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Intelligence Report: Orlando City vs. FC Cincinnati

Get all of the information you need on FC Cincinnati, courtesy of someone who knows them best.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City picked up a great midweek win on Wednesday as it knocked off St. Louis City SC 4-2 on the road. The Lions will try to keep the good times rolling as they take on FC Cincinnati Saturday night at Inter&Co Stadium.

A showdown with Cincy means I spoke to Jose Guerra of the always excellent Cincinnati Soccer Talk. Jose was kind enough to give us the full rundown on how things have changed for FCC since these two teams last met.

Evander and Kevin Denkey have obviously been great signings, as Evander leads the team in assists and Denkey has the most goals. How have they managed to slot into the team so well and be this successful?

Jose Guerra: One of the key challenges for this team last year was the lack of consistent scoring. Cincinnati tried several players as strikers, including Yuya Kubo (who actually had a strong season scoring, but it was not his natural position), Corey Baird, Nicholas Gioacchini, Kevin Kelsy, and the late Aaron Boupenza. Unfortunately, most of the scoring came from either midfielders or wingers, and while it kept the team in the playoff hunt, it was clear that more consistency was needed at the front.

This gap and the departure of Luciano (Lucho) Acosta, which we’ll touch on in the next question, needed to be filled with certain urgency if the club was going to aspire to not only making the playoffs but winning trophies. Evander was certainly a huge signing since FCC finally seemed to have the number 9 it had been seeking since the departure of Brandon Vazquez at the end of 2023. But with Acosta leaving, the club then needed a creative 10. Enter Evander. He is not Acosta in the sense that Lucho could create plays out of nothing by dribbling, passing, or scoring. Evander is more of an orchestrator who also has dribbling, passing, and scoring skills. Whereas last year it was about getting the ball to Lucho, this year it’s more about distributing the ball among more players and expecting the trio of Evander, Denkey, and Luca Orellano to create the bulk of scoring opportunities.

While it’s difficult to pinpoint specific reasons for both Denkey’s and Evander’s strong performance, I believe it’s because both players have shown instances of brilliance, whether it’s because of strong, physically athletic play (e.g., Denkey’s scissor kick goal against Kansas City on April 26) or great technical skill (e.g., Evander’s free kick goal against Nashville on March 29). There have been some plays where they have been involved, along with Orellano, in creating opportunities and scoring. But overall, this trio has yet to show its full potential. They have not gelled in the way we would have expected them to do so by this time in the season. Whether or not it will happen soon is going to depend on the team reaching full strength health and international absences wise as well as (Head Coach Pat) Noonan’s ability to instill the type of tactical play he wants up front among these three players.

Luciano Acosta was obviously the big off-season departure, but who else went out the door for FCC and how have they been replaced?

JG: It’s interesting that you ask about departures. A quick analysis at www.fbref.com  shows that of the 32 players that went through FCC in 2024, a full 41% transitioned out for various reasons. Kevin Kelsy, striker, was on loan and the asking price was deemed too high given his below-average performance. Others were brought in as stopgap measures because of a decimated back line — 2023 Defender of the Year Matt Miazga had a season-ending injury against San Jose on June 15, 2024, and then Nick Hagglund also had a season-ending injury against New England on June 22, 2024 — such as center back Chidozie Awaziem. Striker Boupenza (RIP) was released after various non-performance and disciplinary issues and replaced by Gioacchini, who was also released at the end of the season. This, of course, in addition to Acosta.

What we knew is that all lines needed reinforcing except for goalkeeper, where Roman Celentano has shown he is a very strong shot stopper. The club wanted to close gaps on the pitch as well as provide bench strength.

With Miazga’s return date from his season-ending injury in 2024 uncertain at the beginning of the season, Hadebe was retained to provide consistency in the back line, and Gilberto Flores, a young promising center back from Paraguay, was added for depth purposes.

With Acosta leaving, FCC brought in a proven MVP-caliber player in Evander, who plays more of an orchestrator in the midfield than what Acosta did, which was a combination of orchestrator, individual brilliance, and goal scorer (we liked to say that during the Acosta era it was “all roads run through Acosta”). Also in the midfield, the team acquired Brian Anunga as a depth piece in the defensive midfielder position.

Denkey became the most expensive acquisition in MLS history when FC Cincinnati signed him for about $16 million (until Emmanuel Latte Lath was signed by Atlanta United for $22 million) and he is a proven number 9 who has already scored 11 goals in 18 games. After trying various players, such as Corey Baird (still with the team), Kelsy, and Boupenza, we feel Cincinnati finally landed a goal scorer that can not only fill the striker role but can also hold the ball, attract defenders, and even help create goal-scoring opportunities.

Are there any areas where you think the team can improve? Would those improvements come from tactical shifts or doing some business in the summer transfer window?

JG: Absolutely! In a 3-4-1-2 formation, we believe both left and right wingbacks could use an upgrade. While defensively both sides are good, FCC either lacks consistency on the left defensively or attacking depth on the right. Lucas Engel as a left wingback has shown moments of brilliance on the attack and solid defensive play. But he has been inconsistent. It’s important to note that at the moment he is playing as a left center back because of the absences of Miles Robinson (USMNT call-up) and Hagglund (recovering from surgery). DeAndre Yedlin on the right is very strong defensively, although at times he may be slow getting back on opposition breakaways, and the ability to create scoring opportunities in the final third is not his strong suit. In the midfield, while Pavel Bucha has been a very pleasant surprise this year with his overall performance, FCC still needs depth that can either provide backup for rotational or chance-creation purposes.

The other possibility is shifting to a back four, which would leverage the back line bench strength once Robinson returns from Gold Cup USMNT responsibilities and Hagglund is back from his injury against Philadelphia on May 25 of this year. However, we believe Noonan will continue using a three-back lineup with two wingbacks, which brings us back to the areas the team needs to strengthen.

Are any players unavailable due to injury, suspension, call-ups, etc.? What is your projected starting XI and score prediction?

JG: As of today, we know FCC won’t have Robinson, who is on USMNT duty at the Gold Cup, Hagglund due the injury already mentioned, and we don’t know the status of Sergio Santos, who was unavailable for Wednesday’s game against Montreal. In addition, star defensive midfielder Obi Nwobodo was subbed out in the second half due to an injury during the game. We don’t know his status yet.

Assuming neither Santos nor Nwobodo can start, and with the absences of Robinson and Hagglund, the probable lineup can be:

Roman Celentano; Lucas Engel, Matt Miazga, Gilberto Flores; Luca Orellano, Brian Anunga (or Yuya Kubo), Pavel Bucha, DeAndre Yedlin; Evander; Kevin Denkey, Kai Kamara (or Kubo).

It’s a challenge to predict a score with FCC at the moment, since it has been inconsistent. However, I believe FCC will lose this game 2-1 because of Orlando’s attacking prowess, coupled with FCC’s improvised back line.


Thank you to Jose for his excellent primer on FC Cincinnati. Vamos Orlando!

Lion Links

Lion Links: 7/13/26

Pride and OCB win, Maxime Crepeau to compete in MLS All-Star Skills Challenge, Latest MLS transfer roundup, and more.

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Image of Marta blasting a goal from long range against Kansas City.
Image courtesy of Orlando Pride / Mark Thor

Hello, Mane Landers! I hope all is well with you down in Florida. I’ve been very busy at work, but I look forward to watching the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals and final this week. We’ve got plenty to cover today, so let’s get to the links.

Pride Shut Out Kansas City Current at Home

The Orlando Pride defeated the Kansas City Current 3-0 at Inter&Co Stadium Friday night, bouncing back from a tough outing at Angel City the previous week. After a scoreless first half, Marta scored the opener from long distance to give Orlando the lead. Hannah Anderson and Barbra Banda added a goal apiece as the Pride have won three out of their last four league matches. Goalkeeper Anna Moorhouse earned a clean sheet in her 100th appearance for the club. Orlando remains eighth in the NWSL table with 20 points. The Pride will be back in action at home Wednesday, taking on Boston Legacy at Inter&Co Stadium.

OCB Wins at FC Cincinnati 2

Orlando City B beat FC Cincinnati 2 by a 2-1 scoreline at NKU Soccer Stadium in Highland Heights, KY on Sunday. Issah Haruna’s goal gave the Young Lions the lead in the first half. In the second half, Cincinnati leveled the match, but Matthew Belgodere scored the winner on the road. That result pulls the Young Lions into third in the MLS NEXT Pro Eastern Conference standings with 33 points, just one point off leaders Chattanooga FC. OCB will be away for another road test Saturday against Chattanooga FC at Finley Stadium.

Orlando City Reportedly Submits Transfer Offer for Alex Moreno

Orlando City has reportedly submitted a transfer offer to sign Girona defender Alex Moreno. No agreement has been reached between the two sides, and conversations remain ongoing, according to reports. Moreno made 31 appearances for Girona last season in La Liga and recorded three assists. The 33-year-old left back remains under contract with Girona through 2027, but the club was relegated from La Liga to La Liga 2 last season. Several European clubs have also expressed interest in signing Moreno, including La Liga sides Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano.

Crepeau to Compete in MLS All-Star Skills Challenge

Orlando City goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau will compete in the 2026 MLS All-Star Skills Challenge at Truist Field in Charlotte on July 28, the club announced Friday. The competition will feature top players from Major League Soccer and Liga MX competing to test their soccer skills on the pitch. Five skills challenge competitions are featured, including the All-Star Goalie Wars, All-Star Crossbar Challenge, and the MLS vs. Liga MX Relay Challenge. Each competition will crown its own champion this year, switching from the traditional MLS-versus-opponent format used in previous years.

Latest MLS Transfer Roundup

According to Tom Bogert of The Athletic, Sporting Kansas City has emerged as a potential option to sign former Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah.

🚨🇪🇬 Sources: Sporting KC has emerged as top MLS suitor for Liverpool legend Mo Salah.Still a longshot of course, as sources believe he prefers Europe + Saudi very interested, but SKC the top MLS option now.More here with @paultenorio.bsky.social: www.nytimes.com/athletic/743…

Tom Bogert (@tombogert.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T19:35:14.046Z

D.C. United has reportedly acquired forward Nathan Ordaz from LAFC.

🇸🇻 BREAKING: D.C. United to acquire El Salvador international forward Nathan Ordaz from LAFC, per sources.Ordaz, 22, is a product of LAFC's academy. Made 98 first team apps. 9g/4a in 2,163 mins over last two years.Gets chance to earn more mins at D.C.

Tom Bogert (@tombogert.bsky.social) 2026-07-12T13:55:49.973Z

Meanwhile, the Seattle Sounders have reportedly traded defender Cody Baker to the New England Revolution.

Free Kicks

  • Former Lion Silvester van der Water has signed with Cambodian Premier League side Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng FC.
  • Ted Lasso actor Cristo Fernandez, who plays Dani Rojas in the show, made his professional debut for USL Championship side El Paso Locomotive over the weekend.

That will do it for me today, Mane Landers. Enjoy your Monday, and I’ll see you next time.

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Orlando City Trades Duncan McGuire to Houston Dynamo

The Lions send the 2023 first-round pick to Houston for a pile of Garberbucks.

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Image of Duncan McGuire playing the ball against New York City FC.
Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando no longer runs on Duncan as Orlando City has traded 2023 first-round draft pick Duncan McGuire to the Houston Dynamo. The big striker with the even bigger smile and the back flips joins the Dynamo, with the Lions receiving $600,000 in 2026 General Allocation Money (GAM), $400,000 in 2027 GAM, and $250,000 in 2027-2028 GAM. The return could also include up to $1.15 million in GAM add-ons if certain performance metrics are met. OCSC will retain a percentage of any sell-on by Houston.

It became clear that something was up with McGuire, as he did not dress for Orlando City’s friendly against Tampa Bay on Wednesday.

“Duncan has meant a great deal to this club since the day he arrived in Orlando,” Orlando City General Manager and Sporting Director Ricardo Moreira said in a club press release. “His resilience, determination, and willingness to fight through challenges both on and off the field have earned the respect of everyone throughout our organization. He has played a major role in our success over the last several years, and when the opportunity arose, we wanted to ensure it was a move that made sense for both Duncan and the club. We’re grateful for everything he has given to Orlando City and wish him and his family nothing but success in this next chapter.”

The Lions selected McGuire out of Creighton with the No. 6 overall selection in the first round of the 2023 MLS SuperDraft. Although he was not a Generation Adidas player, the striker had signed a pre-draft contract with the league, meaning Orlando City didn’t need to spend time agreeing to a contract. The 6-foot-1 forward quickly became a starter for the Lions during his rookie year, and put together back-to-back, double-digit goal-scoring seasons in his first two professional seasons. Now in his fourth pro year, McGuire has appeared in 85 MLS matches (45 starts) for the Lions, scoring 29 goals and adding eight assists. In all competitions, McGuire has contributed 32 goals and nine assists in 109 appearances (55 starts).

Once one of the most promising up-and-coming American strikers in any league after his 24 goals across his first two MLS campaign, Mcguire underwent surgery on both shoulders in separate procedures after the 2024 MLS Cup playoffs, which have restricted his availability, affected his form, and have limited him to just five goals and three assists in his last 29 matches. He has sat behind various other strikers starting in his place the last couple of seasons, including Ramiro Enrique, Luis Muriel, and Justin Ellis.

After his breakout rookie campaign, in which the Omaha, NE native scored 14 goals, he was courted by several teams in Europe. He signed with Blackburn Rovers in 2024, only to see the transfer rejected by the English Football League due to an administrative error by the EFL Championship club. Upon his return, the Creighton product signed his most recent contract on Aug. 22, 2024, locking him down through 2027 with a club option for 2028. That deal now belongs to the Dynamo.

McGuire’s hot start to his professional career had him climbing the U.S. Men’s National Team player pool. Gregg Berhalter called him up to the USMNT for the first time in January 2024 ahead of the team’s friendly against Slovenia. The striker made his first USMNT appearance in that match, coming off the bench to replace Brian White on Jan. 20, 2024, in a 1-0 loss. That is his only cap to date, although he had previously appeared nine times and scored one goal for the U.S. U-23 side.

The 2022 Hermann Trophy winner spent three seasons at Creighton, where he appeared in 24 games (23 starts) in his final (junior) season, logging 1,591 college minutes. McGuire scored 23 goals and added three assists in 2022.

What It Means for Orlando City

It makes sense to deal a striker making a base salary of $600,000 ($921,000 in total guaranteed compensation) if he can’t crack the starting lineup. While some of that comes down to coaching decisions and other players emerging, it didn’t help McGuire that he struggled to regain the consistent form he showed in his first two years in Orlando. In the end, this is a bit of a blow financially to the club, as the initial agreement with Blackburn was for a reported $4 million. He now departs for considerably less money, but his value understandably dropped with his production and the two shoulder surgeries.

McGuire is still just 25 years old, and sitting out after two surgeries means he has fewer miles on his legs than many players his age. He could still regain the form that saw him score 14 times in 2023 and 10 more times in 2024 and had the USMNT and European clubs paying attention. Orlando City will hope that he returns to form, because that will influence how much GAM the club eventually receives for this transaction.

A fan favorite since his arrival, McGuire will be missed, and while the Lions could perhaps have benefitted from getting a player back in return to bolster an area of need, the influx of GAM can help accomplish the same goal.

McGuire’s departure appears to solidify Justin Ellis’ position on the first team, although his play in the first half of the season likely already did that. It may also open up more minutes for Tiago. But the trade also tells us that unless a new striker is brought in, the Lions will play without a traditional target striker for the time being, allowing players who have typically either played as wingers, attacking midfielders, or false nines to have the freedom to fluidly change positions and force defenders out of their comfort zones when it comes to coverage. Martin Ojeda, Antoine Griezmann, Ellis, Ivan Angulo, Marco Pasalic, and the team’s fullbacks will be harder to keep tabs on under such a system.

Whether it will work or if it will further stress the team’s shoddy transition defense (or both) remains to be seen.

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Flashback Friday: July 10, 2022 vs. Inter Miami

Let’s rewind to a match against the Herons that featured the unlikeliest of heroes.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

With both the United States Men’s National Team and Colombia suffering World Cup exits that were both agonizing in their own right, this summer’s tournament has lost a little luster for me. Don’t get it twisted, I’m still looking forward to the rest of the games, but I’d be lying if I said it wasn’t going to be a little bittersweet.

Fortunately, Orlando City will be back in action before we know it, and in the meantime we can continue our practice of looking back on Lions matches from years gone by. Last week we relived a 4-0 win over Toronto FC from July 4, 2023. This week we go a little farther into the past to July 10, 2022, and a visit from Inter Miami.

Going into the match with the Herons, OCSC was badly in need of a result. The Lions were in the midst of a summer slump and had won just one of eight matches since squeaking by Toronto FC 1-0 back on May 14. To try to turn things around, Oscar Pareja sent out a lineup of Pedro Gallese in goal; a back line of Kyle Smith, Robin Jansson, Rodrigo Schlegel, and Ruan; Junior Urso and Cesar Araujo in the double pivot; Benji Michel, Mauricio Pereyra, and Facundo Torres in attacking midfield; and Ercan Kara up top.

Orlando’s effort to try to pick up a win had to wait a little longer than originally planned, as kickoff was postponed by close to two and a half hours due to lightning in the area. Once the game eventually started, both Orlando City’s fans and players probably wished it had been delayed a little longer. The Lions came out of the starting blocks slow and were guilty of a number of bad passes and miscommunication that made it difficult to get going offensively.

The bad start nearly cost the home side early, as Pereyra played a bad back pass in the seventh minute that was snagged by Indiana Vasilev, who promptly broke toward goal. Fortunately, his shot smashed into Gallese’s face and went wide of the net to spare Mauricio’s blushes. Speaking of the Uruguayan, Miami seemed to have keyed on him as a player to stop at all costs, because whenever the Lions started to get a rhythm in the final third, the Herons promptly fouled him to break up the flow of things.

It took half an hour for the first decent chances to finally surface for Orlando City. When those opportunities arrived, it was in the form of Urso taking a pop from outside the box that got blocked on the way through, and Michel nearly getting on the end of a training ground corner kick routine, only to be let down by a bad first touch.

That was mostly everything of note in a largely quiet first half. Miami had the more dangerous chances, but there wasn’t much to separate the teams in the end. Miami had a slim lead in possession (50.6%-49.4%), and also had more shots (6-3), shots on target (1-0), and corners (3-2). Orlando City was a shade more accurate in its passing (84.5%-83.6%).

Once the second half started, Miami very nearly got an early goal once again, but Robert Taylor didn’t get good contact on a header attempt and the ball went out harmlessly for a goal kick. Vassilev had a much more dangerous effort in the 49th minute, but he put his shot over the bar and wasted a nice passage of play from the visitors.

Orlando carved out an excellent chance of its own nine minutes later. Ruan played a clever cutback for Michel, but like Taylor, he didn’t get good contact on his shot and sent it tamely right to goalkeeper Drake Callender. Torres and Urso sent shots wide and high shortly afterward, before Miami really should have scored from a 72nd-minute corner kick. Aime Mabika found himself all alone in front of goal after the initial ball was played short, but he put his header wide right.

Tesho Akindele was one of the substitutes brought on, and he flashed his fresh legs by getting on a couple of chances as the game wound towards the 90th minute. Unfortunately, he wasn’t able to convert either one, and things looked sure to end in a scoreless draw. Enter an extremely unlikely hero: Jake Mulraney.

In the second of four minutes of stoppage time, the winger sent a hopeful cross into the box with just two men in purple to aim for. The ball had relatively little chance of reaching Akindele, who was bracketed by two defenders, but Damion Lowe tried to clear it and instead sliced it off the underside of the crossbar and into the Miami net making it 1-0 to the good guys.

Unsurprisingly, given the state of the game up to that point, neither team managed to muster any real chances after that, and Orlando narrowly came away with three much-needed points.

OCSC ended the game with more possession (54.7%-45.3%) and better passing accuracy (96.6%-82.9%), while Miami took more shots (10-8) and won more corners (6-2). Both sides put just one shot on target, making the final score somewhat unsurprising.

Marcus Mitchell was at the helm for Player Grades in this game, and he gave the outstanding Cesar Araujo the Man of the Match award, with a grade of 7.5 out of 10. The midfielder racked up eight tackles, drew nine fouls, and played a key pass while snuffing out a lot of Miami’s danger before it could truly develop.

Those three points didn’t exactly galvanize the Lions in the short term, as they won just one of their next six games in all competitions, not counting a friendly loss to Arsenal. Fortunately, better times lay ahead in the U.S. Open Cup.


That’ll do it for this week’s edition of Flashback Friday. We’ve only got one more of these before Orlando City returns to action on July 22, so enjoy the reminiscing while you can. Vamos Orlando!

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