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2023 Orlando City Season in Review: Antonio Carlos

The starting center back missed a good chunk of the season due to injury but was his normal self when available.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City signed Brazilian center back Antonio Carlos on a one-year loan from Palmeiras in Brazil’s Serie A on Dec. 30, 2019. Carlos became an instant starter on Orlando’s back line and the Lions made his acquisition permanent on Dec. 1, 2020, inking him to a three-year contract through 2023 with an option year for 2024. The Brazilian has been a standout defender during his time in Orlando, which is seemingly about to come to a close this off-season (more on that below), although he has missed some time due to injuries.

Let’s take a look back at his 2023 season.

Statistical Breakdown

The Rio de Janeiro native appeared in 18 regular-season matches in 2023 (16 starts), logging 1,410 minutes — his lowest totals of games, starts, and minutes in his four seasons with the Lions. He scored one goal and added a career-high two assists, attempting 12 shots and putting a career-high six on target. His passing rate was a solid 86.7%, just a few tenths of a percentage point behind his last two seasons. Despite having two assists, Carlos was somehow not credited with any key passes on the season. Defensively, AC chipped in nine tackles, 16 interceptions, 71 clearances, and 13 blocks. He committed 19 fouls on the season, drew 11 fouls from his opposition, and was booked six times but was never sent off.

Carlos appeared in all three of Orlando City’s postseason matches but did not start any of them, logging just 59 total minutes. He did not score or assist on a postseason goal, attempting two shots but neither was on target. His passing rate was just 72.7% in those matches, and he had no key passes, but his goal in two of those games was simply to get rid of the ball to make Nashville reset and try to break Orlando City down to find an equalizer. Defensively, Carlos tallied two interceptions and two clearances. He did not commit a foul, suffered three, and was not booked in the playoffs.

As Carlos was injured coming out of preseason, he did not feature in Orlando City’s two Concacaf Champions League matches against Tigres back in March. He also did not appear in the Lions’ U.S. Open Cup game at Charlotte on May 9.

Carlos started all three of Orlando’s Leagues Cup matches, logging all 270 available minutes. He did not score a goal but assisted on Mauricio Pereyra’s 46th-minute strike against Santos Laguna on July 29. He also scored on his penalty attempt in the shootout after the draw against the Houston Dynamo on July 21, helping the Lions claim the upper hand in the group. He attempted one shot in the competition, but it was off target. He recorded three key passes and chipped in three tackles. He committed one foul and suffered four, but the one “foul” he was called for was a costly one, as it was one of the softer penalties that we’ve seen given since the Lions made the jump to MLS in 2015, handing Inter Miami a spot kick to go up 2-1 early in the second half on July 21. To add insult to injury, he was booked for a “hard foul” on the play.

Best Game

It’s an easy decision, because it was the game in which he scored his only goal of the season, but I’m going with Orlando City’s 2-1 road win over Atlanta United on July 15 because of his two-way play in that match. Caleb Wiley opened the scoring for the hosts in the 22nd minute, but Carlos pulled his team level just three minutes later, matching his jersey number with a goal in the 25th minute. Pereyra sent in a great ball on a free kick and Carlos absolutely smashed it home with his head to tie the score at 1-1.

Carlos wasn’t done helping his team win that match. He contributed an interception, six clearances, and two blocked shots on the defensive end, passed at a 91% clip during his 90 minutes, scored on his only shot, and picked up a yellow card. He and his teammates helped the Lions hold down the fort and Duncan McGuire scored the game winner to lift the Lions to a victory at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. For his efforts, The Mane Land staff named him our Man of the Match.

2023 Final Grade

The Mane Land staff awarded Carlos a solid composite rating of 7 out of 10 for his overall 2023 performance. This is slightly below his 2020 grade of 7.5, a full point below his best season grade of 8 in 2021, and on par with his 7 out of 10 last year. Carlos was solid, but his injuries early and later in the season perhaps kept him from peaking or finding a consistently high level that we’ve seen at times during his MLS career, when he’s been on the cusp of being a Best XI-type defender. There’s no doubt that when healthy and in rhythm, he’s the club’s best center back, but those two things have been issues over his last two years in Orlando.

2024 Outlook

Although the club holds an option year for 2024 on Carlos’ contract, and indeed has exercised that option, Orlando City has already announced in its year-end roster status update that it is in negotiations for a potential transfer of the center back. Reports surfaced in the second half of the season about Brazilian side Fluminense making a play for his services and perhaps Carlos would like to return home at this stage of his career (he’ll turn 31 in March), especially after sustaining some injuries in recent years. Carlos plays hard, and that can take a toll on the body, especially beyond age 30 in a physical position like the one he plays. I expect a transfer to be completed soon, but it’s fair to say he’s one of the best, if not the very best, central defenders to wear purple in the club’s MLS era. He will be missed when he goes, whether that’s this winter or later, if a deal can’t be finalized.


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Lion Links: 3/28/25

Orlando Pride prepare for the San Diego Wave, NWSL weekend matches, USMNT roster predictions, and more.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

We made it to Friday! Celebrate however you see fit, whether that’s an indulgent breakfast or just your favorite cup of coffee. This week has flown by a bit for me and I’m looking forward to a weekend filled with soccer. I’ll be spending the next few days working, reading a new book or two, and working out the kinks of making a frozen coconut mojito. My blender hates me. Let’s get to today’s links!

Orlando Pride Prepare for the San Diego Wave

The Orlando Pride will look to extend their 2025 win streak to three games — and their overall win streak to seven — on Saturday when they host the San Diego Wave at noon. Orlando has looked the part of a defending champion so far, leading the league with eight goals without conceding a single one in two games. The Pride will take on a revamped San Diego team that is unbeaten under Head Coach Jonas Eidevall. Pride Head Coach Seb Hines spoke about how Orlando will need to set the tone early on at home against the Wave and keep up the momentum.

NWSL Provides Entertaining Slate of Weekend Matches

While it’s far too early to think about the NWSL Shield race, it never hurts to check out how the Pride’s competitors are doing while enjoying some great soccer. Tonight features a pair of matches at the same time, with the Washington Spirit hosting Bay FC and the Houston Dash playing on the road against NJ/NY Gotham FC. Kansas City Current forward Temwa Chawinga will have a chance to tie her own record of scoring in eight straight games when her team plays the Utah Royals on Saturday. On Sunday, we’ll get to see if the Seattle Reign’s solid start continues against an unbeaten Angel City FC team searching for its first win of the season.

USMNT Roster Predictions for Concacaf Gold Cup

The pressure is on United States Men’s National Team Head Coach Mauricio Pochettino to turn things around after a rough showing in the final four of the Concacaf Nations League. This summer’s Concacaf Gold Cup will be an opportunity for the USMNT to impress in preparation for the 2026 World Cup, and Pro Soccer Wire dove into how the roster could look for the tournament. Injuries to Ricardo Pepi and Folarin Balogun complicate things up top, but we could see Brenden Aaronson or Alex Zendejas could return to the attack. The Gold Cup will likely also determine which goalkeeper between Matt Turner, Zack Steffen, and Patrick Schulte emerges as the true starter. Players like Sergino Dest, Malik Tillman, and Johnny Cardoso are other notable names to keep an eye out for leading into the tournament.

FA Cup Quarterfinals Kick Off This Weekend

Only eight teams remain in the FA Cup and the action returns with enticing quarterfinal matchups. Preston North End is the only team outside of the English Premier League still fighting, but Manchester City is the only traditional giant left in the field as well. City will face off against a Bournemouth side that beat it 2-1 back in November, while Preston will have to get past Aston Villa, which has only won two of its last eight games. Nottingham Forest forward Chris Wood’s injury adds an obstacle to overcome when the team travels to play Brighton and Hove Albion. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace gets star striker Jean-Philippe Mateta back from injury for its clash with Fulham.

Free Kicks


That’s all I have for you for today’s links. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend. Go Orlando!

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Orlando City’s Offense Looks Different With Marco Pašalić on the Right

How Orlando City’s offensive style changed from the end of 2024 to 2025 and how the Croatian contributes differently than Facundo Torres did.

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

As I often like to do, I will start this article on Orlando City by writing about…baseball. America’s pastime — or at least it was for most of the 20th century — is celebrating opening day for the 2025 season this week, but that is not why I mention baseball. Rather, when I think about baseball I often think about baseball movies, and that brings me to one of the seminal sports films of all time, The Sandlot.

There are many great characters and moments in this movie, but a fan favorite was Michael “Squints” Palledorous. If you have not seen The Sandlot, you should, because that movie is fun and fun is good, but the reason I brought Squints up is because…wait for it…if you squint really hard when looking at Orlando City’s newest Designated Player, Marco Pašalić, then you can see Orlando City’s former Designated Player, and all-time leading scorer, Facundo Torres.

I say you have to squint really hard because aside from being similarly aged (Torres is 154 days older than Pašalić), left-foot-dominant players who play on the right side of the field, the styles of play for both players are quite different, as is how Orlando City has played in 2025 with Pašalić vs. toward the end of 2024 with Torres.

Let’s start with Orlando’s style of play in 2025 vs. the end of 2024, and we will look at the two individual players after that. I am choosing the final games of last season, because those are the most recent games played by the team, and as was frequently discussed in the run-up to this season, Orlando City brought back many of its key players from last season and has much of the same coaching staff as well. If you look at the statistics though, the team is playing differently this season as compared to 2024.

I’ve broken this out into three sections: the first five games of the 2025 regular season, the five 2024 playoff games, and the final five 2024 regular-season games. Playoff games are played differently than regular-season games, so I did not want to just compare the most recent five games of 2024 to the first five of 2025. This data is sourced from fbref.com, tracked by coders from Opta (all data is on a per-game basis):

Category2025 Reg. Season
(First 5 Games)
2024 Playoffs
(5 games)
2024 Reg. Season
(Last 5 Games)
Possession46%56%52%
Passes Attempted473538536
Touches in Attacking Third142195183
Shots16.012.413.4
Expected Goals2.01.31.9
Attacks Down Right Side37%31%28%

We will get back to the attacks down the right side more specifically when we look at Pašalić and Torres, but look at the major differences in all of these numbers. This year’s team, at least through the first few games, is playing a different style of soccer than the 2024 team played at the end of the season. They are possessing the ball less throughout the game but also in particular while in the attacking third of the field. This comes from rapid counterattacks and excellent transition offense as well as a more direct approach to creating shots.

We can see this more direct approach by looking at the reduction in touches per game in the attacking third of the field juxtaposed against an increase of more than 20% in shots per game, meaning that the ratio of touches per shot in the attacking third has decreased dramatically from last year to this year. During the final five regular-season games, the Lions were averaging 13.7 touches per shot, and thus far in 2025 that number is 8.9.

In this context, a touch is counted not as every individual dribble or pass but rather as a count of each person who possesses the ball in the attacking third of the field. So, a pass from player A to player B, who then takes four dribbles and passes to player C is three touches, even though player B dribbled the ball four times.

The upshot of the reduction of touches per shot is that Orlando City is getting to its shots in a reduced number of possessors of the ball, meaning that there has been lower risk of a bad exchange since there have been fewer exchanges. This year’s team is generating shots from more dangerous locations (using expected goals) as well, and the Lions’ 13 goals scored in the first five games leads the league at this point of the season.

Looking at the final row in that table, there is also a big difference in the location of where the Lions are emanating their attacks from. The team is more frequently launching attacks down the right side, and that is where the comparison of Torres and Pašalić starts to come into play. It must also be noted that the primary right back in 2024 was Dagur Dan Thórhallsson, whereas in 2025 it has been future USMNT starter Alex Freeman (I crossed it out, but I do believe that Freeman is a serious candidate to play on the national team), and it is likely not coincidental that there have been more attacks down the right side with the direct playing style of the Pašalić-Freeman combination.

Torres also always made a point to play all across the attacking zone, often switching sides with Iván Angulo, whereas that has not been the case this season with Pašalić. I pulled the heatmaps (thank you very much, whoscored.com) for Pašalić and Torres from the same five-game periods from the table above, and you can see that in Torres’s heatmaps the blue shading goes all over the field, whereas for Pašalić he stays mostly to the right side (Orlando City is attacking from left to right on all of the heatmaps below).

These heatmaps and the following stats show some stark differences between the Croatian Designated Player and the Uruguayan former Designated Player in terms of how they play/played for Orlando City (all data is on a per-game basis):


Category
Pašalić:
2025 Regular Season
Torres:
Playoffs
Torres:
Last 5 games of
2024 Regular Season
Touches37.861.050.8
Take-Ons4.82.81.2
Passes Attempted23.252.043.4
Shots3.02.41.6
Shot-Creating Actions3.23.82.4
Progressive Passes Received5.69.88.0

Across nearly every metric there are big differences between the players, but in particular the ones that stand out to me are how much of the offense flowed through Torres last season and how the Lions looked for him to initiate as compared to how Pašalić appears to get his offense in the flow of play — at least through the first five games of this season. Pašalić also attacks more off the dribble than Torres did, as shown by his much higher rate of take-ons per game, and he is able to get shots off at a higher rate as well.

That leads me to the last comparison, which is not shown in the table above, but is the most critical category for any offensive player — goals scored. Orlando City has not yet played 15% of its 2025 MLS regular-season games, but Pašalić has scored four goals and assisted on another. With so many games still to play, we can extrapolate the numbers to see a pace of 27 goals scored and seven assists, but we can also consider that defenses will adjust over a long season and it is unlikely that the pace will remain the same for the next seven months.

Torres, sadly, is not on pace to score any more goals for the Lions, but he did score 37 MLS regular-season goals during his three seasons, including two seasons of 14 goals each, and he added 20 assists as well. His numbers are real, not theoretical or extrapolated, and while it is incredibly exciting to think about Orlando City’s offense and what it could be and what Pašalić could achieve, we are still only five games into the new season, so let’s keep our excitement from boiling over for at least another week.

Pašalić still has a way to go to show that he can consistently create goals the way that Torres did, but if you squint real hard, you can see that the potential is there for him to do so or perhaps even surpass his predecessor out on the right wing. He is playing with a different offensive style but going after the same result.

We will see.

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Orlando City vs. LA Galaxy: Three Keys to Victory

What do the Lions need to do to secure their first road win of the season?

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Image courtesy of Orlando City SC / Mark Thor

Orlando City heads to the other coast to take on the defending MLS champions LA Galaxy Saturday. The Lions are coming off a dominating 4-1 victory over D.C. United at Inter&Co Stadium. Orlando City looks capable of beating any team with the way the offense is humming, but road wins are tough to come by in MLS. Here’s what Orlando City needs to do to earn all three points against the LA Galaxy.

Keep the Good Times Rolling

Orlando City leads MLS in scoring with 13 goals so far this season. Just as importantly, the Lions’ three Designated Players — Martin Ojeda, Luis Muriel, and Marco Pasalic — have accounted for nine of those goals. Additionally, the trio has provided seven of the 16 total assists this season. I’m no math guy, but 20 goal contributions from the players that are supposed to be doing just that is good stuff.

The Galaxy have shipped 10 goals so far this season. The champs are vulnerable and the Lions are on a goal-scoring hot streak. If the Lions can get the first goal of the match early, they will better be able to dictate the terms to the home team. As such, the Orlando City offense, led by the Designated Players, needs to keep things going against the Galaxy. I expect it will take multiple goals to secure a win.

Get Gritty

Cesar Araujo made his return against D.C. United and it was the first time Orlando City didn’t give up multiple goals this season. I want to see him be the enforcer he usually is against the likes of Edwin Cerrillo and Christian Ramirez. However, I also want to see Eduard Atuesta show a bit more grittiness in the defense as well. You can’t push the ball forward if you don’t take it away from the opposition.

Pedro Gallese will be back for this match, and he will rightly get the start. I’m not taking anything away from Javier Otero’s first start, but sometimes defenses take on more responsibility when you have a younger, less experienced keeper in goal. That shouldn’t mean Araujo or the back line can take it easy. We’ve seen what happens when this defense loses focus and it isn’t good. Show me the grit.

The Intangibles

Traveling all the way across the country to play is never an easy proposition. Away matches in MLS are always difficult because your routine is a bit messed up. You don’t get to sleep in your own bed, the climate is different, and in L.A. you’re kicking off when you are usually going to bed. The Lions need to overcome all of those elements to maximize their chances.

Of course, not all the intangibles are against the Lions. The Galaxy have struggled to start the season, and a team can press too much when looking for a win in front of the home fans. Additionally, the Galaxy are playing in Concacaf Champions Cup, with their next match three days later on Tuesday night against Tigres UANL. Hopefully they’ll be keeping an eye on minutes played for their starters in anticipation of the Champions Cup match.


That is what I will be looking for Saturday night. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Vamos Orlando!

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