Orlando City
Orlando City’s Offense Has Been Shooting Like Stars During MLS Play
An analysis of Orlando City’s top tier shooting performance thus far during MLS games
One of the perils of writing about a team playing in multiple competitions is that this article, which is focused on Orlando City’s performance in MLS play, may look silly when it comes out as the most recent game played will be Wednesday evening’s Leagues Cup game against Liga MX opponent Toluca. As I do not own a sports almanac from the future, à la Biff Tannen in Back to the Future Part II, I do not know how the game will turn out as of this writing, but just know that the trends and data points in this article are all solely based on Orlando City’s MLS games, and do not take into account the U.S Open Cup or Leagues Cup performances.
Enough with the disclaimer, let’s get going.
You may have read that last week Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas made an unsolicited $34.5 billion dollar bid to buy Google’s Chrome browser. While being interviewed by the New York Times as to why he made that bid, he paraphrased one of the most famous quotes in sports, saying, “You lose 100% of the shots you don’t take,” which is similar to the quote originally stated by hockey legend Wayne Gretzky: “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.”
As you expected when clicking on this article, quotes from a Silicon Valley CEO and NHL legend.
Orlando City has taken this motto to heart thus far this season, as a quick glance at the MLS leaderboards shows the following (all data from Opta’s tracking and found on fbref.com; goals, shots, and shots on target are per 90 minutes):
| Metric | Orlando City | MLS Rank | MLS Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 | 2 | 1.42 |
| Shots | 15.85 | 1 | 12.42 |
| Shots on Target (SoT) | 5.44 | 1 | 4.29 |
| Goal Conversion per SoT | 34.0% | 6 | 30.0% |
Much like in golf, low numbers in the MLS Rank column are better, and the Orlando City offense is clearly taking its Orlando Health sponsorship to heart and playing like Arnold Palmer. For those who do not live in Orlando, that’s a reference to Arnold Palmer Hospital in the Orlando Health hospital system. When you have to explain the reference, that might be a sign that you need a mulligan. Let’s move on.
The Lions are one of only nine teams in the league performing better than the MLS average in both shots per 90 minutes and goal conversion per shots on target, and considering they lead the league in shots on target per 90 minutes, it is no surprise that they are tied for the lead in overall goals scored, with 53, and are second in the league in goals per 90 minutes, trailing only some team that wears pink but that also knows that Florida is purple.
The scatterplot below shows the locations of every team for its shots per 90 minutes (x-axis) and goal conversion rate (y-axis), and Orlando City is comfortably in the green quadrant (above average on both metrics) and is the closest team to the ideal location, which would be the upper right corner, indicating a team taking a high number of shots and converting a high percentage of its shots on target into goals.

Orlando City’s offensive prowess has been driven by a few players, and to demonstrate this we are going to harken back all the way to what I wrote about last week — the metric called goals added, or g+.
I mentioned in that article that a field player’s total g+ came from the aggregation of their performance in six different categories, with one of those six being shooting. Taking shots from dangerous locations, striking them well, and putting them on target are the sub-components of the shooting portion of g+, and Orlando City has several players who have been elite this season, as can be seen in the chart below (all data from americansocceranalysis.com):
| Player | Position | MLS Rank | Position Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Pašalić | W | 7 | 2 |
| Martín Ojeda | AM | 14 | 3 |
| Luis Muriel | ST | 33 | 22 |
| Ramiro Enrique | ST | 70 | 35 |
| Alex Freeman | FB | 74 | 2 |
Orlando City has five players in the top 75 in the shooting component of g+, and as a reminder, with 30 teams in the league, the expected number for each team would be to have 2.5 players in the top 75. The Lions have twice that. They and Charlotte are the only teams with five players in the top 75, and they and Chicago are the only teams with three players in the top 33.
As a quick aside, I enjoy how the sites I use the most for data — fbref.com and americansocceranalysis.com — both list out Orlando City’s right back as Alexander Freeman instead of Alex Freeman. It makes sense, as he is great.
In last week’s article I also expressed my surprise that Ojeda was not in the top 10 in g+. One game later he took care of that and he now ranks ninth overall and is nipping at the gils heels of Carles Gil in eighth.
The Lions have those five players in the top 75, and if you look at every team’s combined goals added by shooting, they rank first overall, 30% better than the league average . The three Designated Players lead the way, but it takes a team effort to rank first overall. You will likely not be surprised to learn that Lionel Messi ranks first in goals added by shooting, but even with him as the league leader, the Herons rank 12th as a team — just slightly about the league average.
Orlando City’s defense has not been bad this season, but it’s been the offense that has driven the team’s recent success, and with one of the league’s most difficult remaining schedules, the Lions will need the offense to remain prolific to finish strong in the regular season, as Óscar Pareja teams usually do, and make a deep run in the playoffs.
To paraphrase another great quote about shooting, from one Marshall Mathers (better known as Eminem), they have one shot to seize everything they ever wanted this season. Will they capture it or just let it slip?
I believe they are going to capture it. I am calling their shot.
Vamos Orlando!
Opinion
Likes and Dislikes from the Second Week of Orlando City Preseason
Lets go through some positives and negatives from Orlando’s second week of preparations.
Another week of preseason preparations for Orlando City are in the books, so I’m back once again to bring you things what I liked, and what I didn’t from the week that was.
Likes
The Rumored Pursuit of Iago
Tom Bogert started the week off on a good note for OCSC fans with the news that Orlando City is reportedly well along in talks to sign a center back.
On the face of it, there’s plenty to like about this rumored signing. Iago is a young player with lots of upside, but who’s already captained a Brazilian youth side at an international tournament. He would also fill a position of need for the Lions, as center back depth is practically non-existent at the moment following Orlando’s off-season moves. If he does get signed, then more work would still need to be done to address the position, perhaps by signing a proven MLS-level player, but it’s a good rumor to hear right now.
Sarajian Signs
Technically, this happened last Friday, but it was after my column published. It’s still good to see Orlando sign Harvey Sarajian, its first selection in the 2026 MLS SuperDraft. The young midfielder was the first of four first-round selections for OCSC this year and the first of the picks to be signed. While he likely represents a more longterm project rather than an immediate contributor, he’s still pretty young and should get plenty of time with Orlando City B and potentially some reserve minutes with the first team as well. The Lions have a solid history with draft picks under Oscar Pareja, and whether Sarajian follows in that mold or not, it’s still nice to see that he showed enough to land himself a place in the Orlando City setup for the foreseeable future.
Dislikes
No U22 for Alex
The downside of the rumored Iago signing is that if he does join the team as an MLS U22 Initiative player, then it almost certainly scuppers the possibility of putting Alex Freeman on a U-22 deal. In turn, that makes the young USMNT fullback signing a new contract with the team unlikely. Make no mistake, if Freeman continues his level of play from 2025 or improves on it, then he won’t be in Orlando much longer — and rightfully so. That being said, if he’s on a longer-term deal, then it increases the amount of money that the Lions would get in a potential sale. The nightmare scenario would be losing such a talented player for free, although I think the most likely case is that he gets a move in the summer, especially if he makes the World Cup roster and shows well on a global stage. Either way, his contract status and how it affects an eventual sale is something to watch, and not having him on a new or extended deal is a blow.
Torres Goes to Texas
While nothing is official yet, it looks like Facundo Torres will be coming back to Major League Soccer…to join Austin FC.
Now, it’s not that I necessarily wanted Torres to return to Orlando City. Marco Pasalic had a solid first year as his replacement, and given how one-footed they both are, there isn’t much chance of one of them moving to the left wing. It’s still going to be odd seeing him playing for Austin though —sort of like seeing your ex with a new significant other for the first time. Just because you don’t want them back doesn’t mean you don’t get a weird feeling about it. Plus, the $9.5 million fee is significantly less than the $25-30 million that was getting tossed around last week when he was linked with a move to Benfica. The Lions still stand to net around $1.4 million due to the sell-on fee that was negotiated when he was sold to Palmeiras, but if 15% of 30 million was on the table…well, you do the math. This is just a strange one all around, and I’m glad Orlando and Austin aren’t set to play each other this year.
There you have it, folks. I’ll see you back here next week, and hopefully we’ll have a lot of good things to talk over. Vamos Orlando!
Lion Links
Lion Links: 1/23/26
Inter&Co Stadium announces premium seating improvements, MLS transfer window changes, USWNT prepares for Paraguay, and more.
Happy Friday! This Florida winter has some whiplash in store for us, as temperatures are expected to rise this weekend before plunging again next week. I’ll be spending the weekend baking in preparation for a competition in a couple of weeks, but am hoping to enjoy the warm weather outdoors here and there as well. Let’s get to the links!
Inter&Co Stadium Upgrading Premium Seating
Changes are coming to Inter&Co Stadium’s premium seating options ahead of Orlando City’s and the Orlando Pride’s seasons. The West Club will have renovations, including an increase in its seating capacity and upgrades to its interior. The dining will also be revamped to focus on live cooking stations and all-inclusive selections. There will also be two open-air seating areas called Concourse Boxes added to the east side of the stadium. Sideline Social, a 245‑seat area with swivel seats and armrests, is also a new addition for 2026. While I don’t think I’ll be enjoying a game in this kind of comfort anytime soon, it’s nice to know what my options would be if I won the lottery.
MLS Announces Transfer Window Changes
MLS announced the transfer window dates and amendments to the league’s roster rules and regulations for the 2026 season. The secondary transfer window in the summer will now notably last through Sept. 2, which lines up with some of the world’s top leagues to help give MLS clubs a better opportunity to bring in players in the summer. The primary transfer window will run from Jan. 26 to March 26, with the roster compliance deadline date set for Feb. 20. Changes to the rules include removal of the limitations on how many times clubs can make cash for player trades and intraleague loans each season.
USWNT Gets Ready to Face Paraguay
The United States Women’s National Team will take on Paraguay on Saturday night in California in the first of two friendlies this month. This will be the third meeting between the two nations, with the U.S. beating Paraguay twice in September of 2021. While there are some notable names missing from Paraguay’s roster, it does include 18-year-old attacker Claudia Martinez. She scored six goals at last year’s Copa America Femenina and is reportedly joining the Washington Spirit for a $950,000 transfer fee. Following Saturday’s friendly, the USWNT will play Chile on Tuesday to close out its January camp.
Trinity Rodman Re-Signs With the Washington Spirit
The Washington Spirit signed American forward Trinity Rodman to a new contract that will last through 2028, ending one of the biggest sagas of the off-season regarding whether or not she would stay in the league. The deal will reportedly make Rodman the highest-paid women’s soccer player in the world. Selected by the Spirit with the second overall pick in the 2021 NWSL College Draft, Rodman was named Rookie of the Year and helped Washington win the NWSL Championship that year. Washington Spirit President of Soccer Operations Haley Carter, who left the Pride this off-season to join the Spirit, confirmed that the league’s new High Impact Player played a factor in the contract as well.
Keeping Up With the Europa League
The league phase of this year’s Europa League is nearing its conclusion and we’re getting a better idea on how the field will shake out. Aston Villa secured its spot in the round of 16 after a 1-0 win over Fenerbahce, with Jadon Sancho scoring the game’s only goal. Lyon is the only other team already through to the round of 16, winning 1-0 against Young Boys. Elsewhere across Europe, Niccolo Pisilli scored a brace in Roma’s 2-0 win over VfB Stuttgart, PAOK beat Real Betis 2-0 in Greece, and RB Salzburg stayed in contention with a 3-1 win over Basel.
Rangers and Nice finally won their first games of the tournament but were eliminated regardless. Celtic scored twice, went down to 10 men, and then held on for dear life in a 2-2 draw against Bologna. Despite its rollercoaster of a campaign, the Scottish side will qualify for the knockout phase with a victory against winless Utrecht next week.
Free Kicks
- Inter&Co Stadium is hosting Orlando Storm games for their inaugural season in the United Football League, and their season will kick off at home on March 29 against the Columbus Aviators.
- The New York Red Bulls are reportedly close to signing American goalkeeper Ethan Horvath from Cardiff City.
- Inter Miami signed goalkeeper Rocco Rios Novo to a permanent deal after he spent last season on loan from Lanus in Argentina’s top flight. The 23-year-old replaced Oscar Ustari down the stretch for the Herons and started in the MLS Cup final.
- The Houston Dash signed goalkeeper Caroline DeLisle, who played collegiately at the University of Central Florida. DeLisle’s 31 shutouts are the most in UCF program history.
- Manchester United announced that Brazilian midfielder Casemiro will leave the club following this season. Signed by United in 2022, Casemiro scored 21 goals in 146 appearances and helped United win the 2024 FA Cup and 2023 EFL Cup.
- Schalke signed forward Edin Dzeko from Fiorentina, giving the club a boost up top as it aims for promotion. The 39-year-old should get some more playing time in Germany to prepare for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s World Cup qualifier against Wales in March.
- We’ll end our links with some Jeopardy!, since the game show had a category devoted to MLS. Not only did each contestant get at least one question correct, but there were no wrong answers. Kudos to them and best of luck playing along.
That’s all I have for you this time around. I hope you all have a fantastic Friday and rest of your weekend!
Orlando City
A Look at Left Back for Orlando City and the Orlando Pride
How does the left side of Orlando City’s and the Orlando Pride’s defense stack up?
Left back seems to be an issue for many teams in many leagues. Right backs are a dime a dozen. I suppose left-footed players are harder to come by, making good ones all the more valuable. There have been challenges for both Orlando City and the Orlando Pride when it comes to filling the role. Let’s look at the current state of things for both teams.
Orlando City
Oscar Pareja prefers to have one or both of his fullbacks move forward into the offense. For two years, Orlando City tried to have Rafael Santos shore up the left side of the back line. He was quick enough, and effective enough on offense to play the position in Pareja’s system. However, the results were mixed. It took Santos quite a bit of time each season to round into form, making him a liability early in the year. He would then start to show signs of improvement, even having the occasional excellent performance. Sadly, it wouldn’t last. He was inconsistent and eventually lost the starting role in 2025 to center back David Brekalo. He lost the starting role to a player whose primary position was not left back.
Brekalo was a defensive improvement over Santos, which Orlando City needed, but he was not as effective moving forward. The added problem of having him at left back was that it diminished the depth at center back. It forced Rodrigo Schlegel into the starting role, meaning you never knew if you were getting good Rodri or bad Rodri, but you were always guaranteed a booking. With his departure, it looks like Brekalo will have a chance to earn a starting spot next to Robin Jansson at center back.
That paves the way for Adrian Marin to assume the starting role at left back. Marin was brought in last season for that reason, but joining a club mid-season often presents challenges. As such, Pareja stuck with Brekalo more often than not. It will be Marin’s spot to lose. That puts Homegrown Tahir Reid-Brown as a potential back up, but Pareja might still utilize Brekalo if necessary. There is still a need for more depth.
Orlando Pride
Things are a little more stable on the Orlando Pride side of the ledger. Kerry Abello has been, and continues to be, the starting left back. Abello is a solid if not spectacular defender. After that, there are a bunch of right backs and a center back who can play on the left. Kylie Nadaner has player there but is more likely to be at center back. More importantly, she won’t be available until summer after her baby is born.
Oihane is the starting right back. Cori Dyke has also spent time as a backup on the left, but her natural position is on the right. The list of defenders who could play on the left also includes Hailie Mace, Zara Chavoshi, and Hannah Anderson. Again, none of these players are natural left backs. I know that Seb Hines loves players who are versatile, but perhaps a natural left back to challenge or at least back up Abello would be better. We will have to see what Caitlin Carducci has up her sleeve with all that money from the Emily Sams deal.
I know that my being left-handed has nothing to do with the lack of depth on the left side of the defense, but it still feels like right-handed bias. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
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