS action, a striker has led the Lions in scoring six times, and three of those were Cyle Larin in the first three seasons. Since he departed following 2017, strikers have only led the Lions in goals in 2018 (Dom Dwyer), 2021 (Daryl Dike), and 2023 (McGuire). The most goals in those seasons were scored by McGuire, who had 15 in 2023 in all competitions.
The big question heading into this preseason was how would the Lions replace the goals scored by Torres. The Uruguayan international was coming off the most prolific season of his career, scoring 20 goals in all competitions. It was the first time an Orlando City player reached 20 goals in a season since the club joined MLS and only the second time in club history. Previously, Kevin Molino scored 22 goals during the 2014 USL Pro season.
Orlando City fans were hoping they would have a better idea at this point about who would provide the goals. Instead, they’re left with even more questions heading into the season.
This doesn’t mean someone won’t step up. As mentioned, Enrique and Muriel didn’t play against Montreal. The club also signed Marco Pasalic as a Designed Player. The Croatian made his first appearance Saturday night. He is a player who could potentially provide the goals Orlando City so desperately needs.
There was a lot of optimism around Orlando City heading into 2025 after a successful 2024 campaign. However, while the Lions have played well defensively, they’ve struggled in the attack. There are only two more preseason games remaining and one in front of fans, although it’s outside Orlando — a rivalry game against Inter Miami CF Friday night in Tampa. That will lead into the season opener Feb. 22, when City hosts the Philadelphia Union.
The departure of Torres in December created questions about who will provide the goals. McGuire’s absence during his recovery from injury exacerbates the situation for the first few months of the season. After four preseason games, the questions still exist. It’s a concern for a team that will be expected to make another postseason run this year.
Lion Links
Lion Links: 2/10/25
Orlando City falls to CF Montreal in preseason scrimmage, latest OCSC transfer rumblings, MLS transfer roundup, and more.
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Hello Mane Landers! I hope all is well with you down in Florida. Under Armour has been keeping me busy, and I’ve been covering some high school basketball. We are less than two weeks away from the 2025 MLS season kicking off, with the Lions’ home opener on Feb. 22 against the Philadelphia Union. We’ve got plenty to cover today, so let’s get to the links. Before we do, we want to thank subscriber Dave Shine for upgrading to a Designated Player support level. We appreciate all of our supporters, and to see if one of our three levels of support is right for you, please visit our Buy Me a Coffee page.
Orlando City Falls to CF Montreal in Preseason Scrimmage
Orlando City suffered a preseason loss on Saturday, falling 2-1 to CF Montreal in a 120-minute friendly scrimmage at Inter&Co Stadium. The match remained scoreless after 90 minutes of play, and the two clubs played an extra 30-minute session. CF Montreal took a 2-0 lead before Nico Lodeiro scored a late free-kick goal for the Lions to make it 2-1. The Lions’ next preseason match will be Tuesday against USL Championship side Rhode Island FC in a closed-door scrimmage. Orlando will conclude its preseason friendly schedule on Friday in Tampa against Inter Miami at Raymond James Stadium.
Latest Orlando City Transfer Reports
The Lions have been busy as we get close to their home opener in 12 days. Midfielder Eduard Atuesta reportedly had his medical exam with Orlando City on Friday, but nothing is official until it’s official. Atuesta reportedly terminated his contract with Palmeiras two years before it expired, and the Brazilian club will keep 20% of any future sale as Orlando works towards finalizing the deal.
Meanwhile, the Lions have also reportedly submitted a transfer bid to Bolivian club Always Ready midfielder Moises Paniagua. Per the source post from Twitter, the bid was lower than the club is expecting for Paniagua.
Lastly, defender Noham Abdellaoui of Serie A side Genoa has reportedly signed a one-year contract to join Orlando City. This seems like more of a move the club would make to stock OCB than the first team, but we’ll wait to see if it becomes official.
MLS Transfer Roundup
Major League Soccer had another busy weekend with some notable transfer moves. CF Montreal added a pair of defenders, signing former Lion Luca Petrasso through the 2025 season with options for 2026 and 2027. He played against Orlando City on Saturday. Montreal also signed defender Brandan Craig through the 2025 season with options for 2026, 2027, and 2028. New York Red Bulls forward Lewis Morgan has reached an agreement on a new contract, extending his deal through 2026 with options for 2027 and 2028. The Chicago Fire have signed defender Omar Gonzalez on a contract for the 2025 season with a club option for 2026.
Keeping Up With Americans Abroad
We had another busy weekend featuring Americans in action in Europe. Norwich City forward Josh Sargent continues his stellar form as he scored in his third consecutive match in a 1-1 draw against Derby County on Saturday. Sargent has scored four goals in his last three appearances for the EFL Championship side. Christian Pulisic came off the bench for AC Milan in the second half and notched two assists as AC Milan defeated Empoli 2-0 and moved to seventh in the Serie A table. Cardiff City goalkeeper Ethan Horvath made three clutch saves in an FA Cup match against Stoke City. One was in the penalty shootout as Cardiff City defeated Stoke City 4-2 on penalty kicks after a 3-3 draw and move on to the Round of 16.
Free Kicks
- Orlando City midfielder Wilder Cartagena tweeted that he recently had surgery at the end of January. We here at The Mane Land wish Wilder a speedy recovery.
- Former Lion Alexandre Pato visited his former teammates during preseason training last week.
- Orlando City announced its theme night calendar for the 2025 season, featuring wrestling night, pride in our city night, and a video game night.
- Plymouth Argyle defeated Liverpool 1-0 on Sunday to knock out the Reds in the fourth round of the FA Cup.
- After multiple delays, the popular mobile game Football Manager 25 has been canceled just weeks before its March release. Sports Interactive issued the following statement on social media.
That will do it for me today, Mane Landers. Enjoy your Monday, and I’ll see you next time.
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