Orlando City
Orlando City’s Offense Has Been Shooting Like Stars During MLS Play
An analysis of Orlando City’s top tier shooting performance thus far during MLS games
One of the perils of writing about a team playing in multiple competitions is that this article, which is focused on Orlando City’s performance in MLS play, may look silly when it comes out as the most recent game played will be Wednesday evening’s Leagues Cup game against Liga MX opponent Toluca. As I do not own a sports almanac from the future, à la Biff Tannen in Back to the Future Part II, I do not know how the game will turn out as of this writing, but just know that the trends and data points in this article are all solely based on Orlando City’s MLS games, and do not take into account the U.S Open Cup or Leagues Cup performances.
Enough with the disclaimer, let’s get going.
You may have read that last week Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas made an unsolicited $34.5 billion dollar bid to buy Google’s Chrome browser. While being interviewed by the New York Times as to why he made that bid, he paraphrased one of the most famous quotes in sports, saying, “You lose 100% of the shots you don’t take,” which is similar to the quote originally stated by hockey legend Wayne Gretzky: “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.”
As you expected when clicking on this article, quotes from a Silicon Valley CEO and NHL legend.
Orlando City has taken this motto to heart thus far this season, as a quick glance at the MLS leaderboards shows the following (all data from Opta’s tracking and found on fbref.com; goals, shots, and shots on target are per 90 minutes):
| Metric | Orlando City | MLS Rank | MLS Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 | 2 | 1.42 |
| Shots | 15.85 | 1 | 12.42 |
| Shots on Target (SoT) | 5.44 | 1 | 4.29 |
| Goal Conversion per SoT | 34.0% | 6 | 30.0% |
Much like in golf, low numbers in the MLS Rank column are better, and the Orlando City offense is clearly taking its Orlando Health sponsorship to heart and playing like Arnold Palmer. For those who do not live in Orlando, that’s a reference to Arnold Palmer Hospital in the Orlando Health hospital system. When you have to explain the reference, that might be a sign that you need a mulligan. Let’s move on.
The Lions are one of only nine teams in the league performing better than the MLS average in both shots per 90 minutes and goal conversion per shots on target, and considering they lead the league in shots on target per 90 minutes, it is no surprise that they are tied for the lead in overall goals scored, with 53, and are second in the league in goals per 90 minutes, trailing only some team that wears pink but that also knows that Florida is purple.
The scatterplot below shows the locations of every team for its shots per 90 minutes (x-axis) and goal conversion rate (y-axis), and Orlando City is comfortably in the green quadrant (above average on both metrics) and is the closest team to the ideal location, which would be the upper right corner, indicating a team taking a high number of shots and converting a high percentage of its shots on target into goals.

Orlando City’s offensive prowess has been driven by a few players, and to demonstrate this we are going to harken back all the way to what I wrote about last week — the metric called goals added, or g+.
I mentioned in that article that a field player’s total g+ came from the aggregation of their performance in six different categories, with one of those six being shooting. Taking shots from dangerous locations, striking them well, and putting them on target are the sub-components of the shooting portion of g+, and Orlando City has several players who have been elite this season, as can be seen in the chart below (all data from americansocceranalysis.com):
| Player | Position | MLS Rank | Position Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Pašalić | W | 7 | 2 |
| Martín Ojeda | AM | 14 | 3 |
| Luis Muriel | ST | 33 | 22 |
| Ramiro Enrique | ST | 70 | 35 |
| Alex Freeman | FB | 74 | 2 |
Orlando City has five players in the top 75 in the shooting component of g+, and as a reminder, with 30 teams in the league, the expected number for each team would be to have 2.5 players in the top 75. The Lions have twice that. They and Charlotte are the only teams with five players in the top 75, and they and Chicago are the only teams with three players in the top 33.
As a quick aside, I enjoy how the sites I use the most for data — fbref.com and americansocceranalysis.com — both list out Orlando City’s right back as Alexander Freeman instead of Alex Freeman. It makes sense, as he is great.
In last week’s article I also expressed my surprise that Ojeda was not in the top 10 in g+. One game later he took care of that and he now ranks ninth overall and is nipping at the gils heels of Carles Gil in eighth.
The Lions have those five players in the top 75, and if you look at every team’s combined goals added by shooting, they rank first overall, 30% better than the league average . The three Designated Players lead the way, but it takes a team effort to rank first overall. You will likely not be surprised to learn that Lionel Messi ranks first in goals added by shooting, but even with him as the league leader, the Herons rank 12th as a team — just slightly about the league average.
Orlando City’s defense has not been bad this season, but it’s been the offense that has driven the team’s recent success, and with one of the league’s most difficult remaining schedules, the Lions will need the offense to remain prolific to finish strong in the regular season, as Óscar Pareja teams usually do, and make a deep run in the playoffs.
To paraphrase another great quote about shooting, from one Marshall Mathers (better known as Eminem), they have one shot to seize everything they ever wanted this season. Will they capture it or just let it slip?
I believe they are going to capture it. I am calling their shot.
Vamos Orlando!
Orlando City
Orlando City vs. San Diego FC: Preview, How to Watch, TV Info, Live Stream, Lineups, Match Thread, and More
The Lions welcome San Diego FC to Orlando for the first meeting ever between the two clubs.
Welcome to your match preview and live thread for a Saturday night matchup between Orlando City (7-11-4, 25 points) and San Diego FC (8-8-6, 30 points) at Inter.co Stadium in Orlando (7:30 p.m., Apple TV). It’s the first-ever meeting between these two teams from different conferences
Here’s what you need to know ahead of the match.
History
As mentioned above, tonight’s meeting between the Lions and San Diego is the first in the series history, so there is no history. The Lions are 2-2-1 against Western Conference teams this season, which means little to nothing in this particular match, and San Diego is going to be Orlando City’s final opponent from the opposite conference in MLS regular-season play this season.
Overview
The Lions are coming off a wild 3-3 road draw at Minnesota United a week ago, in which Daryl Dike and Antoine Griezmann scored on either side of halftime on Orlando’s first two shot attempts to put their team up 2-0 in the 64th minute. Minnesota stormed back with three goals off defensive errors in a four-minute span to take a late 3-2 lead. Just when the Loons appeared to be headed for all three points, Tyrese Spicer scored in stoppage time, forcing Minnesota to split the points. Orlando has a modest 1-0-1 unbeaten streak entering tonight, and the Lions are 5-4-2 at home in 2026.
San Diego is coming off a 3-1 home win over the LA Galaxy despite having Jeppe Tverskov sent off. Tonight’s visitors have won two straight games, but both were at home. They lost their last home game 3-1 at Portland on Aug. 19 and are 2-5-3 away from home this season.
The key for Orlando City tonight will be to mark Anders Dreyer, which is far easier said than done, as he has emerged as one of the league’s best playmakers. His eight goals and 11 assists give him 19 total goal contributions to lead his team. Marcus Ingvartsen is Dreyer’s favorite teammate to combine with, as the Danish forward has converted 11 times, leading San Diego in goals, and has added five assists. However, Ingvartsen is listed as out with a lower body injury. Midfielder Onni Valakari has chipped in four goals and seven assists.
“We respect San Diego, but as well we prepare our game,” Orlando City interim head coach Martin Perelman said ahead of the match. “We know how strong we are, especially at home, so now we go.”
Orlando City will be without Braian Ojeda (foot) and Adrian Marin (thigh), while Bernardo Rhein (thigh), has been upgraded to questionable. San Diego will be without the aforementioned Ingvartsen (lower body) and Tverskov (suspension).
Match Content
- Our latest episode of The Mane Land PawedCast features our key match-ups and score predictions for tonight’s match.
- Our Ben Miller wrote about his three keys to an Orlando City win over San Diego.
Official Lineups:
Orlando City (4-4-2)
Goalkeeper: Maxime Crepeau.
Defenders: Bernardo Rhein, Robin Jansson, David Brekalo, Griffin Dorsey.
Midfielders: Ivan Angulo, Joran Gerbet, Eduard Atuesta, Justin Ellis.
Forwards: Antoine Griezmann, Daryl Dike.
Bench: Javier Otero, Zakaria Taifi, Iago, Wilder Cartagena, Luis Otavio, Tiago, Marco Pasalic, Martin Ojeda, Tyrese Spicer.
San Diego FC (4-3-3)
Goalkeeper: C.J. dos Santos.
Defenders: Kieran Sargeant, Ian Murphy, Manu Duah, Oscar Verhoeven.
Midfielders: Gabriel Pirani, Anibal Godoy, Alejandro Alvarado.
Forwards: Elias Achouri, Onni Valakari, Anders Dreyer.
Bench: Duran Ferree, Dagur Dan Thorhallsson, Christopher McVey, Bryan Zamble, David Vazquez, Ian Pilcher, Alex Mighten, Bryce Duke, Amahl Pellegrino.
Referees:
REF: Joe Dickerson.
AR1: Corey Parker.
AR2: Justin Howard.
4TH: Rodrigo Albuquerque.
VAR: Daniel Radford.
AVAR: Jeff Muschik.
How to Watch
Match Time: 7:30 p.m.
Venue: Inter.co Stadium — Orlando.
TV/Streaming: Apple TV.
Radio: AM 810 FOX Sports Radio Orlando (English), Mega 97.1 FM (Spanish), Nossa Rádio 1160 AM-WRLZ (Portuguese).
Social Media: For rapid reaction and live updates, follow us on Bluesky Social at @themaneland.bsky.social or follow Orlando City’s official Twitter (@OrlandoCitySC) or Bluesky (@OrlandoCitySC) feed.
Enjoy the match. Go City!
Orlando City
Orlando City vs. San Diego FC: Three Keys to Victory
Here’s what Orlando needs to do in order to return to winning ways against San Diego.
After the disappointment of two dropped points against Minnesota on Saturday, Orlando City is back home with an opportunity to get things back on track. The Lions need to keep picking up points if they want to keep pace in an increasingly crowded Eastern Conference, and Saturday’s game is a good chance to start September off on the right note. San Diego FC stands in the way of that good start, and what follows are three things that I believe Orlando needs to do in order to emerge victorious from this game.
Stay Strong on the Left
The left side of the defense has been a question mark for the Lions for much of the year. Adrian Marin, Bernardo Rhein, and Zakaria Taifi have all spent time at left back lately and have done so with varying degrees of success. Regardless of who suits up there on Saturday, that area of the field will be under scrutiny once again, since they’ll be tasked with stopping San Diego right winger Anders Dreyer. He has eight goals and 11 assists in 21 appearances this year, has played 60 key passes during that time, and is generally the lynchpin through which the San Diego offense operates. He hasn’t quite been on the same pace that saw him bag 19 goals and 19 assists in the regular season last year, but with four goal contributions in his last three MLS appearances, he’s extremely capable of wreaking havoc from the wing. A lot of the goals OCSC has conceded lately have come down the left side of the defense, and if that area of the field can’t be taken care of better, the Lions will likely be in for a difficult night.
Do Damage in Transition
Orlando’s current style of positionless, fluid, attacking soccer is at its best when it comes up against teams that want to come out and play. It struggles mightily against defensive bunkers but shines when the Lions can get out and run, target open spaces, and combine with teammates in unexpected areas. Fortunately for OCSC (in theory), San Diego is a team that likes to have the ball, as it has the highest average possession in the league. That means the Lions will have opportunities to force turnovers and break the other way at pace. In order to make that happen though, OCSC will need to be both disciplined and effective when it comes to applying its press. Then, if/when the Lions win the ball, correct decision-making and clinical execution in the final third will be key to avoid letting any chances slip through their fingers (paws?).
Clean Up the Self-Inflicted Errors
Orlando has dealt with more than its fair share of general defensive struggles this year, but avoidable errors have been a particular problem in recent weeks. Whether it’s been an ill-advised challenge, passing to the opposition in the defensive third, or leaving men unmarked in the box, unnecessary mistakes have cost OCSC points time and again. Against lesser opposition it hasn’t always mattered, as the Lions were able to rescue three points against Real Salt Lake, but if Orlando wants to make a playoff push, it needs to make a habit of playing cleaner games, plain and simple. San Diego is a good team with dangerous offensive players, and Saturday’s visitors will very likely take advantage of any opportunities that the Lions gift-wrap for them. Keeping things mistake-free will go a long way.
We’ve got ample proof this season that nothing is guaranteed, but if the Lions can lock down the left side of the defense, make hay in transition moments, and limit unforced errors, then they should be in a good position to take all three points from Saturday’s game. Vamos Orlando!
Lion Links
Lion Links: 9/4/26
Martin Ojeda details his recovery from injury, Anna Moorhouse loaned to Manchester City, Orlando City’s U.S. Open Cup journey, and more.
Three straight days of Orlando soccer starts tonight with Orlando City B’s road match against Inter Miami II at 7 p.m. Hopefully, Orlando’s teams do well over the next few days as crunch time is upon us when it comes to making the playoffs, especially for MLS NEXT Pro. For now though, let’s jump right into today’s links from around the soccer world!
Orlando City Prepares for San Diego FC
Orlando City will take on San Diego FC on Saturday in the first-ever game between the two clubs, and one of the storylines to keep an eye on is how much Martin Ojeda plays as he works his way back from injury. The Designated Player came off the bench late in Orlando’s 3-3 draw against Minnesota United in his first appearance since May 23. Not often injured, Ojeda spoke on how being off the field for over a month has shifted his perspective while training to return.
“You learn to value the moment much more. You learn to value every training session because, when you’re training on your own and you’re not available to your teammates, you feel uncomfortable,” Ojeda said. “You value being healthy more. It’s like everything in life. When you feel good, you live life almost on autopilot, so to speak. You go to work, you go home, you come back, you sleep. However, when you or someone close to you goes through an illness or something like that, you value the moment much more and become more conscious of what you’re experiencing.”
Pride Loan Anna Moorhouse to Manchester City
The Orlando Pride loaned goalkeeper Anna Moorhouse to Manchester City through January of 2027. Moorhouse joined the Pride prior to the 2022 season and helped the club win both the NWSL Championship and Shield in 2024. However, she has struggled this year alongside the rest of the Pride’s defense. Moorhouse hasn’t played in the past two games for the Pride, with Cosette Morche starting in her place. Her current contract with the Pride lasts through the 2027 NWSL season, so we’ll have to wait and see what her future with the club is when the loan ends.
Orlando City’s U.S. Open Cup Journey
Between the World Cup, regular season, and Leagues Cup this summer, it can be easy to forget that Orlando City is still in contention to win this year’s U.S. Open Cup. The Lions are in the semifinals of the tournament after crushing Atlanta United 4-1 in the quarterfinals back on May 19. The Lions won much tighter affairs prior to that win, with Javier Otero coming up with seven saves in a 1-0 win over FC Naples and Zakaria Taifi scoring in stoppage time to beat the New England Revolution 4-3 in the following match. Orlando will be on the road for its semifinal match against the Columbus Crew on Sept. 16, but the offense has received a boost due to the arrivals of Antoine Griezmann and Daryl Dike this summer.
MLS Transfer News Roundup
MLS signings continue to pour in as teams look to improve their squads for the rest of this season and beyond. The Colorado Rapids signed Ghanaian winger Ibrahim Sadiq from AZ Alkmaar, where he recorded 18 goals and seven assists in 85 appearances across three seasons with the Dutch club. San Diego also added an attacker by signing forward Cedric Bakambu, who joins as a free agent after playing at Real Betis. As for other notable moves from across the league, Real Salt Lake signed winger Dusan Zagar as an MLS U22 Initiative player, forward Lyle Foster joined the Houston Dynamo on loan, and the Columbus Crew continued to improve on offense by signing Moroccan winger Anass Zaroury on loan from Panathinaikos.
Free Kicks
- Former Orlando Pride player Christina Burkenroad is retiring from professional soccer and Monterrey will have Saturday’s game against Toluca be a send-off match for her.
- North Carolina Courage forward Ashley Sanchez was named NWSL Player of the Month after recording five goals and two assists in August.
- The Kansas City Current signed Cameroonian defender Maeve Nyadjou, who just helped her nation win the Women’s Africa Cup of Nations for the first time and was named 2026 WAFCON Best Young Player.
- Becky Sauerbrunn is joining the Portland Thorns as a technical consultant for the remainder of the 2026 NWSL season.
- Edin Dzeko announced that he will retire from international soccer following Bosnia and Herzegovina’s UEFA Nations League qualifier against Sweden on Oct. 2. That will be his 152nd match for Bosnia, wrapping up a 19-year-old international career that included 73 goals.
That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend!
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